适度紧缩货币政策

Search documents
经济学家:预计日本央行最早10月恢复加息
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 04:38
Core Viewpoint - A significant majority of economists predict that the Bank of Japan will raise its key interest rate by at least 25 basis points later this year, reflecting a growing consensus on monetary tightening [1] Group 1: Economic Predictions - Nearly two-thirds of economists forecast a rate hike from the Bank of Japan, an increase from over half in the previous survey [1] - 70% of analysts believe that recent weak employment data in the U.S. will not delay the Bank of Japan's moderate tightening policy [1] Group 2: Survey Details - In a survey conducted from August 12 to 19, 67 out of 73 economists (92%) expect the Bank of Japan to maintain its current rate in the September meeting [1] - Among 71 respondents, 63% anticipate a rate increase of at least 25 basis points to 0.75% in the next quarter, up from 54% in the previous month [1] - Of the 40 economists predicting the timing of the next rate hike, 38% selected October as the most likely month, while 30% expect it in January next year and 18% in December this year [1]
美联储威廉姆斯:今年美国经济可能增长约1% 预计未来两年内通胀率将逐步下降至2%
news flash· 2025-06-24 16:34
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's Williams indicates that overall inflation is nearing 2%, but core inflation remains elevated, suggesting ongoing economic challenges [1] Economic Growth - The U.S. economy is projected to grow by approximately 1% this year, reflecting a slowdown in economic activity [1] - Factors such as uncertainty, tariff measures, and reduced immigration are expected to hinder economic growth [1] Monetary Policy - A moderately tight monetary policy is in place, allowing for the assessment of new data as it becomes available [1] - Inflation rates are anticipated to gradually decline to 2% over the next two years [1]
哈萨克斯坦央行:由于高通胀,需要比预期更长时间维持适度紧缩的货币政策,不排除在必要时提高基准利率的可能性。
news flash· 2025-06-05 07:05
Group 1 - The central bank of Kazakhstan indicates that due to high inflation, it will need to maintain a moderately tight monetary policy for a longer period than previously expected [1] - The possibility of raising the benchmark interest rate in necessary circumstances is not ruled out by the central bank [1]