Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Bullish**: Gold, Copper, Aluminum, Nickel, Stainless Steel, Zinc, Tin, Industrial Silicon, Palm Oil, Soybean Meal, Ethanol, Ethylene Glycol, Short - Fiber, Styrene, Propylene, PP, Alumina [1] - **Bearish**: Iron Ore, Coke, Coking Coal, Soda Ash, Black Metal, Cotton, Sugar, Corn, Logs, Crude Oil, Fuel Oil, BR Rubber, PTA, Pure Benzene, Styrene, PVC, LPG, Container Shipping Routes [1] - **Sideways**: Treasury Bonds, Silver, Alumina, Stainless Steel, Rebar, Hot - Rolled Coil, Paper Pulp, Live Pigs, Natural Rubber, PE, PP, PVC, PG [1] Core Views of the Report - Short - term stock index futures' discount has widened again, and with liquidity drive, short - term index adjustments may bring long - position layout opportunities. Asset shortage and weak economy are favorable for bond futures, but the central bank's short - term interest - rate risk warning suppresses the upside. The Fed is expected to cut interest rates in September, providing support for gold prices. [1] - For base metals, the US CPI inflation data basically meets expectations, increasing the Fed's interest - rate cut expectation. The approaching consumption peak season may drive up copper and aluminum prices. Nickel prices are expected to fluctuate strongly in the short - term, but there is still pressure from long - term primary nickel oversupply. [1] - In the black metal sector, the supply - demand situation is not optimistic in the short - term, with supply recovering and demand at risk of weakening, and high inventory levels. The steel market is under pressure due to supply surplus. [1] - In the agricultural products sector, the market situation varies. For example, palm oil has short - term callback risks but long - term upward logic. Cotton has short - term supply tightness, while sugar is expected to be in a weak - sideway trend. [1] - In the energy and chemical sector, the overall situation is affected by factors such as production increases, cost support, and demand changes. For example, crude oil's fundamental situation is loose, and PTA's production has recovered. [1] Summary by Related Catalogs Macro - Financial - **Stock Index Futures**: Short - term discount widening and liquidity drive may offer long - position opportunities during short - term index adjustments [1] - **Treasury Bonds**: Asset shortage and weak economy are favorable, but central - bank interest - rate risk warning suppresses upside [1] Precious Metals - **Gold**: Fed's expected September interest - rate cut provides support, short - term high - level strong operation with attention to volatility risks [1] - **Silver**: Short - term high - level strong operation [1] Non - Ferrous Metals - **Copper**: US inflation data and approaching consumption peak season may drive up prices [1] - **Aluminum**: Fed's interest - rate cut expectation and consumption peak season may lead to a strong trend [1] - **Alumina**: Production and inventory are increasing, but price is near the cost line with limited downward space [1] - **Zinc**: Social inventory increase pressures the price, but LME inventory decline and macro support limit the downside [1] - **Nickel**: Short - term macro - driven strong oscillation, long - term primary nickel oversupply pressure exists [1] - **Stainless Steel**: Raw - material support exists, short - term sideway operation [1] - **Tin**: Overall support exists, pay attention to low - long opportunities [1] Black Metals - **Rebar**: Valuation returns to neutral, industrial drive is unclear, and macro drive is positive [1] - **Hot - Rolled Coil**: Near - month contracts are restricted by production cuts, far - month contracts have upward adjustment opportunities [1] - **Iron Ore**: Short - term supply - demand is not optimistic, with high inventory [1] - **Coke and Coking Coal**: Supply - demand is weak, price is under pressure [1] - **Soda Ash**: Supply surplus pressure is large, price is under pressure [1] Agricultural Products - **Palm Oil**: Short - term callback risk, long - term upward logic [1] - **Soybean Meal**: Domestic inventory increase may pressure the price, but long - term upward logic remains [1] - **Cotton**: Short - term supply tightness, new - cotton acquisition game is the focus [1] - **Sugar**: Expected to be in a weak - sideway trend, short - term downward space is limited [1] - **Corn**: New - grain harvest may bring selling pressure, C01 is expected to decline [1] - **Soybean Meal**: MO1 has limited downward space, short - term sideway adjustment, consider low - long [1] - **Paper Pulp**: Consider 11 - 1 positive spread [1] - **Logs**: Fundamental situation is stable, price is in a weak - sideway trend [1] Energy and Chemicals - **Crude Oil**: Geopolitical tension, OPEC+ production increase, and Fed's interest - rate cut expectation affect the price [1] - **Fuel Oil**: Similar influencing factors as crude oil [1] - **Natural Rubber**: Raw - material cost support, slow inventory removal, and negative market sentiment [1] - **BR Rubber**: Follow crude oil, pay attention to inventory removal and device maintenance [1] - **PTA**: Production recovery, downstream profit improvement [1] - **Ethylene Glycol**: Basis strengthening, new device production pressure [1] - **Short - Fiber**: Device return, weakening delivery willingness [1] - **Pure Benzene and Styrene**: Inventory accumulation, supply increase, import pressure [1] - **PE**: Macro - positive, more maintenance, weak - sideway price [1] - **PP**: Maintenance support is limited, sideway - weak trend [1] - **PVC**: Return to fundamentals, supply pressure, sideway - weak trend [1] - **Alumina**: Approaching peak season, low inventory, price rebound [1] - **LPG**: Crude oil production increase, fundamental pressure, downstream profit deterioration [1] Shipping - **Container Shipping Routes**: September supply exceeds the same - period level, freight rate decline is faster than expected [1]

