通胀数据降温

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KVB外汇:就业数据显降温迹象 短期对英镑构成压力
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-14 03:25
Group 1 - The British pound is experiencing a narrow consolidation pattern against the US dollar, with the latest exchange rate at 1.3302, showing a slight decline of 0.01% [1] - Weak employment data in the UK is exerting short-term pressure on the pound, but rising expectations for future interest rate cuts by the Bank of England are injecting positive long-term economic outlook [1][3] - The UK labor market data confirms the trend of economic slowdown, with the unemployment rate rising from 4.4% to 4.5% and new job additions dropping significantly to 112,000, well below the previous figure of 206,000 [3] Group 2 - The US inflation data shows a structural cooling, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-on-year growth slowing to 2.3% in April, down from 2.4% and below market expectations [3] - Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 2.8%, aligning with expectations, while both overall and core CPI grew by only 0.2% month-on-month, significantly lower than the 0.3% market forecast [3] - The technical analysis indicates a balanced market with moving averages intertwining, and key resistance and support levels identified at 1.3402 and 1.3165 respectively, suggesting a potential trading range for investors [4]