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美卡脖子不成反被抄底!中国正在重建全球货币体系,美还撑得住吗
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 11:24
Core Insights - Central banks globally are increasingly focusing on gold as a safer asset, with China emerging as the largest official gold buyer in 2023, contrasting with the U.S. which is repatriating gold for "audit" purposes, hinting at potential monetary changes [1][3][5] Central Bank Behavior - As of October 2025, gold's share in global central bank reserves has risen to 30%, a 6 percentage point increase since June, potentially leading to a theoretical demand increase of about $1.5 trillion in gold [3] - The trend of central banks buying gold is particularly pronounced in 2023, with countries like China, India, Turkey, and Singapore actively increasing their gold reserves [3][5] Shift from Dollar Assets - Historically, over 60% of global foreign exchange reserves were in dollar assets, primarily U.S. Treasury bonds, but there is a noticeable shift as central banks prefer gold over dollar-denominated assets, indicating a decline in trust in the dollar [5][9] - The freezing of $300 billion in Russian foreign reserves by the U.S. in 2022 has led to concerns among central banks about the safety of their dollar assets, prompting a collective move towards gold [11][15] New Financial Infrastructure - China has developed a "gold corridor" as a parallel financial infrastructure to the dollar system, centered around the Shanghai Gold Exchange, which includes a network of gold vaults in strategic locations [18][20] - This infrastructure allows countries to exchange their currencies for gold directly, enhancing the appeal of the Chinese yuan as a reserve currency backed by gold [20][22] Future Implications - The "gold corridor" provides an alternative financial system that does not rely on the U.S.-dominated SWIFT system, allowing countries to engage in trade and investment without being subject to U.S. financial controls [22][23] - The evolution of global currency standards may lead to a diversified monetary landscape where gold, the yuan, and digital assets coexist, challenging the historical dominance of the dollar [23]