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悲观情绪持续蔓延 沪铜封跌停【2月2SHFE市场收盘评论】
Wen Hua Cai Jing· 2026-02-02 07:57
对于铜价走势,光大期货表示,随着贵金属的历史级调整,铜价也难免受到冲击调整,虽然调整力度弱 于贵金属,但1月份以来主要由资金推动行情的涨幅部分很有可能受到挑战。进入2月份,市场将首先消 化贵金属调整带来的冲击,也面临基本面方面疲软的现货、持续累积的库存以及春节前后的需求真空, 构成了价格短期回调的压力。 沪铜低开低走,午后和国际铜双双封死跌停板,表现尤为弱势。美联储政策预期边际转鹰,贵金属遭遇 抛售,悲观情绪持续蔓延,叠加需求隐忧,沪铜大跌,期价下破十万关口。 (文华综合) 2月2日国内市场电解铜现货库存34.08万吨,较29日增0.50万吨。周末国产货源仍有陆续到货,且由于部 分时间铜价大幅冲高,同时日内波动加剧,下游企业采购情绪相对谨慎,市场需求仍较为有限,仓库出 库量偏少,库存因此维持增加。此前铜价高企,下游需求不佳,社会库存加速累积,今日铜价大幅回 落,不过国内临近春节,下游需求或难有亮眼表现,关注现货贴水是否持续收窄和库存变化。 上周五美国总统特朗普宣布提名沃什出任下一任美联储主席,美联储政策预期边际转鹰,独立性担忧缓 解,美指出现反弹,叠加贵金属高位坠落,有色集体下跌,甚至出现跌停潮。1月份,中国 ...
大有期货:美元走强与降息预期延后施压 贵金属板块或迎调整
Jin Tou Wang· 2026-01-19 09:32
Macro News - On February 1, Trump announced a 10% tariff on all goods exported to the U.S. from eight European countries (Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, and Finland), with a 25% tariff to follow on June 1 [1] - In response, the EU is preparing to impose tariffs amounting to €93 billion, as a countermeasure to Trump's threats regarding Greenland [1] Institutional Viewpoints - The precious metals sector is likely to face pressure and adjustments due to the continued strength of the U.S. dollar index and expectations for a delayed first interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which diminishes the appeal of holding non-yielding assets like gold [1] - Global macroeconomic data shows resilience, particularly in U.S. manufacturing and employment, which temporarily reduces the safe-haven demand for precious metals [1] - Despite geopolitical risks providing some bottom support, gold prices may enter a phase of high-level fluctuations, while industrial metals like silver, platinum, and palladium may experience more significant adjustment pressures due to slowing global industrial growth and weak demand in the automotive sector [1]