证券研究报告 2026 年 3 月 2 日 星期一 【A 股市场大势研判】 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 后市展望： 周五，A 股 2 月收官，沪指月线斩获 3 连阳。三大指数开盘集体低开，沪指低开 0.43%， 深成指低开 0.89%，创业板指低开 1.23%。随后指数震荡。截至午盘收盘，三大指数震荡 调整，沪指再度翻绿，创业板指跌超 1%。盘面上，算力租赁概念集体爆发；有色金属板 块反复活跃；AI 编程概念走强；太空光伏概念震荡反弹。午后，指数震荡上行，最终收 盘三大指数涨跌不一。总体上个股涨多跌少，钢铁、煤炭、有色金属、公用事业和农林牧 渔等行业表现靠前；建筑材料、通信、电子、汽车和家用电器等行业表现靠后。概念指数 方面，金属铅、金属锌、小金属概念、金属铜和金属钴等板块表现靠前；国家大基金持股、 PCB 概念、中芯国际概念、存储芯片和先进封装等板块表现靠后。 值得关注的是，为促进外汇市场发展，支持企业管理好汇率风险，中国人民银行决定 本报告的风险等级为中风险。 本报告的信息均来自已公开信息，关于信息的准确性与完整性，建议投资者谨慎判断，据此入市，风险自担。 请务必阅读末页声明。 1 A 股 ...

来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 2月27日，洛阳钼业涨4.17%，成交额80.35亿元，换手率1.94%，总市值5132.50亿元。 洛阳钼业目前在新浪财经客户端A股市场人气排名第33名。 异动分析 金属铜+黄金概念+金属钴+小金属概念+磷化工 1、本公司属于有色金属采矿业，主要从事铜、钼、钨、钴、铌、磷等矿业的采选、冶炼、深加工等业 务，拥有较为完整的一体化产业链条，是全球前五大钼生产商及最大钨生产商、全球第二大钴、铌生产 商和全球领先的铜生产商，同时也是巴西境内第二大磷肥生产商。 2、2023年10月23日互动易：公司位于澳洲的NPM铜金矿生产黄金，公司拥有80%权益，2022年黄金权 益产量为1.6万盎司，2023年黄金权益产量指引为2.5至2.7万盎司，同比增长56%至69%。2025年半年 报，为布局黄金资源， 2025年上半年公司成功完成厄瓜多尔奥丁矿业（凯歌豪斯金矿）收购并快速推 进开发工作，计划2029年前投产。 3、本公司为全球第二大钴生产商，钴产品为氢氧化钴，于国际市场销售。 4、公司主营业务为钼、钨及黄金等稀贵金属的采选、冶炼，随着公司近年来大力发展贵金属业务，金 银产品的收入和利润贡献比重 ...

来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 2月26日，洛阳钼业跌1.79%，成交额58.69亿元，换手率1.45%，总市值4927.11亿元。 洛阳钼业目前在新浪财经客户端A股市场人气排名第45名。 异动分析 金属铜+黄金概念+金属钴+小金属概念+磷化工 资金分析 今日主力净流入-6.54亿，占比0.11%，行业排名60/61，该股当前无连续增减仓现象，主力趋势不明显； 所属行业主力净流入-42.15亿，当前无连续增减仓现象，主力趋势不明显。 区间今日近3日近5日近10日近20日主力净流入-6.77亿-6.09亿-20.87亿-30.10亿-53.92亿 1、本公司属于有色金属采矿业，主要从事铜、钼、钨、钴、铌、磷等矿业的采选、冶炼、深加工等业 务，拥有较为完整的一体化产业链条，是全球前五大钼生产商及最大钨生产商、全球第二大钴、铌生产 商和全球领先的铜生产商，同时也是巴西境内第二大磷肥生产商。 2、2023年10月23日互动易：公司位于澳洲的NPM铜金矿生产黄金，公司拥有80%权益，2022年黄金权 益产量为1.6万盎司，2023年黄金权益产量指引为2.5至2.7万盎司，同比增长56%至69%。2025年半年 报，为布局黄 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company, Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd., is experiencing growth in revenue and profit, driven by its main business in gold and non-ferrous metal mining, with significant overseas revenue contributions due to the depreciation of the RMB [4][9]. Company Overview - Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining Co., Ltd. is located in Inner Mongolia and was established on June 22, 1998. It was listed on April 14, 2004. The company's main business includes gold and non-ferrous metal mining and resource recycling [8]. - The revenue composition of the company is as follows: gold accounts for 90.03%, electrolytic copper 3.76%, and other products including zinc concentrate, rare earth products, and molybdenum concentrate make up the remainder [8]. Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 8.644 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 38.91%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.058 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 86.21% [9]. - The company has distributed a total of 387 million yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with the same amount distributed over the past three years [9]. Market Activity - On February 12, the stock price of Chifeng Gold increased by 0.08%, with a trading volume of 2.133 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 3.34%. The total market capitalization is 72.691 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has shown no significant trend in net inflow from major investors, with a net outflow of 2.1359 million yuan on the day of analysis [5][6]. Business Operations - The company operates a multi-metal mine in Laos, primarily engaged in copper mining and smelting [3]. - The overseas revenue accounted for 69.11% of total revenue, benefiting from the depreciation of the RMB [4]. Strategic Developments - The company is collaborating with Xiamen Tungsten Co., Ltd. to develop rare earth resources in Laos, with a project that has an estimated resource of 101 million tons of ore and 25,500 tons of rare earth oxides [4].

