June 15, 2025 03:05 PM GMT Chagee Holdings Ltd | Asia Pacific China Consumption Trip Takeaways Key Takeaways Near-term trend: Unit GMV in China sequentially improved in May vs. Apr driven by healthy new SKU sales, increasing delivery orders and better seasonality. Food aggregator subsidies have disrupted the company's product pricing in the short term. Chagee is focusing on strengthening its products and branding rather than relying on food aggregator promotions, but needs to monitor the impact to its busin ...

Asia Pacific Equity Research 28 May 2025 Anta Sports (2020) Overweight Global China Summit 2025 takeaways: 2025 guidance maintained; channel checks; maintain OW ▲ Anta joined our China Summit on 22 May, and we also conducted channel checks in Shanghai Grand Gateway 66. Our key takeaways: 1) 2Q-to-date continued the solid 1Q trend (see our 1Q report) with healthy inventory (Anta/Fila at c5 months), though discounts are likely to deepen in May (vs. Apr) due to the 18 Jun events. 2) 2025 retail sell-through gu ...

Core Insights - Noah Holdings Limited reported a strong recovery in profitability for Q1 2025, with non-GAAP net income increasing by 27.4% sequentially to RMB 168.8 million (US$23.3 million) and operating income rising 35.2% to RMB 186.0 million (US$25.6 million), resulting in an operating margin of 30.3% [1][3] - The company continues to face challenges from a volatile global macroeconomic environment and low-interest rates in mainland China, which have affected sentiment among Chinese high-net-worth investors (HNWIs) and overall topline growth [2][4] - Noah's CAPEX-light strategy has allowed it to maintain profitability and generate solid cash flow during its restructuring phase, while also making significant progress in building its sales teams and global infrastructure [2][3] Financial Performance - Total net revenues for the quarter were RMB 614.6 million (US$84.7 million), down 5.7% from the previous quarter and 5.4% year-over-year, primarily due to a decrease in insurance product distribution and RMB-denominated private equity service fees [4] - Overseas revenues grew by 5.0% sequentially to RMB 304.2 million (US$41.9 million), now accounting for nearly 50% of total net revenues, indicating successful overseas expansion efforts [4][6] - Operating costs and expenses were reduced by 16.7% sequentially and 18.8% year-over-year to RMB 428.6 million (US$59.1 million), driven by significant cuts in compensation and benefits [5] Overseas Expansion - Revenue from overseas investment products increased by 20.3% year-over-year, despite a 22.8% decline in overseas insurance sales [6] - USD-denominated assets under management rose 14.2% year-over-year to US$5.9 billion, while assets under advisory increased by 8.7% to US$9.1 billion [6] - The overseas relationship management team expanded by 44% year-over-year to 131, contributing to revenue growth, with a new office opened in Japan and ongoing exploration of opportunities in the US, Southeast Asia, and Canada [7] Domestic Restructuring - Domestic net revenues decreased to RMB 310.4 million, down 14.3% from the previous quarter and 9.4% year-over-year, attributed to weaker insurance distribution and lower private equity service fees [8] - Transaction value for RMB-denominated private secondary products surged 257.7% year-over-year to RMB 3.3 billion, with associated revenue contribution rising 9.4% year-over-year [8][9] Shareholder Returns - The company is prioritizing shareholder interests with a US$50 million share buyback program, having repurchased over 1.3 million ADSs to date [10] - Plans to distribute RMB 550 million in annual and special dividends in July 2025, equating to 100% of 2024's non-GAAP net income attributable to shareholders, resulting in an 11% dividend yield at current prices [10] Strategic Priorities and Outlook - In 2025, the company aims to balance quality and quantity of growth overseas while ensuring compliance with local regulations, focusing on CAPEX-light strategies to drive expansion [12] - Investments in AI and technology are planned to enhance online service capabilities, alongside diversifying the product suite to meet evolving client needs [12] - The company is well-positioned for sustainable, profitable growth throughout 2025 and beyond, supported by a robust balance sheet and deepening overseas presence [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a BUY rating for the company with a target price of USD 159.87 per ADS, indicating a potential upside of 48% from the closing price of USD 107.71 as of May 28, 2025 [1][8]. Core Insights - The company's 1Q25 revenue reached HKD 4.7 billion, representing an 81% year-over-year increase, while attributable net profit was HKD 2.1 billion, up 107% year-over-year. This growth is attributed to accelerated overseas customer acquisition and increased stock trading turnover in Hong Kong and the US [1]. - The company acquired 260,000 new registered users in 1Q25, achieving one-third of its 2025 target of 800,000. The primary source of new clients was Hong Kong, driven by H-share rebounds and an IPO boom [2]. - The turnover rate for client assets reached a new high of 16.4x, with total client assets amounting to HKD 829.8 billion, reflecting a 60% year-over-year increase [3]. - The company has launched several innovative services, including an AI-driven investment assistant and fractional share trading, enhancing its product competitiveness and supporting overseas customer acquisition [4]. - Earnings forecasts have been revised upwards, projecting attributable net profits of HKD 7.5 billion for 2025, with an EPS of HKD 6.52, reflecting a significant increase from previous estimates [5]. Financial Summary - The company is expected to generate revenues of HKD 18.024 billion in 2025, with a net profit attributable of HKD 7.453 billion, marking a 36.92% increase compared to 2024 [12][17]. - The projected PE ratio for 2025 is 16.17, which is in line with the average of its peers [12][17]. - The company’s market capitalization is approximately USD 14.996 billion, with an average daily trading volume of USD 262.95 million over the past six months [8].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" (OW) rating to several companies, including Huaming Equipment, Xuji Electric, and Goldcup Electric, indicating a positive outlook for their performance [7][18]. Core Insights - Chinese power equipment companies are experiencing significant overseas market share gains, with Huaming projecting over 30-35% revenue growth from international markets and Sanxing Medical reporting a 38% year-over-year increase in overseas revenue [2][4]. - The demand for power equipment is strong from both developed markets (DMs) like the US and EU, as well as emerging markets (EMs), with companies like Huaming and Sanxing planning to establish manufacturing facilities abroad to mitigate geopolitical risks [2][4]. - Local manufacturers are gradually increasing their market share in the data center sector, although foreign companies still dominate due to their established reputations for quality [6][4]. Summary by Sections Overseas Market Expansion - Huaming anticipates continued tightness in high voltage transformer supply, benefiting tap changer manufacturers, and expects overseas revenue growth of approximately 30-35% [4]. - Sanxing Medical Electric has seen a 38% increase in overseas revenue and a 27% growth in order backlog, with significant new orders for advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) [4][5]. Competitive Advantages of Chinese Manufacturers - Chinese manufacturers like Huaming stand out due to shorter lead times (4-6 weeks compared to over 12 months for competitors) and significantly lower average selling prices (ASP) [4][5]. - High levels of automation in manufacturing processes, with Sanxing achieving around 90% automation in its power meter plants, enhance efficiency and competitiveness [5]. Data Center Equipment Demand - Liangxin Electrical is witnessing rising demand for its products in the data center sector, although foreign brands still dominate due to their reliability [6]. - The company is optimistic about increasing acceptance of local products among state-owned enterprises (SOEs), which could lead to greater market share for domestic manufacturers [6]. Domestic Demand for Power Equipment - Huaming is optimistic about domestic demand for tap changers, projecting over 10% revenue growth, while Sanxing acknowledges competitive pressures in the domestic market [6]. - Liangxin Electrical expects a 20% revenue growth overall, driven by strong demand from the renewable energy sector and data centers, despite caution regarding the property sector [6].

