Summary of Exodus Movement (EXOD) Conference Call - August 12, 2025 Industry Overview - The conference focused on the cryptocurrency industry, featuring discussions from leaders of major companies including Mara Holdings, Exodus Movement, and Coincheck Group NV [1][2]. Key Companies and Their Insights Mara Holdings - **Company Overview**: Largest publicly traded bitcoin miner, established in 2017, raised approximately $6 billion in capital [3][4]. - **Bitcoin Holdings**: Holds over 50,000 bitcoins, with more than half self-mined [4]. - **Operational Focus**: Converts underutilized energy into computing power for bitcoin mining, operates 16 data centers across four continents [5]. - **Recent Investment**: Acquired majority control of French company Xion, focusing on low carbon energy and AI opportunities in Europe and the Middle East [6]. Exodus Movement - **Company Overview**: Only publicly traded self-custodial digital asset wallet, operational for ten years, supports over 40 blockchain networks [7][8]. - **Unique Offerings**: Introduced a common stock token and partnerships with major industry players like Ledger and MetaMask [8][9]. - **Revenue Model**: Generates revenue in bitcoin and requires employees to accept salaries in bitcoin, holding over 2,000 bitcoins in treasury [74]. Coincheck Group NV - **Company Overview**: Headquartered in the Netherlands, operates one of Japan's largest crypto exchanges [11][12]. - **Recent Partnership**: Collaborated with Makari, integrating Coincheck API into their super app, which has 23 million daily active users [12][13]. - **Strategic Vision**: Aims to be a global crypto service financial holding company, focusing on acquisitions and global opportunities [14]. Core Perspectives on Digital Assets - **Regulatory Landscape**: All speakers emphasized the inevitability of global regulation in the crypto space, with a shift towards traditional financial integration [17][20]. - **Tokenization**: The belief that everything will eventually be tokenized, extending beyond finance to areas like identity and property [27][34]. - **Market Dynamics**: Discussion on the proliferation of stablecoins and the potential for a universal currency model, with the U.S. dollar remaining dominant [25][36]. Investment Strategies and Market Trends - **Bitcoin as an Asset**: Mara Holdings views bitcoin as a long-term hold, similar to gold mining, with expectations of continued appreciation despite volatility [63][70]. - **Corporate Treasury Strategies**: Increasing interest from companies like Tesla and Apple in holding bitcoin as part of their treasury strategies [76][80]. - **Market Disruption**: Predictions of significant disruption in traditional financial markets due to the rise of crypto, with potential declines in national stock exchanges [43][44]. Additional Insights - **Quantum Computing Risks**: Concerns about the future impact of quantum computing on bitcoin security, with discussions on the need for quantum-resistant technologies [81][86]. - **Self-Custody vs. Custodial Services**: Ongoing debate about the advantages and challenges of self-custody in crypto, particularly among older generations [108][111]. - **Competitive Landscape**: The crypto ecosystem is highly competitive, with varying fee structures and user experiences across platforms [94][99]. Conclusion - The conference highlighted the rapid evolution of the cryptocurrency industry, the importance of regulatory clarity, and the potential for significant market disruption as digital assets become more integrated into traditional finance. The insights from key industry players underscore the ongoing transformation and the need for adaptability in investment strategies.

Core Viewpoint - Riot Platforms, Inc. has experienced a significant stock price increase of 42% year-to-date, outperforming Bitcoin and CoinShares Bitcoin mining ETF, both of which have risen by 20% during the same period. However, JPMorgan has downgraded its stock rating from "Overweight" to "Neutral" while raising the target price from $14 to $15, citing a "slightly elevated" valuation as the reason for the downgrade [1][1][1] Company Summary - Riot Platforms focuses on developing and operating large-scale data centers, with its core facilities located in Rockdale and Corsicana, Texas. The company employs a vertical integration strategy that combines mining operations with proprietary engineering and power procurement capabilities to produce Bitcoin as its primary product [1][1][1] Industry Context - The future stock price increase for Riot Platforms is contingent upon two main catalysts: either achieving high-performance computing (HPC) collaboration agreements or a sustained rise in Bitcoin prices. Analysts acknowledge the potential for Riot to diversify its revenue streams beyond cryptocurrency mining, but express caution due to uncertainties in the transformation timeline [1][1][1]

