两个大局

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经济随笔丨谋划“十五五”要看清哪些“变”?
Yang Shi Xin Wen Ke Hu Duan· 2025-09-12 01:47
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the need for strategic determination and confidence in the face of complex changes in both international and domestic environments, as highlighted in the planning for the "15th Five-Year Plan" [2][4] - The "three faces" proposed by the 20th National Congress provide a critical perspective for understanding the changes in the "15th Five-Year Plan," indicating that the development environment is undergoing profound and complex transformations [2][4] - The need to adapt to new expectations from the public, including demands for quality, sustainability, and fairness, is crucial in the planning process for the "15th Five-Year Plan" [4][5] Group 2 - The article discusses the importance of recognizing both "change" and "stability" in the context of reform, emphasizing that while the environment is changing, the fundamental economic strengths and long-term positive trends remain unchanged [9][10] - It highlights the necessity of understanding the interplay between favorable and unfavorable changes, advocating for proactive measures to leverage opportunities and mitigate risks [5][7] - The concept of "guarding against black swans and gray rhinos" is introduced, stressing the importance of risk prevention and management in the face of global uncertainties [5][7]
人民大学论坛:推动“一带一路”高质量发展是“统筹两个大局”的重要抓手
Jing Ji Guan Cha Bao· 2025-08-03 06:56
Group 1 - The forum emphasized the importance of promoting high-quality development of the "Belt and Road" initiative as a key approach to coordinate the "two overall situations" [1][2] - The "two overall situations" refer to the strategic overall situation of achieving the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and the unprecedented changes in the world [1] - The integration of domestic and international markets is crucial for achieving high-quality economic development in China [1][3] Group 2 - The current global value chain is trending towards "shortening and localization," which puts pressure on Chinese enterprises' supply chains [2] - The development of economic corridors is identified as a critical entry point, progressing through four stages: transportation, urbanization and industrialization, trade and investment liberalization, and policy coordination [2] - China's urbanization rate has increased from 18% in 1978 to 67% currently, with manufacturing capacity accounting for 35% of the global total [2] Group 3 - The "Belt and Road" initiative is seen as a result of expanding domestic demand, with significant growth in trade between China and "Belt and Road" countries [3] - The next five years are deemed crucial for implementing the spirit of the 20th Central Committee's Third Plenary Session through further reforms [3] - Domestic economic challenges include mismatches in supply and demand, with issues such as insufficient domestic demand and a weak real estate sector [3] Group 4 - Key policy goals include promoting the internationalization of the Renminbi, maintaining a balanced international payment, and ensuring the safety of external debt [4] - The Renminbi has become the fourth-largest payment currency, enhancing China's global asset pricing power [4] - The digital economy is highlighted as a material and technological foundation for national rejuvenation, necessitating an effective investment and financing system for digital platform enterprises [4]
从厦门之兴看中国之治——习近平同志领导编制《1985年-2000年厦门经济社会发展战略》启示录
Xin Hua She· 2025-07-03 12:57
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the significance of Xi Jinping's leadership in formulating the "1985-2000 Xiamen Economic and Social Development Strategy," which laid a long-term vision for Xiamen's sustainable development and serves as a model for China's broader modernization efforts [1][9]. Group 1: Long-term Planning and Strategic Vision - The strategy was one of the first long-term economic plans by a local government in China, spanning 15 years and focusing on comprehensive development [1][9]. - Xi Jinping highlighted the importance of long-term considerations and a holistic approach in modern economic construction, warning against short-sightedness [2][3]. - The strategy aimed to position Xiamen as a key economic center and gateway in Southeast China, reflecting a clear and precise development orientation [5][6]. Group 2: Historical Context and Development Milestones - In 1985, the expansion of the Xiamen Economic Zone marked a pivotal moment, with Xi Jinping taking on significant roles in its early development [2][3]. - The development strategy included specific goals for various sectors, such as trade, tourism, and finance, and emphasized the need for a robust port infrastructure [6][26]. - By 2024, Xiamen's GDP had grown at an average annual rate of 13.8%, showcasing the effectiveness of the strategic planning [9]. Group 3: Innovation and Reform - The article discusses the innovative measures taken in Xiamen, such as the establishment of a streamlined administrative structure and the promotion of a market-oriented economy [23][24]. - Xiamen has been a pioneer in implementing reforms, including tax and financial system innovations, which have set precedents for other regions [23][24]. - The strategy's emphasis on technological advancement has led to the development of high-tech industries, contributing to Xiamen's transformation into an innovation-driven economy [26][27]. Group 4: Community Engagement and Public Participation - The strategy involved extensive public consultation and engagement, reflecting a commitment to incorporating community insights into planning processes [10][16]. - Xi Jinping's approach to governance emphasized the importance of grassroots input in shaping policies, which has become a hallmark of China's governance model [17][34]. - The ongoing "Fifteen Five" planning process continues to seek public contributions, demonstrating a sustained commitment to participatory governance [10][34].