证券研究报告 2025 年 10 月 10 日 星期五 【A 股市场大势研判】 沪指时隔 10 年重返 3900 点 市场表现： 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万行业表现前五 | | | 申万行业表现后五 | 概 | 念板块表现前五 | 概念板块表现后五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 有色金属 | 7.60% | 传媒 | -1.43% | 可控核聚变 | 6.97% | 免税店 | -1.82% | | 钢铁 | 3.38% | 房地产 | -1.39% | 金属铅 | 6.14% | 冰雪产业 | -1.59% | | 煤炭 | 3.00% | 社会服务 | -1.03% | 超导概念 | 5.85% | 租售同权 | -1.52% | | 公用事业 | 2.60% | 汽车 | -0.39% | 金属锌 | 5.72% | 短剧游戏 | -1.35% | | 电子 | 2.18% | 食品饮料 | -0.29% | 金属钴 | 5.50% | 旅游概念 | -1.05% | 资料来源：东莞 ...

Group 1 - The military equipment restructuring concept declined by 0.52%, ranking among the top declines in the concept sector, with companies like Changcheng Military Industry, Hunan Tianyan, and Zhongguang Optical leading the declines [1][1][1] - The top gainers in today's concept sectors included zinc metal (+3.68%), nickel metal (+3.65%), and lead metal (+3.61%), while the pork sector saw a decline of -0.54% [1][1][1] - The military equipment restructuring sector experienced a net outflow of 263 million yuan, with Changcheng Military Industry seeing the largest outflow of 117 million yuan [1][1][1] Group 2 - The top stocks with net outflows in the military equipment restructuring sector included Changcheng Military Industry (-1.20%), Chang'an Automobile (-0.81%), and Construction Industry (-0.51%) [1][1][1] - Conversely, Hunan Tianyan and Huqiang Technology were among the stocks with net inflows, receiving 2.47 million yuan and 222,100 yuan respectively [1][1][1] - The trading volume for Changcheng Military Industry was 4.97%, while Hunan Tianyan had a turnover rate of 2.32% [1][1][1]

Group 1 - The horse racing concept index rose by 0.82%, ranking 7th among concept sectors, with four stocks increasing in value, including *ST Zhengping which hit the daily limit, and Xinhua Du and Luoniushan showing gains of 2.78% and 0.31% respectively [1] - The main capital outflow from the horse racing concept sector amounted to 135 million yuan, with Xinhua Du receiving the highest net inflow of 8.26 million yuan [2][3] - The net inflow ratios for stocks like Zhujiang Piano and Xinhua Du were 10.77% and 1.66% respectively, indicating strong interest in these stocks despite the overall sector's outflow [3] Group 2 - The horse racing concept was among the top-performing sectors today, with a notable increase compared to other sectors such as the reducer and humanoid robot concepts, which saw declines of 2.68% and 2.17% respectively [2] - The trading volume and turnover rates varied significantly among the stocks in the horse racing concept, with *ST Zhengping showing a high turnover rate of 20.94% despite a negative net capital flow [3]

Group 1 - The PVDF concept sector rose by 1.74%, ranking 7th among concept sectors, with 9 stocks increasing, including Puxin Technology and Dongyang Sunshine hitting the daily limit [1][2] - Notable gainers in the PVDF sector included Juhua Co., which increased by 6.88%, Sanmei Co. by 3.83%, and Yonghe Co. by 3.69% [1][4] - The sector experienced a net inflow of 485 million yuan from main funds, with Puxin Technology leading the inflow at 205 million yuan [2][3] Group 2 - The top stocks by net inflow ratio included Puxin Technology at 11.52%, Huahua Technology at 9.25%, and Heimao Co. at 8.54% [3] - The trading volume for Puxin Technology was 20,509.85 million yuan, with a daily turnover rate of 3.84% [3] - The stocks with the largest declines included Zhongchuang Environmental Protection, which fell by 5.58%, and Jinming Precision Machinery, which decreased by 2.21% [1][4]

Core Viewpoint - The recent data indicates a positive trend in the A-share market, with significant net inflows of capital into various concept sectors, particularly in Xinjiang revitalization, commercial aerospace, and mixed reality [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.48% over the past three days [1] - The trading volume in A-shares rose by 12.50% compared to the previous three days [1] Group 2: Capital Inflows - A total of 28 concept sectors experienced substantial net inflows of capital in the last three days [1] - The top three sectors with the highest net capital inflows were: - Xinjiang revitalization: net inflow of 1.359 billion yuan [1] - Commercial aerospace: net inflow of 1.348 billion yuan [1] - Mixed reality: net inflow of 1.036 billion yuan [1] Group 3: Sector Performance - The performance of the top sectors based on net inflows included: - Xinjiang revitalization: increased by 3.89% [1] - Commercial aerospace: increased by 2.40% [1] - Mixed reality: increased by 1.28% [1] - Other notable sectors with positive performance included flexible DC transmission, Apple concept, and nickel metal, each showing gains [1]

