Core Viewpoint - The demand for lithium batteries in the two-wheeler market is expected to grow significantly, driven by the implementation of new national standards for electric bicycles and the ongoing shift from lead-acid to lithium batteries [2][6]. Market Growth and Trends - In the first half of this year, domestic lithium battery sales for two-wheelers increased by 40% year-on-year [2] - The new national standard, effective from September 1, limits the battery voltage for electric bicycles to a maximum of 48V, which may further boost demand for small power batteries [2] - The total number of electric two-wheelers in China has reached nearly 400 million, with a potential replacement demand for over 110 million lithium battery packs [6] Company Strategies - Companies like Guoxuan High-Tech and BYD are entering the small power battery market, viewing it as a new growth area following power batteries and energy storage [2] - Other battery manufacturers, including Xingheng Power and Xineng An, are also establishing their own dealer and service networks to capture market share [4][12] Channel Development - The success of lithium battery companies in the two-wheeler market heavily relies on effective channel development, with a focus on building a robust network of dealers and service providers [3][5] - Xingheng Power has over 2,600 service points nationwide, collaborating with major two-wheeler brands to enhance market penetration [4] - Companies are also exploring online channels, with partnerships like Xingheng Power's collaboration with JD.com for battery installation and maintenance services [14] Product Features and Safety - Lithium batteries offer advantages such as longer lifespan (2000-4000 cycles) and higher energy density compared to lead-acid batteries, making them more appealing despite higher initial costs [7][11] - Safety concerns regarding lithium batteries are primarily linked to non-compliant modifications by small workshops, prompting leading companies to adopt stringent safety standards and certifications [9][10] Economic Considerations - While lithium batteries have a higher upfront cost, their longevity and reduced replacement frequency can offset the initial investment, making them economically viable over time [11] - The existing profit model for traditional electric vehicle dealers, which relies heavily on lead-acid battery replacement services, may be disrupted by the introduction of lithium batteries [12] Conclusion - The lithium battery industry is poised for growth in the two-wheeler market, with companies needing to focus on product development and channel strategies that align with consumer needs and market dynamics [15]

倒计时13天 2025第五届起点两轮车换电大会 及轻型动力电池技术高峰论坛 活动主题： 换电之城 智慧两轮 主办单位： 起点锂电、起点钠电、起点两轮车及换电 活动时间： 2025年7月10-11日 活动地点： 深圳宝安登喜路国际酒店2楼国际厅 活动赞助/演讲/合作单位： 雅迪科技集团/台铃集团/新日股份/菜鸟集团/嘟嘟换电/司马出行/河豚换电/派能科技/创明新能源/多氟多/博力威/睿恩新能源/诺达智 慧能源/时代瑞象/优旦科技/逸飞激光/盾创科技/博观科技/尚闻科技/威胜能源/兆科动力/中国钠电/比克电池/鹏辉能源/蓝京新能源/亿纬锂能/星恒电源/先导智 能/小安科技/鑫晟达/精锐精密等 政策与需求双轮推动，轻型动力驶入快车道。起点研究院（ SPIR ）统计数据显示， 2024 全球轻型动力锂电池出货量达 43GWh ，同比 增长 21.5% 。 截至 2024 年底，我国电动两轮车累计保有量已超过 4 亿辆；三轮汽车和低速货车保有量近 700 万辆，锂电三轮占比约 10%~15% 。预计 2025 年电动工具和两 / 三轮车市场规模将继续保持增长， 2025 年全球轻型动力锂电池出货量将达 50.9GWh ...

Core Viewpoint - BYD continues to dominate the electric vehicle market, achieving a weekly sales record of 67,980 units in the second week of May, a 12% increase from the previous week, marking the highest sales in nearly six months [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - BYD is expanding its ambitions in the power battery market by launching electric two-wheeled and three-wheeled vehicle batteries, signaling a shift away from lead-acid batteries towards lithium iron phosphate technology [1][3] - The electric two-wheeler market has seen a significant decline in the penetration rate of lithium battery vehicles due to fluctuating raw material prices, leading to a decrease in sales [7] - The majority of electric two-wheeler sales are concentrated in the entry-level (below 1,500 yuan) and mid-range (1,500 to 3,500 yuan) segments, with most popular models priced between 1,000 and 3,000 yuan [4][8] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - Lead-acid batteries still dominate the electric bicycle battery market, accounting for nearly 80% of usage, with major players like Tianneng and Chaowei leading the market [8][10] - In the first half of 2024, Tianneng's lead-acid battery business revenue reached 20.137 billion yuan, making it the industry leader, followed by Chaowei with 12.658 billion yuan [9] - The market is characterized by a stronghold of lead-acid battery giants, which poses a challenge for BYD as it attempts to penetrate the market with lithium batteries [10][12] Group 3: Consumer Preferences - Consumers prioritize practical range over extreme performance, with the ideal single-charge range being around 60 km, and 50-80 km being the mainstream demand range [11] - The price of lithium battery two-wheelers is nearly double that of lead-acid counterparts, which may hinder BYD's efforts to capture market share in the price-sensitive segment [3][4] - The safety concerns surrounding lithium batteries, particularly due to past incidents of fires, have made consumers cautious about transitioning from lead-acid to lithium batteries [11][12] Group 4: Industry Challenges - The transition from lead-acid to lithium batteries has faced setbacks, with major brands like Yadi and Aima pausing their shift towards lithium technology due to market conditions and consumer price sensitivity [3][4] - The significant price difference between lithium and lead-acid batteries remains a major barrier for widespread adoption in the two-wheeler market [7][8] - The competitive landscape is further complicated by the low manufacturing barriers in the low-speed electric vehicle sector, which may lead to increased competition for BYD [13][15]

2024年，各类圆柱电池出货量显著增长。据起点研究院(SPIR)统计，2024年1-9月全球圆柱电池出货量达到115亿只，预计全年将达145亿只， 同比增长超11.9%，其中32/40/46系等大圆柱电池增速超50%。 在两轮车领域 ，实际上，早在2020年，国轩高科就与滴滴出行签订战略合作协议，大规模入局共享电单车领域，采用的就是32系列圆柱电池。 2024年以来，一系列提升电动自行车安全性的政策密集出台，如锂电池国强标修订、3C认证、企业白名单等。随着电动自行车安全隐患全链条 整治在全国范围内启动，电动自行车行业合规发展已是大势所趋，将极大地刺激两轮车锂电市场快速发展，两轮车锂电市场即将迎来新一轮发 展机遇。 其中前三季度，40系列圆柱电池出货0.55亿只，同比增长90%，32系列圆柱电池出货0.8亿只，同比增长14.29%，其他包括26系列、46系列、 60系列、66系圆柱电池出货3.92亿只，同比增长70.4%。 主要应用场景为两轮车、三轮车、共享换电、便携式电源、户用储能等市场。 近日，起点圆柱电池寻访团走进国轩高科，与 国轩高科中国业务副总裁徐兴无 就大圆柱相关话题进行深度交流。 作为坚定的"圆柱 ...