摘要 AI 服务器测试电源设备市场随 AI 服务器电源需求增长而显著扩展，应用 涵盖 HVDC、UPS、power shelf、BBU、超级电容及 GPU 的 DCDC 模组等，虽整体市场空间不大，但覆盖面广，增量需求可观，产品开发 和量产下线前测试是主要应用场景。 AI 服务器测试电源面临高动态性能和广泛覆盖不同类型及功率等级的难 点。高速大模型计算导致工作电流剧烈波动，要求测试设备具备快速响 应能力和多电压平台测试能力，以精准模拟各种动态负载变化。 全球领先的 AI 电源测试设备制造商是 Chroma，其二季度综合毛利率高 达 65%，ATS 业务单季度营收增长 50%，AI 相关收入接近 ATS 业务总 收入的一半，表明 AI 电源测试设备具有较高壁垒和盈利性。 测试电源行业应用广泛，涵盖 HVDC、DCDC、ACDC、BBU 超级电容 等需求。台达等头部服务器厂商 AI 电源营收快速放量，科威尔通过台达 和长城等验证，并推出全面解决方案，表明该行业有望快速增长。 科威尔从光伏起家，后进入新能源汽车、氢燃料电池、功率半导体等领 域，在大功率测试领域占据约 30%的市场份额。虽过去两年收入与盈利 能力有所 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, projecting significant growth potential in the coming years [7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 478 million yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 9.58%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 49 million yuan, down 58.10% year-on-year [4]. - The company has seen a year-on-year increase in its order backlog, indicating strong future growth potential [6]. - The company is focusing on innovation and product iteration, with R&D expenses amounting to 79 million yuan, representing 16.5% of revenue [7]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 478 million yuan, with a gross margin of 45.00%, down 8.87 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - The company expects revenues to grow to 615 million yuan in 2025, with a projected year-on-year growth of 28.6% [10]. - The net profit for 2025 is estimated to be 88 million yuan, reflecting a significant recovery from the previous year [10]. Business Segment Analysis - The testing power segment generated 365 million yuan in revenue for 2024, a slight increase of 0.86% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 44.17% [6]. - Hydrogen energy revenue was reported at 95 million yuan, down 15% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 46.86% [6]. - The power semiconductor segment saw a significant decline, with revenue of 16 million yuan, down 71% year-on-year [6]. Future Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 88 million yuan in 2025, 116 million yuan in 2026, and 141 million yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 25, 19, and 16 [7][10]. - Revenue is expected to reach 863 million yuan by 2027, with a projected growth rate of 12.7% [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, projecting significant growth potential in the coming years [7]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 478 million yuan for 2024, a year-over-year decrease of 9.58%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 49 million yuan, down 58.10% year-over-year [4]. - The company has seen a year-over-year increase in its order backlog, indicating strong future growth potential [6]. - The company is focusing on innovation and product iteration, with R&D expenses amounting to 79 million yuan, representing 16.5% of revenue [7]. Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 45.00%, which is a decrease of 8.87 percentage points year-over-year [4]. - The revenue for Q4 2024 was 101 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 41.95% year-over-year [4]. - The company expects revenues to grow to 615 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 28.6% [10]. Business Segments - The testing power segment generated 365 million yuan in revenue for 2024, a slight increase of 0.86% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 44.17% [6]. - Hydrogen energy revenue was reported at 95 million yuan, down 15% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 46.86% [6]. - The power semiconductor segment saw a significant decline in revenue, down 71% year-over-year, with a gross margin of 44.16% [6]. Future Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 88 million yuan, 116 million yuan, and 141 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 25, 19, and 16 [7][10]. - The gross margin is expected to stabilize around 43.1% from 2026 onwards [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an expected relative increase in stock price between 10% and 20% over the next six months [6][12]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 480 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 9.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 50 million yuan, down 58.1% year-on-year. The decline in performance is attributed to intensified market competition, delayed order deliveries, and increased investments in market expansion [4][5]. - The first quarter of 2025 showed a slight recovery with revenue of 110 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.6%, and a net profit of 20 million yuan, an increase of 11.3% year-on-year [4][5]. - The testing power business generated revenue of 360 million yuan in 2024, a slight increase of 0.9%, but faced pressure on profit margins due to fierce competition. The company anticipates a recovery in this segment as overseas markets and distribution channels are further developed [5][6]. - The hydrogen energy testing equipment business underperformed with revenue of 100 million yuan in 2024, down 15.1% year-on-year. The report suggests that the development of the hydrogen energy industry and the establishment of standards will take time, but policy support is expected to enhance industry prospects [5][6]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 550 million yuan, 660 million yuan, and 840 million yuan, respectively. Corresponding net profits are forecasted at 70 million yuan, 90 million yuan, and 130 million yuan, leading to price-to-earnings ratios of 34, 25, and 18 times [6][10]. - The report indicates a gradual improvement in profitability, with a projected net profit margin increase from 10.3% in 2024 to 15.3% in 2027 [11]. Key Financial Metrics - The company’s asset-liability ratio stands at 24.0%, indicating a relatively low level of debt [3][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.58 yuan in 2024 to 1.53 yuan in 2027, reflecting the anticipated growth in profitability [10][11]. - The report highlights a decrease in expense ratios, contributing to improved net profit margins in the first quarter of 2025 [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an expected relative increase in stock price between 10% and 20% over the next six months [6][12]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 480 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 9.