Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperforming the market [1] Core Insights - Aircraft manufacturers are slowly recovering capacity, but the number of grounded aircraft remains high. Supply chain and labor shortages continue to impact production, leading to delivery delays. From January to July 2025, Boeing and Airbus delivered only 701 aircraft, with a monthly average of about 100 aircraft, which is 74.6% of the peak monthly delivery of 134 aircraft in 2018. Meanwhile, aircraft order demand remains strong, with backlogged orders at historical highs [2][4][6]. - Global aviation market demand continues to grow, with the global passenger load factor reaching a new high for the year. The global air passenger volume is on the rise, with all regions showing growth in revenue passenger kilometers (RPK). The Latin America region leads with a 7.2% year-on-year increase, followed by Asia-Pacific and the Middle East with increases of 5.5% and 5.4%, respectively. International routes are performing strongly, particularly in the Asia-Pacific and Latin America regions [2][13][17]. - Overall, while aircraft manufacturers' capacity is recovering, it still struggles to meet the ongoing expansion in aircraft demand. Aircraft leasing companies are seeing high demand for orders, with limited available slots in the coming two years. The Asia-Pacific aviation market has significant growth potential, providing broader development space for Chinese aircraft leasing companies. Compared to global leasing leader AerCap, Chinese leasing companies are currently undervalued and have higher order elasticity, making them worthy of attention [2][6][38]. Summary by Sections 1. Aircraft Supply Continues to Tighten - Boeing's average monthly delivery has significantly improved compared to last year, while Airbus's monthly delivery is slightly below last year's level. As of the end of July 2025, Boeing delivered 328 aircraft and Airbus delivered 373 aircraft, with average monthly deliveries of approximately 47 and 53 aircraft, respectively [5]. - The backlog of aircraft orders remains at historical highs, with Boeing and Airbus accumulating new orders of 699 and 501 aircraft, respectively, this year. As of July 2025, the total backlog was 15,262 aircraft [6]. 2. Civil Aviation Passenger Demand Update - Global air passenger volume (RPK) increased by 4.0% year-on-year in July 2025, with global capacity (ASK) increasing by 4.4%. The global passenger load factor reached 85.5% [13][17]. - All regions experienced growth in air passenger volume, with the domestic market in China showing steady performance, with a year-on-year increase of 3.8% in passenger volume [23][24]. 3. Aircraft Leasing Company Dynamics - The average remaining lease term for China’s leasing companies is relatively long, with China Aircraft Leasing Company showing significant improvement in fleet age to 6.3 years. The average remaining lease term for China’s leasing companies is 7.9 years, ensuring long-term stability for their contracts [38][43]. - Aircraft rental prices are rising, leading to improved rental yield for leasing companies. China’s leasing companies maintain rental yields above 10%, with financing costs relatively low for China’s leasing companies at 4.5% [44].