中国人保 20251224 摘要 中国人保持续推进"报行合一"，严格费用率管控，同时新能源车出险 率下降对车险产生积极影响。公司通过强化经营管理和风险定价模型， 提升非车险业务的盈利能力，并受益于大灾发生频率的下降。 新能源车保费占比约为 20%，虽然盈利水平不断改善，但出险率仍是燃 油车的两倍。公司通过差异化费率和风险评估，优化新能源车业务结构， 降低出险风险，目标是保持并提升在新能源汽车市场的份额优势。 非机动车保险业务中，意外和健康险、企财险增速较快，主要得益于个 人非机动车业务的改善和社保支付方式改革。公司预计通过法人业务的 综合治理，非机动车保险业务盈利将持续改善，但需谨慎看待大灾带来 的不确定性影响。 中国人保海外拓展聚焦服务新能源汽车企业和中资企业海外利益，已在 香港和泰国开展业务，并计划扩展至欧洲和南美。短期内没有具体数值 目标，但期望到 2030 年海外市场能显著贡献新增保费量。 2026 年开门红进展顺利，个险业务预计至少实现两位数增长，银保业 务增速可能更快。银保渠道方面，公司与多家国有银行合作良好，注重 降低负债端成本，减少利差损风险，以实现长期可持续发展。 Q&A 2025 年人保财 ...

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's shift in monetary policy is expected to significantly alter the international monetary system and global financial governance structure [1][10] - The Fed's recent interest rate cuts mark a pivotal change in its monetary policy cycle, responding to both domestic economic conditions and global economic slowdowns [2][3] - The U.S. economy is experiencing a complex interplay of cyclical slowdown and structural weaknesses, leading to increased unemployment and a need for preemptive policy actions [3][4] Group 2 - The current inflation dynamics, while still above the Fed's target, show a declining trend, necessitating a balanced approach to monetary policy [4] - Political pressures are influencing the Fed's decisions, but the institution maintains its independence in policy-making, opting for a cautious approach to rate cuts [5] - The interconnectedness of the global economy means that U.S. monetary policy adjustments will have significant spillover effects on other countries [6] Group 3 - The global financial system is entering a phase of profound transformation, with opportunities for restructuring policy coordination among major central banks [7] - Emerging markets may benefit from capital inflows as the attractiveness of U.S. dollar assets diminishes, providing a window for structural reforms [8] - The sustainability of global debt levels is under scrutiny, particularly for emerging markets with significant foreign currency debt [9] Group 4 - The shift in U.S. monetary policy is likely to accelerate the diversification of the international monetary system, impacting financing costs and channels for emerging markets [10] - The Fed's actions are expected to reshape asset pricing mechanisms and market structures, influencing investor behavior and capital flows [12][14] - Commodity pricing mechanisms are undergoing changes, with precious metals benefiting from the Fed's rate cuts, while industrial commodities may see increased demand due to lower financing costs [13] Group 5 - The adjustment in global capital flows is evident, with a notable shift towards non-U.S. assets as the dollar's appeal wanes [14] - Investment strategies will need to adapt to the new monetary environment, with a focus on risk assessment and asset allocation [15] - China's monetary policy may gain more flexibility in response to the Fed's actions, allowing for more proactive economic support measures [16][17] Group 6 - The Fed's policy shift presents new opportunities for international financial cooperation and enhances China's role in global governance [19] - The internationalization of the renminbi may gain momentum in the new monetary landscape, promoting a more diversified and stable international monetary system [19]