6 January 2026 | 8:35PM HKT Equity Research China Industrial Tech: Quick thoughts on FA companies' new year price hike The start of new year has brought price hike news across many automation leaders including Siemens, Schneider and Inovance etc. The price hikes (up to 30-40% depending on products) were generally initiated by global companies which prioritize profitability, seeking to pass through raw material inflation from copper, aluminum and memories. Inovance which competes directly with foreign compan ...

工控 2026 年度策略——周期向上，向"新"而行，出海 破局 20251221 摘要 工控行业预计全年保持中位数增长，先进制造环节如工业机器人、锂电 包装、物流表现突出，低空和具身智能领域产业化加速。企业营收普遍 增长，但利润分化明显，市场份额向头部集中。 展望 2026 年，传统赛道需求稳健，技术迭代带来结构性机会。AI 相关 产业、锂电及固态电池扩产将增加设备需求。低空、机器人智能等新质 生产力发展存在超预期空间，国内自动化市场有望进一步复苏。 工控行业受制造业投资、自动化水平和国产化率三重因素驱动，呈现 3- 4 年周期性。2025 年工业企业产成品库存同比增速小幅上升，预计 2026 年需求稳定增长，部分行业结构性增长带动市场改善。 2025 年前 10 个月，工业机器人和金属机床累计同比增速分别接近 30%和 10%。储能终端需求高速增长，带动产业链资本开支扩张，新 能源行业相关需求也大幅增长。 国内制造业出海背景下，工控企业加速海外市场扩张。2025 年全球自 动化市场规模预计 1.5 万亿元，海外市场需求约为国内四倍，且海外业 务毛利率普遍高于国内 5-20 个百分点。 Q&A 2025 年工 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Jingce Electronics has signed deep cooperation agreements with five leading companies in various sectors, focusing on technology integration and resource sharing to enhance testing solutions for the semiconductor, display, and new energy industries [1][2][4]. Group 2 - The cooperation will cover the entire industry chain from materials, devices, and equipment to industry solutions, aiming to optimize systematic testing solutions through technological innovation and product iteration [2]. - The five partners include leading firms in their respective fields: - Shengbang Microelectronics specializes in high-performance analog and mixed-signal integrated circuits for industrial automation, new energy, and automotive electronics [2]. - Analog Devices provides data converters and sensor technologies, widely used in digital healthcare and industrial automation [2]. - Hefei Aiko Optoelectronics manufactures key components for industrial imaging, including industrial cameras and image acquisition cards [4]. - Inovance Technology operates in industrial automation control and new energy equipment, with a product line that includes servo systems and industrial robots [4]. - SMC Automation focuses on the development and manufacturing of pneumatic components, serving automation lines in the semiconductor, automotive, and electronics industries [4]. - Jingce Electronics aims to strengthen its core competitiveness and build an open industrial ecosystem through this collaboration, continuing its focus on the semiconductor and display sectors while empowering the new energy field [4].

天津宜科成立于2003年，注册资本7977.8万元，主营工业自动化传感器、PLC、伺服系统等核心部件研 发与销售。天津宜科董事长兼总经理为张鑫。 天津宜科信息系统工程有限公司(以下简称：宜科信息)持有天津宜科58.52%股份，系天津宜科控股股 东。陆石投资、讯飞创投等参与投资。 瑞财经 严明会11月28日，天津宜科自动化股份有限公司（以下简称：天津宜科）在天津证监局完成辅 导备案，辅导机构国泰海通证券。 | 辅导对象 | 天津宜科自动化股份有限公司 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 成立日期 | 2003年10月29日 | | | 注册资本 | 7.977.8407 万元 法定代表人 | 张露 | | 注册地址 | 天津市西青经济技术开发区赛达四支路 12号 | | | 控股股东 及持股比 | 天津宜科信息系统工程有限公司(以下简称"宜科信息")持有公司 58.52%股份,系发行人控股股东 | | | 例 | | | | 行业分类 | 在其他交易场 所(申请)挂 C40 仪器仪表制造业 | 无 | | | 牌或上市的情 | | | | 况 | | | 各 | 注 无 | | ...

