黄金避险溢价

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黄金早参丨通胀数据缓解,解雇事件升级,金价三连升
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-29 01:59
Group 1 - The demand for safe-haven assets, particularly gold, has increased due to concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve and easing inflation data, leading to a rise in gold prices [1] - As of the market close, COMEX gold futures rose by 0.82% to $3,476.9 per ounce, while the China Gold ETF (518850) increased by 0.29% and the Gold Stock ETF (159562) surged by 4.51% [1] - The U.S. second-quarter GDP annualized revision showed a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.3%, surpassing the expected 3.1% and the initial value of 3% [1] Group 2 - The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index for the second quarter was revised to an annualized quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.5%, consistent with the initial value but below the expected 2.6% [1] - A lawsuit was filed by Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook against President Donald Trump, challenging his attempt to dismiss her based on allegations of lying in a mortgage application, marking a significant dispute regarding the independence of the U.S. central bank [1] - Analysts from Baocun Futures noted that Nvidia's third-quarter guidance was not optimistic, which may contribute to a risk premium for gold [1]
金价跳水,是调整还是转折?
第一财经· 2025-05-12 13:05
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant decline in gold prices due to easing trade tensions between the US and UK, leading to a drop in safe-haven premiums and a shift in market sentiment towards riskier assets [1][7]. Group 1: Market Trends - As of May 12, the international spot gold price fell below $3,300 per ounce, reaching a low of $3,208 per ounce [1]. - The domestic gold ETF market saw a decline, with several ETFs dropping over 2% in value [1]. - The Shanghai Gold Exchange (SGE) gold ETF total scale was approximately 1,490 billion yuan, recovering from a low of 1,450 billion yuan after a previous high of 1,522 billion yuan [2][4]. Group 2: Investment Dynamics - The gold ETF market experienced a rapid inflow of funds in April, with a total increase of 834 billion yuan year-to-date, but saw a subsequent outflow of 65 billion yuan in early May [4][5]. - The COMEX gold futures report indicated a decrease in long positions by 1,411 contracts, while short positions increased by 752 contracts, reflecting a shift in market sentiment [5]. Group 3: Economic Factors - The article highlights that the easing of trade tensions has reduced market risk aversion, contributing to the volatility in gold prices [7]. - Despite short-term fluctuations, long-term factors such as central bank gold purchases and inflation concerns are expected to support gold prices [8][9].