December 4, 2025 08:30 AM GMT China Equity Strategy | Asia Pacific Focus List Changes – China/HK We add Ping An Insurance Group (2318.HK) to our China/HK Focus List and remove PICC P&C Company (2328.HK). Adding Ping An Insurance Group (2318.HK): Jonathan F Garner Equity Strategist Jonathan.Garner@morganstanley.com +65 6834-8172 Morgan Stanley China Financial analyst, Richard Xu, and HK/China Insurance analyst, Rick Zhao, believe the stock could see its valuation rerate, as: 1) Ping An is tapping into broad ...

Summary of the Expert Call on China's Automation Market Industry Overview - **Industry**: Automation in China - **Date of Call**: November 17, 2025 - **Expert**: Mr. Wang Baomin, Senior Partner at MIR (Marketing Intelligence Resource) Key Points Market Outlook - The automation market in China is expected to be stable in 2026, with a forecasted sales decline of -0.3% year-on-year (y-y) in 2025, reaching Rmb285 billion, followed by another -0.3% y-y in 2026 and a growth of +2.0% y-y in 2027 [3][9] - The OEM market is projected to outperform the project market, with growth of +1% y-y in 2026 compared to a decline of -1% y-y for the project market [3] Demand by Downstream Industries - Anticipated strong demand for automation from sectors such as: - New energy - Electronics (smartphones, optical modules, PCB, etc.) - Logistics - Robotics - Precision machinery (liquid cooling parts, humanoid screws, etc.) - Non-ferrous metal mining - Stable demand expected from packaging and plastics, while construction-related industries (building materials, elevators) are expected to remain sluggish [4][9] Price Outlook - With channel inventory normalizing, stable prices are expected in 2026 with reduced downside risk [5][9] Growth Projections for Specific Products - **PLC (Programmable Logic Controllers)**: - Small PLCs: +7.0% y-y in 2025 and +5.8% y-y in 2026 - Midsized/large PLCs: +6.3% y-y in 2025 and +5.2% y-y in 2026 - **Servos**: +7.4% y-y in 2025 and +8.0% y-y in 2026 - **Low-voltage AC drives**: +1.3% y-y in 2025 and +3.0% y-y in 2026 - **Industrial robots**: +11.9% y-y in 2025 and +12.8% y-y in 2026 - **CNC (Computer Numerical Control)**: +3.1% y-y in 2025 and +2.1% y-y in 2026 [11] Competitive Landscape - Domestic brands are gaining market share against foreign competitors, particularly in high-value segments [9][11] - Companies like Inovance, Geekplus, and Han's Laser are preferred within the automation segment [9] Strategic Opportunities - Two key opportunities identified: - Technology security - Energy security - Positive outlook for AI-driven downstream markets [11] Risks - **Upside Risks**: - Stronger-than-expected macroeconomic conditions boosting demand for automation products - Increased sales of ePVs equipped with Inovance's EV control system - Improved profitability in China's manufacturing sector leading to higher capital spending [15][16] - **Downside Risks**: - Failure to develop high-end automation products - Significant gross margin decline due to raw material price hikes - Intensifying competition and potential loss of key clients [19][16] Conclusion The expert call highlighted a stable outlook for China's automation market in 2026, with specific growth opportunities in various sectors and products. However, the market faces challenges from competition and potential economic fluctuations.

