Core Insights - Nvidia has experienced significant changes in demand due to the rise of AI, particularly with the launch of ChatGPT, leading to a shift in its customer base from PC gamers to data centers that require high computing power [2][4] - The pricing of Nvidia's chips has surged, with the latest GB200 Blackwell Superchip priced at up to $70,000, resulting in operating margins increasing to 62% from pre-ChatGPT levels [3][5] - Analysts project Nvidia's profits could triple by 2028, potentially increasing its justified share value to around $250 [5] Nvidia's Market Position - Nvidia's stock has risen dramatically, but it is considered expensive with only a 32% upside to fair value from current levels [5] - The company has a history of volatility, having fallen at least 50% in 13 of the 26 years since going public [2] Competitors and Alternatives - Broadcom is recognized as a leader in custom AI accelerator chips, but its stock has also risen significantly, limiting future gains [7][8] - Marvell Technology is highlighted as a competitor with substantial upside potential, trading at a lower price-to-sales ratio compared to Broadcom, with projections of a 76% upside [9][10] Semiconductor Industry Dynamics - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) is a key player in the semiconductor industry, producing advanced chips for major companies like Nvidia and Apple [14] - TSMC has a monopoly on 4-nanometer chip production, achieving high yields compared to competitors like Samsung [16][17] - TSMC's revenue is expected to grow in the mid-20% range annually, with AI revenues projected to increase by 50% annually [18] Government Investment and Future Trends - The U.S. government is heavily investing in semiconductor technology, with TSMC receiving significant grants and loans for domestic chip manufacturing [21] - There is a focus on six core sectors for future government funding, including semiconductors, as part of a broader strategy to maintain technological leadership [22][24]

J P M O R G A N Europe Equity Research 20 January 2026 This material is neither intended to be distributed to Mainland China investors nor to provide securities investment consultancy services within the territory of Mainland China. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. EMEA Mining China Economics - Ten questions about China in 2026 JPM Asia Pacific Economic Research (led by Jahangir Aziz) published a detailed assessment o ...

Core Insights - Lumentum Holdings Inc. will participate in SPIE Photonics West 2026, showcasing advanced laser solutions for manufacturing and sensing applications [1][2] - The company aims to address the increasing demands for precision, throughput, and reliability in advanced manufacturing [2] Company Overview - Lumentum is a leading designer and manufacturer of optical and photonic products, enabling optical networking and laser applications globally [3] - The company is headquartered in San Jose, California, with R&D, manufacturing, and sales offices worldwide [3] Product Highlights - The PicoBlade Core is Lumentum's latest ultrafast laser platform, delivering up to 150 watts of average power with sub-12 picosecond pulses, designed for high-throughput micromachining [4] - The NQ-Series, a new addition to the nanosecond-pulsed laser portfolio, provides up to 500 µJ pulse energy of UV light at rates up to 60 kHz, targeting next-generation processing challenges [4] - Lumentum's 3D Sensing VCSELs support a wide range of industrial and consumer applications, ensuring consistent performance and high reliability for depth sensing and object detection [4]

Core Insights - Zhengzhou Airport Economy Zone is experiencing significant growth, transforming from a small airport town into a major aviation metropolis covering 747 square kilometers with a population of 800,000 [1] Economic Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the GDP of Zhengzhou Airport Economy Zone reached 121.33 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.1% year-on-year increase [5] - The electronic information industry, led by Foxconn and Loongson, has established a trillion-yuan ecosystem, producing over 1.2 billion smartphones at Foxconn's Zhengzhou plant, making it the world's largest smart terminal manufacturing base [5] - The new energy vehicle industry, led by BYD, is valued at over 100 billion yuan, producing a new energy vehicle every 50 seconds and a power battery cell every 3 seconds, with cumulative output value exceeding 170 billion yuan [6] - Cross-border e-commerce transactions have surpassed 25.8 billion yuan annually [6] Infrastructure and Connectivity - The zone features a globally integrated super hub with "four ports in synergy" (airport, rail port, road port, and seaport) and extends the "Four Silk Roads" of air, land, digital, and sea [4] - Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport's northern cargo zone has established 64 all-cargo routes connecting over 30 countries, with cumulative air cargo volume exceeding 1 million tons [4] - China-Europe freight trains from Zhengzhou International Land Port reach Europe in just 15 days, enhancing trade efficiency [4] Business Environment - The establishment of a market-oriented, law-based, and internationalized business environment has made Zhengzhou Airport Economy Zone a preferred location for enterprises [7] - The zone aims to accelerate the development of five major centers, including advanced manufacturing and commerce-logistics, inviting global business leaders to participate in its growth [7]