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views of the Report - The trading logic of the crude oil market is still switching between medium - term surplus pressure and short - term geopolitical fluctuations, and the strategy is to combine previous high - level short positions with out - of - the - money call options [2]. - Precious metals may remain strong before the Fed's meeting this month, but be cautious about chasing highs after continuous rises [3]. - Various metals, energy products, chemical products, and agricultural products have different market trends, mainly including trends such as price fluctuations, supply - demand imbalances, and impacts of policies and events [2][3][4] Summary by Category Energy - **Crude Oil**: Overnight international oil prices declined. The IEA's September report shows an increase in the supply - demand surplus, with pressure concentrated in Q4 and Q1 next year. The trading logic is between surplus pressure and geopolitical fluctuations, and the strategy is to combine short positions and call options [2]. - **Fuel Oil & Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: FU仓单 net decreased by 6800 tons in two trading days this week, and FU is stronger than LU due to geopolitical premium [20]. - **Asphalt**: Night - session oil prices dropped, and asphalt followed with a limited decline. Warehouse receipts decreased on Thursday. September's first - week shipments slowed, but the impact is expected to be short - term. Factory inventories increased while social inventories decreased, and overall inventory is flat. Long positions set at the beginning of the week were closed with profits [21]. - **Liquefied Petroleum Gas**: The international market is strong due to strong procurement demand in India and East Asia. In early September, the arrival volume in Guangdong decreased, strengthening the support of import costs. Terminal product prices are rising, and the high -开工 rate pattern can be maintained. The spot has stronger support, but the futures price is limited by high - volume warehouse receipts and will run in a range [22]. Metals - **Precious Metals**: US CPI data in August met expectations, and the number of initial jobless claims reached a 4 - year high, verifying weak employment. The market has fully priced in three consecutive Fed rate cuts this year. Precious metals may remain strong before the meeting this month, but be cautious about chasing highs [3]. - **Base Metals** - **Copper**: Night - session copper prices continued to rise. US CPI increased, and the labor market showed signs of slowing, increasing the expectation of a Fed rate cut and weakening the dollar. The spot copper price in China was 80175 yuan, and the Shanghai copper premium was 85 yuan. The inventory of the Steel Union increased by 900 tons to 149,000 tons. There is limited short - term upward space for Shanghai copper, and attention should be paid to the premium of call options with an exercise price of 82,000 yuan for the 2520 contract [4]. - **Aluminum**: Night - session Shanghai aluminum oscillated strongly and reached the 21,000 - yuan mark. Downstream construction started to pick up seasonally, and the production of aluminum rods increased month - on - month. The inventory of aluminum ingots is likely to remain low this year, and the social inventory of aluminum ingots decreased by 0.6 million tons on Tuesday. Short - term Shanghai aluminum will continue to test the 21,000 - yuan resistance [5]. - **Cast Aluminum Alloy**: It followed Shanghai aluminum and oscillated strongly. The Baotai spot price was stable at 20,400 yuan. The supply of scrap aluminum was tight, and the expected tax policy adjustment increased enterprise costs. The cross - variety price difference between the spot and Shanghai aluminum has room to narrow further [6]. - **Alumina**: The operating capacity is at a historical high, and the industry inventory is rising. The warehouse receipts of the Shanghai Futures Exchange increased to over 130,000 tons. Supply surplus is evident, and spot prices are dropping rapidly. The industry profit still has room to be compressed, and the support level is around 2830 yuan, the low in June [7]. - **Zinc**: The US PPI increased the expectation of a Fed rate cut in September. Coupled with low LME zinc inventory, the external market is in a rebound trend, driving the domestic market. The import ore price ratio is not good, and smelters mainly purchase domestic ore. The domestic ore TC decreased instead of increasing, which also supports the price in the short term. The CZSPT issued a guidance price range of 120 - 140 dollars/ton for imported zinc concentrate TC by the end of Q4. The growth space of imported ore TC this year is limited. Short - term Shanghai zinc is strongly supported at 22,000 yuan/ton. The supply - demand situation of "supply increase and demand weakness" remains unchanged, and the market is observing the performance of the consumption peak season [8]. - **Lead**: The increase in refinery maintenance led to a decrease in SMM lead social inventory, and short - position holders reduced their positions at low levels. Consumption is still weak, and the rebound momentum is insufficient. The domestic situation is stronger than the overseas situation, and the expectation of overseas low - price lead inflow restricts the rebound space of Shanghai lead. The supply of scrap batteries is in short supply, and the cost of recycled lead has strong support. The supply - demand is weak, and the market lacks contradictions, so it is advisable to wait and see [9]. - **Tin**: Night - session tin prices rose. This week, it held the key support level. Overseas, the LME tin inventory is increasing, but the concentration of positions is still high. In China, the social inventory is awaited. The current tin price is 271,100 yuan, with a premium of 850 yuan for the delivery month. A small number of low - position long positions can be held based on the MA60 daily line [10]. Chemicals - **Polysilicon**: The main contract slightly reduced positions and closed up at 53,700 yuan/ton. The market trading enthusiasm declined marginally. The market is in a re - balancing stage dominated by capital games. The spot price is basically stable, and the prices of batteries and components are rising. The effectiveness of cost transfer needs to be verified. Some regions have completed energy - saving inspections of the polysilicon industry, and there is a lack of incremental policy guidance. The market is under significant upward pressure and will maintain a volatile pattern [11]. - **Industrial Silicon**: The main contract reduced positions and closed up above 8700 yuan/ton. There is an increasing expectation of eliminating high - power - consumption and low - efficiency production capacity, but the actual effect remains to be seen. In September, the supply is expected to increase by 5%, and the production of downstream polysilicon and organic silicon is expected to decrease. The decline in downstream demand is limited according to current inventory changes. Short - term industrial silicon is expected to maintain a