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黄酒推荐逻辑重申
2025-07-16 06:13
感谢大家参加本次会议会议即将开始请稍后大家好欢迎参加刚才实验黄酒推荐逻辑重生目前所有参会者均处于精神状态下面开始播报免责声明声明播报完毕后主持人可直接发言谢谢 本次电话会议仅面向机构投资者或受邀客户第三方专家发言内容仅代表其个人观点所有信息或所表述的意见却不构成具体的判断或投资建议未经东方财富证券书面授权严禁录音转发及相关解读不得传播音频视频图片文字等内容涉嫌违反上述情形的东方财富证券将保留一切法律权利感谢您的理解和支持谢谢 好的各位投资人下午好我是东方财富证券食品链分析师赵国防今天的话借用下午的时间的话我们再讲一下黄九的一个观点从上周开始我们做了产业链调研然后再向市场传递我们的对黄九的一个观点和看法然后包括留言包括 这个各种公开的一个平时然后去传递我们的声音我们总体是非常看好这个黄牛这个板块的那近期的话就是这个板块呢就是比较快速的上涨比如像这个快递山啊就是这个昨天一度涨停今天也比较高的时候涨其他的点那现在来看呢收盘的情况也是不错的所以呢就是关注度呢 又在比较高的一个提升但是在关注度提升的同时比如说我们这段时间的话跟买方客户进行沟通和交流下来一个情况来看的话其实还是存在预期差的还是存在比较大的预期差我就举个简 ...
食饮本周行业热点及信息跟踪
2025-07-16 06:13
一页热点及信息跟踪电话会议下面开始播报名字声明声明播播完以后主持人可直接开始发言 本次电话会议仅面向机构投资者或受邀客户第三方专家发言内容仅代表其个人观点所有信息或所表述的意见却不构成具体的判断或投资建议未经东方财富证券书面授权严禁录音转发及相关解读不得传播音频视频图片文字等内容涉嫌违反上述情形的东方财富证券将保留一切法律权利感谢您的理解和支持谢谢 好的,各位投资人下午好,我是东方财富政策分析师赵国防,跟我一同在线的还有我同事孙颖和王瑶,这周的话我们再把最近的这个我们调研的信息和这个行业的观点做一个更新汇报。 就是我这边的话就主要还是汇报两个内容吧第一个的话就是黄酒第二个的话就是录影过程当中的话大家对于白酒的这种一个反馈黄酒这一块的话主要还是上周的话又持续的一个上涨以快捷山这一公司为例持续的上涨那现在的话就是资本上的可能会分歧会还是存在对于产业上的分歧还是存在但对于股票上的分歧可能会偏少一点 原因的话还是在于确实大家觉得短期长得过快啊估值过贵那这个的话我们也是认同的就是确实长得太快了 但是呢就是我们觉得还是中长期的逻辑还是存在的那上周的时候我们也是跟这个公司的两个公司的一个高层虎言中山快乐像经济高层也做了一些 ...
食品饮料周报:茅台经营任务顺利达成,关注中报预告行情-20250715
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-07-15 07:41
行业报告 | 行业研究周报 食品饮料 证券研究报告 食品饮料周报:茅台经营任务顺利达成,关注中报预告行情 市场表现复盘 本周(7 月 7 日-7 月 11 日)食品饮料板块/沪深 300 涨跌幅分别+0.84%/+0.82%。具体板块来 看,本周白酒Ⅲ+1.41%、保健品+1.37%、啤酒+1.21%、肉制品+1.03%、零食+0.89%、预加工食 品+0.86%、其他酒类+0.53%、调味发酵品Ⅲ+0.10%、乳品-0.37%、软饮料-4.05%。 周观点更新 酒水:茅台上半年经营任务顺利达成,会稽山"夏冰"首战告捷 白酒:本周白酒板块+1.41%,表现强于食品饮料行业整体及沪深 300,或主因近期飞天批价稳 中向上+资金驱动。其中酒鬼酒涨幅靠前。据酒业家报道,茅台销售公司 2025 年半年市场工 作会提到上半年销售公司完成了既定经营任务,此外酱香酒亦完成上半年经营任务,我们认为, 作为行业"压舱石"茅台在行业弱需求背景下顺利达成经营目标或提振产业信心。酒业家渠道 调研显示,近期餐饮渠道中高端酒销售普降 60%-80%,大众用酒下探至百元内,光瓶酒借势升 温,短期白酒需求总体仍有压力。本周(7 月 7 日- ...
