Economic Indicators - As of February 8, 2026, the ECI supply index is at 50.08%, down 0.01 percentage points from last week, while the demand index is at 49.88%, up 0.02 percentage points[9] - The ECI investment index is at 49.95%, up 0.04 percentage points from last week, and the export index is at 50.26%, up 0.02 percentage points[10] Production and Consumption - Industrial production shows a seasonal decline before the Spring Festival, with the operating rate for automotive tires at 60.70%, down 1.74 percentage points from last week[20] - Passenger car sales averaged 50,171 units per day in mid-January, a decrease of 23,608 units compared to the same period last year[26] Real Estate and Investment - The sales area of new homes in 30 major cities decreased to 139.50 million square meters, down 2.94% from the previous week[34] - The government net financing in January 2026 reached 1.18 trillion yuan, an increase of 250 billion yuan year-on-year[18] Export Performance - The export growth rate for South Korea in January was 33.90%, a significant increase of 20.50 percentage points from December[40] - The monitored port cargo throughput reached 28,159.70 million tons, a 9.27% increase from the previous week[39] Monetary Policy - The expected new RMB loans for January 2026 are between 4.80 to 5.0 trillion yuan, similar to the levels seen in 2024 and 2023[16] - The social financing scale is projected to increase slightly year-on-year, with an expected addition of around 7.10 trillion yuan in January 2026[18]

Core Viewpoint - Chengdu Bank reported a revenue of 17.76 billion yuan for the first nine months of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.0%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 9.49 billion yuan, up 5.0% year-on-year, although growth rates have slowed compared to the first half of 2025 [1][2] Group 1: Financial Performance - The bank's net interest income increased by 8.2% year-on-year to 14.72 billion yuan, with the growth rate improving by 0.6 percentage points compared to the first half of 2025 [1] - The bank's interest margin pressure has eased, contributing to the acceleration of net interest income growth, with the performance drag from interest margin at 5.6 percentage points, down from 6.4 percentage points in the first half of 2025 [1] - Non-interest income faced challenges, with net fee and commission income declining by 35.2% year-on-year to 380 million yuan, although the decline rate narrowed by 10.0 percentage points compared to the first half of 2025 [1] Group 2: Loan Growth and Asset Quality - The loan balance at the end of September 2025 reached 846.2 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year increase of 17.4%, consistent with the 18.0% growth rate at the end of the first half of 2025 [2] - Corporate loans and bill discounts saw a net increase of 10.4 billion yuan in the third quarter of 2025, driven by the construction of the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle [2] - The non-performing loan ratio was 0.68% at the end of September 2025, slightly up by 2 basis points from the end of the first half of 2025, indicating stable asset quality [2] Group 3: Investment Outlook - The demand for infrastructure projects in the Chengdu-Chongqing region is strong, and Chengdu Bank is well-positioned to benefit from this, with expectations for continued high loan growth [2] - The bank's net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to reach 13.66 billion yuan, 14.72 billion yuan, and 16.05 billion yuan for 2025-2027, representing year-on-year growth rates of 6.2%, 7.8%, and 9.0% respectively [2]