Summary of Bilibili Inc Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Bilibili Inc (BILI.O) - **Industry**: China Internet and Other Services - **Current Price Target**: Raised from US$23.00 to US$25.00 [4][10] Key Financial Insights - **3Q Performance**: Bilibili reported a profit beat in Q3, with improved advertising momentum and success from the game "Escape From Duckov," which sold over 3 million copies [1][8] - **4Q Guidance**: Revenue growth expected at a mid-single-digit (MSD) rate for Q4 2025, with gross profit margin (GPM) and adjusted operating profit margin (OPM) projected at 37% and 10%, respectively [2][4] - **2025 Profit Outlook**: Profit outlook for 2025 raised by 14%, with EPS estimates increased by 2% for 2025-2026 [4][9] Revenue Breakdown - **Game Revenue**: Expected to be flat or slightly up quarter-over-quarter due to seasonal weakness from the San Mou season. New game "Ncard" set to release in mid-2026 [8] - **Advertising Revenue**: Anticipated to grow at a low-20s percentage rate, supported by increased ad budgets and a solid 9% year-over-year growth in daily active users (DAU) [8][24] AI Applications - Bilibili is implementing three AI tools: a multilingual translation tool, a video generation model for podcasts, and internal efficiency improvements through AI. Management sees potential in enhancing creator productivity due to a shortage of high-quality content [3] Valuation and Market Position - **Valuation Metrics**: Current P/E ratio at 28x for 2026 estimates, considered full. The stock is rated as equal-weight due to insufficiently attractive valuation [4][24] - **Market Capitalization**: Approximately US$12.5 billion with an average daily trading value of US$98 million [6] Risks and Considerations - **Potential Risks**: Lower-than-expected MAU growth, increased competition, and higher costs could impact margins and revenue growth [33] - **Investment Drivers**: Continued strength in advertising revenue, successful game launches, and margin expansion are critical for future performance [24][29] Additional Insights - **User Metrics**: Monthly active users (MAU) projected to grow from 348.9 million in 2025 to 387.6 million in 2027 [15] - **Financial Projections**: Total revenue expected to reach RMB 30.2 billion in 2025, with a gross margin of 37% [11][15] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call, highlighting Bilibili's financial performance, growth outlook, and strategic initiatives in the context of the competitive landscape.

Core Viewpoint - The global memory chip market is expected to enter a prolonged "super cycle" due to limited supply growth and increasing demand for AI applications [1] Industry Summary - The memory chip market is anticipated to face constrained supply growth, which will coincide with a surge in demand driven by advancements in AI technology [1]

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang delivers a keynote address at the GTC conference in Washington, D.C., on Tuesday. With federal officials and Pentagon leaders in the audience With federal officials and Pentagon leaders in the audience, announcements are expected around quantum computing integration and AI applications in telecommunications networks. Video courtesy: Nvidia. For access to live and exclusive video from CNBC subscribe to CNBC PRO: https://cnb.cx/42d859g » Subscribe to CNBC TV: https://cnb.cx/SubscribeCN ...

Summary of JCET Group Co Ltd 3Q25 Earnings Call Company Overview - **Company**: JCET Group Co Ltd (600584.SS) - **Industry**: Greater China Technology Semiconductors - **Current Stock Rating**: Underweight - **Price Target**: Rmb23.50 - **Current Share Price (as of Oct 27, 2025)**: Rmb42.09 - **Market Capitalization**: Rmb74,915 million - **Fiscal Year Ending**: December Key Financial Metrics - **EPS Estimates**: - 2025: Rmb1.06 - 2026: Rmb1.41 - 2027: Rmb1.89 - **Revenue Estimates (Rmb million)**: - 2025: 41,361 - 2026: 45,655 - 2027: 52,372 - **EBITDA Estimates (Rmb million)**: - 2025: 6,550 - 2026: 7,781 - 2027: 8,180 - **P/E Ratios**: - 2025: 39.7 - 2026: 29.9 - 2027: 22.3 Core Insights from the Earnings Call - **4Q25 Outlook**: Management anticipates a continued recovery in demand, particularly driven by AI applications expanding from data centers to various markets [5][6] - **Advanced Packaging Focus**: The company is concentrating on 2.5D and 3D advanced packaging technologies, aiming for computing-related products to constitute over 30% of their mix in the medium term. Innovations such as TGV (through glass via), panel-level packaging, and CPO (co-packaged optics) are highlighted as key technological advancements [5][6] - **Gross Margin Improvement**: JCET has successfully negotiated with customers to pass on raw material price increases, with high acceptance rates. The company expects gross margins to improve steadily in the medium to long term due to a higher proportion of high-value-added business [5][6] - **Utilization Rate**: The utilization rate improved to 80% in 3Q25, particularly in wafer-level packaging, where capacity is currently tight [5][6] Risks and Opportunities - **Upside Risks**: - Better-than-expected demand in communication, computing, and consumer electronics - Earlier-than-expected provision of 2.5D/3D advanced packaging - Faster-than-expected market share gains [9] - **Downside Risks**: - Worse-than-expected demand in the same sectors - Delays in the provision of advanced packaging technologies - Slower-than-expected market share gains [9] Valuation Methodology - **Model Used**: Residual income model with a cost of equity of 8.6%, intermediate growth rate of 8.5%, and terminal growth rate of 4.0% [7] Additional Information - **Analyst Ratings**: The stock is rated as Underweight, indicating expected total returns below the average for the industry over the next 12-18 months [24][30] - **Market Context**: The semiconductor industry is viewed as attractive, with JCET positioned within this context despite its individual stock rating [3][32] This summary encapsulates the key points from the earnings call, providing insights into JCET Group Co Ltd's performance, outlook, and strategic focus within the semiconductor industry.