volatile pattern [12]. - **Other Chemicals** - **PVC & Caustic Soda**: PVC oscillated narrowly. Supply is at a high level, demand is weak, and social inventory is at a new high. New production capacity is being put into operation, and the supply pressure is large. The cost support is not obvious. The futures price may oscillate weakly. Caustic soda oscillated during the day. The industry inventory decreased again, and the spot performance is differentiated. The price is relatively firm, but there is still supply pressure in the future, and it is expected to oscillate widely [28]. - **PX & PTA**: Night - session prices were dragged down by the decline in oil prices. The short - process efficiency of PX is good, but there is a lack of new production capacity. The production growth space is limited. Attention should be paid to the maintenance of existing plants. PTA is continuously de - stocking, but the processing margin and basis are weakening. The price driver is still the raw material, and recent plant maintenance has increased. Terminal weaving orders are increasing, and demand is improving. Consider the possibility of the relative valuation of PX/PTA to oil rising before the National Day [29]. - **Ethylene Glycol**: The price continued to be weak. The trial operation of new plants put pressure on the near - term contract, and the monthly spread declined. The domestic production decreased slightly, and the expected weekly arrival volume increased slightly. The port inventory is low, and the basis is still strong. Attention should be paid to the trial operation of the two new plants [30]. Building Materials - **Steel Products (Rebar & Hot - Rolled Coil)**: Night - session steel prices oscillated weakly. This week, the apparent demand and production of rebar continued to decline, and inventory continued to accumulate. The demand for hot - rolled coil recovered significantly, production increased, and inventory decreased slightly. The rapid resumption of blast furnaces led to an increase in hot - metal production, but the low profit per ton restricted further resumption. The market still faces potential negative feedback pressure. The downstream real estate investment continued to decline significantly, and the growth rate of infrastructure and manufacturing slowed down. Domestic demand is still weak, while steel exports remain high. The market is pessimistic, and the futures price has insufficient upward momentum. It is expected to oscillate weakly in the short term, and attention should be paid to the improvement of building material demand in the peak season [13]. - **Iron Ore**: Night - session iron ore futures oscillated. The global shipment decreased, the domestic arrival volume decreased slightly, and the port inventory stabilized and increased. There is no significant pressure to accumulate inventory in the short term. Terminal demand has slightly recovered, and steel mills' profitability is at a low level. Hot - metal production returned to a high level this week, and there is still support for iron ore demand. Steel mills have a demand for pre - holiday inventory replenishment in the next two weeks. Domestic policy benefits are yet to be released, and the overseas Fed rate - cut expectation is rising. The market speculative sentiment still exists in the short term. It is expected to oscillate at a high level [14]. - **Coke**: The price oscillated strongly during the day. The second round of price cuts for coking is in progress, and hot - metal production has recovered to over 240. Coking profit is acceptable, and daily coking production decreased slightly. The overall coke inventory is rising, and the purchasing意愿 of traders has decreased. The supply of carbon elements is still abundant, and the downstream hot - metal production is expected to gradually recover. The price is greatly disturbed by the "anti - involution" policy expectation, and the volatility is large [15]. - **Coking Coal**: The price oscillated strongly during the day. Hot - metal production has recovered to over 240. The production of coking coal mines increased month - on - month. The spot auction transaction weakened slightly, and the transaction price followed the futures price down. The terminal inventory decreased slightly. The total coking coal inventory decreased month - on - month, and the production - end inventory continued to increase slightly. The previous shutdowns are gradually resuming. The supply of carbon elements is still abundant, and the downstream hot - metal production is expected to gradually recover. The price is greatly disturbed by the "anti - involution" policy expectation, and the volatility is large [16]. Agricultural Products - **Soybean & Soybean Meal**: As of September 9, about 22% of the US soybean - growing areas were affected by drought, up from 16% the previous week. US soybeans rose slightly yesterday. The domestic soybean meal futures are in a range - bound pattern, and the domestic soybean meal spot is slightly weak. Brazil's soybean premium is high, and the arrival volume of Brazilian soybeans is sufficient. With Argentine soybean meal, the supply in Q4 is generally stable. However, if Sino - US trade negotiations are not resolved by the end of the year, there may be a shortage of domestic soybean supply in Q1 next year. The market may continue to oscillate in the short term, and the strategy is to go long at low levels. The USDA will release the September supply - demand report on September 13, and the market expects a reduction in soybean yield per unit [35]. - **Edible Oils (Soybean Oil & Palm Oil)**: The Malaysian palm oil futures rebounded after a short - term correction. The US soybean oil futures also rebounded after trading on the bearish bio - fuel policy expectation. The market is waiting for the USDA supply - demand report this week, expecting a reduction in US soybean yield per unit, US soybean exports, and Argentine soybean planting area. The domestic soybean oil and palm oil prices rebounded after reducing positions. The domestic situation is weak. In the medium term, palm oil is in the seasonal production - reduction cycle. In the long term, the biodiesel policies of Indonesia and the US support the industrial demand for vegetable oils, and the aging of palm trees is prominent. It is advisable to go long at low levels [36]. - **Rapeseed Meal & Rapeseed Oil**: The price of North American oilseeds is under pressure due to the expected tight import of oilseeds in China. The port price of Canadian rapeseed decreased by 