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苍原资本:A股市场慢涨行情有望延续
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 03:47
Market Performance - The A-share market showed strong performance on October 27, with the Shanghai Composite Index approaching the 4000-point mark, indicating a bullish trend [1][4] - The market sentiment is gradually stabilizing, with active funds' reduction behavior nearing its end, reflecting a steady correction in investor confidence [4] Sector Analysis - Key sectors performing well include communication equipment, electronic components, consumer electronics, and non-ferrous metals, while gaming, wind power equipment, engineering consulting services, and mining sectors lagged [1] - The storage chip sector showed strength, with local stocks in Fujian performing well, and the computing hardware sector remained active [4] Economic and Policy Influences - Multiple factors such as the Fourth Plenary Session setting the tone for the "14th Five-Year Plan," the opening of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle, and the easing of China-US trade relations are contributing to a gradual upward trend in the A-share market [1] - The market is expected to continue its slow upward trend in the short term, with close attention needed on policy, capital flow, and external market changes [1] Technical Analysis - From a technical perspective, the index has broken through key resistance levels, with significant volume expansion indicating active market sentiment [4] - The Shanghai Composite Index has surpassed its previous trading range, suggesting potential for further upward movement [4] Mid-term Outlook - Despite potential supply-demand pressures in the spring of next year, the gradual clearing of production capacity and the effects of policies are expected to stabilize the economic and market bottom, serving as a key driving force for a new market rally [4] - Supportive factors for the fourth quarter include anti-involution policies, increased household savings entering the market, Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and a reversal in technical indicators, suggesting a bullish outlook for A-shares [4]
【机构策略】A股市场慢涨行情有望延续
Group 1 - The A-share market showed strong performance on October 27, with the Shanghai Composite Index approaching the 4000-point mark, driven by multiple factors including the Fourth Plenary Session's groundwork for the "14th Five-Year Plan," the onset of the Federal Reserve's rate cut cycle, and improved China-U.S. trade relations [1][2] - Various sectors performed differently, with communication equipment, electronic components, consumer electronics, and non-ferrous metals showing strong performance, while gaming, wind power equipment, engineering consulting services, and mining sectors lagged [1] - Technical analysis indicates that the index has broken through key resistance levels with significantly increased trading volume, reflecting a positive market sentiment and a gradual recovery of investor confidence [2] Group 2 - The storage chip sector showed strength, with local stocks in Fujian performing well, while soft drinks and engineering machinery sectors underperformed [2] - The market is expected to continue its upward trend in the short term, supported by the resolution of major macroeconomic events and a favorable technical outlook, with the potential for further gains as the index has broken out of previous trading ranges [2] - In the medium term, factors such as "anti-involution" policies, increased retail investor participation, the Federal Reserve's rate cuts, and technical reversals are expected to support a bullish trend in the A-share market for the fourth quarter [2]