Market Overview - The A-share market showed a mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly rising by 0.09% to close at 4131.99, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 0.35% to 14160.93 [2] - The overall trading volume in the market was below 2 trillion yuan, indicating a lack of strong market momentum [4][6] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Construction Materials (3.29%), Nonferrous Metals (2.39%), and Oil & Petrochemicals (2.18%) [3] - Conversely, the sectors that underperformed were Communication (-2.17%), Media (-1.99%), and Social Services (-1.74%) [3] Future Outlook - The market is expected to enter a phase of consolidation with potential short-term adjustments as investor sentiment becomes cautious ahead of the Spring Festival [6] - Long-term, the regulatory environment is signaling a focus on market normalization and risk prevention, suggesting a shift towards a more balanced market structure [6] - There is an emphasis on dividend assets for long-term positioning, along with opportunities in cyclical industries and undervalued traditional consumer sectors [6] Economic Indicators - Consumer demand is recovering, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rising by 0.2% month-on-month and year-on-year [5] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased by 0.4% month-on-month but decreased by 1.4% year-on-year, reflecting ongoing pressures in the industrial sector [5] - The People's Bank of China is expected to maintain a moderately loose monetary policy to support liquidity and financing conditions [5]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is experiencing a positive market response, with a stock price increase of 2.93% and a trading volume of 5.745 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest and market activity [1]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is primarily engaged in the mining and processing of non-ferrous metals, including molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, and copper, and is recognized as one of the top five molybdenum producers globally and the largest tungsten producer [3][4]. - The company has a comprehensive integrated industrial chain and is also the second-largest producer of cobalt and niobium globally, as well as a leading copper producer [3][4]. Production and Revenue Insights - The company holds an 80% stake in the NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, with gold production guidance for 2023 set to increase by 56% to 69% compared to 2022, projecting an output of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces [3]. - In 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum plans to complete the acquisition of the Odin Mining project in Ecuador, aiming for production by 2029 [3]. - The company reported a revenue of 145.485 billion yuan for the first nine months of 2025, a decrease of 5.99% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.280 billion yuan [9]. Market Position and Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the company had 304,200 shareholders, reflecting an increase of 28.08% from the previous period [9]. - The top ten circulating shareholders include significant institutional investors, with Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited holding 695 million shares, an increase of 47.472 million shares [9]. Financial Performance - The company has distributed a total of 21.562 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.576 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [9].

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is experiencing a significant increase in gold production and is strategically expanding its operations in the precious metals sector, while also maintaining a strong position in various metal markets [2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is primarily engaged in the mining, selection, smelting, and deep processing of precious metals such as molybdenum, tungsten, and gold, and has a comprehensive integrated industrial chain [2][7]. - The company is one of the top five molybdenum producers globally and the largest tungsten producer, as well as the second-largest cobalt and niobium producer, and a leading copper producer [2][3]. - The company is also the second-largest producer of phosphate fertilizer in Brazil, with a complete phosphate industry chain [3][7]. Group 2: Production and Financial Performance - The company holds an 80% stake in the NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, with gold production guidance for 2023 set to increase by 56% to 69% compared to 2022, reaching between 25,000 to 27,000 ounces [2]. - For the first nine months of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum achieved a revenue of 145.49 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.99% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.28 billion yuan [8]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.56 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.58 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [8]. Group 3: Market Activity and Stock Performance - On February 9, Luoyang Molybdenum's stock rose by 1.96%, with a trading volume of 4.236 billion yuan and a market capitalization of 479.66 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has seen a net outflow of 117 million yuan from major investors, indicating a reduction in holdings over the past three days [4][5]. - The average trading cost of the stock is 18.69 yuan, with the current price approaching a resistance level of 22.70 yuan, suggesting potential for upward movement if this level is surpassed [6].