Core Viewpoint - Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. has successfully completed a private placement with an institutional investor, raising approximately US$6.14 million to support its transition into AI-driven industrial technology and advanced manufacturing initiatives [1][4]. Funding Details - The investor acquired 1,000,000 ordinary shares at a price of US$6.14 per share, reflecting the closing price on December 5, 2025, resulting in total gross proceeds of US$6.14 million before fees and expenses [2]. Use of Proceeds - The net proceeds from the offering will be utilized for general corporate and working capital purposes, specifically to support the development of an AI and semiconductor-focused gigafactory, expansion of AI/HPC infrastructure platforms, and capital markets activities through Chaince Securities, LLC [4][8]. Company Overview - Chaince Digital Holdings Inc. focuses on digital finance and technology, emphasizing tokenization, on-chain innovation, and regulated brokerage services. The company aims to connect traditional financial markets with the digital asset economy through compliant and scalable infrastructure [6].

Industry Trends & Demands - The economy is energy-thirsty, with significant demand on the electric grid due to AI data center projects [1] - Electrification demand in the market cannot be met without manufacturers like Alamo, a large bushing manufacturer [2] - Demand for electricity throughout North America has never been greater [5] Workforce & Manufacturing - There is a shortage of engineers as manufacturing scales up across the US [4] - Manufacturing requires mechanical, quality engineers, and overall workforce support [1] - Hitachi is a premier manufacturing operation in West Tennessee [6] Education & Partnerships - Collaboration between manufacturers and educational institutions is crucial for success [4] - Union University in Jackson, Tennessee, has a strong engineering program and partners closely with manufacturers [5] - Mentorship programs, like the one between Susie and Oscar, are vital for developing talent [3] Location & Community - West Tennessee is at the center of conversations about the future of energy, advanced manufacturing, and education [4] - Jackson, Tennessee, offers a desirable lifestyle for young engineers with social opportunities [6] - The community at Hitachi feels like family [2] Operational Excellence - Alamo achieved zero downtime yesterday [2]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience a favorable cross-year trend supported by new policy deployments, with a focus on TMT and advanced manufacturing sectors, while defensive and consumer sectors may be considered if external factors lead to short-term market fluctuations [6][7]. Market Performance - Most major A-share indices saw gains this week, with the ChiNext Index, Sci-Tech 50, and CSI 500 leading in growth, while the Shanghai Composite, SSE 50, and CSI 300 experienced declines [4]. - The mid-cap growth style outperformed, with significant sector performance variation; telecommunications and defense industries showed strong gains, while coal and oil sectors faced declines [4]. Important Events Review - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized a "steady progress and quality improvement" approach, continuing with a "more proactive fiscal policy" and "moderately loose monetary policy" [5]. - Economic data showed a year-on-year growth of 8.5% in social financing stock by the end of November, with the CPI rising by 0.7% [5]. - Internationally, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points and initiated a short-term Treasury purchase program, while Japan's GDP contracted by 2.3% year-on-year in Q3 [5][7]. Policy Outlook - The new policy measures are expected to bolster market confidence and attract various types of capital inflows, with historical trends indicating strong A-share performance during the initial years of the 13th and 14th Five-Year Plans [7].