Group 1 - Morgan Stanley upgraded MARA Holdings (MARA.US) rating from "Neutral" to "Overweight," raising the target price from $19 to $22 due to the company's 2025 hash rate target of 75 EH/s not being fully reflected in the stock price [1] - The CEO of MARA Holdings, Fred Thiel, indicated that this target represents over a 40% increase compared to 2024, supported by existing machine orders, with the current active hash rate at 57.4 EH/s [1] - In pre-market trading, MARA's stock price increased by 2.32% to $17.65 [1] Group 2 - Ratings for Riot Platforms (RIOT.US) and IREN (IREN.US) were downgraded from "Overweight" to "Neutral" as their performance has outpaced Bitcoin and CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF (WGMI.US), leading to tight valuations [1] - Analysts from Morgan Stanley noted that unless high-performance computing (HPC) transactions are achieved or Bitcoin prices rise further, short-term upward momentum for RIOT and IREN is limited [1] - Morgan Stanley identified CleanSpark (CLSK.US) as a preferred stock, raising its target price by $1 to $15, while setting Cipher Mining (CIFR.US) target price at $6 [2] Group 3 - The rating adjustments were based on updated operational metrics for Bitcoin mining companies, including Q2 Bitcoin production, hash rate achievements, and the dynamics of Bitcoin prices and network hash rates [2] - The firm emphasized that model revisions aim to more accurately reflect industry trends, but market sensitivity to HPC collaborations and Bitcoin price fluctuations will continue to impact individual stock performance [2]

Group 1: Company Performance - Cipher Mining experienced a nearly 16% increase in stock price following advancements at its new mining site, Black Pearl, with hash rates exceeding expectations and anticipated growth in Q3 [2] - The company mined 160 bitcoins in June, sold 58, and currently holds 1,063 bitcoins [2] - Revenue has slightly decreased from $153 million to $152 million over the past year, while the company reported an operating loss of $129 million, resulting in an operating margin of -84.5% and net losses of $124 million, equating to a net margin of -81.2% [4] Group 2: Market Comparison - Cipher Mining's stock has underperformed compared to the S&P 500, with a price-to-sales ratio of 11.6, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 3.1 [4] - The stock plummeted 97.2% from a peak of $14.52 on September 16, 2021, to $0.41 on December 28, 2022, while the S&P 500 experienced a peak-to-trough drop of 25.4% during the same period [5] Group 3: Investment Alternatives - For investors seeking less volatility, the Trefis High Quality portfolio has outperformed the S&P 500, achieving returns exceeding 91% since its inception [3] - The Trefis Reinforced Value (RV) Portfolio has also outperformed its benchmark for all-cap stocks, providing a proactive strategy to capitalize on positive market conditions while minimizing losses [6]

Core Insights - The global Bitcoin mining landscape is undergoing a profound transformation, moving away from a China-centric model to a more complex geopolitical competition involving major powers and cryptocurrency giants [1][16] Group 1: Geopolitical Dynamics - The recent volatility in Bitcoin's global hash rate highlights the intense geopolitical rivalry among nations, particularly between the US and Iran, with speculations about military actions targeting Bitcoin mining facilities [2][4] - Iran, previously accounting for about 4% of global Bitcoin hash rate, has faced disruptions in its mining operations due to military conflicts, impacting the global hash rate competition [4] - The US, while currently leading in Bitcoin mining, faces supply chain challenges due to reliance on Chinese mining hardware manufacturers, prompting efforts to localize production [6] Group 2: Small Nations' Strategies - Bhutan has emerged as a unique player in Bitcoin mining, leveraging its abundant renewable energy resources to mine Bitcoin, accumulating assets worth approximately $1.3 billion, equivalent to 40% of its GDP [9] - The Bhutanese government has initiated a national strategy to utilize excess hydropower for mining, which has positively impacted its economy by funding public sector salary increases and implementing cryptocurrency payment systems [9] - Inspired by Bhutan's success, Pakistan plans to redirect its idle 2GW power capacity towards Bitcoin mining, aiming to save $745 million annually and generate nearly $1.8 billion in foreign exchange, although it faces significant challenges [11] Group 3: Corporate Ambitions - Tether, the largest stablecoin issuer, aims to become the leading Bitcoin mining company by the end of 2025, having already invested over $2 billion in green energy mining operations across 15 locations [12][14] - Tether's strategic move into mining is not just a financial investment but also a measure to secure its substantial Bitcoin reserves, indicating a shift in the competitive landscape where private enterprises rival nation-states in mining capabilities [14][16]

