Federal Reserve rate cut
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Why next week could be brutal for the S&P 500
Finbold· 2025-09-20 11:29
Market Performance - The S&P 500 closed at 6,664, up about 0.5% for the day, extending a rally of more than 4% over the past month [1] Historical Trends - Historical data indicates that the upcoming week has often produced negative results for the S&P 500, with a win rate of just 37%, making it one of the lowest-probability weeks for gains in the entire calendar year [3][6] - The average return for this period stands at -0.86%, contrasting with most weeks across the year that lean positive [6] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points, its first reduction since late 2024, bringing the target range to 4.00%–4.25% [7] - Inflation remains a concern, with consumer prices rising 2.9% in August, complicating expectations for a looser policy stance [7] Corporate Earnings - S&P 500 companies are expected to post approximately 7.7% profit growth and 6.3% revenue growth in the third quarter, continuing a nine-quarter streak of earnings expansion [8] - Technology and financial sectors are driving gains, while energy and consumer staples are lagging [8] Market Outlook - Despite potential challenges, Wall Street remains optimistic, with projections suggesting the index could climb to the 7,000 milestone in the coming months [8]
Futures Pointing To Modestly Higher Open On Wall Street
RTTNews· 2025-09-19 12:54
The major U.S. index futures are currently pointing to a modestly higher open on Friday, with stocks poised to add to the gains posted in the previous session.The may continue to benefit from recent upward momentum, which has helped to propel the major averages to new record highs.While September is typically the worst month for stocks, the major averages have trended higher over the first few weeks of the month.Optimism about the lower interest rates has contributed to the strength on Wall Street, with th ...
Morning Bid: BOJ holds, with a hawkish twist
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-19 04:46
Group 1 - The Bank of Japan (BOJ) held its interest rates steady, with two dissenting votes indicating internal disagreements on future rate hikes [1][2] - BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's upcoming press conference is anticipated for insights on the rate outlook and plans for selling ETF and REIT holdings [2] - Asian markets, including Taiwan's benchmark index, rose following the Federal Reserve's expected rate cut, despite cautious comments from Chair Jerome Powell [3] Group 2 - The Bank for International Settlements highlighted a disconnect between record global share prices and rising concerns over government debt levels in bond markets [4] - The U.S. dollar remains steady but is expected to weaken in the near term, having already declined over 10% this year [4] - European tech stocks are in focus after Nvidia announced a $5 billion investment in Intel, supporting the struggling chipmaker [5]
Global Markets React to Central Bank Decisions, Tech Innovations, and Geopolitical Shifts
Stock Market News· 2025-09-19 02:38
Corporate News - Xiaomi (1810.HK) announced a software fix for 30,931 of its SU7 electric vehicles in China to address safety concerns related to the assisted driving system following a fatal crash involving the model earlier this year [5][10] - DeepSeek, a Chinese AI firm, revealed that its top AI model cost just $294,000 to train, significantly lower than the tens or hundreds of millions estimated for similar models by U.S. competitors, potentially reshaping the AI development cost debate [6][10] Market Developments - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan surged to a new all-time high of 45,296.21 points, marking a year-to-date gain of nearly 15% despite ongoing U.S. tariff pressures [2][10] - The Indonesian Rupiah declined by 0.3% to 16,550 per U.S. dollar, reaching its lowest level since May 15, coinciding with a downturn in the Indonesia Stock Index, which opened around 7,990 points [3][10] - Malaysia set its October Crude Palm Oil reference price at 4,268.68 RGT/Ton, maintaining a 10% export duty [7]
Meta unveils AI glasses, former Trump adviser Gary Cohn on Fed's rate cut
Youtube· 2025-09-18 14:57
Market Overview - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, signaling a cautious approach to future cuts, with no preset course for additional reductions [1][4][6] - Following the Fed's decision, the market opened positively, with the NASDAQ up approximately 0.8% and the S&P 500 up around 0.4% [1][2] - The US dollar index showed signs of recovery, bouncing off three-and-a-half-year lows, while gold futures slightly declined from record highs [1][2] Nvidia and Intel Deal - Nvidia announced a $5 billion investment in Intel, acquiring a 4% stake, which is expected to enhance Intel's capabilities in AI data centers and chip production [1][2][3] - Intel's shares surged by 25% following the announcement, while AMD's shares fell by around 5%, indicating market concerns about AMD's competitive position [1][2] - This partnership is seen as a significant boost for Intel, which has faced challenges in the AI race, and it positions Nvidia to