黑天鹅与灰犀牛

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谋划“十五五”要看清哪些“变”?
Yang Shi Xin Wen Ke Hu Duan· 2025-09-12 03:45
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need for strategic determination and confidence in the face of complex changes in both international and domestic environments, as highlighted in the Central Political Bureau meeting on July 30 [1][5] - The "three faces" proposed by the 20th Central Committee provide a crucial perspective for understanding the changes in the "15th Five-Year Plan," indicating that the development environment is undergoing profound and complex transformations [1][3] - The need to adapt to new expectations from the public, including demands for quality, sustainability, and fairness, is essential for planning the "15th Five-Year Plan" [3][5] Group 2 - The article discusses the importance of recognizing both changes and constants in the context of reform, emphasizing that while certain aspects may change, the strategic direction and goals remain steadfast [5][6] - The necessity of maintaining a balance between change and stability is highlighted, indicating that while the environment is changing, the foundational strengths of the economy, such as resilience and potential, have not altered [5][7] - The call for proactive identification and response to changes, including the need to navigate risks and seize opportunities, is a recurring theme in the planning for the "15th Five-Year Plan" [1][3][7]
经济随笔丨谋划“十五五”要看清哪些“变”?
Yang Shi Xin Wen Ke Hu Duan· 2025-09-12 01:47
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need for strategic determination and confidence in the face of complex changes in both international and domestic environments, as highlighted in the planning for the "15th Five-Year Plan" [2][4] - The "three faces" proposed by the 20th National Congress provide a critical perspective for understanding the changes in the "15th Five-Year Plan," indicating that the development environment is undergoing profound and complex transformations [2][4] - The need to adapt to new expectations from the public, including demands for quality, sustainability, and fairness, is crucial in the planning process for the "15th Five-Year Plan" [4][5] Group 2 - The article discusses the importance of recognizing both "change" and "stability" in the context of reform, emphasizing that while the environment is changing, the fundamental economic strengths and long-term positive trends remain unchanged [9][10] - It highlights the necessity of understanding the interplay between favorable and unfavorable changes, advocating for proactive measures to leverage opportunities and mitigate risks [5][7] - The concept of "guarding against black swans and gray rhinos" is introduced, stressing the importance of risk prevention and management in the face of global uncertainties [5][7]
经济随笔:谋划“十五五”要看清哪些“变”?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 16:51
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need for strategic determination and confidence in the face of complex changes in both international and domestic environments, as highlighted in the Central Political Bureau meeting on July 30 [1][6] - The "three faces" proposed by the 20th Central Committee provide important perspectives for understanding the changes in the "15th Five-Year Plan," indicating that the development environment is undergoing profound and complex changes, with both strategic opportunities and risks [1][3] - The emphasis on adapting to new expectations from the people reflects a shift in public demand towards quality, sustainability, and fairness, which must be carefully considered in the planning of the "15th Five-Year Plan" [3][5] Group 2 - The planning of the "15th Five-Year Plan" requires a comprehensive understanding of both changes and constants, recognizing that while the environment is changing, the foundational strengths of the economy remain stable and robust [6][8] - The need to navigate both "black swan" and "gray rhino" events is crucial, with a focus on proactively preventing and mitigating risks while seizing favorable changes [3][5] - The importance of maintaining a balance between change and stability is underscored, with a call for reform that is principled and directed, ensuring that necessary changes are made while preserving core values and goals [6][7]