Strong Stocks - As of January 28, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.27% to 4151.24 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.09% to 14342.89 points. The ChiNext Index fell by 0.57% to 3323.56 points. A total of 85 stocks in the A-share market hit the daily limit up, with the strongest stocks being: Baiyin Nonferrous Metals (601212), Hunan Baiyin (002716), and China Gold (600916) [1] - The top three strong stocks based on consecutive limit-up days and turnover rates are as follows: Baiyin Nonferrous Metals with 7 consecutive limit-ups and a turnover rate of 5.42%, Hunan Baiyin with 5 limit-ups in 7 days and a turnover rate of 21.68%, and China Gold with 4 consecutive limit-ups and a turnover rate of 1.81% [1] Strong Concept Sectors - The top three concept sectors based on A-share performance are: Gold Concept with a rise of 7.54%, Metal Lead with a rise of 6.92%, and Metal Zinc with a rise of 6.91% [2][3] - The top ten concept sectors and their respective performance are as follows: Gold Concept (7.54%), Metal Aluminum (6.92%), Metal Zinc (6.91%), Metal Copper (4.91%), Minor Metals Concept (3.94%), Metal Nickel (3.84%), Metal Diamond (3.57%), Combustible Ice (3.53%), Metal Recycling (3.52%), and Glyphosate (3.43%) [3]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.08% to close at 4116.94 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.7% to 14255.12 points, and the ChiNext Index climbed by 0.54% to 3295.52 points as of January 21 [1] - A total of 90 stocks in the A-share market hit the daily limit up, with the strongest stocks being Guangdian Electric (601616), Hunan Silver (002716), and Hongbaoli (002165) [1] - The top three strong stocks had the following performance: Guangdian Electric with 4 consecutive limit ups and a turnover rate of 44.4%, Hunan Silver with 2 consecutive limit ups and a turnover rate of 17.4%, and Hongbaoli with 2 consecutive limit ups and a turnover rate of 39.71% [1] Group 2 - The aluminum metal sector saw a price increase of 5.01%, while zinc metal rose by 4.83%, and the gold concept increased by 3.82% [2] - Other notable sectors included copper metal with a rise of 3.33%, advanced packaging at 3.11%, and co-packaged optics (CPO) at 3.09% [2] - The storage chip sector increased by 2.8%, PCB concept rose by 2.79%, and Foxconn concept and lithography machine both saw an increase of 2.76% [2]

Core Viewpoint - Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is experiencing a positive market response, with a 3.22% increase in stock price and a total market capitalization of 514.53 billion yuan, indicating strong investor interest in the company [1]. Company Overview - Luoyang Molybdenum is the second-largest cobalt producer globally, primarily selling cobalt products such as cobalt hydroxide in international markets [2]. - The company operates in the non-ferrous metal mining industry, focusing on the extraction, smelting, and deep processing of metals including copper, molybdenum, tungsten, cobalt, niobium, and phosphorus, and is among the top five molybdenum producers and the largest tungsten producer globally [2]. - The company has a comprehensive integrated industrial chain and is also the second-largest producer of phosphorus fertilizer in Brazil [2]. Financial Performance - For the first nine months of 2025, Luoyang Molybdenum reported a revenue of 145.49 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.99%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 72.61% to 14.28 billion yuan [8]. - The company has distributed a total of 21.56 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 10.58 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [9]. Production and Growth Prospects - The company holds an 80% stake in the NPM copper-gold mine in Australia, with gold equity production of 16,000 ounces in 2022 and a guidance of 25,000 to 27,000 ounces for 2023, representing a year-on-year increase of 56% to 69% [3]. - Luoyang Molybdenum is actively expanding its gold resources, having completed the acquisition of Ecuador's Odin Mining (Kaigehaos Gold Mine) and is progressing towards production by 2029 [3]. Shareholder Structure - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders increased to 304,200, reflecting a growth of 28.08% compared to the previous period [8]. - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and various ETFs, with notable changes in their holdings [9].