strengthen its market dominance [2][3] Labor Market Concerns - Fed Chair Jerome Powell expressed concerns about the labor market, indicating potential weakness in upcoming non-farm payroll reports, with expectations of payroll growth under 100,000 [2][4] - Economists suggest that the labor market dynamics are changing, with immigration crackdowns contributing to supply and demand issues [2][4] - Powell's comments reflect a balancing act between achieving stable prices and full employment, with inflation remaining above the Fed's target [4][5][6] Economic Outlook - Analysts predict that sectors sensitive to interest rates, such as financials and housing, may continue to outperform as the market adjusts to the Fed's rate cuts [2][3] - The ongoing investments in chip manufacturing in the US are expected to positively impact GDP, with significant capital expenditures already being observed [3][20] - The overall economic environment remains cautious, with potential risks of a deeper downturn as the Fed navigates its dual mandate [4][12][14] Meta's Competitive Position - Meta has introduced new AI-enhanced hardware, including eyeglasses, aiming to challenge Apple's dominance in the tech space [1][3] - Despite Meta's innovations, analysts believe Apple still holds a significant advantage with its extensive installed base and ecosystem [3][20]
Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) Soars to New High on Rate Cut, US Expansion
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-18 14:46
Core Insights - Opendoor Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:OPEN) reached a new all-time high following a 25-basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and plans for nationwide expansion [1][3][4] Group 1: Stock Performance - Opendoor's stock hit a 52-week high of $10.87 before closing at $10.21, reflecting a 14.46% increase for the day [2] Group 2: Market Impact - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is expected to positively impact the residential market, which is sensitive to interest rates, potentially increasing borrowing from homebuyers [3] Group 3: Company Developments - Under new management, Opendoor plans to expand its services across the entire continental United States in the coming weeks, following the return of co-founders and the appointment of a new CEO [4]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-18 14:02
Market Trends & Industry Dynamics - Bloomberg reports Jerome Powell unified the Federal Reserve on a rate cut [1] - Bloomberg is hosting a live Q&A session at 11 a m EDT to discuss the rate cut [1]
X @Investopedia
Investopedia· 2025-09-18 14:01
The Federal Reserve may have lowered borrowing costs a tiny bit on Wednesday, but more rate cuts in the months ahead are far from a sure thing based on what Fed Chair Jerome Powell had to say. https://t.co/RxdhLINQEq ...
Jim Cramer's top 10 things to watch in the stock market Thursday
CNBC· 2025-09-18 13:00
Market Overview - The S&P 500 is expected to open higher following a volatile session after the Federal Reserve cut rates by 0.25% [1] - Initial jobless claims have decreased from the previous week [1] Company Developments - Intel shares surged by 28% after Nvidia announced a $5 billion investment in Intel and plans to co-develop data center and PC chips [2] - Cracker Barrel's shares fell nearly 7% due to a disastrous earnings report, with restaurant traffic down 8% since a logo change on August 19 [3] - Nucor's negative preannouncement indicated expected Q3 earnings per share between $2.05 and $2.15, below the FactSet consensus of $2.57, leading to a nearly 4% drop in shares [4] - CrowdStrike shares rose almost 5% after the company provided bullish long-term financial targets at an analyst day, prompting multiple price target increases [5] - Meta unveiled new Ray-Ban Display glasses starting at $799, aiming to position them as the primary personal computing device for AI [6] - SoFi Technologies received a price target increase from Mizuho Securities to $31 from $26, with analysts citing Fed rate cuts as a positive factor [7] - Reddit saw price target increases from Piper Sandler and Citizens JMP, reflecting optimism about future catalysts [8] - Bank of America initiated coverage of AeroVironment with a buy rating and a price target of $300, indicating strong growth opportunities [9] - BTIG initiated coverage of Abercrombie & Fitch with a buy rating and a price target of $120, suggesting a potential 40% upside [10] - Huawei introduced a new AI chip cluster, claiming it to be the "world's most powerful," raising questions about its benchmarking against Nvidia [11]
Rate Cuts Are HERE! What's Next For The Crypto Markets?!
Coin Bureau· 2025-09-18 12:22
Has the Federal Reserve just fired the starting gun for the next major leg up in the crypto market. Uh, with one single decision, they may have unlocked a wave of liquidity that could send Bitcoin to prices that seemed unimaginable just a few months ago. But what if I also told you that buried deep within that same decision are the seeds of a potential market crash.a scenario that could invalidate the entire bullc case and send risk assets spiraling. My name is Nick and if you hold crypto, you can't miss th ...