5% this week, driving down the price of Australian rapeseed by 2%. Sino - US and Sino - Canadian economic and trade negotiations are the main factors affecting the supply - demand and price of rapeseed products. The domestic rapeseed - soybean oil price difference is at a slightly high level, which is not conducive to the short - term demand for rapeseed oil. Rapeseed meal demand is mainly for rigid needs. The futures price may rise slightly in the short - term oscillation [37]. - **Corn**: Night - session corn futures continued to oscillate narrowly. The spot supply in Shandong is abundant, and the purchase price decreased. The Northeast corn spot is strong, and the opening price of new - season corn is higher than last year. The结转 inventory at the northern port is the lowest in recent years. Traders have high expectations for the new - season corn. Cofco will conduct an auction of imported corn today, about 190,000 tons. Corn may continue to oscillate strongly before the new - grain opening, and the Dalian corn futures may run weakly at the bottom after the enthusiasm for new - grain purchase fades [39]. - **Livestock and Poultry Products** - **Pig**: The futures price oscillated weakly during the day, and the spot price stabilized. The price difference between fat and lean pigs is inverted in many provinces, which may accelerate the slaughter of large pigs. The supply pressure is large in the second half of the year, and the fundamentals are weak. The tightening of transportation policies has increased the downward pressure on pig prices in traditional pig - exporting provinces. The agricultural and rural affairs department will hold a symposium on pig production capacity regulation next Tuesday. The current main - contract futures price has dropped close to the level at the beginning of the "anti - involution", so it is advisable to wait and see [40]. - **Egg**: The egg futures oscillated and slightly reduced positions, and the spot price continued to rise. It is still in the seasonal rebound window of the spot market. The industry still has a high - inventory problem, and the capacity needs to be further reduced. The number of newly - hatched chickens is expected to decrease by the end of the year. It is estimated that the peak of this round of production capacity will be reached in Q4 this year. For the far - month contracts in the first half of next year, it is advisable to consider long positions, while for the near - month contracts, attention should be paid to the exit of short - position funds [41]. Others - **Stock Index**: A - shares rose significantly with heavy trading volume yesterday. The Shanghai Composite Index approached the previous high, and the ChiNext Index rose more than 5% to regain 3000 points. All the main contracts of stock - index futures closed up, with IC leading the rise by more than 3%. Only the IM contract is still slightly at a discount to the underlying index. Overnight, overseas stock markets rose collectively, and US bond yields declined at the long end, while the US dollar index closed down. The US CPI data in August basically met expectations, but the number of initial jobless claims reached a new high since October 2021. The market has fully priced in three Fed rate cuts by the end of the year. Geopolitical situations are at a critical stage, and attention should be paid to the possible linkage with Sino - EU and Sino - US economic and trade negotiations. It is advisable to increase the allocation of the technology - growth sector and also pay attention to the opportunity of the Hang Seng Technology Index [47]. - **Treasury Bonds**: Treasury bond futures continued to adjust. Affected by the expected implementation of the third - stage fee reform of public funds, the market redemption pressure increased significantly, and the attractiveness of bond funds decreased. The bond market fluctuated greatly, and the yield of 10 - year treasury bonds may compete at the 1.8% level. Technically, the yield fluctuation is converging, and the market is quiet. The structural differentiation of treasury bond futures continues, and the probability of a steeper yield curve increases [48].

Group 1: General Information - The reports cover multiple industries including oils & fats, meals, hogs, corn, cotton, eggs, and sugar, with data as of September 12, 2025 [1][3][6][8][11][13][17] Group 2: Industry-Specific Investment Ratings - There is no information provided on industry investment ratings in the given reports Group 3: Core Views Oils & Fats - For palm oil, closely monitor if the futures price can stabilize above 4,400 ringgit. A break below may open new downside. Domestically, short - term support is at 9,000 yuan. For soybean oil, the CBOT December contract may briefly fall below 50 cents if CBOT soybeans decline further. On the domestic front, downstream demand is increasing, but supply is still ample, and the January contract of Dalian soybean oil may trade in a narrow range before the USDA report [1] Meals - The downside for meal prices is limited. In the fourth quarter, domestic soybean supply is not abundant, and cost support for meals remains strong. The market awaits the USDA September supply - demand report, with expectations of a lower yield but high production [3] Hogs - Spot prices have limited downside as they are at a low level. Demand is slowly rising, but it's uncertain if it can absorb the supply. The market may see a short - term rebound but has potential for further decline due to large supply pressure [6] Corn - The market is divided regionally. In the short term, supply and demand are both weak, and the futures price is under pressure. In the medium term, it is expected to remain weak [8] Cotton - In the short term, domestic cotton prices may trade in a range. In the long term, they may face pressure when new cotton hits the market [11] Eggs - Egg prices may rebound in early September but with limited upside. A decline risk increases after the second and third rounds of restocking end [14] Sugar - Raw sugar supply pressure is high, and it is expected to remain weak. However, the upside for the sugar - ethanol ratio in Brazil is limited. The sugar market sentiment is weak, and prices are expected to fluctuate [17] Group 4: Industry - Specific Data Summaries Oils & Fats - **Soybean Oil**: Spot price in Jiangsu decreased by 0.35% to 8,540 yuan; futures price (Y2601) increased by 0.07% to 8,568 yuan; basis (Y2601) decreased by 11.69% to 272 yuan [1] - **Palm Oil**: Spot price in Guangdong decreased by 