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 50 million yuan, down 58.1% year-on-year. The decline in performance is attributed to intensified market competition, delayed order deliveries, and increased investments in market expansion [4][5]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 110 million yuan, a slight decrease of 3.6% year-on-year, while the net profit increased by 11.3% year-on-year to 20 million yuan [4][5]. - The testing power business generated revenue of 360 million yuan in 2024, with a gross margin of 44.2%, facing pressure from market competition. However, there are expectations for recovery as overseas markets and distribution channels are developed [5][6]. - The hydrogen energy testing equipment business underperformed, with revenue of 100 million yuan in 2024, down 15.1% year-on-year, but the gross margin remained stable at 46.9%. The industry is expected to improve as national policies are implemented [5][6]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 550 million yuan, 660 million yuan, and 840 million yuan, respectively. Corresponding net profits are forecasted to be 70 million yuan, 90 million yuan, and 130 million yuan, with price-to-earnings ratios of 34, 25, and 18 times [6][10]. - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve gradually, with projections of 47% in 2025, 47.7% in 2026, and 48.3% in 2027 [11]. Key Financial Metrics - The company’s asset-liability ratio stands at 24.0%, indicating a solid financial position [3][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to increase from 0.58 yuan in 2024 to 1.53 yuan in 2027 [10][11]. - The company’s market capitalization is currently 2.2 billion yuan, with a total share capital of 840 million shares [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a decline in revenue and net profit for 2024 and Q1 2025, indicating challenges in the market and increased competition in the downstream new energy sector [1][2]. Financial Performance - For 2024, the company generated revenue of 478 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.6%, and a net profit of 49 million yuan, down 58.1% [1]. - In Q1 2025, revenue was 107 million yuan, a year-on-year decline of 3.6% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.0%. The net profit was 20 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 11.3% [1]. Industry Trends - The demand for testing power supplies in the downstream new energy sector is slowing, with 2024 revenue from testing power supplies at 365 million yuan, a mere 1% increase year-on-year, attributed to pressure on profitability for downstream new energy vehicle and energy storage manufacturers [2]. - The hydrogen energy testing power supply segment saw a revenue of 95 million yuan in 2024, down 15% year-on-year, with weak demand in the fuel cell sector but high growth in electrolyzer testing power supply demand [2]. Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for Q1 2025 was 37.6%, a decrease of 13.6 percentage points year-on-year due to industry price competition. The company maintained good control over expense ratios, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios at 12.9%, 10.8%, 16.4%, and -1.1%, respectively [3]. - The net profit margin for Q1 2025 was 19.0%, an increase of 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Due to intense price competition, the net profit forecast for 2025 has been revised down by 4% to 109 million yuan, with a new estimate for 2026 at 170 million yuan. The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 20.2 for 2025 and 13.0 for 2026 [4]. - The company maintains an outperform rating and a target price of 30 yuan, implying a potential upside of 13.9% from the current stock price [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [12]. Core Insights - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 478 million RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 9.58%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 49 million RMB, down 58.1%. For Q1 2025, revenue was 107 million RMB, a decline of 3.64%, while net profit increased by 11.26% to 20 million RMB [2][3]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - The company reported a total revenue of 478 million RMB for 2024, which is a decrease of 9.58% compared to the previous year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 49 million RMB, reflecting a significant decline of 58.1%. In Q1 2025, the revenue was 107 million RMB, showing a slight decrease of 3.64%, while the net profit increased to 20 million RMB, marking an increase of 11.26% [2]. Operational Analysis - The company has a healthy inventory and contract liabilities situation, with inventory at 279 million RMB and contract liabilities at 95 million RMB as of Q1 2025, indicating sufficient orders for future revenue recognition. The total cash and cash equivalents reached 702 million RMB, ensuring liquidity. Despite facing challenges, the company has continued to expand its market presence, with a year-on-year increase in order backlog as of the end of 2024 [3]. Profit Forecast, Valuation, and Rating - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 64 million RMB, 94 million RMB, and 134 million RMB, respectively. The corresponding earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.76 RMB, 1.12 RMB, and 1.60 RMB, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 34.62, 23.58, and 16.49 times [3].