Core Viewpoint - The third-quarter earnings season is commencing, with significant attention on major banks and retail favorites, as investors anticipate earnings reports from various companies [1]. Group 1: Earnings Reports Overview - Fastenal Company (NASDAQ:FAST) is expected to report earnings of 30 cents per share on revenue of $2.13 billion [2]. - ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ:ASML) is forecasted to report earnings per share of $6.36 and revenue of $8.81 billion, indicating year-over-year growth [6]. - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (NYSE:TSM) is projected to report earnings per share of $2.59 and quarterly revenue of $31.5 billion, driven by advanced chip demand for AI applications [10]. Group 2: Key Companies Reporting - Major banks such as JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM), Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE:WFC), Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:C), and The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE:GS) will report earnings before the market opens on Tuesday [4]. - Other notable companies reporting include Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Domino's Pizza, Inc. (NYSE:DPZ), and BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE:BLK) [5]. - On Wednesday, additional bank earnings will come from Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC), and Synchrony Financial (NYSE:SYF) [7]. Group 3: Market Expectations - Investors are particularly interested in Fastenal's sales growth from digital initiatives and expanded customer contracts, alongside improved margins due to cost controls [3]. - TSMC's strong year-to-date stock performance and leadership in chip fabrication are highlighted, with analysts maintaining a Positive rating and raising the price target from $300 to $400 [11].

Risk Assessment & Technological Advancement - The company excels at managing technology and product design risks [2][3] - Geopolitical risk is a significant and uncontrollable concern for the company [3][4] AI Development & Competition - The US and China are close in overall AI development, varying by technology stack layer [5] - China leads in energy, while the US leads in chips [5][6] - US models (OpenAI, Anthropic, Gemini) are generally better, but China's open-source models are ahead [6] - China's applications are advancing rapidly due to a quick adoption rate and less industrial regulation [6][7] Strategic Considerations for AI Leadership - A nuanced strategy is needed to balance maintaining a lead in advanced chips with enabling global AI developers to build on the American tech stack [9][11] - The US aims to ensure America and its allies have access to the most advanced AI chips [10] - Preventing others from building on the American tech stack risks creating parallel AI ecosystems [15] - The goal is for the American tech stack to account for 80% of the world in five years to win the AI race [16] - Isolating American technology and forfeiting the global market would hinder America's AI leadership [17] - China represents 30% of the technology market with a billion users, making it a crucial market [16][17]