Market Performance - The New York stock market saw significant gains on the 30th, driven by optimistic sentiment regarding trade negotiations, with all three major indices closing higher [1] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 275.50 points to close at 44094.77, a gain of 0.63%; the S&P 500 increased by 31.88 points to 6204.95, up 0.52%; and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 96.28 points to 20369.73, an increase of 0.48% [1] - Among the S&P 500's eleven sectors, nine rose while two fell, with the technology and financial sectors leading the gains at 0.98% and 0.86%, respectively [1] Trade Negotiations and Economic Outlook - Following President Trump's announcement to terminate all trade negotiations with Canada, Canada decided to withdraw its digital services tax, which was set to apply to major tech companies [2] - U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin indicated that some countries are still engaged in "good faith negotiations," but tariffs may be reinstated if no agreement is reached [2] - UBS's Leslie Falconio noted that while market resilience is expected in the first half of 2025, volatility may arise in the second half, driven by hard economic data influencing interest rate changes [2] Economic Indicators - Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic stated that the current U.S. economy lacks sufficient clarity to support a rate cut decision in July, emphasizing the need for more data [3] - The Chicago Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for June was reported at 40.4, below market expectations of 43, indicating weak manufacturing activity in the region [3] - The Dallas Fed's manufacturing survey showed a general economic activity index of -12.7 for June, still in negative territory but an improvement from -15.3 previously, suggesting ongoing challenges in the manufacturing sector [3] Company-Specific Developments - BitMine Immersion Technologies, a U.S. listed company focused on Bitcoin mining, saw its stock surge nearly 700% after announcing a $250 million private placement for an Ethereum-centric purchasing strategy [4] - The appointment of Tom Lee from Fundstrat as chairman coincides with growing interest in stablecoins, particularly following Circle's successful IPO [4] - Other Bitcoin mining companies, such as Iren and Cipher Mining, also experienced stock increases, driven by acquisition talks between Core Scientific and AI company CoreWeave, highlighting the value of mining infrastructure in the AI sector [4]

Market Overview - Major global stock indices showed mixed performance, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 404.41 points (0.94%) to 43,386.84, while the S&P 500 increased by 48.86 points (0.80%) to 6,141.02 [1] - In contrast, the European Stoxx 50 declined by 7.98 points (-0.15%) to 5,244.03, and the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 7.52 points (-0.22%) to 3,448.45 [1] Trade and Economic Policies - U.S. trade partners, including Japan, India, and the EU, are hesitant to sign agreements due to uncertainty over potential tariffs on key exports like chips and pharmaceuticals [2] - The U.S. Treasury Secretary requested the removal of a "retaliatory tax" proposal from a tax bill, which could impose a 20% tax on foreign investors from countries deemed to impose unfair taxes on U.S. companies [2][5] Company Developments - Xiaomi announced that its Yu7 model received over 289,000 pre-orders within the first hour of availability, indicating strong consumer interest [3][4] - Nike's stock surged by 10% following the release of its quarterly earnings report, which showed earnings per share of $0.14, slightly above expectations [4] - Nike's CFO indicated that new tariffs could increase total costs by approximately $1 billion for the fiscal year 2026, prompting the company to adjust its supply chain and pricing strategies [5] Mergers and Acquisitions - CoreWeave is in talks to acquire Core Scientific to expand its cloud computing capabilities, with the deal expected to be finalized in the coming weeks [7][8] - Following the acquisition news, Core Scientific's stock price rose by 33%, reflecting investor optimism [9] Regulatory Changes - Apple modified its App Store policies in Europe to comply with the Digital Markets Act, aiming to avoid a potential €500 million fine [11][12] - The new policy introduces a complex fee structure for app developers, including a 5% commission on digital purchases made outside the App Store [12]

