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多地推出流感气象风险预报,为何流感发生与气象条件密切相关
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-25 10:47
多地有中等流感气象风险。 当前,全国的流感活动已经进入较快上升期,多数省份的流感活动水平已经到了中流行水平,有个别省 份甚至已经达到了高流行水平,全国报告的托幼机构、学校流感聚集性暴发疫情的数量显著增加。 对于如何降低流感发生风险,当前,国家层面以及各地相继发布了流感气象风险预报。 中国气象局最早是在2024年推出全国流感气象风险预报的,该预报产品基于流感疾病与气象条件的暴露 反应关系,通过机器学习方法定量选取预报因子,构建流感气象风险预报模型,分析不同的气温、湿 度、风速以及太阳辐射对人体产生的影响,结合人们对长期居住地的气候适应性、天气变化的短期影响 (低温寒潮)以及流感的滞后效应等因素,对流感发病进行气象风险预报。 同样在11月25日,山西省气象服务中心也发布了山西省流感气象风险预报。预报显示,2025年11月26日 20时至2025年11月27日20时,山西省大部分地区天气条件利于流感的发生,需采取相应的防范措施。 在此之前,11月23日,内蒙古自治区气象服务中心也发布了2025年11月23日至2025年11月24日20时期间 内蒙古流感气象风险预报,内蒙古大部分地区流感风险中等或较高。 近日,江苏省 ...
辽宁以“智慧”赋能新型气象为农服务
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-21 04:28
新型气象为农服务体系以提升"农村气象灾害防御能力、现代农业气象服务能力、和美乡村建设气象保 障能力"为核心,形成了辽宁省更具协同性、实效性的体系能力。该模式打破传统单一供给格局,形 成"决策服务+行业服务+定制化服务"相结合的多元模式,贴合不同主体需求。 中新网盘锦11月21日电 (韩宏 张广梅 沈秋宇)辽宁省新型气象为农服务体系建设现场会19日至20日在盘 锦召开。 11月19日至20日,辽宁省新型气象为农服务体系建设现场会在盘锦召开。(辽宁省气象局 供图) 盘锦市人民政府副秘书长陈雷表示,盘锦正全力应对气象灾害挑战,推进现代化农业强市建设。当地已 构建全方位气象为农服务体系,并将持续加大支持力度,完善观测设施,推动气象科技与农业深度融 合,以赋能特色农业、保障粮食安全、助力乡村振兴。 辽宁以"智慧"赋能新型气象为农服务 本次会议还特邀沈阳农业大学等专家就高标准农田建设、"气象×金融"护农惠农、辽宁省农业特色产业 高质量发展工作作专题报告。(完) 来源:中国新闻网 编辑:万可义 广告等商务合作,请点击这里 本文为转载内容,授权事宜请联系原著作权人 中新经纬版权所有,未经书面授权,任何单位及个人不得转载、摘编 ...
降温与流感双重预警,墨迹天气 “流感指数” 精准守护,筑牢健康防护墙
Sou Hu Wang· 2025-11-18 10:50
Core Viewpoint - The combination of a cold wave and flu season poses significant health challenges, necessitating accurate risk assessment and protective measures for the public [1][3][8] Group 1: Health Risks and Challenges - The cold wave has led to a significant drop in temperatures across most regions, increasing the risk of flu transmission [1] - The dominant flu strain this year is the H3N2 subtype, which is highly contagious and poses a greater threat to vulnerable populations such as the elderly and children [3][4] - Distinguishing between common colds and flu is crucial for effective health protection, as they differ in symptoms, transmission, and risk levels [3][4] Group 2: Preventive Measures and Tools - Moji Weather provides a comprehensive flu risk forecast and cold weather guidance, integrating meteorological data with health protection needs [5][6] - The "Flu Forecast" and "Cold Index" work together to inform users about flu risks and daily cold probabilities, enabling better planning for protective measures [5] - The platform offers a full-service system that includes flu forecasts, protective advice, and symptom feedback, allowing users to create personal health records and improve predictive models [5] Group 3: Cold Weather Protection - The "24-Hour Forecast," "Clothing Index," and "Wind Chill Index" provide tailored recommendations for cold weather protection, especially for sensitive groups [6] - These tools help users anticipate temperature fluctuations and plan appropriate clothing to minimize health risks associated with cold exposure [6][8]
新华网:守护“苏超”总决赛的气象“黑科技”长啥样?
