Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has raised the earnings per share estimates for Swire Properties (01972) for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 by 11%, 1%, and 2% respectively, reflecting the latest half-year performance and recent progress in capital recovery [1] Group 1: Earnings and Dividends - The full-year dividend forecast for 2025 to 2027 has been increased by 0.2%, indicating a year-on-year growth of 4.7%, 4.5%, and 4.5% during this period [1] - The target price has been raised by 11%, from HKD 18 to HKD 20, while maintaining a "market perform" rating [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - Despite the improvement in the company's operating environment, Morgan Stanley maintains a cautious outlook on the Hong Kong office market due to oversupply and declining demand [1] - Swire Properties' recurring income base from new commercial properties in mainland China, capital recovery measures, and a strong balance sheet are expected to withstand downward pressure [1]

Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley has raised its earnings per share forecasts for Swire Properties (01972) for the fiscal years 2025 to 2027 by 11%, 1%, and 2% respectively, reflecting the latest half-year performance and recent progress in capital recovery [1] Group 1: Earnings and Dividends - The full-year dividend forecast for 2025 to 2027 has been increased by 0.2%, indicating a year-on-year growth of 4.7%, 4.5%, and 4.5% during this period [1] - The target price has been raised by 11%, from HKD 18 to HKD 20, while maintaining a "market perform" rating [1] Group 2: Market Conditions - Due to oversupply in the office market and declining demand, Morgan Stanley maintains a cautious outlook on the Hong Kong office market [1] - Swire Properties' recurring income base from new commercial properties in mainland China, capital recovery measures, and a strong balance sheet are expected to withstand downward pressure [1]

Financial Performance Highlights - CSI made approximately HK$1,346 million in sales and had approximately HK$1,956 million of unrecognized contracted sales commitments for 1H FY2024[12] - Gross revenue from property business increased by 40% from HK$231 million in 1H FY2023 to HK$324 million in 1H FY2024[15] - Gross profit increased by 54% from HK$125 million in 1H FY2023 to HK$192 million in 1H FY2024[15] - Profit from property joint ventures/associates increased by 50% from HK$154 million in 1H FY2023 to HK$231 million in 1H FY2024[15] Balance Sheet and Credit Metrics - The company maintained a strong balance sheet with properties and related assets valued at HK$24,070 million as of September 30, 2023[16] - Cash and bank balances remained strong at HK$3,174 million as of September 30, 2023[16] - Net debt to total assets ratio was 269% as of 1H FY2024[18] - Net debt plus commitment to JVs /adjusted total assets plus JV assets was approximately 385% as of September 30, 2023[44] Strategies and Portfolio - The company focuses on managing a high-quality residential and commercial real estate portfolio[57] - The company aims to manage disposal pipeline to recycle capital & crystalize profit[57] - The company maintains prudent financing with strong asset coverage & liquidity[57] - Total bank borrowings amounted to HK$10,080 million, with 319% due within 1 year (HK$2,687 million) and 681% due between 1-5 years (HK$5,725 million)[40]