事件描述 信用业务市场份额同比提升，经纪业务收入随市高增。2025 年一季度，股基日均成交额为17464.6 亿 元，同比+71%，国泰海通经纪业务收入2025 年一季度同比+77.0%，公司经纪业务收入增速高于市场增 速，预计公司经纪业务市场份额及佣金费率有所提升。 2025Q1 测算公司融出资金市场份额为9.89%，同比+4.10pct，有所提升。 国泰海通发布2025 年一季报，报告期内实现营业收入117.73 亿元，同比+47.5%，实现归母净利润 122.42 亿元，同比+391.8%，加权平均净资产收益率同比+4.91pct 至6.46%。 事件评论 公司各项业务收入表现强劲，带动业绩实现高增。2025 年一季度，国泰海通实现营收、归母净利润分 别为117.73、122.42 亿元，同比分别+47.5%、+391.8%，加权ROE 为6.46%，同比+4.91pct，剔除客户资 金后杠杆为3.85x，同比-16.8%。公司利润同比大幅增长主要源于吸收合并海通证券产生的负商誉带来 营业外收入增加。分业务条线来看，经纪、投行、资管、利息、自营收入分别为26.52、7.08、11.68、 6.94、41 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guotai Haitong's Q1 2025 financial report shows significant growth in revenue and net profit, driven by the absorption of Haitong Securities and the resulting "negative goodwill" [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, Guotai Haitong achieved operating revenue of 11.773 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 47.48% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 12.242 billion yuan, a remarkable year-on-year increase of 391.78%, setting a record for quarterly performance in the securities industry [1] - Excluding non-recurring gains and losses, the net profit was 3.293 billion yuan, up 60.65% year-on-year, ranking third in the industry [1] Negative Goodwill - The substantial increase in net profit is attributed to "negative goodwill" from the merger with Haitong Securities, amounting to 8.547 billion yuan [1][2] - Non-recurring gains and losses for the quarter totaled 8.949 billion yuan, with negative goodwill being a significant contributor [1] Business Segments - Revenue from brokerage, investment banking, asset management, and proprietary trading was 2.652 billion yuan, 708 million yuan, 1.168 billion yuan, and 4.01 billion yuan, respectively [2] - The proprietary trading and brokerage segments saw the most significant year-on-year growth, at 77% and 68.7%, respectively, due to increased investment income and trading volume [2] Market Position - As of the end of Q1, Guotai Haitong's total assets reached 1.69 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 61.58%, although it still trails behind CITIC Securities by over 96 billion yuan [2] - Guotai Haitong's net assets of 321.695 billion yuan positioned it as the leader in the industry, surpassing CITIC Securities' 302.438 billion yuan [2] Industry Outlook - Analysts suggest that ongoing capital market reforms and macroeconomic recovery will benefit leading securities firms, enhancing their risk management capabilities and allowing them to capitalize on policy advantages [3]

上 市 公 司 非银金融 报告原因：有业绩公布需要点评 买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2025 年 04 月 29 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 17.18 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 22.08/13.12 | | 市净率 | 1.9 | | 息率（分红/股价） | 3.20 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 231,349 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 3,286.65/9,849.80 | | 注："息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 03 月 31 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 17.68 | | 资产负债率% | 80.13 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万) | 17,630/13,466 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/3,506 | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： ——负商誉驱动业绩高增，打造国际一流投行进行中 事件：4/29，国泰海通披露 1Q25 业绩，接近业绩预告上限。公司 1Q25 实现营收 117.7 亿元，同比+47.5%， 归母净利润 122.4 亿元 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guotai Haitong is expected to report a significant increase in net profit for Q1 2025, primarily due to negative goodwill from the merger with Haitong Securities, but the underlying operational performance remains comparable to peers [1][3][6]. Financial Performance - Guotai Haitong anticipates a net profit of 11.201 billion to 12.445 billion yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 350% to 400% [1][3]. - The adjusted net profit (扣非归母净利润) is projected to be between 2.973 billion and 3.383 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 45% to 65% [1][3][6]. - The substantial increase in net profit is attributed to approximately 8 billion to 9 billion yuan in non-recurring gains from negative goodwill, which lacks operational and cash flow support [6][7]. Merger and Goodwill Analysis - The negative goodwill arises because the acquisition cost of Haitong Securities was lower than the fair value of its identifiable net assets, indicating a "bargain purchase" [5][7]. - The share exchange ratio for the merger was set at 1:0.62, leading to concerns among some minority shareholders about a potential dilution of their equity [7][8]. Regulatory and Compliance Issues - In 2024, both Guotai Junan and Haitong Securities were rated as A-class investment banks based on their 2023 performance, but the upcoming rating for 2025 will depend on 2024 performance [2][9]. - Haitong Securities faced a doubling of penalties related to its investment banking operations in 2024, raising concerns about its future ratings [2][9][10]. - The former head of investment banking at Haitong, Jiang Chengjun, is under investigation for alleged misconduct, further complicating the firm's regulatory standing [9][11].