Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that North American large CSPs are currently the main drivers of AI Server market demand expansion, supported by tier-2 data centers and sovereign cloud projects in the Middle East and Europe [1] - It is estimated that AI Server shipments will maintain double-digit growth by 2025 due to demand from North American CSPs and OEM customers [1] - TrendForce has slightly revised down the global AI Server shipment growth for this year to 24.3% due to changes in international circumstances [1]

Investment Rating - Buy: Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Wistron, Gigabyte, ASUS, AVC; Neutral: Quanta, Inventec [8] Core Insights - The average year-over-year revenue growth for ten companies in the AI servers and AI PCs supply chain is expected to be +37% in June 2025, +27% in July 2025, and +18% in August 2025, driven by the ramp-up of AI servers and new product launches [1] - Rack-level AI servers are transitioning models, which may impact revenue growth in the second half of 2025 [1] - Geopolitical uncertainties are causing changes in end market demand, leading to a slower month-over-month growth forecast of -6% in June, -8% in July, and +2% in August 2025 [1] Company Summaries Hon Hai - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 17% YoY to NT$1,813 billion, driven by AI server demand and tariff-related consumption pull-ins [13] - May revenues were 6% below estimates, affected by slower customer pull-in momentum and negative exchange rate impacts [13] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$242 based on a 14.9x 2026E P/E multiple [15] Quanta - Anticipated 2Q25 revenues to grow 57% YoY to NT$488 billion, supported by AI server ramp-up [20] - May revenues were 13% below estimates, with a decline in notebook shipments [20] - Maintain Neutral rating with a target price of NT$273 based on a 12.8x 2026E P/E [23] Wiwynn - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 161% YoY to NT$202 billion, driven by strong demand for ASIC AI servers [38] - May revenues were 34% higher than estimates, reflecting continued strong demand [39] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$3,838 based on a 20.5x 2026E P/E [42] Wistron - Expected June revenues to grow 123% YoY to NT$198 billion, driven by AI server demand [47] - Strong revenue in May, up 162% YoY, supported by new product cycles [44] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$152 based on a 14.8x 2026E P/E [49] Gigabyte - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 32% YoY to NT$97 billion, supported by AI servers and VGAs [50] - May revenues were 79% above estimates, reflecting tariff-related pull-ins [51] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$344 based on a 14.0x 2026E P/E [55] AVC - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 67% YoY to NT$27 billion, driven by liquid cooling business [27] - May revenues were higher than estimates, reflecting the rising trend in liquid cooling [27] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$878 based on a 20.0x 2026E P/E [37] ASUS - Expected 2Q25 revenues to grow 21% YoY to NT$175 billion, supported by AI and gaming PCs [57] - May revenues were up 41% YoY, exceeding estimates [62] - Maintain Buy rating with a target price of NT$849 based on a 14.6x 2026E P/E [63] Inventec - Expected June revenues to be similar to May, supported by AI server ramp-up [65] - Maintain Neutral rating with a focus on AI server revenue contribution [65]

Core Insights - Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has announced the certification of its BigTwin Server for immersion cooling, utilizing 4th and 5th Gen Intel Xeon Scalable Processors, enhancing performance and efficiency in data centers [1][6] Group 1: Certification and Collaboration - The Supermicro BigTwin server has undergone rigorous testing and is now recognized as a certified immersion server, ensuring compatibility with Intel's guidelines and the Open Compute Project (OCP) specifications [1][4] - Supermicro's long-standing collaboration with Intel combines advanced processor technologies with high-performance solutions, ensuring that the BigTwin server remains fully functional when immersed in specified liquids [2][4] Group 2: Efficiency and Environmental Impact - Immersion cooling technology significantly lowers Power Usage Effectiveness (PUE), with data centers using Supermicro immersion servers achieving PUE values close to 1.05 or lower, thus reducing energy costs and environmental impact [3][8] - The immersion cooling method allows for denser compute configurations without increasing thermal load, improving overall energy efficiency and reducing the need for traditional air-based cooling systems [3][5] Group 3: Industry Standards and Future Outlook - Supermicro's involvement in the OCP Community has been crucial in advancing immersion cooling standards, promoting compatibility, efficiency, and scalability across data center deployments [4][5] - The growing demand for immersion-certified servers is driven by the need for efficient cooling solutions in data centers, particularly for AI and HPC applications, which require powerful processors [8]

Core Insights - The global server market is projected to reach $366 billion by 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 44.6% [1] Market Segmentation - The x86 server market is expected to grow by 39.9%, reaching $283.9 billion [1] - The non-x86 server market is forecasted to grow by 63.7%, reaching $82 billion [1] - Within the non-x86 segment, Arm architecture servers are anticipated to grow at a rate of 70.0%, accounting for 21.1% of total shipments [1]

