Core Viewpoint - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of a macro multi-asset strategy to navigate through market cycles, focusing on absolute returns and low volatility to meet client demands in the current low-interest and high-volatility environment [1][5]. Group 1: Investment Philosophy and Strategy - The investment philosophy is centered around "absolute returns and low volatility," with a macro perspective guiding asset allocation and selection processes [2][3]. - The strategy employs a dual-driven model of "Beta multi-asset allocation + Alpha return enhancement," focusing on selecting assets with strong macro logic and low correlation [3][6]. - The combination construction process involves systematic models for risk balance and active Alpha positioning based on macro environment assessments [3][4]. Group 2: Principles of Portfolio Construction - Portfolio construction adheres to three main principles: maintaining balanced risk exposure, ensuring high liquidity and transparency in underlying assets, and varying Alpha positioning based on product types [4][7]. - The strategy avoids credit bonds and individual stocks to ensure liquidity and minimize credit risk exposure [4][5]. Group 3: Market Context and Demand - The macro hedge strategy has gained traction in the domestic market, with increasing attention towards macro private equity funds due to their ability to provide stable returns amid market volatility [5][9]. - The current low-interest environment and the demand for low-volatility, stable products create a favorable backdrop for the growth of macro multi-asset strategies [9][10]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Market Potential - The domestic macro multi-asset strategy is viewed as being in a "blue ocean" phase, with potential market space reaching trillions, driven by increasing institutional interest and the need for stable investment products [8][9]. - The anticipated macro environment for 2026 is expected to be expansionary, with opportunities arising from U.S. monetary easing, AI industry growth, and a stable geopolitical landscape [11][12]. Group 5: Risk Management and Adaptation - The strategy emphasizes maintaining a balanced asset allocation while being prepared for unexpected macro events, highlighting the importance of tail risk management [13][14]. - Continuous evaluation of strategy execution and capacity limits is prioritized to ensure investor returns and satisfaction over mere scale expansion [7][10].

【导读】明世伙伴基金总经理郑晓秋：以宏观多资产策略穿越周期 从深耕国内券商固收业务，到布局海外FICC平台，再到参与创建私募基金，明世伙伴基金总 经理郑晓秋近二十年的投研生涯，始终围绕着"绝对收益、中低波动"的核心目标稳步前行。 面对当前低利率与高波动的市场环境，他相信基于风险均衡的宏观多资产策略有望穿越市场 周期，满足当前诸多客户对于中低波、稳健产品的需求。 为此，郑晓秋凭借多年跨境、跨资产的投研积淀，构建了以全球宏观为指引、多资产轮动为 依托的动态策略体系，致力于前瞻性 地 捕捉周期变换中的多元收益，打造出稳健向上的长期 回报曲线。 他认为，真正的长期主义，并非被动持有，而源于对宏观周期的深刻理解和持续的风险收益 再平衡。 以"绝对收益、中低波动"为目标 组合构建遵循三大原则 作为国内券商固收领域的资深从业者，郑晓秋是头部券商FICC业务发展的主要参与者。其职 业生涯的前十年，始终深耕国内大固收业务，覆盖研究、自营等核心业务板块，打下了扎实 的宏观利率研究和交易功底。而后负责组建与银行理财合作的固收投顾业务，是行业内首批 探索者之一。凭借与多家国有大行、股份行的深度合作，积累了机构大体量资金的管理经 验。 ...

Core Insights - The All Weather Strategy is positioned as a key tool for investors to navigate uncertainty, emphasizing risk balance and reduced timing reliance [1] - Global financial markets exhibit two main characteristics: rising stock indices in Europe and the US with the lowest implied volatility since 2021, and increased volatility in the domestic A-share market [1][2] - The domestic bond market is experiencing increased volatility due to a rise in risk appetite, with some funds gradually shifting from bonds to equity assets [1] Strategy Overview - The core logic of the All Weather Strategy involves diversified asset allocation to adapt to various macroeconomic environments [2] - Ray Dalio's "risk parity" strategy categorizes macro environments based on economic growth and inflation, selecting optimal assets for each environment and employing leverage for dynamic portfolio adjustments [2] - Harry Browne's "permanent portfolio" strategy allocates funds equally among stocks, long-term bonds, gold, and cash, demonstrating higher operational transparency and strategy robustness [2] Implementation by Starry Investment - Starry Investment has developed a quant-enhanced All Weather Strategy based on Browne's "permanent portfolio" approach [2] - In equity assets, the strategy focuses on stocks with strong free cash flow, high profitability, and low valuations through enhanced index strategies [2] - For gold, long-term bonds, and short-term bonds, the strategy utilizes futures contracts and neutral strategies like hedging with index options to improve overall investment returns [2]

Market Overview - The bond market showed a strong fluctuation with an overall balanced and loose funding environment. The weighted average of DR007 was 1.42% and the yield of 10-year government bonds closed at 1.64% [2] - The A-share market continued its upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300 Index, and ChiNext Index increasing by 1.4%, 1.54%, and 1.5% respectively [2] Product Performance - The number of underperforming wealth management products slightly decreased, with 123 out of 24,104 public wealth management products having a cumulative net value below 1, resulting in a comprehensive underperformance rate of 0.51% [3] - The underperformance rates for equity and mixed wealth management products were 43.9% and 6.08% respectively, while fixed income products had a rate of 0.13% [3] New Product Issuance - A total of 488 wealth management products were issued by 31 companies from June 30 to July 4, with the majority being R2 (medium-low risk), closed-end net value type, and fixed income public products [4] - The issuance of mixed products was limited to 11, accounting for 2.2%, while no new equity products were launched [4] - The pricing of new products saw a decline, with the benchmark performance rate for products with a term of less than one month dropping by 13 basis points to 2.17% [4] Product Innovation - Minsheng Bank's new product "Guizhu Fixed Income Enhanced Zhijiang Technology Innovation Semi-Annual Holding Period Wealth Management Product A" focuses on enhancing returns through equity investments in high-quality technology innovation companies in Zhejiang Province [5] - The product "Zhaorui Jiayi (Risk Balanced) Day Open 14-Month Holding No. 1" from China Merchants Bank features a detailed and transparent investment strategy, combining various asset classes [5] Weekly Returns - The overall performance of wealth management products benefited from the rise in the equity market, with fixed income products showing an average net value growth rate of 0.0761% [6] - Cash management products had annualized returns of 1.446% for RMB, 3.957% for USD, and 2.88% for AUD [7] Industry Trends - The total scale of bank wealth management products grew to 31 trillion yuan, with a slight increase of 3.4% compared to the end of last year, despite a decline in average yield by 22 basis points to 2.4% [8] - The redemption of several products from Jianxin Wealth Management was triggered, possibly due to seasonal cash flow returning to deposits [9] - The chief economist of Minsheng Bank anticipates a moderate growth trend in the wealth management market, focusing on deposit replacement and optimizing product structure [10]