August 24, 2025 07:49 PM GMT Key Takeaways Following the World Robot Conference (Aug 8-12) and the World Humanoid Robot Games (Aug 15-17) in Beijing, Agibot (private) held its first partner conference on August 21 in Shanghai. We share our key takeaways below: Humanoids | Asia Pacific Adoption, Platform, Ecosystem and More (continued in next section) | M Adoption, Platform, Ecosystem and More | Sheng Zhong Equity Analyst Sheng.Zhong@morganstanley.com Carlos.Chai@morganstanley.com | +852 2239-7821 +852 3963- ...

Summary of Sanhua Intelligent Controls Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050.HK/002050.SZ) - **Industry**: HVAC (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning) and EV (Electric Vehicle) thermal management components Key Investment Thesis - **Target Price**: Initiated H-share at Buy with a 12-month target price (TP) of HK$33.2, implying a 24% upside [1] - **Growth Forecast**: Expected revenue and net profit compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19% from 2025 to 2030 [1][3] - **Humanoid Robot Actuators**: Projected to contribute 25% of total revenue and 18% of net profit by 2030, leveraging existing mechanical and electrical expertise [1][23] Core Business Performance - **HVAC Segment Growth**: Forecasted to grow at an 11% CAGR from 2025E to 2030E, driven by: - 19% CAGR in commercial HVAC due to market share gains and sensor product ramp-up - 3% CAGR in residential HVAC, slightly above stable global AC production [2][46] - **EV Thermal Management**: Expected to grow at a 14% CAGR from 2025E to 2030E, supported by increased global EV penetration [2] Financial Metrics - **Valuation**: H-share trading at 29x 12-month forward P/E, below historical average of 31x since 2018 [19] - **Revenue Projections**: Total revenue expected to reach Rmb 73,045 million by 2030, with a 19% CAGR [21] - **Gross Margin**: Expected to stabilize around 27% through 2030 [21] Market Position and Competitive Advantages - **Market Share**: Dominant positions in HVAC components with significant shares in various product categories (e.g., 55% in 4-way reversing valves) [46] - **R&D and Manufacturing**: Agile R&D capabilities and scalable manufacturing processes, producing over 100 million motors annually [25][26] - **Global Footprint**: 20-30% of capacity outside China, enhancing supply chain resilience [27] Risks and Challenges - **Customer Concentration Risk**: High dependency on a limited number of customers [4] - **Market Growth Deceleration**: Potential slowdown in the domestic market for HVAC and automotive segments post-subsidy phase-out [4] - **Competition**: Increased competition in humanoid robot actuator assembly [4] Humanoid Robot Market Insights - **Market Potential**: Humanoid robots expected to become a widely adopted terminal device, with significant demand anticipated as costs decrease [37] - **Sanhua's Role**: Projected to hold a 70% market share in actuator assembly for humanoid robots by 2030, with revenue from this segment expected to reach Rmb 18 billion [23][34] - **Global Shipment Forecast**: Anticipated shipments of humanoid robots to reach 150,000 units by 2030 [30] Conclusion Sanhua Intelligent Controls is positioned for robust growth in both its core HVAC and EV thermal management businesses, while also capitalizing on emerging opportunities in the humanoid robot actuator market. The company's strong market position, combined with its innovative capabilities and global manufacturing footprint, supports a positive long-term outlook despite potential risks associated with market concentration and competition.

Humanoid robots are going to invade your life.They will do your laundry, walk your dog, and watch your children. https://t.co/ieaNdRAq3Z ...

Hello everyone. We've got a lot to discuss today. Inflation continues to surprise everyone and now the bears.They're all capitulating in a major way. The latest humanoid robot is going to blow your mind. It's absolutely crazy.And I'm going to share my personal thoughts on the horrific violence in New York City yesterday. We're live today from the desk of Anthony Pompiano. [Music] Ladies and gentlemen, many economists and market commentators, they predicted sky-high levels of inflation after the fury of tari ...