研选行业丨PCB升级迭代关键材料,价格已上涨超16%,3只国产黑马有望迎来盈利释放与估值重估
第一财经· 2025-07-14 01:53
2025.07.14 随着芯片迭代速度加快及8 0 0G交换机渗透率提升,PCB和CCL产品逐渐升级,这离不开玻 纤布材料的性能提升,目前Lowd k及LowCTE应用速度加快,市场需求空间加大,供给端 产 能 紧 张 , 近 两 年 仍 存 在 供 需 缺 口 , 国 产 厂 商 进 入 机 会 增 加 , 且 随 着 石 英 布 的 进 一 步 迭 代,国产厂商有望获得更高市场份额。 * * * * 建议关注玻纤布方面受益标的:. . . . . . 点击解锁相关受益标的 研报观点: ①AI发展催化PCB和CCL迭代,特种玻纤布快速升级且供不应求. . . . . . ②特种电子布市场规模有望快速增长,国产厂商加速渗透. . . . . . 2、 稳定币3 - 5年规模或达3.7万亿美元,利润堪比"印钞机",核心受益标的如何挑选? 一图看懂; 3、 龙头吨价持续提升,行业筑底可期,龙头有望通过高端化与年轻化突围。 ③传统玻纤布涨价持续,利润持续修复. . . . . . 游资、私募都在用,投研神器,又稳又准。 解锁【第一财经——研报金选】 【 金 选 导 读 】 1、 PCB升级迭代关键材料,价格已上涨超 ...
体育赋能小城蝶变 山西代县探索县域体育经济新路径
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-07-10 07:36
Core Insights - The article highlights the transformation of Dai County in Shanxi through sports, emphasizing the economic benefits and community engagement derived from hosting various sports events [1][3][5]. Group 1: Sports Events and Participation - Dai County has hosted 18 national and 5 provincial sports events, with a total of 761 events and 15,000 participants, showcasing a vibrant sports culture [1]. - The county has achieved 100% coverage of public sports facilities in towns and villages, with a per capita sports area of 3.12 square meters by the end of 2024 [3]. Group 2: Economic Impact - The frequent hosting of sports events has stimulated the local economy, particularly in hospitality and dining, with hotels experiencing high occupancy rates during events [5]. - The county's hotels and restaurants rely on tourism during peak seasons and sports events during off-peak times, indicating a dual economic strategy [5]. Group 3: Integration of Sports with Other Industries - Dai County is exploring the "Sports+" model, integrating sports with tourism and local industries, such as promoting local yellow wine through sports events [8]. - The county offers free access to scenic spots for participants and discounts for their families, converting sports event traffic into tourism revenue [8].
黄酒行业深度:供需共振,高端化与年轻化突围
Soochow Securities· 2025-07-07 06:21
证券研究报告·行业深度报告·食品饮料 食品饮料行业深度报告 黄酒行业深度:供需共振,高端化与年轻化 突围 增持(维持) [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 证券分析师 苏铖 执业证书:S0600524120010 such@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 郭晓东 执业证书:S0600525040001 guoxd@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -11% -7% -3% 1% 5% 9% 13% 17% 21% 25% 2024/7/8 2024/11/5 2025/3/5 2025/7/3 食品饮料 沪深300 相关研究 《啤酒行业深度:攻守兼备,优质龙 头已进入击球区》 2025-05-22 《大众品 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报 总结:需求筑底,细分突围》 2025-05-07 ◼ 风险提示:宏观经济不及预期;食品安全问题;市场竞争加剧。 2025 年 07 月 07 日 东吴证券研究所 1 / 26 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 黄酒行业经历深度调整,当下发生积极变化。1)黄酒行业利润率迎来 边际拐点,龙头量价齐升。2023 年规模以上企业收入 85 ...