Group 1 - As of July 24, the metal cobalt sector rose by 3.93%, ranking fifth among concept sectors, with 32 stocks increasing in value [1] - Notable gainers included China Electric Power Construction, Tibet Mining, and Hainan Mining, which hit the daily limit, while Huayou Cobalt, Tengyuan Cobalt, and Ganfeng Lithium saw increases of 9.44%, 8.22%, and 8.00% respectively [1] - The sector experienced a net outflow of 8.23 billion yuan in capital, with 29 stocks receiving net inflows, and 6 stocks exceeding 1 billion yuan in net inflow [2] Group 2 - The top net inflow stock was Tibet Mining, with a net inflow of 4.33 billion yuan, followed by Huayou Cobalt, Ganfeng Lithium, and Luoyang Molybdenum with net inflows of 3.53 billion yuan, 2.72 billion yuan, and 2.25 billion yuan respectively [2][3] - In terms of net inflow ratios, Tibet Mining, Hainan Mining, and Zhongjin Lingnan led with 31.43%, 24.65%, and 15.09% respectively [3] - The trading volume for Tibet Mining was 43,265.75 million yuan, with a daily turnover rate of 11.36% [3]

Market Overview - The market experienced narrow fluctuations with mixed performance across the three major indices, where the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3402.66, up by 0.01%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.11% to 10234.33 [1][3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.27 trillion, an increase of 163 billion compared to the previous trading day, indicating heightened market activity [5] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Nonferrous Metals (up 1.40%), Media (up 1.33%), and Beauty Care (up 1.31%), while the underperforming sectors were Household Appliances (down 1.77%), Coal (down 1.14%), and Food & Beverage (down 1.13%) [2] - Concept indices showed strong performance in Hair Medical (up 2.02%), IP Economy (up 1.81%), and Quantum Technology (up 1.72%), while the weakest performers included the China-South Korea Free Trade Zone (down 1.52%) and Pork (down 1.11%) [2] Future Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a basic pattern of fluctuating upward movement, with a focus on sectors such as technology self-sufficiency and consumption upgrades, as well as large financials and restructuring concepts favored by state-owned enterprises [5] - Key upcoming events, including the Lujiazui Forum from June 18 to 19, are anticipated to provide support for the current structural market [5] Policy and Economic Indicators - The National Development and Reform Commission supports eligible Hong Kong-listed companies to issue depositary receipts on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, which may enhance market liquidity [4] - The U.S. inflation data for May showed a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, aligning with expectations, while core CPI rose by 2.8%, slightly below forecasts, indicating potential for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September [4]

Group 1 - The NFT concept sector increased by 1.70%, ranking fifth among concept sectors, with 44 stocks rising, including Aoya Co., which hit a 20% limit up [1] - Notable gainers in the NFT sector include Harls, Shifeng Culture, and Yuanlong Yatu, all reaching their daily limit up, while major decliners include Xinghui Entertainment and Fengyuzhu, with declines of 6.92% and 4.09% respectively [1][2] Group 2 - The NFT sector saw a net inflow of 765 million yuan from main funds, with 39 stocks receiving net inflows, and six stocks exceeding 100 million yuan in net inflow [2] - The top stock for net inflow was Zhongwen Online, with a net inflow of 227 million yuan, followed by Shifeng Culture and Blue Ocean Mark, with net inflows of 213 million yuan and 170 million yuan respectively [2][3] Group 3 - Stocks with the highest net inflow ratios include Annie Co. at 34.29%, Shifeng Culture at 28.75%, and Aoya Co. at 27.00% [3] - The NFT concept's top stocks by net inflow include Zhongwen Online, Shifeng Culture, and Annie Co., with respective daily price changes of 3.12%, 10.01%, and 10.00% [3][4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the decline of the artemisinin concept sector, which fell by 0.82%, ranking among the top declines in the concept sector [1][2] - Within the artemisinin concept sector, major companies such as Rundu Co., Zhejiang Medicine, and Kunming Pharmaceutical experienced significant declines, while only two stocks, Delong Huineng and Baiyunshan, saw increases of 1.06% and 0.37% respectively [1][2] - The article provides a detailed overview of the capital flow, indicating a net outflow of 58 million yuan from the artemisinin concept sector, with Rundu Co. leading the outflow at 43.43 million yuan [2] Group 2 - The article lists the top-performing concept sectors, with the military equipment restructuring concept leading with a gain of 3.92%, while the artemisinin concept was among the worst performers [2] - A table is provided showing the capital flow for various companies within the artemisinin concept, detailing their respective price changes and turnover rates, with Rundu Co. showing a significant outflow [2]