Core Insights - The article highlights the transformation and growth of the manufacturing sector in Henan, showcasing advancements in technology and the rise of new industries as key drivers of economic development [1][6]. Traditional Industry Upgrade - Traditional industries in Henan, particularly in Luoyang, are undergoing significant upgrades, with companies like Luoyang Bearing Group investing over 2 billion yuan in smart manufacturing, achieving a 70% share of high-end products [2][3]. - The industrial base in Henan, which has historically focused on heavy manufacturing, is shifting towards innovation and technology, with companies like CITIC Heavy Industries enhancing their digital capabilities and improving production efficiency by 20% [3]. Emerging Industry Cluster - New industries are emerging as a vital force for high-quality development in Henan, with significant advancements in sectors such as artificial intelligence and new energy vehicles [6][8]. - The strategic focus on new industries is supported by a comprehensive policy framework, which includes the "7+28+N" strategy to foster key emerging industries and enhance supply chain integration [6][7]. Economic Impact - By 2024, strategic emerging industries are projected to account for 24.8% of Henan's industrial output, reflecting a 2.4 percentage point increase from the end of the previous five-year plan [8]. - The growth of industry clusters is translating into tangible economic benefits, positioning Henan as a core growth engine for high-quality development [8]. Future Industry Layout - Henan's future industry strategy includes the development of 50 key technologies and the establishment of 50 leading enterprises by 2025, aiming to seize opportunities from the new technological revolution [9]. - Companies like Yutong Bus are leading the charge in the new energy vehicle sector, fostering a collaborative ecosystem with over 290 local suppliers [9][10]. Capital Market Support - The capital market is being leveraged to support industrial transformation, with policies aimed at facilitating mergers and acquisitions and enhancing access to financing for technology-driven enterprises [10][11]. - Recent initiatives include the establishment of a 3 billion yuan fund for artificial intelligence development, aimed at addressing financing challenges for tech companies [11].

Core Insights - The PLC (Programmable Logic Controller) industry is experiencing rapid growth as industrial automation becomes a key driver for the transformation of China's manufacturing sector [1] - Domestic companies are increasingly replacing imports in the small PLC market, with Xinjie Electric leading the way and expanding into medium and large PLCs and servo drives [1][2] - The company is also actively exploring high-end smart manufacturing applications in sectors such as new energy, semiconductors, robotics, and healthcare [1] Company Performance - In 2024, Xinjie Electric's PLC segment achieved revenue of 648 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.09%, accounting for 38.05% of the company's total revenue [2] - The company's market share in the domestic small PLC sector reached 9.4%, making it the leading domestic brand [2] - Continuous innovation and a strong R&D team, which constitutes one-third of the workforce, are key drivers of the company's steady growth [2][3] Product Development - Xinjie Electric is increasing its R&D efforts for medium and large PLCs, with sales of medium PLCs exceeding 10 million yuan last year and doubling in the first half of this year [3] - The company has developed a comprehensive product matrix for small PLCs, consisting of six major product series and over 100 models [2][3] Business Expansion - The company has expanded its business scope to include drive products, human-machine interfaces, and intelligent robots, establishing itself as one of the few suppliers of comprehensive industrial automation solutions in China [4] - The value distribution in the industrial automation supply chain shows that PLCs account for about 15% of the total value, while servo motors account for 20%, indicating a strategic shift towards higher-value areas [4] Future Strategy - Xinjie Electric aims to focus on localized and personalized services, with a goal for solution-based revenue to exceed 50% of total sales in the future [5] - The company is positioning itself as a partner to downstream clients, enhancing its adaptability to industry changes and accelerating the pace of domestic substitution [5] New Growth Opportunities - The company is actively entering the embodied intelligence sector, with a dedicated team of around 70 people working on various robotic applications [6] - An investment of 800 million yuan is planned for building a production project for intelligent drive control systems, aiming to enhance the completeness and autonomy of the supply chain [7] - The precision control technology of PLCs is expected to be advantageous in the robotics field, potentially lowering production costs for robotic products [7]