28 May 2025 | 10:51PM HKT Meituan (3690.HK): NDR highlights: Focusing on defending food delivery market share leadership and Keeta overseas expansion; Buy We hosted Meituan's Capital Markets team with investors on May 28. Investors' key focuses centered around Meituan's food delivery competitive landscape and impact on market structure/unit economics longer-term, In-store competition & margin trajectory, Instashopping's growth & eventual profit potential, and Keeta's expansion in the Middle East, LatAm regi ...

Core Insights - Meituan reported 1Q25 revenue of RMB86.6 billion, an 18% year-over-year increase, exceeding both internal forecasts and Bloomberg consensus estimates by 1% [1] - Adjusted net profit reached RMB10.9 billion, up 46% year-over-year, and was 12-13% higher than forecasts [1] - The core local commerce (CLC) segment generated RMB64.3 billion in revenue and RMB13.5 billion in operating profit, reflecting 18% and 39% year-over-year growth, respectively [2] Financial Performance - The operating profit for the CLC segment was 10% better than consensus estimates, primarily driven by the food delivery (FD) business due to user subsidy optimization [1] - Revenue from new initiatives was RMB22.2 billion, up 19% year-over-year, with an operating loss of RMB2.3 billion, which narrowed from RMB2.8 billion in 1Q24 [3] - The company expects solid revenue and earnings growth in the in-store hotel & travel (ISHT) segment to mitigate investment impacts in the short term [2] Strategic Initiatives - Meituan is actively responding to increasing competition in the food delivery and instant retail markets, aiming to maintain market share [2] - The company is committed to investing in international expansion to drive long-term revenue and earnings growth [1] - For 2Q25, revenue for new initiatives is estimated to grow by 21.5% year-over-year, driven by grocery retail and overseas FD business [3] Forecast Adjustments - Revenue and adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been lowered by 1-2% and 11-21%, respectively, to account for additional investments in the FD business and overseas expansion [1] - The DCF-based target price was reduced by 9% to HK$181.6, translating into a 25x 2025E adjusted PE [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a year-over-year decline of 41% in net revenues, totaling $34.9 million compared to the same period last year [6] - A net loss of $1.64 million was reported, contrasting with a net income of $9.8 million in the same period last year [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The battery business experienced a significant decline, with net revenue dropping 54.6% to $20.36 million from $44.84 million in the prior year [6] - The electric vehicle business saw an increase of 11.9%, while the light electric vehicle segment grew by 88.4% [7] - The home energy storage business faced a decline of 60.4% [7] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Nanjing facility maintained strong growth, producing the competitive model 32,140, while the Dalian facility is undergoing a product portfolio upgrade [8] - The production line for model 32,140 in Nanjing is running at full capacity to meet robust market demand [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is transitioning from the outdated model 26,650 to the promising model 41,35, with construction of the new manufacturing line expected to be completed in the second half of the year [7][8] - Plans to establish an overseas manufacturing facility in Southeast Asia are underway, driven by customer demand [10][11] - A dedicated manufacturing line in Southeast Asia is planned to support a large-scale four-year order, expected to begin production by mid-next year [12][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management anticipates a significant recovery beginning next year once the Dalian facility upgrades are completed and model 41,35 is launched [13][14] - The company remains committed to maintaining a healthy gross margin to support the recovery of net income [14] Other Important Information - The company has reached an agreement in principle with a major customer for a high-volume purchase agreement, which includes substantial prepayments [11] - The decision to expand into Southeast Asia is entirely customer-driven, with favorable terms being negotiated [10][25] Q&A Session Summary Question: Confirmation of expansion goals for Dalian and Nanjing - The capacity for the Dalian facility remains at 2.3 gigawatt hours, with construction expected to be completed by June, while the Nanjing project will have a capacity of 1.5 gigawatt hours due to relocation of an assembly line [18][19] Question: Confidence in cylindrical cells for storage - The main market is home energy storage, where cylindrical cells are preferred due to design requirements for high voltage applications [20][22] Question: Demand pull from portable energy customers - Customers are seeking solutions to relocate manufacturing lines overseas, driven by tariff considerations, with ongoing negotiations for favorable terms [25][26]

16 May 2025 | 2:24AM HKT NetEase Inc. (NTES) Buy Earnings Review: 1Q clean beat and rising growth visibility for 2025; Raise TP, Buy | NTES | 12m Price Target: $140.00 | Price: $107.11 | Upside: 30.7% | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9999.HK | 12m Price Target: HK$219.00 | Price: HK$168.10 | Upside: 30.3% | NetEase delivered a clean beat across revenue/GP/OP line in 1Q25, with Game revenue up 15% and OP up 34% yoy. We believe this set of results should ease investors' concern over its legacy/mobile games weakn ...

新生AI应用ChatGPT、DeepSeek，植入AI能力的传统办公软件Microsoft Word、WPS，都在推动行业增 长，提升使用者的办公效率。 全新格局之下，一批嗅觉灵敏的软件企业正依靠自身的场景和沉淀，借助新的风潮，挖掘海外巨大的潜 藏增量。 软件出海新浪潮，携手AI本土化落地 全球AI竞赛从大模型进入应用层，办公和生产力方向的SaaS应用是全球公认的主流AI落地场景之一。 在全球AI接受度最高的东南亚地区，具备AI功能的文本/信息编辑类App下载量排名第二，仅次于AI图 片处理App。 全球AI爆发与中国企业出海浪潮叠加，正加速中国软件企业走向海外。 近日，金山办公CEO章庆元在媒体活动中表示，出海是金山办公的核心战略之一，未来公司都将持续投 入国际化。 中国软件出海由来已久，既有跟随中国大基建企业进驻海外国家的用友、华为等IT厂商，也有借助海外 移动互联网爆发而起的合合信息、万兴科技、金山办公等等软件服务企业。 当前AI大模型正在改变原有秩序，创造新的生态格局。数据机构Sensor Tower报告显示，2024年，全球 生产力应用软件内购收入增速高达43%，超越了视频照片（33%）、娱乐（29 ...