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-11-02 07:16
Core Points - The Jiangsu Province Urban Football League (referred to as "Su Super") finals in 2025 featured advanced meteorological technology to ensure weather safety during the event [1] - The Nanjing meteorological department deployed various meteorological "black technologies" such as portable monitoring devices, meteorological emergency support vehicles, and radar systems to collect real-time data on temperature, humidity, wind speed, and rainfall [1] - These technologies acted as "weather sentinels," enabling staff to predict weather changes in advance and ensure the smooth conduct of the matches [1] Summary by Categories - **Event Overview** - The Su Super finals showcased not only exciting football matches but also significant efforts in weather safety management [1] - **Technological Deployment** - The Nanjing meteorological department utilized portable monitoring devices, emergency support vehicles, and radar to gather critical weather data [1] - **Operational Impact** - The implementation of these meteorological technologies allowed for proactive weather monitoring, contributing to the successful execution of the event [1]
中国气象局发布人工智能气象服务系统“风和”
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-10-30 05:53
Core Viewpoint - The China Meteorological Administration has launched an AI meteorological service system named "Fenghe," which aims to transform and upgrade meteorological services through intelligent applications [1][5]. Group 1: System Features - "Fenghe" allows users to input weather-related queries and receive automated responses, providing personalized suggestions across various scenarios such as travel, health, and logistics [3]. - The system comprises five main modules: Meteorological Knowledge Center, Model Plaza, Meteorological AI Toolbox, Intelligent Agent Factory, and Evaluation Laboratory, enhancing its capabilities in understanding service needs and generating content [3][4]. Group 2: Technical Framework - The design of "Fenghe" is based on a unique "1+1+N" technical framework, integrating a foundational model with professional meteorological knowledge and a large-scale meteorological service corpus of 550 billion tokens [4]. - The system utilizes advanced technologies such as LoRA for fine-tuning and reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) to improve its reasoning capabilities and service adaptability [4]. Group 3: Development and Collaboration - "Fenghe" was developed by the Public Meteorological Service Center of the China Meteorological Administration, in collaboration with universities and research institutions, as part of a broader initiative to digitize and modernize meteorological services in China [5].
中科天机开放气象历史数据集 商业气象服务进入“实时+历史数据”新模式
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-10-29 02:12
Core Insights - The company Zhongke Tianji Meteorological Technology Co., Ltd. has announced the opening of a high-resolution historical meteorological dataset, marking a significant advancement in China's commercial meteorological services [1][3] - This dataset is based on AI technology that deeply integrates multiple "Tianji models," resulting in improved accuracy, continuity, and spatial resolution compared to traditional single data sources [3] Industry Applications - The historical dataset has substantial value for meteorological research and interdisciplinary studies, meeting the statistical needs for large sample sizes and addressing the limitations of coarse training data for meteorological AI models [3] - In the energy sector, companies can optimize wind and solar power station site selection and installation strategies using historical wind speed and sunlight data [3] - The agricultural sector can utilize historical sunlight and precipitation records to scientifically plan crop layouts and sowing cycles [3] - Traffic management can leverage historical precipitation and dust storm information for resource allocation and emergency planning [3] - The insurance industry can use historical disaster data to accurately determine rates and develop insurance products that align with risk characteristics, enhancing risk management [3] Future Developments - The company plans to further open high-resolution real-time meteorological data in November, expanding the breadth and depth of data sharing [4] - The establishment of a "real-time + historical" meteorological data system is expected to evolve commercial meteorological services from mere information provision to a comprehensive data ecosystem that supports research, industry decision-making, and risk management [4]
“风和”大模型上线 天气预报会更懂你吗
Ke Ji Ri Bao· 2025-10-28 23:16
Core Viewpoint - The China Meteorological Administration has launched the "Fenghe" model, a billion-parameter meteorological service model that integrates AI technology and meteorological expertise, aiming to transform traditional weather services into an intelligent new phase [1]. Group 1: Technical Characteristics of "Fenghe" - "Fenghe" is a generative AI system specifically designed for meteorological services, built on a large language model architecture [2]. - The model boasts a powerful core with a trillion parameters, indicating its strong learning and expressive capabilities, allowing it to capture complex atmospheric phenomena [2]. - Through multimodal integration and generative AI technology, "Fenghe" aims to provide high-resolution, efficient, and rapid-response intelligent meteorological services [2]. Group 2: Comparison with Previous Models - Previous models like "Fengqing," "Fenglei," and "Fengshun" were primarily aimed at internal meteorological forecasting systems, focusing on enhancing the accuracy of weather predictions [3]. - "Fenghe" differs by targeting public and industry meteorological services, addressing the limitations of general models in understanding meteorological service needs and providing professional, precise, and cost-effective information [3]. Group 3: Future Applications and Public Services - "Fenghe" is expected to support various scenarios such as disaster warning, transportation, tourism, health, commerce, and energy, offering customized and detailed meteorological information services [4]. - The model will revolutionize public travel by providing unprecedented precision and scenario-based decision support, moving from traditional weather forecasts to point-to-point predictions [5]. - For example, "Fenghe" can simulate microclimates in complex areas, offering specific recommendations for outdoor activities based on detailed weather conditions [5].
