中新社曼谷10月6日电据泰国《民族报》6日报道，泰国9月份通胀率同比下降0.72%，这是今年该国通 胀率连续第六个月下降。 报道称，通胀率下降缘于物价下降，而物价下降主要归因于政府采取的民生纾困措施降低了燃料和电价 等能源价格，以及新鲜食品成本的降低。 泰国商务部贸易政策和战略办公室主任南塔蓬·吉拉勒特蓬解释说，尽管总体数据持续下降，泰国经济 并未陷入通货紧缩，因为核心消费者物价指数仍然保持正值，这表明国内购买需求仍然存在。 南塔蓬说，国内需求持续存在，这反映在核心通胀率没有下降的事实上，尤其是在熟食和娱乐行业。此 外，就业率仍处于正常水平。因此，各项指标均不符合通货紧缩的标准。 展望未来，泰国商务部预计2025年第四季度通胀率将"接近于零"，且在某些月份有可能转为负值。(完) （文章来源：中国新闻网） ...

据曼谷邮报9月25日报道,根据泰国商业部的数据，由于美国关税的影响， 泰国8月份的出口增速出现了近一年来的最低水平。预计从9月到12月，这种负 面影响会变得更加明显。 8月份，出口额同比增长了5.8%，达到277亿美元；而进口额则激增了 15.8%，达到了297亿美元。上一次月度出口增速如此缓慢是在2024年9月，当 时的增速仅为1.1%。 2025年前8个月，出口额增长了13.3%，达到2230亿美元；进口额则增长了 11.3%，达到了2250亿美元。 （原标题：由于美国征收关税的影响，泰国的出口增长速度放缓了） 在关税于8月7日正式生效之前，美国进口商一直在囤积货物，以降低因成 本上升带来的风险。8月份泰国对美国（其最大的市场）的出口额仍比去年同 期增长了12.8%，但在接下来的4个月内增速将会放缓。 在前8个月实现了13.3%的增幅之后，出口增长仍有可能超过全年2%至3%的目 标。 在今年剩下的4个月里，每月的出口额预计将在240亿美元到245亿美元之 间。 8月份，美国、中国和东南亚等一级市场，以及南亚、非洲、拉丁美洲和英国 等二级市场都出现了增长势头。根据相关部门的数据，对中国地区的出口额增 长了5 ...

Economic Growth Forecast - Malta's central bank predicts real GDP growth will slow from 5.9% in 2024 to 3.9% in 2025, with further decline to 3.3% by 2027 [1] - The bank's report indicates a slight downward adjustment for 2025's GDP growth compared to previous forecasts, while projections for the following two years remain largely unchanged [1] Key Growth Drivers - Private consumption is expected to remain the main driver of GDP growth throughout the forecast period (2025-2027), despite a decline from recent peaks [1] - Investment is anticipated to continue recovering in the first two years of the forecast period [1] - Net exports are projected to contribute positively to GDP growth, primarily due to service trade, although this contribution will be significantly less than domestic demand [1] Employment and Unemployment Trends - Employment growth is expected to gradually slow, decreasing from 5.3% in 2024 to 3.0% in 2025, and further to 2.4% and 2.3% in 2026 and 2027, respectively [1] - The unemployment rate is projected to decline to 2.7% by the end of the forecast period [1] Wage Growth and Inflation - The labor market is expected to remain tight, which will be a key factor driving wage increases [2] - Wage growth is forecasted to slow from 6.3% last year to 4.4% in 2025, with further declines to 3.7% and 3.5% in 2026 and 2027, respectively [2] - The average annual inflation rate is expected to reach 2.3% in 2025, down from 2.4% last year, primarily reflecting a decrease in food and service inflation [2] - Inflation rates for 2026 and 2027 are projected to further decline to 2.1% and 2.0%, respectively, driven mainly by a decrease in service inflation [2]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve's Williams indicates that overall inflation is nearing 2%, but core inflation remains elevated, suggesting ongoing economic challenges [1] Economic Growth - The U.S. economy is projected to grow by approximately 1% this year, reflecting a slowdown in economic activity [1] - Factors such as uncertainty, tariff measures, and reduced immigration are expected to hinder economic growth [1] Monetary Policy - A moderately tight monetary policy is in place, allowing for the assessment of new data as it becomes available [1] - Inflation rates are anticipated to gradually decline to 2% over the next two years [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Swiss National Bank's decision to lower interest rates is primarily driven by the decline in inflation rates [1] Group 1 - The Swiss National Bank is responding to a significant decrease in inflation, which has influenced its monetary policy [1]

Core Insights - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell expressed that the market will gain confidence in the decline of inflation rates, and this confidence will gradually increase if there are no tariff measures in place [1] Group 1 - The market's confidence in decreasing inflation rates is expected to rise [1] - The absence of tariff measures is a key factor that could enhance this confidence [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that maintaining the current labor market and a declining inflation rate justifies keeping interest rates unchanged [1] Group 1 - The current labor market conditions are deemed stable and supportive of the decision to hold interest rates steady [1] - A continuous decrease in the inflation rate is a critical factor influencing the Fed's monetary policy [1]

Economic Growth Forecast - The European Commission's spring economic forecast for 2025 indicates that despite global policy uncertainties and escalating trade tensions, the EU economy is expected to maintain moderate growth this year, with a potential rebound in 2026 [1] - The projected real GDP growth for the EU and Eurozone in 2025 is 1.1% and 0.9% respectively, remaining largely unchanged from 2024; growth is expected to increase to 1.5% and 1.4% in 2026 [1] Inflation and Consumer Behavior - The overall inflation rate in the Eurozone is anticipated to decrease from 2.4% in 2024 to 2.1% in 2025 and further to 1.7% in 2026; the EU's inflation rate is also expected to decline from a slightly higher level in 2024 to just below 2% by 2026 [1] - Private consumption is projected to grow slightly above last autumn's forecast, reaching 1.5% in 2025 and 1.6% in 2026, supported by strong growth momentum in 2024 and a resilient labor market despite high savings rates limiting consumption [1] Investment and Trade - Following a contraction of 1.8% in fixed capital formation in 2024, investment is expected to recover moderately, with growth forecasted at 1.5% in 2025 and 2.4% in 2026 [1] - EU exports are projected to grow by 0.7% in 2025 and 2.1% in 2026, impacted by a slowdown in global trade [1] Employment and Wage Trends - The labor market remains resilient, with an expected increase of 2 million jobs by 2026 and a reduction in the unemployment rate to a historical low of 5.7% [2] - Nominal wage growth is slowing, but real wages are expected to continue rising, helping to recover purchasing power lost during the pandemic [2] Fiscal Outlook - The general government deficit for the EU is projected to rise to 3.3% in 2025 after a decrease to 3.2% in 2024, remaining at that level in 2026 [2] - The debt-to-GDP ratio for the EU is expected to slightly increase to 83.2% in 2025 and 84.5% in 2026 [2] Risks and Opportunities - Risks such as trade fragmentation and climate disasters pose downward threats to growth; however, positive factors like easing US-EU trade tensions, new trade agreements, increased defense spending, and deepening structural reforms are expected to enhance the resilience of the EU economy [2]