Summary of Han's Laser Technology Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Han's Laser Technology (002008.SZ) - **Industry**: Laser Equipment Manufacturing Key Highlights 1. **3D Printing Business Expansion**: Han's Laser is actively selling 3D printing equipment across various end-markets including consumer electronics, automotive, and semiconductors, while also providing 3D printing services to major customers [1][2] 2. **Positive Outlook on PCB Equipment**: The company is optimistic about PCB equipment sales growth extending into 2026, driven by increased capital expenditure in the PCB industry due to global AI server shipment ramp-up and technology upgrades [2][3] 3. **General Laser Equipment Growth**: High-power laser equipment experienced a shipment volume growth of 10%-20% year-over-year in the first half of 2025, despite a 7%-8% decline in average selling price due to competition. This growth is attributed to overseas expansion and domestic demand in sectors like metal processing and aviation [3] 4. **Operational Streamlining**: Han's Laser has been optimizing its operations by reducing low-growth business units, delegating more authority to business units to enhance productivity, and centralizing raw material procurement to lower supply chain costs. The company does not anticipate major changes in headcount in the near term [4] Financial Outlook 1. **Earnings Growth Expectation**: The company is expected to see earnings growth and a turnaround in margins in 2025 after three years of EBIT year-over-year decline from 2022 to 2024, primarily driven by AI-related demand in the PCB equipment sector and new opportunities in consumer electronics [8] 2. **Price Target and Valuation**: The 12-month price target is set at Rmb 44.80, based on a 30x 2026E P/E ratio, indicating an upside potential of 9.8% from the current price of Rmb 40.81 [10] Risks and Challenges 1. **Market Risks**: Potential risks include a slowdown in end-market capital expenditure growth, customer concentration risk, and increased market competition [9] Additional Insights - **Long-term Revenue Goals**: The company aims for 30% of its total revenue to come from overseas markets in the long term, compared to 14% in 2024 [3] - **AI Applications**: Han's Laser is exploring AI applications, including chatbots for customer service and generative AI tools for operational efficiency [2] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the conference call, highlighting the company's strategic initiatives, financial outlook, and potential risks.

Core Insights - AT&T and T-Mobile are leading players in the North American telecommunications industry, providing a wide range of services including wireless, broadband, and cloud-based solutions [1][3] - The industry is experiencing growth due to increased data traffic from high data-intensive applications, federal initiatives for digital inclusivity, and the adoption of AI technologies [2] AT&T Analysis - AT&T reported 479,000 post-paid net additions in Q2, with a postpaid churn rate of 1.02% and an increase in ARPU to $57.04, driven by improved international roaming and higher-priced plans [4] - The company is expanding its fiber broadband business, achieving 243,000 net fiber additions and 203,000 Internet Air subscribers in Q2, with a goal to reach 50 million customer locations by 2030 [5] - AT&T is acquiring wireless spectrum licenses from EchoStar to enhance its 5G capabilities across 400 markets, although this comes with increased capex burden [6] T-Mobile Analysis - T-Mobile leads the 5G market with coverage for 98% of Americans, utilizing the mid-band 2.5 GHz spectrum for superior speed and coverage [7] - The company added 1.7 million postpaid net customers in Q2, with a postpaid churn rate of 0.9% and an increase in average revenue per account to $149.87 [8][9] - T-Mobile's acquisition of US Cellular's wireless operations has strengthened its home broadband offerings and fixed wireless products [9] Competitive Landscape - Both companies face intense competition in a saturated market, with T-Mobile launching low-priced plans to attract customers, which is impacting margins [11] - T-Mobile's stock is trading at a premium valuation compared to the industry, raising concerns for investors [11] - AT&T's focus on operational efficiency and fiber expansion, along with its recent performance, positions it favorably compared to T-Mobile [19] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects T-Mobile's 2025 sales growth at 6.48% and EPS growth at 9.83%, while AT&T's sales growth is estimated at 2.16% with a decline in EPS by 9.29% [12][14] - Over the past year, T-Mobile's stock has gained 17.4%, while AT&T has outperformed with a gain of 32.8% [15] Valuation Metrics - T-Mobile's shares trade at a forward P/E ratio of 20.50, higher than the industry average of 13.59, while AT&T trades at 13.47 [15]