Core Viewpoint - The speech by Dr. Lu Ting emphasizes the challenges faced by the U.S. government due to high financing costs, driven by significant deficits and debt, while highlighting China's growing manufacturing capabilities and the need for stable financial policies in China to navigate the evolving international order [4][5][6][7]. Group 1: U.S. Government Financing Challenges - The U.S. government is experiencing rising financing costs, with 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields increasing significantly, while the dollar has depreciated [5]. - The high financing costs are attributed to a combination of factors, including a defense spending to GDP ratio of approximately 3.5%, persistent trade deficits since the late 1960s, and a national debt of $36 trillion [5]. - The U.S. economy is shifting from manufacturing to a more service-oriented model, leading to increased wealth disparity and a decline in defense manufacturing capabilities [5]. Group 2: China's Manufacturing Strength - China's manufacturing sector now accounts for over 30% of the global market, with significant advancements in shipbuilding and artificial intelligence [6]. - In shipbuilding, China holds a 54% share of global tonnage and 75% of new orders, while the domestic industrial robot installation has surpassed that of all other countries combined [6]. - The proportion of top AI talent from China reached 47% in 2022, with expectations to exceed 50% by 2025, indicating a strong position in innovation and technology [6]. Group 3: Policy Recommendations for China - The stabilization of the real estate and stock markets is crucial for China's fiscal and monetary policies, with the People's Bank of China showing commitment through direct interventions [7]. - There is an urgent need to address real estate debt and ensure housing delivery, alongside stimulating consumption sustainably to support economic growth [7]. - The reform of social security and welfare systems is deemed essential for enhancing consumer capacity and influencing investment strategies [7]. - Leveraging Hong Kong's unique position for international collaboration and actively participating in the reconstruction of the global order is recommended, as evidenced by the recent recovery in the Hong Kong stock market [7].

Group 1: Global Trade and Investment - The ongoing US tariff policies are reshaping the global trade landscape, with experts suggesting that China should play a more significant role in international trade [1] - Former Polish Prime Minister Marek Belka highlighted that the biggest challenges facing the world are imbalance and instability, particularly due to the US's chronic trade deficit stemming from domestic economic imbalances [1] - Michael Spence emphasized that trade wars are mutually damaging and called for the establishment of a multilateral system supported by Europe, China, and other major emerging economies [1] Group 2: China's Market Attractiveness - Despite increasing pressures from US-China trade frictions, the attractiveness of the Chinese market remains strong, with low valuations for Chinese companies and a robust economic foundation [2] - The presence of a large, high-quality population and the world's largest pool of engineers provides China with unique advantages for foreign investment [2] - Continuous opening of economic and financial systems in China is expected to enhance its appeal to foreign investors, a trend that will not change due to US-China tariff disputes [2] Group 3: Global Monetary System - Experts at the forum noted a gradual decline in the dominance of the US dollar in the global monetary system, indicating a trend towards diversification [2] - Hu Xiaolian, former chairman of the Export-Import Bank of China, stated that the future international monetary system will be more diverse and inclusive, with more currencies joining the international monetary ranks [2] Group 4: Renminbi Internationalization - The internationalization of the Renminbi is gaining attention, with the need for a strong international financial center to support it, emphasizing the importance of opening domestic financial markets [3] - The release of the "China Financial Policy Report 2025" analyzed the challenges and opportunities facing China's financial development, including external complexities and the restructuring of international trade orders [3] - The report also addressed issues in financial security and regulation, highlighting the impact of regulatory reforms in various countries, particularly the US, on global financial stability [3]

Group 1: Global Currency System and Dollar Status - The recent sell-off of dollar assets is viewed as a short-term phenomenon, and despite a decline in trust, the dollar's dominant position in the global currency system remains difficult to challenge [4] - New currencies like the euro, renminbi, and Special Drawing Rights (SDR) are unlikely to gain widespread acceptance in the short term, as the formation of reserve currencies requires long-term accumulation of national economic strength [4] - The transition from a unipolar to a multipolar global currency system requires significant changes in the economic field, which is still a distant goal [4] Group 2: Development of Digital Renminbi - Public acceptance of digital renminbi depends on its advantages over existing payment methods; without unique benefits, it may struggle to gain popularity [5] - The success of digital renminbi in international markets faces challenges similar to those in China, where entrenched payment methods like credit cards hinder the adoption of alternatives [5] - Market forces should drive the development of digital renminbi, with widespread adoption occurring only when businesses find it more convenient and cost-effective than traditional banking [5] Group 3: Internationalization of Renminbi - The path to renminbi internationalization is long and challenging, with non-convertibility and strict capital controls being the main obstacles [7] - Despite China's significant role in global trade, the current economic environment is not conducive to opening capital accounts and achieving full convertibility of the renminbi [7] - Long-term, as China's economy continues to develop, issues surrounding renminbi convertibility and capital flow will gradually be resolved, leading to its important position in the global currency system [7]

5月17日-18日 2025清华五道口全球金融论坛 于深圳盛大召开 汇聚国内外金融界 领袖、学者及行业精英 浓缩思维干货 定位思维坐标 闭门主旨 开幕式 主题一：面向未来的全球货币体体系 主题二：新形势下的国际贸易与投资 这四场的嘉宾金句干货已打包完毕 快查收↓↓↓ 第十二届全国政协副主席 中国人民银行前行长 清华大学五道口金融学院院长 焦捷 金句集锦 周小川 马雷克・贝尔卡 波兰前总理 迈克尔・斯宾塞 2001年诺贝尔经济学奖得主 主题论坛一 面向未来的全球货币体系 马克・乌赞 重塑布雷顿森林体系委员会 执行董事兼创始人 白乐夫 亚投行首席经济学家 马克・马洛赫 - 布朗勋爵 联合国前副秘书长 施康 香港中文大学经济系教授 清华大学五道口金融学院特聘教授 马西米利亚诺・加斯塔利 瑞银资产管理全球战略主管 主题 论坛二 新形势下的国际贸易与投资 田轩 清华大学国家金融研究院院长 清华大学五道口金融学院副院长、讲席教授 胡晓炼 中国进出口银行原董事长 中国国际经济交流中心副理事长 李楠 联合国贸发会议投资与企业司司长 联合国可持续证券交易所倡议主席 马歇尔・米尔斯 崔丽 来源丨清华五道口 编辑丨兰银帆 审核 | ...