食品饮料周报:飞天茅台批价小幅波动,关注IFHM港股上市-20250703
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-07-03 09:12
Investment Rating - Industry rating: Outperform the market (maintained rating) [6] Core Views - The liquor sector is experiencing a decline in sentiment due to fluctuations in the price of Feitian Moutai, with leading companies actively exploring new consumption scenarios and demographics [2][13] - The health products, soft drinks, and snacks sectors are viewed positively due to high growth potential, low base effects, and upcoming peak seasons [4][15] Summary by Sections Market Performance Review - The food and beverage sector saw a decline of 0.88% from June 23 to June 27, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.95% [1][22] - Specific sector performances included health products (+3.65%), baked goods (+2.72%), and soft drinks (-0.58%) [1][22] Liquor Sector Insights - The white liquor sector declined by 1.66%, attributed to seasonal demand weakness and price fluctuations of high-end products like Feitian Moutai [2][13] - Current prices for 25-year Moutai (original/scattered) are 1870 RMB/1800 RMB, down by 80 RMB/100 RMB from the previous week [2][13] - The Shunwan white liquor index PE-TTM is at 18X, which is considered low compared to the historical average [2][13] Health Products and Snacks - The health products sector is experiencing a growth trend, with a 3.65% increase this week, driven by new consumption trends [20] - The snack sector is expected to benefit from low base effects and new product launches, with companies like Three Squirrels and Salted Fish being highlighted [17][21] Soft Drinks and Beer - The soft drink sector saw a slight decline of 0.6%, with notable performances from brands like Master Kong (+5.4%) and Nongfu Spring (+5.3%) [4][15] - The beer sector declined by 1.9%, but there is optimism for recovery with upcoming consumption policies [4][15] Investment Recommendations - Focus on strong alpha companies in the liquor sector such as Shanxi Fenjiu and Guizhou Moutai, which are expected to benefit from market consolidation [4][21] - In the consumer goods sector, companies that align with cost reduction and market share growth strategies are recommended, including Li Gao Foods and Nongfu Spring [4][21]
大消费行业2025年7月金股推荐
Changjiang Securities· 2025-06-30 14:41
联合研究丨组合推荐 [Table_Title] 大消费行业 2025 年 7 月金股推荐 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 长江大消费九大优势行业(农业、零售、社服、汽车、纺服、轻工、食品、家电、医药)2025 年 7 月重点推荐金股。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 陈佳 李锦 赵刚 SAC:S0490513080003 SAC:S0490514080004 SAC:S0490517020001 SFC:BQT624 SFC:BUV258 SFC:BUX176 高伊楠 于旭辉 蔡方羿 SAC:S0490517060001 SAC:S0490518020002 SAC:S0490516060001 SFC:BUW101 SFC:BUU942 SFC:BUV463 董思远 陈亮 彭英骐 SAC:S0490517070016 SAC:S0490517070017 SAC:S0490524030005 SFC:BQK487 SFC:BUW408 SFC:BUZ392 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2 / 11 ...
白酒市场分化加剧,头部企业韧性凸显
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-25 01:02
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the increasing differentiation in the Chinese liquor market, with a rising concentration of the top six companies (CR6) and a notable resilience among leading enterprises, despite overall declines in operational indicators and rising costs [1] - The white liquor industry is undergoing a deep adjustment period characterized by "stock competition + structural upgrades," presenting both challenges and opportunities. Companies need to enhance supply-side quality and efficiency while accurately reaching demand-side targets to reshape growth logic [1] - Current demand for white liquor is at a historical low, with limited downside risks. A relatively loose policy environment is expected to support a gradual recovery in consumption, with short-term rigid demand and potential improvements in banquet demand due to low base effects [1] Group 2 - In the broader consumer goods sector, there is a rising interest in yellow wine, while beer consumption is entering a peak season. The raw milk prices in the dairy industry have stabilized, and segments like snacks and energy drinks are experiencing high growth [2] - The food and beverage sector shows a strong willingness to distribute dividends, with expectations for an overall increase in dividend rates led by benchmark companies like Moutai and Wuliangye [2] - The Food and Beverage ETF (515170) tracks the CSI segmented food and beverage industry index, focusing on high-barrier and resilient sectors such as liquor, beverages, dairy, and seasoning products, providing a convenient investment tool for small capital investors [2]
会稽山总经理:黄酒行业仍存在较大潜在空间
news flash· 2025-06-20 12:58
Group 1 - The yellow wine industry appears to be shrinking from a market perspective, but there remains significant potential for growth [1] - The ratio of high-alcohol to low-alcohol beverages in Europe, the US, and Japan is approximately 5:5, while in China it is 7:3, indicating a rapid adjustment in consumption patterns [1] - Over the past six years, the production of high-alcohol beverages has decreased by about 50%, while the annual growth rate of low-alcohol beverages reached an impressive 25% to 30% last year [1] Group 2 - Yellow wine, as a unique low-alcohol beverage in China, possesses vast development potential and market space [1]