Core Insights - Tesla is significantly behind its goal of producing at least 5,000 Optimus humanoid robots in 2025, with production numbers only in the hundreds after nearly eight months [1] - The company reported a 12% decline in overall revenue in Q2, attributed to falling EV sales, reduced cash from regulatory credits, and a decrease in solar and energy storage sales [2] - Musk stated that Tesla aims to scale Optimus production to a million units per year within five years, although previous ambitious projections have not been met [3] Group 1 - Tesla's production of Optimus robots is lagging, necessitating either an increase in output or a deadline extension [1] - The decline in revenue is linked to multiple factors, including a drop in electric vehicle sales and other revenue streams [2] - Musk's optimistic production targets for Optimus robots echo past ambitious claims that have not materialized [3] Group 2 - The company plans to start production on the latest Optimus 3 design by early next year [2] - Musk's previous projections regarding robotaxis have not been fulfilled, raising questions about the feasibility of current targets [3] - The goal of reaching a million units per year is seen as a reasonable aspiration, despite past failures to meet similar goals [3]

Core Insights - Tesla has initiated production of a more affordable model and anticipates volume production in the latter half of the year [1] - The company experienced a significant quarterly revenue decline of 12%, marking the steepest drop in over a decade, attributed to intense competition from lower-priced electric vehicles and backlash against CEO Elon Musk's political views [1][4][5] Revenue Performance - Revenue for the April-June quarter decreased to $22.5 billion from $25.5 billion in the same period last year, falling short of analysts' expectations of $22.74 billion [2] - This marks the second consecutive quarterly revenue drop, despite the launch of a refreshed version of the Model Y SUV, which was anticipated to boost demand [3] Strategic Initiatives - A significant portion of Tesla's valuation is reliant on its robotaxi service, which began a small trial in Austin, Texas, last month, and the development of humanoid robots [3] - Concerns are rising regarding Musk's ability to focus on Tesla amidst his political engagements, including the formation of a new political party [5][6] Executive Changes - The company is facing challenges due to high-profile executive departures, including a key confidant of Musk who managed sales and manufacturing in North America and Europe [6]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "In-Line" [6] Core Insights - The humanoid robot market is experiencing strong demand, with companies like UBTECH, Agibot, and Unitree announcing significant orders and contracts [2][3][8] - There is an expectation for more adoption announcements in the second half of 2025, driven by advancements in technology and a push from both companies and government for humanoid adoption [8] Summary by Relevant Sections - **UBTECH's Tiangong Walker**: Received orders for approximately 100 units and expects to deliver over 300 units in 2025, with over 60% of orders for premium versions [2] - **Agibot and Unitree Contract**: Awarded a Rmb124 million humanoid robot contract from China Mobile, with Agibot receiving Rmb78 million for full-size robots and Unitree Rmb46 million for smaller robots and accessories [3] - **Market Trends**: The focus is shifting from new model announcements to tracking adoption progress, indicating a maturation of the market and a potential for a virtuous cycle in humanoid technology [8]

