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Bumble's Customer Retention Rate Slips: Is Growth Getting Harder?
ZACKS· 2025-08-25 16:15
Core Insights - Bumble (BMBL) shares fell 8% in after-hours trading following Q2 2025 earnings, highlighting customer retention issues with paying users down 8.7% to 3.8 million and revenues of $248 million, a 7.6% year-over-year decline [1][9] User Retention Challenges - Total users decreased from approximately 58 million in 2023 to 50 million by mid-2025, while paying users on the Bumble app fell 11% to 2.5 million [2] - Average revenue per paying user increased by 1% to $21.69, but this slight gain does not compensate for the loss of subscribers [2] - Management's shift towards prioritizing quality over quantity has had mixed results, with full-price payers now making up 80% of total subscribers, up from 70% in Q1, yet overall user attrition is accelerating [2] Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA rose 26% to $94.6 million, achieving a 38.1% margin due to aggressive cost-cutting measures, including a 30% workforce reduction and $100 million in expense cuts [3] - The company holds $262 million in cash and generated $71 million in quarterly cash flow [3] Future Guidance - Q3 guidance indicates further revenue decline, projected between $240 million and $248 million, reflecting a 9% to 12% year-over-year decrease [4][9] - Management did not provide full-year 2025 guidance, acknowledging the need for several quarters to rebuild momentum [4] Competitive Landscape - Match Group (MTCH) and Grindr (GRND) are experiencing similar user retention challenges, but Match Group maintains over 16 million paying users across its brands, showing greater resilience [5] - Grindr's focus on the LGBTQ+ segment may insulate it from broader market trends affecting mainstream apps, while Match Group's diversified approach helps mitigate single-app volatility [6] Share Price and Valuation - Bumble's shares have dropped 21.9% year-to-date, contrasting with the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's growth of 12.5% and the Zacks Internet - Software industry's 19.3% return [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 revenues is $244.56 million, indicating a 10.62% year-over-year decline, with earnings expected to rise 11.43% to $0.39 per share [11] - Bumble trades at a forward P/E of approximately 18.8x, significantly below the Zacks Internet - Software industry average of 38.87x [12]
X @Kraken
Kraken· 2025-08-22 18:53
Hiring Opportunities at Kraken - Kraken is hiring for its Growth Team [1] - Available positions include Product Marketing, Lifecycle, Product Growth (Onboarding, User Retention), Growth Eng, Brand Partnerships, Demand Gen Content, and Demand Gen Full Funnel Lead [1] Company Focus - Kraken seeks individuals passionate about financial freedom, velocity & decent chaos, and systems thinking [1] - The company values individuals who "live & breathe growth" [1]
Rush Street Interactive (RSI) FY Conference Transcript
2025-08-13 14:55
Rush Street Interactive (RSI) FY Conference Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Rush Street Interactive (RSI) - **Event**: FY Conference on August 13, 2025 - **Key Speakers**: Richard Schwartz (CEO), Kyle Sauers (CFO) Industry Insights - **iGaming Growth**: iGaming has been identified as the primary growth engine for the company, with growth rates reported at around 25% year-over-year in various states [8][10][12] - **Market Potential**: Only 5 US states currently allow legal online casinos, representing just 12% of the US population, compared to over 60% for sports betting, indicating significant growth potential for iGaming [12][13] - **Tax Revenue Generation**: States that legalize iGaming can generate hundreds of millions in tax revenues, as evidenced by Pennsylvania and Michigan [13][14] Company Strategy - **Technology Ownership**: RSI has developed its own technology platform, allowing for unique and differentiated gaming experiences, which is crucial for retaining customers [9][10][25] - **Customer Engagement**: The company focuses on creating a social and engaging environment for players, enhancing user experience through gamified promotional engines and community interactions [30][31] - **Live Dealer Strategy**: RSI offers a variety of live dealer games from multiple suppliers, enhancing player choice and experience [35][36] Market Performance - **User Growth**: Monthly active users in North America grew by 22%, with over 30% growth in iCasino markets [22][23] - **Revenue Growth**: The company reported a 15% year-over-year growth in sports betting, indicating a healthy performance despite lower marketing investments [75] Regional Focus - **Latin America**: The company is expanding its presence in Latin America, particularly in Colombia and Mexico, where it is gaining market share [84][85] - **Colombia's VAT Impact**: A temporary 19% VAT on deposits has affected net revenue, but gross gaming revenue has grown over 50% in the first half of the year [79][80] Regulatory Environment - **Legalization Challenges**: The company faces challenges in expanding iGaming due to various state regulations and interest groups, but financial pressures on states may lead to increased legalization efforts [46][50][52] - **Future Opportunities**: States with larger deficits and existing sports betting frameworks are seen as potential markets for iGaming legalization [60][61] Financial Guidance - **Conservative Outlook**: The company anticipates a deceleration in growth rates in the back half of the year due to tougher comparisons and existing VAT impacts in Colombia [90][92] Key Takeaways - **Unique Value Proposition**: RSI's focus on unique gaming experiences and customer trust is a significant differentiator in the competitive landscape [93][94] - **Cross-Selling Opportunities**: The introduction of poker is seen as a way to cross-sell to existing customers, enhancing overall engagement and retention [41][43] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed during the conference, highlighting the company's strategic focus, market performance, and future opportunities within the iGaming industry.