0.54% to 9,220 yuan; futures price (P2601) remained unchanged at 9,446 yuan; basis (P2601) decreased by 28.41% to - 226 yuan; import profit increased by 18.57% to - 195 yuan; warehouse receipts increased by 5.72% to 1,570 [1] - **Rapeseed Oil**: Spot price in Jiangsu increased by 0.30% to 9,940 yuan; futures price (OI601) increased by 0.87% to 10,023 yuan; basis (OI601) decreased by 207.41% to - 83 yuan [1] Meals - **Soybean Meal**: Spot price in Jiangsu remained unchanged at 3,030 yuan; futures price (M2601) increased by 0.72% to 3,088 yuan; basis (M2601) decreased by 61.11% to - 58 yuan; Brazilian October shipment crush margin increased by 47.2% to 53 yuan; warehouse receipts increased by 6.4% to 27,565 [3] - **Rapeseed Meal**: Spot price in Jiangsu remained unchanged at 2,630 yuan; futures price (RM2601) increased by 1.34% to 2,567 yuan; basis (RM2601) decreased by 35.05% to 63 yuan; Canadian November shipment crush margin increased by 2.68% to 881 yuan; warehouse receipts remained unchanged at 10,383 [3] Hogs - **Futures**: The price of Live Hog 2511 increased by 0.04% to 13,320 yuan; Live Hog 2601 decreased by 0.07% to 13,730 yuan; the 11 - 1 spread increased by 3.53% to - 410 yuan; the main contract's open interest increased by 0.31% to 75,953; warehouse receipts remained at 428 [6] - **Spot**: Prices in Henan decreased by 0.37% to 13,500 yuan; in Shandong remained at 13,500 yuan; in Sichuan remained at 13,350 yuan; in Liaoning remained at 13,100 yuan; in Guangdong remained at 14,290 yuan; in Hunan increased by 0.76% to 13,210 yuan; in Hebei decreased by 0.74% to 13,400 yuan [6] Corn - **Corn**: The price of Corn 2511 increased by 0.23% to 2,202 yuan; the basis decreased by 4.42% to 108 yuan; the 11 - 3 spread increased by 45.45% to 16 yuan; the south - north trade profit increased by 11.36% to 49 yuan; import profit increased by 0.20% to 504 yuan; the number of trucks at Shandong deep - processing plants in the morning increased by 76.37% to 806; open interest increased by 0.84% to 1,581,422; warehouse receipts decreased by 0.16% to 51,874 [8] - **Corn Starch**: The price of Corn Starch 2511 decreased by 0.44% to 2,477 yuan; the basis increased by 15.28% to 83 yuan; the 11 - 3 spread decreased by 42.11% to - 27 yuan; the starch - corn spread decreased by 5.50% to 275 yuan; Shandong's processing profit increased by 48.78% to - 42 yuan; open interest increased by 4.83% to 295,207; warehouse receipts increased by 5.78% to 9,500 [8] Cotton - **Futures**: The price of Cotton 2605 decreased by 0.18% to 13,795 yuan; Cotton 2601 decreased by 0.14% to 13,835 yuan; the 5 - 1 spread decreased by 14.29% to - 40 yuan; the main contract's open interest decreased by 0.47% to 502,476; warehouse receipts decreased by 3.06% to 5,159 [11] - **Spot**: The Xinjiang arrival price of 3128B decreased by 0.16% to 12,186 yuan; the CC Index 3128B decreased by 0.24% to 15,249 yuan; the FC Index M 1% increased by 0.26% to 13,353 yuan [11] Eggs - The price of the Egg 11 contract increased by 0.79% to 3,044 yuan; the Egg 10 contract increased by 0.79% to 3,043 yuan; the spot price in the production area increased by 0.94% to 3.47 yuan per catty; the basis increased by 1.78% to 426 yuan; the 11 - 10 spread remained unchanged at 1 [13] Sugar - **Futures**: The price of Sugar 2601 increased by 0.38%; Sugar 2605 increased by 0.31% to 5,524 yuan; the ICE raw sugar main contract decreased by 0.57% to 15.80 cents per pound; the 1 - 5 spread increased by 14.29% to 32 yuan; the main contract's open interest increased by 0.62% to 391,605; warehouse receipts decreased by 0.28% to 11,739 [17] - **Spot**: The price in Nanning increased by 0.17% to 5,890 yuan; in Kunming increased by 0.26% to 5,850 yuan; the Nanning basis decreased by 1.88% to 366 yuan; the Kunming basis decreased by 0.61% to 326 yuan [17]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The report presents overnight market information on the trading of US soybeans, soybean meal, and palm oil, as well as the estimated data of US soybean crushing and the production forecast of Brazilian soybeans [1]. Summary by Related Catalogs Overnight Market Information of US Soybeans and Soybean Meal - From September 1 - 4, US 2025/2026 soybean export sales net increased by 541,100 tons, with a total of 767,000 tons carried over from the 2024/2025 sales. The export shipment as of August 31 was 406,600 tons, and the cumulative export shipment reached 50.1059 million tons, a 13% increase from the previous year. The new sales of US soybeans in the current market year were 1.4957 million tons [1]. - From September 1 - 4, US current - market - year soybean meal export sales net increased by 33,400 tons, a 16% increase from the average of the previous four weeks. The next - market - year soybean meal export sales net increased by 324,100 tons. The export shipment of soybean meal was 250,100 tons, a 20% decrease from the previous week and a 12% decrease from the average of the previous four weeks. The new sales of current - market - year soybean meal were 56,100 tons, and the next - market - year new sales were 325,400 tons [1]. Estimated Data of US Soybean Crushing - Before the release of the NOPA monthly report, analysts estimated that the US soybean crushing volume in August would be 182.857 million bushels, a 6.6% decrease from July but a 15.7% increase from August 2024. The estimated daily crushing volume in August was 5.899 million bushels, the slowest since August last year. The estimated soybean oil inventory held by NOPA members as of August 31 was 1298 million pounds, a 5.8% decrease from the end of July [1]. Production Forecast of Brazilian Soybeans - Conab raised the forecast of Brazil's 2024/2025 soybean production to a record 171.47 million tons, an increase of 1.82 million tons from the August forecast. The export forecast for 2024/2025 was raised by 400,000 tons to 106.65 million tons. Brazilian farmers have started sowing the 2025/2026 soybeans, and the new - year production is expected to exceed 180 million tons [1]. Palm Oil Production in Malaysia - According to SPPOMA, from September 1 - 10, 2025, Malaysia's palm oil production decreased by 3.17% month - on - month, with a 2.70% decrease in fresh fruit bunch yield and a 0.09% decrease in oil extraction rate [1]. Spot Prices - The spot prices of soybean meal in Jiangsu, rapeseed meal in Guangdong, soybean oil in Jiangsu, palm oil in Guangzhou, and rapeseed oil in Jiangsu from September 5 - 11, 2025, are provided, showing price fluctuations during this period [2].