Group 1: Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 1.3 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 12.57% [3] - The revenue for Q3 2025 alone was 409 million CNY, showing a significant increase of 23.21% compared to the same period last year [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first nine months of 2025 was 160 million CNY, an increase of 11.01% year-on-year [3] - Excluding stock payment factors, the net profit would have been approximately 189 million CNY, reflecting a growth of 20.86% compared to the previous year [3] Group 2: Market and Strategic Outlook - The company is positioned to capitalize on the accelerating demand for automation control driven by the upgrade of the domestic smart manufacturing industry [3] - The strategic focus includes enhancing market share in traditional sectors while exploring new industries, particularly in humanoid robots and high-end equipment [3] - The company aims to achieve high-quality growth over the next three to five years through a new marketing system and regional advantages [4] Group 3: Robotics Sector Development - The humanoid robot market in China is projected to exceed 300 billion CNY by 2035, indicating significant growth potential [5] - The company is focusing on core components and solutions for robotics, with a strong emphasis on high-density motors and joint modules [5] - Current orders for the company's frameless motors have surpassed 120,000 units, demonstrating market acceptance [6] Group 4: Investment and Expansion - The company successfully bid 24.14 million CNY for land in Dongguan to establish a regional headquarters and R&D base for humanoid robot components [6] - This investment aligns with the company's strategic goals in smart manufacturing and mobile robotics [6] Group 5: Stock Incentive Plan Impact - The stock incentive plan introduced in 2025 resulted in a share payment expense of approximately 19.57 million CNY, impacting net profit growth [7] - Future accounting costs related to the incentive plan are projected to be 47.04 million CNY in 2025, 67.29 million CNY in 2026, and 39.57 million CNY in 2027 [7]

Summary of the Expert Call on China's Automation Market Industry Overview - **Industry**: Automation in China - **Date of Call**: November 17, 2025 - **Expert**: Mr. Wang Baomin, Senior Partner at MIR (Marketing Intelligence Resource) Key Points Market Outlook - The automation market in China is expected to be stable in 2026, with a forecasted sales decline of -0.3% year-on-year (y-y) in 2025, reaching Rmb285 billion, followed by another -0.3% y-y in 2026 and a growth of +2.0% y-y in 2027 [3][9] - The OEM market is projected to outperform the project market, with growth of +1% y-y in 2026 compared to a decline of -1% y-y for the project market [3] Demand by Downstream Industries - Anticipated strong demand for automation from sectors such as: - New energy - Electronics (smartphones, optical modules, PCB, etc.) - Logistics - Robotics - Precision machinery (liquid cooling parts, humanoid screws, etc.) - Non-ferrous metal mining - Stable demand expected from packaging and plastics, while construction-related industries (building materials, elevators) are expected to remain sluggish [4][9] Price Outlook - With channel inventory normalizing, stable prices are expected in 2026 with reduced downside risk [5][9] Growth Projections for Specific Products - **PLC (Programmable Logic Controllers)**: - Small PLCs: +7.0% y-y in 2025 and +5.8% y-y in 2026 - Midsized/large PLCs: +6.3% y-y in 2025 and +5.2% y-y in 2026 - **Servos**: +7.4% y-y in 2025 and +8.0% y-y in 2026 - **Low-voltage AC drives**: +1.3% y-y in 2025 and +3.0% y-y in 2026 - **Industrial robots**: +11.9% y-y in 2025 and +12.8% y-y in 2026 - **CNC (Computer Numerical Control)**: +3.1% y-y in 2025 and +2.1% y-y in 2026 [11] Competitive Landscape - Domestic brands are gaining market share against foreign competitors, particularly in high-value segments [9][11] - Companies like Inovance, Geekplus, and Han's Laser are preferred within the automation segment [9] Strategic Opportunities - Two key opportunities identified: - Technology security - Energy security - Positive outlook for AI-driven downstream markets [11] Risks - **Upside Risks**: - Stronger-than-expected macroeconomic conditions boosting demand for automation products - Increased sales of ePVs equipped with Inovance's EV control system - Improved profitability in China's manufacturing sector leading to higher capital spending [15][16] - **Downside Risks**: - Failure to develop high-end automation products - Significant gross margin decline due to raw material price hikes - Intensifying competition and potential loss of key clients [19][16] Conclusion The expert call highlighted a stable outlook for China's automation market in 2026, with specific growth opportunities in various sectors and products. However, the market faces challenges from competition and potential economic fluctuations.