Joining us now is Virginia Governor Glenn Yncan. Governor Yncan, it's great to have you. Welcome.>> Great. Sarah, thank you for being with me. And this was a big announcement today because it it directly uh attacks a supply chain failure in America, which is for rare earth magnets.The the entire rare earth element supply chains dominated by China. And this announcement with one of our great allies in South Korea, LS Cable and System will in fact meet that need here in Virginia. But we've had a big week, Sar ...

Group 1 - The Apple Manufacturing Academy, in collaboration with Michigan State University, opened in August and has provided training to over 80 businesses across the U.S. [3] - A new virtual program has been developed to help business owners and entrepreneurs enhance their domestic manufacturing capabilities through an on-demand digital learning platform [4] - The online training is the first phase of the Apple Manufacturing Academy curriculum and will expand over time [4] Group 2 - Apple's COO stated that the online curriculum will enable more businesses and workers to gain expertise, thereby enhancing U.S. competitiveness in advanced manufacturing [5] - The Apple Manufacturing Academy is part of a broader commitment by Apple to invest $600 billion in the U.S. over the next four years to strengthen the domestic advanced manufacturing sector [6] - The new online courses cover topics such as automation, predictive maintenance, quality control optimization, and machine learning, along with professional development training [8]

Summary of J.P. Morgan's 2026 China Economic Outlook Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Chinese economy** and its outlook for 2026, highlighting challenges and opportunities in various sectors. Key Economic Forecasts - **Real GDP Growth**: Expected to slow from **4.9% in 2025** to **4.4% in 2026** [2][5][22] - **Nominal GDP Growth**: Forecasted at **4.0% in 2025** and **4.2% in 2026** [2][5] - **CPI Inflation**: Projected to rise to **0.6% in 2026** from **0.0% in 2025** [2][5] - **PPI Deflation**: Expected to persist, with a forecast of **-1.3% in 2026** [2][5] - **Policy Rate**: Anticipated to remain stable around **1.4%** [2] Core Insights - **Economic Resilience**: Despite trade war fears, China's economy showed resilience in 2025, with exports and fiscal expansion supporting growth [5][6][9] - **Deflationary Pressures**: Production continues to outpace demand, leading to intensified deflation and a decline in nominal GDP growth to **4.3%** [5][7] - **Investment Trends**: Investment growth is expected to recover, particularly in high-tech manufacturing, but real estate investment is projected to contract by another **10%** [5][40] - **Consumption Growth**: Modest consumption growth is anticipated, with limited support from subsidies and transfers [5][26][33] Policy and Structural Changes - **15th Five-Year Plan**: Emphasizes advanced manufacturing and technology indigenization, with a lukewarm approach to services [13][14] - **Fiscal Policy**: A fiscal impulse of **0.4-0.5% of GDP** is expected, with total bond issuance reaching **14.5 trillion yuan** in 2026 [5][66] - **Monetary Policy**: The PBOC is expected to implement measured monetary easing, including rate cuts and RRR adjustments [70][78] Trade and Export Dynamics - **Export Growth**: Expected to moderate to **3.4% in 2026**, with net exports contributing less to GDP growth [49][48] - **US-China Trade Relations**: The fragile truce in trade relations may impact future export dynamics, with tariffs likely remaining elevated [18][20][51] Risks and Challenges - **Downside Risks**: Include potential bankruptcies due to anti-involution measures, further deterioration in the housing market, and renewed US-China tensions [89] - **Upside Potential**: Larger-than-expected fiscal expansion and stronger policy shifts towards consumption could enhance growth prospects [89] Additional Considerations - **Household Consumption**: Remains low due to high savings rates driven by job insecurity and a weak social safety net [30][33] - **Investment Recovery**: Uneven, with public investment expected to outpace private investment, particularly in high-tech sectors [39][40] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and forecasts from J.P. Morgan's 2026 China Economic Outlook, providing a comprehensive overview of the anticipated economic landscape.