Group 1 - The Trump family has partnered with HUT 8 to build and operate their Bitcoin mining business [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue for Q1 2025 was $78 million, a 46% decrease from $144 million in Q1 2024 [7][15] - Net loss for the quarter was $17 million, with adjusted EBITDA at negative $11 million, significantly impacted by a $19.4 million unrealized fair value loss on digital assets [7][17] - Average electricity price decreased by 18% compared to Q1 2024, reflecting efforts to optimize cost structure [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Cloud mining revenue accounted for approximately 69% of total revenue, with 86% of self-owned miners' capacity allocated to self-mining operations [16][12] - The company experienced a decline in total mining capacity under management from 28.6 exahash to 20.6 exahash due to expired contracts and supplier relocations [7][8] - By April 30, 2025, total mining capacity under management rebounded to 28.3 exahash, reaching 34.1 exahash by the end of May [9][10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expanded its customer base in key growth markets in Africa and Asia, reflecting increasing global demand for integrated mining solutions [12] - New customers typically start with small trial orders, indicating potential for significant future growth [13] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to scale mining capacity, strengthen infrastructure, broaden supply chains, and deepen customer relationships [25] - A focus on joint venture structures for capital efficiency and leveraging local expertise for post-acquisition integration [15] - Plans to evaluate capital expenditure opportunities in the US, Canada, and other regions, with a deliberate approach to capital deployment [14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged the impact of increased network difficulty and the Bitcoin halving event on revenue [6] - Despite market challenges, the company remains focused on disciplined execution and long-term value creation [25] - The strategic plan to invest in mining infrastructure and equipment in the US and other regions remains unchanged [24] Other Important Information - The company holds a total of 1,835 Bitcoins, with a strategy to retain Bitcoin for long-term value while selectively selling portions for working capital [18] - Outstanding loan balance as of March 31, 2025, was $40 million, with plans to repay a portion over the coming year [23] Q&A Session Summary - No Q&A session was conducted during the call, but participants were encouraged to email questions to the investor relations team for responses [4]

Core Viewpoint - Pakistan is betting on Bitcoin mining and AI data centers to boost its economy, allocating 2000 MW of electricity for mining while facing significant challenges in energy supply and infrastructure development [1][2][6] Group 1: Economic Strategy - Pakistan's economy has heavily relied on agriculture, which has limited returns, prompting a shift towards mining as a potential growth avenue [1] - The government aims to attract foreign investment by providing cheap land, abundant labor, and favorable policies for mining operations [4][6] Group 2: Energy and Infrastructure Challenges - The mining industry requires substantial energy, funding, and technological support, which Pakistan currently lacks, leading to widespread power outages affecting residential and industrial areas [2][5] - Despite the allocation of 2000 MW for mining, the existing energy resources are insufficient to meet the high demands of the mining sector [1][2] Group 3: Risks and Consequences - The reliance on mining poses significant risks, including potential economic chaos if mining operations fail due to technical or natural issues, leading to a loss of income and increased public discontent [2][6] - The benefits of mining are likely to favor foreign investors rather than the local population, raising concerns about the equitable distribution of profits [4][5] Group 4: Alternative Development Paths - Experts suggest that Pakistan should focus on strengthening its agricultural sector, improving infrastructure, and diversifying its economy rather than relying on the volatile mining industry [7][8] - Sustainable economic growth requires a cautious approach, emphasizing gradual development and leveraging existing strengths rather than pursuing high-risk ventures [8]