螺纹钢供需关系

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宝城期货螺纹钢早报-20250829
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-08-29 01:38
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货螺纹钢早报(2025 年 8 月 29 日) ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明:短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 螺纹 2510 | 震荡 偏弱 | 震荡 | 震荡 偏弱 | 关注 MA10 一线压力 | 基本面未改善,钢价震荡寻底 | 说明: 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格,无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格,当日日盘收盘价为终点价格, 计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌,跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱,涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强,涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点,短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 行情驱动逻辑 螺纹钢供需两端均迎来回升,螺纹产量再度回升并至年内高位,供应压力增加。与此同时,螺 纹钢需求有所改善,但下游未见好转,改善持续性存疑。目前来看,供需双增局面下螺纹钢基本面 并未改善,库存增加,产业矛盾持续累积,钢价仍易承压,相对利好则是成本抬升与旺季需求预 期,多空因 ...
宝城期货螺纹钢早报-20250808
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-08-08 01:12
Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The short - term, medium - term, and intraday views of Rebar 2510 are shock, shock, and shock - weak respectively. It is recommended to pay attention to the pressure at the MA10 line, as industrial contradictions accumulate and steel prices are under pressure [2]. - In the situation of both supply and demand increasing, the fundamentals of rebar have not improved substantially. During the off - season, steel prices are under pressure. With the game between long and short factors, it is expected that steel prices will continue the shock adjustment trend, and attention should be paid to the production situation of steel mills [3]. Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalog Variety Viewpoint Reference - For Rebar 2510, the short - term, medium - term, and intraday trends are shock, shock, and shock - weak respectively. The view is to pay attention to the pressure at the MA10 line, and the core logic is that industrial contradictions accumulate and steel prices are under pressure. There are also explanations for price change calculations and definitions of shock - strong/weak [2]. Market Driving Logic - Both the supply and demand sides of rebar have increased. The weekly output of rebar has risen significantly, and the supply pressure has increased. The rebar demand has also improved, but the improvement in off - season demand is of doubtful sustainability. The fundamentals have not improved substantially. The relative positives are the disturbance of production restriction expectations and the strong boost of coking coal and coke. The steel price is expected to continue the shock adjustment trend [3].
宝城期货螺纹钢早报-20250718
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-07-18 01:12
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints - The short - term view for rebar 2510 is a rise, the medium - term view is a slightly bullish oscillation, and the intraday view is a slightly bearish oscillation. Investors should focus on the support at the MA5 line. The core logic is that the market sentiment is bullish and steel prices are oscillating upwards [2]. - The supply and demand of rebar continue to weaken. Production is decreasing due to maintenance and production conversion, while demand is in the seasonal low with weak high - frequency demand indicators. However, low inventory, policy support expectations, and strong raw materials providing cost support are positive factors. Steel prices are expected to remain stable in oscillation, and the implementation of policies should be monitored [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Variety Viewpoint Reference - For rebar 2510, short - term: rise; medium - term: slightly bullish oscillation; intraday: slightly bearish oscillation. The reference is to focus on the support at the MA5 line, with the core logic being strong market sentiment and oscillating upward steel prices. The calculation of price changes is based on night - session closing prices for products with night sessions and the previous day's closing prices for those without, and the day - session closing prices as the end price. The definitions of rise, fall, and oscillation are also provided [2]. 3.2 Market Driving Logic - The supply and demand of rebar are both weak. Production has decreased to a low level due to maintenance and production conversion, but the sustainability of production cuts needs to be tracked as the profit per ton of the product is good. Demand continues to decline seasonally, with high - frequency demand indicators at a low level in recent years, showing obvious off - season characteristics and putting pressure on steel prices. The low inventory, policy support expectations, and strong raw materials providing cost support are positive factors. The steel price is expected to remain stable in oscillation, and the implementation of policies should be monitored [3].
宝城期货螺纹钢早报-20250716
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-07-16 02:33
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货螺纹钢早报(2025 年 7 月 16 日) ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明:短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 螺纹 2510 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡 偏弱 | 关注 MA10 一线支撑 | 供需格局弱稳,钢价震荡回落 | 说明: 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格,无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格,当日日盘收盘价为终点价格, 计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌,跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱,涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强,涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 观点参考 公司地址:浙江省杭州市求是路 8 号公元大厦南裙 1-5 楼。 咨询热线:400 618 1199 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点,短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 行情驱动逻辑 螺纹钢供需两端均有所走弱,建筑钢厂有所转产,螺纹产量环比下降,但依旧处于年内高位, 且品种吨钢利润较好,供应料难持续回落。同时,螺纹需求表现偏弱,高频需求指标均有所 ...
宝城期货螺纹钢早报-20250613
Bao Cheng Qi Huo· 2025-06-13 01:21
投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货螺纹钢早报(2025 年 6 月 13 日) ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明:短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 螺纹 2510 | 震荡 偏弱 | 震荡 | 震荡 偏弱 | 关注 MA5 一线压力 | 供需两端走弱,钢价震荡寻底 | 说明: 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格,无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格,当日日盘收盘价为终点价格, 计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌,跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱,涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强,涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点,短期和中期不做区分。 专业研究·创造价值 1 / 2 请务必阅读文末免责条款 观点参考 观点参考 公司地址:浙江省杭州市求是路 8 号公元大厦南裙 1-5 楼。 咨询热线:400 618 1199 | | 获 取 | 每 日 | 期 货 观 点 | 推 送 | | | --- | --- | --- | -- ...