逆周期和跨周期调整
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中央财办韩文秀:明年将根据形势变化出台实施增量政策
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-12-13 08:47
Group 1 - The year 2023 is significant for China's modernization process, with major economic and social development goals expected to be achieved, marking the successful conclusion of the "14th Five-Year Plan" [1] - International organizations like the IMF and Goldman Sachs have raised their economic growth forecasts for China for the next two years, reflecting a robust economic recovery [1] - China's economy is projected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan this year, having crossed significant milestones of 110 trillion, 120 trillion, and 130 trillion yuan in previous years [1] Group 2 - A series of policies have been implemented since the Central Political Bureau meeting in September 2022, with plans for additional policies in response to changing circumstances in 2024 [2] - Emphasis on managing market expectations is crucial for economic stability, highlighting the need for a robust expectation management mechanism [2] - China aims to expand institutional openness and optimize the layout of free trade zones, with a focus on promoting service exports and developing digital and green trade [2] Group 3 - The year 2024 marks a transition from energy consumption control to carbon emission control, with a strong focus on green transformation and sustainable development [2] - The government plans to accelerate the construction of a new energy system and enhance the clean and efficient use of fossil energy, while expanding the application of green electricity [2] - Initiatives will include promoting carbon peak goals, improving energy efficiency in key industries, and developing new growth areas such as hydrogen and green fuels [2]
周末重磅!中央财办发声!
证券时报· 2025-12-13 05:05
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that China's major economic indicators are expected to perform better than anticipated, with the economy projected to reach approximately 140 trillion yuan by 2025, and outlines plans for incremental policies to support economic stability and growth in the coming years [1][3][4]. Economic Performance - The year is highlighted as significant for China's modernization process, with expectations to achieve major social and economic development goals, including a projected economic growth rate of around 5% [3]. - China's economy has shown resilience and vitality, with stable employment and rapid growth in foreign trade, particularly in diversified exports [3]. - International organizations, including the IMF, have raised their economic growth forecasts for China for the next two years [3]. Policy Implementation - The government plans to maintain stable economic growth, employment, and price levels while promoting income growth alongside economic expansion [5]. - A more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy will continue, with an emphasis on the integration of existing and new policies to enhance economic stability [6]. Consumption and Investment - The article discusses the importance of domestic demand, with initiatives like the "old-for-new" consumption policy driving sales growth in related sectors [8]. - There is a focus on increasing investment in urbanization, technological innovation, and improving living standards, with plans to raise the scale of central budget investments [9]. Innovation and Entrepreneurship - The government aims to strengthen the role of leading venture capital institutions and technology enterprises, supporting innovation and the application of new technologies [11]. - A comprehensive plan for education and talent development in technology is to be established, alongside measures to protect intellectual property in emerging fields [11]. Market Regulation - The article mentions the need for a unified national market and the establishment of guidelines for local government investment promotion, aiming to create a fair competitive environment [13]. - There will be efforts to deepen reforms in state-owned enterprises and improve regulations to support the private economy [14]. Trade and Foreign Investment - The government plans to expand both exports and imports, promoting sustainable foreign trade development and enhancing the "Invest in China" brand [16][17]. - Continuous optimization of the business environment and reforms to encourage foreign investment are also highlighted [17]. Environmental Goals - The article outlines plans for a green transition, including measures to achieve carbon peak and promote new energy sources like hydrogen and green fuels [21]. Employment and Risk Management - Employment is emphasized as a key priority, with policies aimed at stabilizing job markets and addressing risks in the real estate sector [23]. - The government will focus on managing local government debt risks and preventing the emergence of hidden debts [23].