资产配置逻辑改变
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港交所董事总经理巴曙松:全球原有的经济增长模式已无法持续 资产配置基本逻辑发生改变
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-10-22 03:53
Core Insights - The global economic growth model is no longer sustainable, leading to a shift in asset allocation logic [1] - With the slowdown in global economic growth and declining traditional asset returns, relying solely on beta returns is insufficient for investors' yield targets [1] - The proportion of actively managed funds is continuously increasing, indicating a growing pursuit of alpha returns in the new market environment, particularly evident in alternative assets [1]
37万亿美债压顶,黄金创45年真实新高!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-03 13:53
Core Insights - The international gold price has reached its highest level in 45 years, surpassing the inflation-adjusted peak from January 1980, indicating a significant shift in market dynamics [1][3] - Goldman Sachs reports extreme bullish sentiment in the gold market, with a long-to-short position ratio of 8:1, the highest in a decade, reflecting a re-evaluation of systemic risks [3][5] - Major financial institutions and central banks are increasing their gold holdings, with global central bank purchases averaging over 1,000 tons annually from 2022 to 2024, signaling a strategic shift towards gold as a reserve asset [5][7] Market Dynamics - The weakening of the U.S. dollar's creditworthiness, with national debt exceeding $37 trillion and a projected federal deficit of $1.8 trillion for FY2025, has made gold an attractive alternative [5] - Central banks, particularly in emerging markets like China and India, are significantly increasing their gold reserves, with China's holdings rising nearly 30% over three years [5][7] - The macroeconomic environment mirrors the 1970s, with persistent core inflation and geopolitical tensions, leading to heightened concerns about stagflation and financial instability [5][7] Investment Trends - The historical high in gold prices is prompting a shift in asset allocation strategies, moving away from traditional "stocks + bonds" portfolios [7] - There is a notable increase in retail participation in gold through ETFs and bank gold accumulation, with a reported 18% year-on-year growth in domestic bank gold accumulation transactions [7] - The correlation between gold and traditional assets like the U.S. dollar and treasury bonds is weakening, indicating a return to gold's role as a hedge [7]