Investment Rating - The report provides an "In-Line" investment rating for the automotive sensing equipment market, indicating a balanced outlook for the sector [9]. Core Insights - The automotive CMOS image sensor (CIS) market is experiencing a significant growth phase driven by advancements in automotive electronic control unit (ECU) integration and the increasing demand for high-resolution CMOS image sensors, particularly for advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) [2][3][14]. - The report forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21% for the high-resolution image sensor market (over 5MP) from 2025 to 2030, compared to a 5% CAGR for the overall automotive image sensor market [3][16]. - Major players in the high-res CIS market include Sony Group, Samsung Electronics, and Will Semiconductor, with Will Semiconductor expected to expand its market share significantly by 2025 [5][30]. Summary by Sections I. Summary and Investment Conclusions - The automotive imaging sensor market is at an inflection point, with a forecasted increase in camera module content per vehicle from 3.8 units in 2024 to over 10 units by 2030, driven by the integration of high-resolution CMOS sensors in ADAS [15][56]. II. Automotive Sensing Equipment Market - The demand for automotive sensing equipment is steadily growing, with a focus on enhancing ADAS performance through improved sensor integration and technology [42][48]. III. Tech Trend in ADAS Camera - The report highlights the transition to integrated ECUs using system-on-chip (SoC) technology, which is expected to reduce costs and increase the number of sensing modules installed per vehicle [61][65]. IV. Road to Humanoids - The sensing technologies developed for ADAS are anticipated to form the foundation for future humanoid applications, with CMOS image sensors playing a crucial role in visual information acquisition [6][40]. V. Automotive CMOS Image Sensor Market - The report projects that high-resolution CIS will account for over 30% of total automotive CIS shipments by FY28, significantly impacting industry revenue [16][25]. VI. Main CIS Makers - Key players in the automotive CIS market include Sony, onsemi, Will Semiconductor, and Samsung Electronics, with varying strategies and market positions influencing their growth potential [30][35][36]. VII. CIS Process Technology and Capacity - The report discusses the technological barriers in high-res CIS production, which limit the number of suppliers and highlight the competitive landscape among existing manufacturers [4][23].

Core Insights - Tesla's vice president of Optimus robotics, Milan Kovac, has announced his departure from the company after an eight-year tenure, expressing gratitude towards CEO Elon Musk and optimism for Tesla's future [1][2]. Company Developments - Tesla is developing the Optimus robot with plans to begin builds on its Fremont pilot production line in 2025, aiming for broader deployment of robots in factory settings [3]. - During the 2024 annual shareholder meeting, Musk projected that humanoid robots could significantly increase Tesla's market capitalization to $25 trillion at an unspecified future date [3]. Technological Advancements - Currently, Tesla is training its Optimus systems to perform basic tasks such as picking up objects, opening doors, and throwing balls, indicating progress in the development of the robot [4]. - Competitors in the robotics space include Boston Dynamics, Agility Robotics, Apptronik, 1X, and Figure, highlighting a competitive landscape for Tesla's Optimus initiative [4].

Core Viewpoint - The relationship between Tesla and the Trump administration has deteriorated significantly, leading to a sharp decline in Tesla's stock value and raising concerns about the company's future prospects and governance [3][4][14]. Group 1: Company Performance - Tesla shares fell 14% in one day, erasing approximately $152 billion in market value, marking the largest single-day loss in the company's history [3][4]. - The company reported a 9% decline in revenue year-over-year for the first quarter, with auto revenue dropping 20% due to increased competition and consumer backlash against Trump's political activities [8][19]. - Tesla's deliveries in the U.S. are tracking lower, with European sales experiencing a 50% year-over-year decline in April and a double-digit drop in May [19]. Group 2: Leadership and Governance - Elon Musk's term as a special government employee ended after 130 days, during which he criticized Trump's spending bill, leading to a public feud [2][3]. - Public officials and pension funds have called for stronger governance at Tesla, emphasizing the need for leadership focused on the company's interests rather than personal political agendas [14][15]. - Analysts have expressed skepticism about Tesla's future, citing Musk's polarizing behavior as a potential threat to the brand and its value [15][27]. Group 3: Market and Competitive Landscape - Tesla is facing increased competition from lower-cost EV manufacturers, particularly in China, which has impacted its market position [8][19]. - The company has struggled to introduce innovative and affordable new EV models, while competitors like BYD have gained significant market share [18]. - Concerns over tariffs and regulatory support from the government have been exacerbated by the fallout between Musk and Trump, potentially affecting Tesla's cost structure and future growth [13][27]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Musk is urging investors to focus on long-term goals related to autonomous vehicles and robotics, despite current challenges in the core business [21][22]. - The upcoming launch of a small fleet of driverless ride-hailing services in Austin is seen as a critical step for Tesla, although the company has missed several deadlines in the past [21][22]. - Analysts have lowered their price targets for Tesla, reflecting a cautious outlook for 2025 amid ongoing challenges [19].