Core Points - The establishment of the mutual recognition mechanism for food and agricultural product inspection between China and Japan has officially commenced, marked by the first shipment of garlic products from Shandong Jiangzao Agricultural Products Co., Ltd. [1] - The first mutual recognition inspection report was issued for garlic exported to Japan, involving 250 pesticide residue tests and four testing methods, highlighting the rigorous standards applied [1] - This initiative is a significant breakthrough in facilitating customs clearance for agricultural products, enhancing international trade rules participation, and providing a model for smoother entry of agricultural products into international markets [1] Company Summary - Shandong Jiangzao Agricultural Products Co., Ltd. successfully shipped garlic products with mutual recognition inspection labels, indicating compliance with Japanese standards [1] - The company has engaged in deep cooperation with the New Japan Testing Association (SK) to ensure "one-time testing, mutual recognition" for food and agricultural products destined for Japan [1] Industry Summary - The mutual recognition mechanism is expected to streamline the process for agricultural products entering the Japanese market, representing a key step in international agricultural trade [1] - The collaboration between Chinese and Japanese inspection agencies aims to enhance the internationalization of testing standards, benefiting the agricultural sector in Shandong and nationwide [1]

Core Viewpoint - *ST WanFang is under investigation by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) for suspected violations of information disclosure laws, which adds to the company's existing challenges and risks of delisting [1][2]. Group 1: Regulatory Issues - On July 25, 2025, *ST WanFang received a notice from the CSRC regarding an investigation for information disclosure violations [1]. - This is not the first time the company has faced regulatory scrutiny; it previously received a warning from the Jilin Securities Regulatory Bureau in April 2024 for similar violations [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - The company has reported consecutive losses for the years 2023 and 2024, with a projected loss of 5 to 7 million yuan in the first half of 2025, indicating a worsening financial situation [2]. - As of the first quarter of 2025, the company had 31,631 shareholders, and its stock has been marked with "*ST" due to financial indicators triggering delisting risk warnings [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Actions - The second-largest shareholder, Shuangyang Rural Commercial Bank, plans to reduce its stake by up to 3% between September 25 and December 23, 2025, due to funding needs [1]. - The first major shareholder's 90.86 million shares (29.18% of total shares) failed to sell at auction, raising concerns about potential changes in company control and further financial distress [3]. Group 4: Legal Recourse for Investors - Investors who purchased shares before July 25, 2025, and sold or held them after this date may have the right to claim compensation through legal channels [4]. - A legal team is currently gathering affected investors for potential claims, with fees only charged upon successful recovery [4].

Core Insights - Huarong County has developed its local specialty industries significantly, with modern agriculture and green food processing industries generating over 40 billion yuan in total output value [1] - The county has achieved a land transfer rate of 65% and an agricultural mechanization rate of 80.6%, indicating a strong shift towards modern agricultural practices [1] - The income gap between urban and rural residents in Huarong County has narrowed from a ratio of 2.48 in 2012 to 1.38 in 2024, reflecting economic development and improved living standards [1] Group 1: Agricultural Development - Huarong County has a cotton planting area that once reached 500,000 mu and has developed a concentrated area of mustard greens covering 200,000 mu [1] - The area for crayfish farming has reached 345,000 mu through a "shrimp-rice intercropping" model [1] - The county has established over 3,300 new types of operating entities to support agricultural development [2] Group 2: Industry Integration and Infrastructure - Huarong County has integrated its agricultural development goals into government work reports to enhance collaboration across different administrative levels [2] - The county has attracted and nurtured 32 leading enterprises in the mustard industry, with a total of 268 strong agricultural processing enterprises [2] - Nearly 1 billion yuan has been invested in infrastructure, including the establishment of a mustard industry park with standardized factories covering 200,000 square meters [3] Group 3: Ecological and Sustainable Practices - Huarong County prioritizes ecological protection, avoiding high-pollution projects and implementing strict environmental regulations [3] - The county aims to address issues such as urban-rural development imbalance and insufficient modern agricultural development [3] - The county's leadership emphasizes the importance of creating a new agricultural platform system that integrates government and enterprise efforts for sustainable development [4][5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The ICE canola futures closed higher on September 10 but remained near the bottom of the downtrend since late June. The good weather and high excellent rate in the US soybean - producing areas bring supply - side pressure, but the unexpected reduction in planting area supports the price. The market focuses on the USDA report this month, which is expected to lower the US soybean yield per acre. [2] - For rapeseed meal, the shortage of near - month rapeseed arrivals in China reduces supply pressure, and the seasonal increase in aquaculture demand boosts its consumption. However, the good substitution