GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD GOLDTRUST FUTURES 数据来源：文华、金信期货 观点仅供参考，市场有风险，入市需谨慎 GOLDTRUST FUTURES CO.，LTD 品种 周度观点 需求：9月受到开学和双节需求短暂提振，各方面数据保持稳定。但下游消费仍无明显改善，屠 宰企业鲜品走货一般，多数维持以销定产节奏，鲜销率未出现明显波动。 供给：周内猪价继续回落，养殖户恐慌出栏情绪仍存，节前社会场大猪供应持续偏高；规模集 团场来看，高成本企业已进入持续亏损状态，受后市悲观预期影响，场家亦有小幅降重加快出猪 现象，综合带动周内生猪出栏均重微幅回落。 生猪 库存：9 月份对应半年前仔猪出生和外销情况，规模企业商品猪存栏增加，且 8 月份养 殖端销售缓慢，尤其规模企业部分计划延后至 9 月份，因此预计 9 月商品猪存栏或环比增加。 结论：生猪仍处于供强需弱的状态，三季度以来，行业已经召开了三次行业大型会议，对于降 产能、降体重、严格限制二次育肥做了要求，但能繁母猪存栏量的减少传递到商品猪出栏量需要 10 个月左右时间，短期内供给压力难以根本缓解。生猪仍将维持"弱现实强预期"的局面。 G ...

Dollar Index - The dollar index showed a high volatility pattern on Wednesday, reaching a peak of 98.889 and a low of 97.676, closing at 98.262 [1] - The weekly resistance level is at 98.90, indicating a bearish trend in the medium term, while the key support level is at 97.50 [1] - Short-term analysis suggests a bullish outlook as long as the price remains above the 98.20-30 range, with a focus on the 98.10 support level [1] Gold - Gold prices experienced an upward trend on Wednesday, with a high of 3377.21 and a low of 3319.56, closing at 3347.35 [3] - The price is currently in a range between 3320 and 3377, and a breakdown below 3320 would lead to further declines [4] - The key resistance level is at 3357, and the market is expected to remain bearish unless it breaks above this level [4] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair showed an overall upward movement on Wednesday, with a low of 1.1562 and a high of 1.1721, closing at 1.1639 [6] - The monthly support level is at 1.0950, indicating a long-term bullish outlook, while the weekly support is at 1.1460 [6] - The price is currently facing resistance at 1.1655, and a breakthrough above this level is necessary for further upward movement [6]