2025年06月28日 证券研究报告 | LCD行业月报 京东方拟收购彩虹光电30%股权，行业竞争格局优化 行业研究 · 行业月报 电子 投资评级：优于大市（维持评级） 021-60893306 021-60871321 0755-81982153 021-61761072 010-88005482 hujian1@guosen.com.cn huhui2@guosen.com.cn yezi3@guosen.com.cn zhangdawei1@guosen.com.cn lianxinran@guosen.com.cn S0980521080001 S0980521080002 S0980522100003 S0980524100002 证券分析师：胡剑 证券分析师：胡慧 证券分析师：叶子 证券分析师：张大为 联系人：连欣然 LCD行业月报：京东方拟收购彩虹光电30%股权，行业竞争格局优化 1Q25中国主要LCD厂商（深天马A、TCL科技、京东方A、彩虹股份、龙腾光电、友达、群创光电、瀚宇彩晶）平均毛利率同比提升1.81pct、环比提升 3.60pct至14.89%，净利率同比提升1.74pct、环比提升 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024 and Q1 2025, indicating challenges in the market and increased competition in the downstream new energy sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - For 2024, the company generated revenue of 478 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.6%, and a net profit of 49 million yuan, down 58.1% [1]. - In Q1 2025, revenue was 107 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 3.6% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.0%. The net profit was 20 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.3% [1]. Industry Trends - The demand for testing power supplies in the downstream new energy sector is slowing, with 2024 revenue from testing power supplies at 365 million yuan, a mere 1% increase year-on-year, attributed to pressure on profitability for downstream new energy vehicle and energy storage manufacturers [2]. - The hydrogen energy testing power supply segment saw a revenue of 95 million yuan in 2024, down 15% year-on-year, with weak demand in the fuel cell sector but high growth in electrolyzer testing power supply demand [2]. Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 37.6%, a decrease of 13.6 percentage points year-on-year due to industry price competition. The company maintained good control over expense ratios, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios at 12.9%, 10.8%, 16.4%, and -1.1%, respectively [3]. - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 19.0%, an increase of 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to intense price competition, the net profit forecast for 2025 has been revised down by 4% to 109 million yuan, with a new estimate for 2026 at 170 million yuan. The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 20.2 for 2025 and 13.0 for 2026 [4]. - The company maintains an outperform rating and a target price of 30 yuan, implying a potential upside of 13.9% from the current stock price [4].

文 ｜ 孙明新 建材行业作为与房地产高度关联的领域，自2 0 2 1年起面临收入、利润的下行压力，行业也迎来了 出清和竞争格局的优化。当前，我们预计需求下行幅度收窄，二阶导转正，配合"反内卷"政策导 向，部分细分行业迎来涨价及经营利润的提升，超出市场预期，行业配置价值已经显现。配置节奏 上，我们认为需求压力越小、既有竞争格局越好的板块，越先迎来配置机会。我们的推荐次序为玻 纤、水泥、消费建材。市值弹性上，我们认为出清产能越多，后续弹性越高。消费建材行业虽然尚 未迎来利润拐点，但是底部确立，考虑到龙头企业的长期成长性和行业出清情况，我们认为今年下 半年后或将迎来趋势性投资机会和相较玻纤、水泥更好的市值弹性。 ▍ 2 0 2 5年建材需求的判断：需求下滑，但二阶导转正。 基建端，随着化债工作的深入推进，地方政府债务压力得到有效缓解。一方面，有息负债增速明 显放缓，2 0 2 4年全国城投有息负债4 1 . 2亿元，同比增速由双位数大幅下降至2 . 8%。另一方面， 城投平台融资成本显著下行，2 0 2 5年1 - 2月新发城投债平均票面利率2 . 5%，同比下降0 . 6 p c t。待 城投平台通过化债资金偿还 ...