advantage of soybean meal weakens the demand expectation. The temporary anti - dumping measures on Canadian rapeseed also affect the supply and price. [2] - For rapeseed oil, the terminal consumption boost from the start of school is limited, and the domestic vegetable oil supply - demand is still loose, which restricts short - term prices. But the low oil - mill operating rate and fewer near - month rapeseed purchases reduce supply pressure. The extension of the anti - dumping investigation on Canadian rapeseed also restricts purchases. The market is volatile due to international trade relations, and short - term participation is recommended. [2] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - Futures prices: The closing price of the active contract of rapeseed oil was 9893 yuan/ton, up 123 yuan; that of rapeseed meal was 2567 yuan/ton, up 34 yuan. The closing price of the active ICE canola futures was 628.2 Canadian dollars/ton, up 9.8 Canadian dollars. [2] - Spreads: The rapeseed oil month - to - month spread (1 - 5) was 346 yuan/ton, up 57 yuan; the rapeseed meal month - to - month spread (1 - 5) was 147 yuan/ton, up 19 yuan. [2] - Positions: The main - contract positions of rapeseed oil were 286194 lots, up 31047 lots; those of rapeseed meal were 407316 lots, up 20610 lots. The net long positions of the top 20 futures holders for rapeseed oil were 18355 lots, up 12961 lots; for rapeseed meal, it was - 5220 lots, up 9 lots. [2] - Warehouse receipts: The number of rapeseed oil warehouse receipts was 6953; that of rapeseed meal was 9.8. [2] 3.2 Spot Market - Spot prices: The spot price of rapeseed oil in Jiangsu was 9940 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan; that of rapeseed meal in Nantong was 2630 yuan/ton, unchanged. The average price of rapeseed oil was 10005 yuan/ton, up 30 yuan. The import cost of rapeseed was 7810.05 yuan/ton, up 75.88 yuan. [2] - Price differences: The oil - meal ratio was 3.71, up 0.01. The basis of the rapeseed oil main contract was 47 yuan/ton, down 93 yuan; that of rapeseed meal was 63 yuan/ton, down 34 yuan. The spot price difference between rapeseed oil and soybean oil was 1410 yuan/ton, up 60 yuan; between rapeseed oil and palm oil was 720 yuan/ton, up 80 yuan; between soybean meal and rapeseed meal was 400 yuan/ton, unchanged. [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - Production: The global rapeseed production forecast was 89.77 million tons, up 0.21 million tons; the annual forecast of rapeseed production was 12378 thousand tons, unchanged. [2] - Imports: The total rapeseed import volume in the current month was 17.6 million tons, down 0.85 million tons. The import volume of rapeseed oil and mustard oil in the current month was 15 million tons, up 4 million tons; that of rapeseed meal was 27.03 million tons, up 7.56 million tons. [2] - Inventory and operating rate: The total rapeseed inventory in oil mills was 10 million tons, unchanged. The weekly operating rate of imported rapeseed was 13.06%, up 1.07 percentage points. The import rapeseed crushing profit was 858 yuan/ton, up 19 yuan. [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - Inventory: The coastal rapeseed oil inventory was 9.7 million tons, down 0.7 million tons; the coastal rapeseed meal inventory was 1.8 million tons, down 0.7 million tons. The rapeseed oil inventory in East China was 53.2 million tons, down 2.2 million tons; the rapeseed meal inventory was 31.51 million tons, up 0.65 million tons. The rapeseed oil inventory in Guangxi was 4.55 million tons, down 0.3 million tons; the rapeseed meal inventory in South China was 21.3 million tons, up 1.3 million tons. [2] -提货量: The weekly rapeseed oil提货量 was 3.03 million tons, up 0.77 million tons; the weekly rapeseed meal提货量 was 2.74 million tons, down 0.15 million tons. [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - Production: The monthly production of feed was 2827.3 million tons, down 110.4 million tons; the monthly production of edible vegetable oil was 476.9 million tons, up 41.8 million tons. [2] - Consumption: The monthly total retail sales of social consumer goods in the catering industry was 4504.1 billion yuan, down 203.5 billion yuan. [2] 3.6 Option Market - Implied volatility: The implied volatility of at - the - money call options for rapeseed meal was 18.18%, down 1.16 percentage points; that of put options was 18.19%, down 1.16 percentage points. The implied volatility of at - the - money call options for rapeseed oil was 13.01%, down 0.74 percentage points; that of put options was 13.03%, down 0.7 percentage points. [2] - Historical volatility: The 20 - day historical volatility of rapeseed meal was 18.15%, down 2.13 percentage points; the 60 - day historical volatility was 22.1%, up 0.12 percentage points. The 20 - day historical volatility of rapeseed oil was 8.26%, down 3.65 percentage points; the 60 - day historical volatility was 13.01%, unchanged. [2] 3.7 Industry News - ICE canola futures closed higher on September 10 but remained near the bottom of the downtrend since late June. The 11 - month contract rose 8.40 Canadian dollars to 628.10 Canadian dollars/ton, and the 1 - month contract rose 10.70 Canadian dollars to 640.70 Canadian dollars/ton. [2] - The good weather in the US soybean - producing areas and high excellent rate bring supply - side pressure, but the unexpected reduction in planting area supports the price. The market focuses on the USDA report this month, which is expected to lower the US soybean yield per acre. [2] - The US senator tried to stop the Trump administration from adjusting the renewable fuel obligation policy, which led to the decline of US soybean oil futures and affected the domestic vegetable oil market sentiment. [2]