2025年5月17-18日，2025清华五道口全球金融论坛在深圳市盛大召开。主题论坛一以"面向未来的全 球货币体系"为主题，围绕在不确定性背景下全球金融合作、重塑全球金融秩序，五位国内外专家学 者各抒己见，为参会者带来一场精彩的思维碰撞。 图为圆桌讨论现场 主题会议以圆桌讨论形式展开，联合国前副秘书长马克·马洛赫-布朗勋爵（Lord Mark Malloch- Brown），亚投行首席经济学家白乐夫（Erik Berglof），香港中文大学经济系教授、清华大学五道口 金融学院特聘教授施康，瑞银资产管理全球战略主管马西米利亚诺·加斯塔利（Massimiliano Castelli） 围绕全球金融合作展开讨论。重塑布雷顿森林体系委员会执行董事兼创始人马克·乌赞（Marc Uzan） 主持本场论坛。 马克・马洛赫 - 布朗勋爵 联合国前副秘书长 马克·马洛赫-布朗勋爵从国际秩序的角度出发，探讨了当前全球面临的挑战以及多边主义的重 要性。当前，国际秩序因美国单边主义及关税政策冲击面临危机，特朗普政府回归"强国政 治"，导致全球经济低增速和政治不确定性增加。而当下多边世界的定义仍不清晰，美国仍是 国际机构中最大的话语权 ...

Group 1 - The global financial system is undergoing a transformation due to increasing uncertainty, with discussions on the future of the global monetary system highlighting the need for new multilateralism to reflect the changing global order [1][4][5] - Emerging economies are gaining more influence in the global financial system, with a shift from a US-centric model to a more multipolar structure, necessitating greater choice for developing countries [4][5] - The current economic model in China is transitioning from export-driven to domestic consumption-based, recognizing the importance of a large domestic market [5] Group 2 - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and World Bank are expected to play a more significant role in managing potential financial crises, emphasizing the need for a restructured international system [7][8] - There is a call for the IMF to expand Special Drawing Rights (SDR) and increase the weight of the Chinese yuan in a diversified reserve system to alleviate pressure on the US dollar [8] - Regional development banks, such as the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, are becoming increasingly important in the global financial landscape, providing a more diversified approach to development [7][8]

2 0 2 5清华五道口全球金融论坛 论坛议程 I TTJ =V · 09:30-10:30 主演讲 · 10:45-12:00 主题讨论一:面向未来的全球货币体系 0 05月17日(周六)下午 平行论坛 · 14:00-15:15 主题讨论二:新形势下的国际贸易与投资 · 15:30-16:45 主题讨论三:全球经济碎片化的挑战 · 16:45-18:00 主题讨论四:粤港澳大湾区建设与发展 · 14:00-15:15 主题讨论五:绿色发展的机遇与挑战 · 15:30-16:45 主题讨论方:新兴市场债务危机与金融治理 · 16:45-17:45 IMF专题报告:全球金融稳定 005月18日（周日）上午 平行论坛 · 09:00-10:15 主题讨论七:2025中国经济展望暨 《中国金融政策报告2025》发布 10:30-11:45 . 主题讨论八: 金融赋能科技创新与发展 · 09:00-10:15 主题讨论九:人工智能时代下的数字金融 · 10:30-11:45 主题讨论十:全球资本市场展望与发展 · UY:UU-11:UU 闭门会一:加强金融安全 防范系统性金融风险 005月18日(周日)下午 平行论 ...

以下文章来源于清华五道口 ，作者小融 清华五道口 . 清华大学五道口金融学院（原中国人民银行研究生部）以"培养金融领袖、引领金融实践、贡献民族复兴、促进世界和谐"为使 命，现开设金融学博士、金融专业硕士、技术转移硕士、双学位金融MBA、金融EMBA、高管教育等项目。 ⏰ 倒计时2天！ 这场决定未来金融格局的盛会 你准备好了吗？ 5月1 7日- 1 8日 2 0 2 5清华五道口全球金融论坛 中国·深圳 精英荟萃 巅峰聚首 2 0余位中外高级别政经领袖 近1 0 0位国际重磅嘉宾出席 大咖来了！ 闭门主旨演讲 召开时间： 5月1 6日晚 论坛开幕式（闭门） 召开时间： 5月1 7日 9 : 0 0 - 11 : 1 0 主题讨论一（直播） 主题： 面向未来的全球货币体系 召开/播出时间： 5月1 7日 11 : 1 0 - 1 2 : 2 5 主题讨论三（直播） 主题： 全球经济碎片化的挑战 召开/播出时间： 5月1 7日 1 5 : 3 0 - 1 6 : 4 5 主题讨论二（直播） 主题： 新形势下的国际贸易与投资 召开/播出时间： 5月1 7日 1 4 : 0 0 - 1 5 : 1 5 主题讨论四（直播 ...