Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 2.065 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.60%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 461 million yuan, up 9.32% year-on-year. In Q2 alone, the company recorded operating revenue of 1.160 billion yuan, a 28.11% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 265 million yuan, growing 21.17% year-on-year [2][6] - The acceleration of the co-incineration of aged waste has led to a 28.3% increase in waste processing volume in the first half of the year. The company processed 5.3583 million tons of municipal waste, significantly enhancing the capacity utilization of waste-to-energy projects [12] - The company's gross profit margin improved by 0.7 percentage points, while the expense ratio decreased by 4.3 percentage points, indicating operational efficiency [12] - Capital expenditures have continued to decline, with healthy cash flow maintained. The company’s cash collection ratio was 100.8%, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase of 1.2 percentage points [12] - The company possesses several advantages over its peers, justifying a higher valuation, including high-quality project locations, low national subsidy ratios, and strong cash flow performance [12] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s total revenue for 2025 is projected to be 4.198 billion yuan, with net profits of 932 million yuan, reflecting a PE ratio of 15.1x [17] - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 43.4%, with a significant contribution from the co-incineration of aged waste [12] Operational Insights - The company has actively expanded its waste processing services, leading to a notable increase in waste processing volume and energy generation [12] - The reduction in capital expenditures is attributed to the completion of ongoing projects, with future capital spending expected to decline further [12] Valuation and Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 930 million yuan, 1.04 billion yuan, and 1.11 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with a corresponding PE ratio decreasing to 12.7x by 2027 [12][17]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is a "buy" rating for Yongxing Co., supported by its government backing and asset injection for expansion [2] - Yongxing Co. has a waste incineration capacity of 32,000 tons per day, holding a monopoly position in the Guangzhou region [2] - The company is expected to enhance its profitability through co-incineration of aged waste, which may improve capacity utilization [2] - Yongxing Co. is entering a stable operational phase, committing to a dividend payout ratio of 60%, with a projected dividend yield of 4% by 2025 [2]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company [2]. Core Views - The company is backed by the Guangzhou government and has expanded its scale through asset injections from its parent company, Guangzhou Environmental Investment Group [5][10]. - The company operates a waste incineration capacity of 32,000 tons per day, holding a monopoly position in the Guangzhou area [5][10]. - The company has a high operational efficiency, with a projected revenue of 400 RMB per ton of waste in 2024, outperforming industry peers [5][38]. - The blending of aged waste is expected to enhance capacity utilization and profitability, with potential revenue increases of 6 billion RMB if 4 million tons of aged waste are processed annually [5][7]. - The company is entering a stable operational phase, committing to a dividend payout ratio of 60%, with a forecasted dividend yield of 4% for 2025 [5][28]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company is the only waste incineration and biomass treatment platform under Guangzhou Environmental Investment Group, which is the largest waste management service operator in Guangzhou [10][13]. - The company has undergone significant restructuring and asset injections to solidify its market position [10][13]. 2. Financial Performance - The company has shown a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 45.54% in net profit from 2019 to 2024, with net profit expected to reach 932 million RMB in 2025 [6][17]. - The company’s revenue is primarily derived from operational activities, with a gross margin consistently above 40% [21][49]. - The company’s free cash flow is projected to turn positive in 2024, supported by reduced capital expenditures as major projects have been completed [26][28]. 3. Operational Efficiency - The company has a waste incineration capacity of 32,090 tons per day, with a significant portion of its operations in Guangzhou [33][34]. - The company benefits from high waste calorific values and large project scales, leading to superior operational efficiency compared to industry peers [38][39]. - The average waste treatment fee for the company was 152.6 RMB per ton in 2023, higher than the industry average [47]. 4. Future Growth Drivers - The ongoing blending of aged waste is expected to significantly improve capacity utilization, with estimates suggesting an increase in revenue by 1.6 billion RMB for every 1 million tons of aged waste processed [5][7]. - The company is also exploring opportunities in heat supply services to further enhance revenue streams [5][7].