Summary of China Industrials Update Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Industrials - **Current Cycle**: The industry is in an upcycle driven by industrial upgrades and replacement cycles [6][4][3] Key Long-term Drivers - **AI Technology**: Diffusion of AI technology into intelligent manufacturing and equipment [6][4] - **Advanced Equipment Localization**: Focus on localizing advanced equipment production [6][4] - **Global Expansion**: Companies are increasingly going global [6][4] Robotics Sector - **Booming Era**: The robotics sector is entering a new booming era, with significant growth expected [6][4] - **Market Growth**: The robot industry in China is projected to double by 2028, with drones, mobile robots, and collaborative robots (cobots) leading the growth [57][66] - **Localization**: High localization rates are expected, with the ranking from high to low being drones, service robots, mobile robots, cobots, and traditional industrial robots [72][66] Subsector Insights - **Automation and Robotics**: - **Outperforming Stocks**: Inovance, Geekplus, Han's Laser, Shuanghuan, Hongfa, and Neway Valve are recommended as outperformers [6][4] - **Market Performance**: The automation market is in a mild recovery stage, with flat sales year-on-year in 9M25 compared to a decline in 2024 [26][32] - **Future Outlook**: Positive outlook for 2026-27 recovery driven by replacement demand and AI applications [27][32] - **Construction Machinery**: - **Growth Factors**: Domestic and overseas growth supported by large-scale infrastructure projects and electrification [142][138] - **Sales Performance**: Heavy-duty truck sales increased by 22% year-on-year in 10M25, but a decline is anticipated in 2026 due to front-loaded demand [143][144] - **Lithium Battery Equipment**: - **Demand Growth**: Expected growth of 54% in 2025, driven by capacity expansions and the first major replacement cycle starting in 2025 [174][181] - **Market Dynamics**: Global demand for lithium battery equipment is projected to grow at approximately 30% in 2026-27 [176][181] - **Solar Equipment**: - **Cyclical Low**: The solar equipment sector is expected to remain at a cyclical low in 2026 due to global overcapacity and single-digit growth in installations [182][186] - **Shift to Semi Equipment**: Companies are diversifying into non-solar lineups to mitigate downturns in solar demand [183][186] Financial Metrics - **Return on Equity (ROE)**: Mixed trends across subsectors, with improvements expected in automation and lithium battery equipment, while solar equipment shows erosion [19][21] - **Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Multiples**: Most subsector valuations are above the five-year median, particularly in automation and solar equipment [13][12] Conclusion - **Investment Opportunities**: The China Industrials sector presents various investment opportunities, particularly in automation, robotics, and lithium battery equipment, while caution is advised in solar equipment due to expected downturns [6][4][182]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant increase in performance for Q3 2025, benefiting from improved industry conditions and a low base from the previous year. The overall profitability remains robust, with traditional sectors gaining market share and breakthroughs in emerging fields such as humanoid robots and high-end equipment. The embodied intelligence business is expected to continue contributing to revenue and performance growth [2][6][14]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.3 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12.57%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 160 million, up 11.01%, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 155 million, an increase of 9.16%. In Q3 2025 alone, revenue reached 409 million, a year-on-year increase of 23.21%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 41 million, up 47.62% [6][14]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a gross margin of 39.74%, a slight decrease of 0.22 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin improved to 10.20%, an increase of 1.39 percentage points year-on-year. The overall expense ratio decreased by 0.7 percentage points year-on-year, indicating strong cost control capabilities despite increased expenses due to stock incentive plans [14]. Business Development - The company is making significant strides in humanoid robots and high-end equipment, with core components such as joint modules and motors gaining traction in the market. Hundreds of robot companies and module manufacturers are testing and using the company's products, which have received widespread market recognition. The company has secured several large commercial orders for its products, including the dexterous hand series, which is expected to see rapid sales growth [14]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 254 million and 312 million in 2025 and 2026, respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 51x and 42x. The outlook remains positive for the humanoid robot business, supported by the company's strong hardware and operational control capabilities [14].