全球共议绿色低碳与韧性城市、全球可持续发展灯塔倡议知识分享计划再起航
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-10-28 06:59
Core Viewpoint - The integration of green transformation and resilience building in megacities is a global imperative for future urban living patterns, highlighted by a high-profile conference in Shanghai that focused on sustainable urban development solutions [1][2]. Group 1: Conference Overview - The "Green Low-Carbon and Resilient Cities" conference held in Shanghai on October 27, 2023, was a key agenda for the 2025 World Cities Day, gathering global experts to discuss sustainable urban development [1][2]. - The conference resulted in the release of a series of technical guidelines, construction solutions, and international standards aimed at promoting sustainable urban development [1][2][27]. Group 2: Key Themes and Insights - The conference emphasized that green low-carbon development is not merely an environmental issue but a profound transformation of economic development methods, presenting new growth opportunities [2][4]. - Resilience building is essential for providing safety in urban development, and both green low-carbon and resilience strategies are interdependent [2][4]. Group 3: Technological and Collaborative Approaches - AI is identified as a core driver of urban sustainable development, enhancing resource efficiency and reducing carbon footprints, while ensuring social equity and public trust [11][13]. - The importance of integrating scientific knowledge, technology, and multi-stakeholder collaboration in urban policy and planning was emphasized [6][11]. Group 4: Global Practices and Case Studies - The Shanghai Ecological Park, developed over 30 years, serves as a model for green infrastructure, demonstrating significant ecological and economic benefits, including a green area of 5,538 hectares and an investment of 87 billion yuan [21][27]. - Various international examples were shared, such as Brazil's collaborative model for sustainable urban governance and Kenya's smart planning initiatives to enhance resilience [23][25]. Group 5: Tools and Guidelines Released - The conference introduced several key tools and guidelines for urban green low-carbon and resilience development, including sponge city construction guidelines and zero-carbon building solutions [27][30]. - The "Lighthouse Initiative" was launched to promote global knowledge sharing on sustainable development practices, with several exemplary cases recognized [30][34].
美联航客机巡航途中风挡破裂 或因撞上气象气球
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-10-22 09:00
Group 1 - A United Airlines Boeing 737 MAX experienced a windshield failure during cruise, leading to an emergency landing in Salt Lake City, likely due to a collision with a weather balloon [1][2] - The weather balloon involved was operated by a California-based company, which has launched over 4,000 balloons that comply with FAA regulations [2] - The CEO of the balloon company expressed concern over the incident, noting that the balloon's weight was only about 1 kilogram, and the company is investigating ways to reduce impact force in future incidents [2][3] Group 2 - The balloon company has adjusted its software to minimize the time balloons spend at altitudes between 9,000 and 12,000 meters [3] - The company is also researching different ballast designs to lower the potential damage to aircraft and reduce the risk of injury in case of a collision [3]
美联航客机巡航途中风挡破裂 或因撞上气象气球
Group 1 - A United Airlines Boeing 737 MAX experienced a windshield failure during cruise, likely due to a collision with a weather balloon [1] - The flight, carrying 134 passengers and 6 crew members, was en route from Denver to Los Angeles when the incident occurred at an altitude of approximately 10,000 meters [1] - The aircraft made an emergency landing in Salt Lake City, and initial investigations suggest the balloon was operated by a company named Weather Systems [1] Group 2 - Weather Systems has launched an investigation and found that the flight's position data matched the last known location of their balloon, which stopped transmitting signals around the time of the incident [1][2] - The CEO of Weather Systems expressed concern over the incident, noting that the balloon's launch weight was only about 1 kilogram, which was surprising given the extent of the windshield damage [2] - The company has adjusted its software to reduce the time balloons spend at altitudes between 9,000 and 12,000 meters and is exploring different ballast designs to minimize impact in future collisions [2]