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金融有力支持经济回升向好
Jing Ji Ri Bao· 2025-12-13 01:20
原标题:金融有力支持经济回升向好 中国人民银行12月12日公布的11月金融统计数据报告显示,广义货币供应量(M_2)和社会融资规 模增速均保持在较高水平;贷款规模保持合理增长,信贷结构持续优化;贷款利率保持在历史低位水 平。 金融总量合理增长有支撑 清华大学国家金融研究院院长田轩表示,中长期来看,贷款增速回落是经济新旧动能转换在金融领 域的反映,一方面是传统领域的信贷需求有所降温,另一方面是新的经济增长点较少依赖银行贷款。旧 的信贷缺口难以被新的信贷需求完全填补,导致当前贷款增速出现趋势性放缓,这也是经济向高质量发 展转型在信贷领域的反映。 宏观政策协同发力 "货币政策和财政政策的协调配合十分重要。今年央行继续综合施策维护资金面平稳,保持流动性 充裕,有力支持了政府债券的顺利发行。"田轩表示,今年以来,我国宏观政策逆周期调节力度加大, 财政政策积极发力,加力支持实体经济效果明显。 在促消费、调结构等方面,财政政策与货币政策也在协同发力。王青认为,今年的消费贷款贴息政 策就是很好的体现。对消费贷款贴息,降低贷款利率是减轻居民融资消费负担的一种方式,既体现了金 融体系的融资支持,也是财政资金对居民消费的投入。 《 ...
前11月社融增量超33万亿元 金融有力支持经济回升向好
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-12 23:20
中国人民银行12月12日公布的11月金融统计数据报告显示,广义货币供应量(M_2)和社会融资规模增 速均保持在较高水平;贷款规模保持合理增长,信贷结构持续优化;贷款利率保持在历史低位水平。 "货币政策和财政政策的协调配合十分重要。今年央行继续综合施策维护资金面平稳,保持流动性充 裕,有力支持了政府债券的顺利发行。"田轩表示,今年以来,我国宏观政策逆周期调节力度加大,财 政政策积极发力,加力支持实体经济效果明显。 贷款量稳价降质效提升 11月末,人民币各项贷款余额271万亿元,同比增长6.4%。同时,贷款利率保持在历史低位水平:11月 份企业新发放贷款(本外币)加权平均利率约为3.1%,比上年同期低约30个基点;个人住房新发放贷 款(本外币)加权平均利率约为3.1%,比上年同期低约3个基点。 目前,社会融资规模、M_2增速保持在8%左右,相比之下贷款增速略低,既体现了多元化融资方式对 银行贷款的替代,也与地方化债和中小银行改革化险的下拉作用有关。有研究测算,去年以来,地方政 府发行4万亿元特殊再融资债券,其中约六到七成用于偿还银行贷款,对当前贷款增速的下拉影响超过1 个百分点。此外,今年金融机构贷款核销的规模也 ...
不宜过度炒作单月信贷数据波动
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-18 20:52
Group 1 - The financial performance in July shows that social financing scale and broad money (M_2) growth rates remain high, indicating a moderately loose monetary policy stance [1] - The year-on-year growth of RMB loans at the end of July is 6.9%, which has decreased compared to the previous month, raising concerns about support for the real economy [1] - July is traditionally a low month for credit, as banks tend to push credit growth forward to achieve better performance metrics by the end of June [1] Group 2 - The growth rate of bond financing in China is currently faster than that of credit financing, with direct financing's share in the social financing scale gradually increasing, optimizing the financing structure [2] - The rise in direct financing is beneficial for meeting the diversified financing needs of enterprises, moving away from a reliance on bank credit [2] - Financial institutions are shifting their focus from scale and growth to service and precision, which will enhance the quality and sustainability of financial support for the real economy [2] Group 3 - The accelerated issuance of government bonds has created a substitution effect for loans, while active fiscal policies are expected to stimulate total demand and increase credit demand in the long run [3] - Monthly loan data alone is insufficient to accurately reflect economic activity or the extent of financial support for the real economy, and there should be no excessive focus on monthly fluctuations [3] - Financial institutions need to adapt to the changing economic structure, as traditional credit demand decreases while new momentum sectors see increased demand [3]