Group 1: Report General Information - Report Name: Corn Starch Daily Report [2] - Date: September 11, 2025 [2] - Researcher: Liu Dayong [6] - Futures Practitioner Certificate Number: F03107370 [6] - Investment Consulting Certificate Number: Z0018389 [6] Group 2: Data Futures Disk - C2601: Closing price 2172, up 2 (0.09%), volume 112,026 (-43.81%), open interest 435,154 (3.08%) [3] - C2605: Closing price 2240, unchanged (0.00%), volume 16,051 (30.54%), open interest 81,333 (1.19%) [3] - C2509: Closing price 2302, up 17 (0.74%), volume 691 (DIV/0!), open interest 11,759 (0.68%) [3] - CS2601: Closing price 2497, down 5 (-0.20%), volume 17,752 (-24.92%), open interest 60,779 (4.53%) [3] - CS2605: Closing price 2584, down 4 (-0.15%), volume 346 (-53.18%), open interest 1,002 (0.40%) [3] - CS2509: Closing price 2502, unchanged (0.00%), volume 0 (DIV/0!), open interest 1,501 (0.00%) [3] Spot and Basis - Corn: Qinggang 2220 (unchanged), Jiajishenghua 2180 (unchanged), Zhucheng Xingmao 2420 (-6), Shouguang 2324 (-30), Jinzhou Port 2310 (unchanged), Nantong Port 2420 (unchanged), Guangdong Port 2450 (unchanged) [3] - Starch: Longfeng 2700 (unchanged), COFCO 2750 (unchanged), Cargill 2800 (unchanged), Yufeng 2990 (unchanged), Jinyumi 2850 (unchanged), Zhucheng Xingmao 2940 (unchanged), Hengren Gongmao 2810 (unchanged) [3] Spreads - Corn Inter - delivery: C01 - C05 -68 (up 2), C05 - C09 -62 (-17), C09 - C01 130 (up 15) [3] - Starch Inter - delivery: CS01 - CS05 -87 (-1), CS05 - CS09 82 (-4), CS09 - CS01 5 (up 5) [3] - Cross - variety: CS09 - C09 200 (-17), CS01 - C01 325 (-7), CS05 - C05 344 (-4) [3] Group 3: Market Judgment Corn - US corn prices have fallen, but there may be a rebound due to potential downward adjustment of US corn yield. China has imposed a 15% tariff on US corn, with a total of 26% tariff within the quota, and a 22% tariff on US sorghum. The import profit of foreign corn is relatively high, with the December Brazilian import price at 2116 yuan. The northern port closing price is stable at around 2310 yuan, and the spot price in the northeast corn - producing area is relatively strong. The supply in North China has increased, leading to a decline in the spot price, and the price difference between northeast and North China corn has narrowed. The wheat price in North China is weak, and the price difference between wheat and corn is small, so wheat continues to be a substitute. The domestic breeding demand is still weak, and the inventory of downstream feed enterprises is high. The corn spot price is relatively stable in the short term. Due to recent imports and domestic corn auctions, and the upcoming large - scale listing of new - season corn, the corn spot price is expected to decline. It is estimated that by the end of September, the North China corn price may reach 2200 yuan/ton, and the price in Heilongjiang may be below 2100 yuan/ton [5][7] Starch - The number of vehicles arriving at Shandong deep - processing plants has increased, and the Shandong corn spot price is stable. The starch price in Shandong is around 2750 yuan, and the northeast starch spot price is also weak. This week, the corn starch inventory has decreased to 122.6 million tons, a decrease of 3.9 million tons from last week, a monthly decrease of 6.98% and a year - on - year increase of 40.3%. The current starch price mainly depends on the corn price and downstream inventory - building. The average income from by - products in the past few years has been over 600 yuan, and today the by - product contribution in Shandong is 630 yuan (670 yuan in Heilongjiang). The by - product price is still strong, much higher than last year, and the spot price difference between corn and starch is low. The North China corn price is stable in the short term, while the northeast corn price is relatively weak. In the medium and long term, due to weak starch demand, enterprises will be in a long - term loss state. Today, the 01 starch contract has followed the corn price in a weak shock. The North China corn price still has room to fall by early October, and the corn starch spot price will also decline later. The loss of North China deep - processing plants will expand, and it is expected that the 01 starch contract on the short - term disk will continue to be in a weak shock [8] Group 4: Trading Strategies - For the US corn, there is support at 400 cents per bushel. It is recommended to mainly wait and see for the 01 corn contract. For arbitrage, it is recommended to wait and see [10][11] Group 5: Corn Option Strategies - Spot - holding enterprises can close out their short positions in corn call options, or they can try to gradually sell at high prices in the short term and conduct rolling operations [14] Group 6: Related Attachments - The report includes six figures, namely the spot price of corn in various regions, the basis of the corn 01 contract, the 1 - 5 spread of corn, the 1 - 5 spread of corn starch, the basis of the corn starch 01 contract, and the spread of the corn starch 01 contract [16][17][21]

Market Overview - On September 11, the agricultural processing sector rose by 0.65% compared to the previous trading day, with Guotou Zhonglu leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3875.31, up 1.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12979.89, up 3.36% [1] Stock Performance - Guotou Zhonglu (600962) closed at 22.10, with a gain of 2.13% and a trading volume of 63,900 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 141 million [1] - Other notable stocks included: - COFCO Technology (000930) at 6.31, up 2.10% with a volume of 225,400 shares [1] - Jinlongyu (300999) at 33.84, up 1.29% with a volume of 110,400 shares [1] - Jiayuan Co., Ltd. (603182) at 14.43, up 1.19% with a volume of 28,100 shares [1] Capital Flow - The agricultural processing sector experienced a net outflow of 71.78 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 50.28 million [2] - The main capital inflow and outflow for specific stocks included: - COFCO Sugar (600737) had a net inflow of 17.76 million from institutional investors [3] - Guotou Zhonglu (600962) saw a net outflow of 1.38 million from retail investors [3]