Core Insights - The global technology infrastructure is undergoing significant development, particularly in artificial intelligence (AI), leading to a substantial increase in data center construction [1] - The data center construction market is projected to grow from $240 billion in 2024 to $456 billion by 2030, while the AI server market could increase to $430 billion by 2033 [1] Company Analysis: Applied Digital - Applied Digital is a small company with $221 million in trailing-12-month revenue and a market cap of $2.2 billion, focusing on building and operating data centers [4] - The company has 286 megawatts of capacity for crypto mining at two locations in North Dakota, currently operating at full capacity [5] - Although not yet profitable, Applied Digital is expected to achieve profitability as new facilities open and revenue increases, with a new facility in Ellendale, North Dakota, scheduled for Q4 2025 [6] - A partnership with Macquarie Asset Management involves an investment of up to $5 billion to expand its Ellendale campus, allowing for over 2 gigawatts of data center capacity [7] - The potential sale of its cloud hosting business, which constitutes a third of its revenue, could enable Applied Digital to focus on its data center business and possibly transition to a data center real estate investment trust (REIT) [8] - Revenue grew by 22% year over year in Q1, indicating a positive outlook for the company [8] Company Analysis: Dell Technologies - Dell Technologies is a leading supplier of servers globally, with its server business expected to surpass its PC business in the coming years [9] - Revenue from infrastructure solutions, including AI-optimized servers, grew by 12% year over year in Q1, making up 44% of total revenue [10] - The server and networking revenue increased by 16%, with segment operating income rising by 36% compared to the previous year [10] - Order bookings for AI servers reached $12 billion last quarter, exceeding all shipments from the previous fiscal year, with a backlog of $14.4 billion [11] - Despite a total revenue growth of only 5% year over year, improving margins in the infrastructure segment led to a 17% increase in earnings per share [13] - The stock trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of around 12.5, reflecting sluggish growth in the PC business but indicating potential for higher returns as the infrastructure business expands [12][14]

长江商报消息 ●长江商报记者 汪静 浪潮信息（000977.SZ）拟出手回购。 6月23日，浪潮信息宣布，计划回购部分A股股份，回购金额不低于2亿元且不超过3亿元。本次回购股 份将全部用于注销并减少注册资本。 以此来看，本次回购价上限超公司现价53%，同时，本次最高回购价格也高于其历史最高股价。 此外，长江商报记者注意到，浪潮信息A股上市后累计派现14.89亿元。其中，最近三年公司累计派现 6.46亿元。 机构持仓方面，浪潮信息深受公募青睐。截至2025年3月31日，浪潮信息十大流通股东中，香港中央结 算有限公司位居第二大流通股东，持股3536.78万股，华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF、易方达沪深300ETF、易方 达中证人工智能主题ETF、华夏沪深300ETF和嘉实沪深300ETF分别位居第三至第七大流通股东。 长江商报记者注意到，浪潮信息本次回购价格上限为75.59元/股，远超目前股价，也超过历史最高股 价。 业绩面上，随着服务器需求大涨，浪潮信息业绩也实现高速增长。2024年，公司营业收入迈过千亿大 关，净利润近23亿元。2025年一季度，公司营业收入同比增长165.31%，净利润增速也高达52.78%。 浪 ...

Group 1 - The report maintains an overweight rating on the computer industry, highlighting the rise of AI and domestic chip manufacturers as key investment themes [3][4] - AI applications and computing power are expected to see significant growth, with AI Agents poised for a breakthrough year in 2025, particularly in enterprise services and SaaS sectors [4][5] - The domestic AI server market is projected to grow significantly, with a forecasted market size exceeding $100 billion by 2029, driven by increasing demand for AI computing power [5][4] Group 2 - The report emphasizes the new opportunities in the domestic software industry, particularly in core software areas where the localization rate is currently low, indicating a potential peak replacement period [4][5] - The report notes that the increasing external uncertainties and government support are accelerating the development of domestic software, with significant room for growth in database and operating system sectors [5][4] - The report identifies that the domestic database market is expected to see accelerated penetration in various industries as the 2027 full replacement deadline approaches [5][4] Group 3 - The report discusses the competitive landscape of AI models, noting that the performance gap between domestic and international models is narrowing, with significant advancements in domestic open-source models [5][28] - The report highlights the emergence of AI Agents as a new paradigm in human-machine collaboration, with the potential to transform efficiency in various sectors [31][32] - The report outlines the parallel development of MCP and A2A protocols, which are expected to enhance the AI Agent ecosystem by facilitating interoperability and data sharing [38][39]

Core Insights - Dell Technologies is experiencing strong demand for AI servers, particularly the PowerEdge XE9680L, driven by digital transformation and interest in generative AI applications [2][4] - The company's financial performance reflects this surge in demand, with Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) revenues increasing by 12% year over year to $10.31 billion in the first quarter of fiscal 2026 [3][12] - Dell's AI-optimized server orders reached $12.1 billion in the fiscal first quarter, with $1.8 billion shipped and a backlog of $14.4 billion [6][12] Financial Performance - ISG revenues rose 12% year over year to $10.31 billion, supported by strong demand for both AI and traditional servers [3][12] - The revenue from servers and networking was $6.32 billion, marking a 16% year-over-year growth [3] - The consensus estimate for second-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings is $2.26 per share, reflecting an 11.5% increase in the past 30 days and a year-over-year increase of 19.58% [16] Competitive Landscape - Dell faces significant competition from Hewlett Packard (HPE) and Super Micro Computer (SMCI) in the server market [7] - HPE's server business grew 6% year over year to $4.06 billion in the second quarter of fiscal 2025, driven by demand for AI-optimized servers [8] - Super Micro Computer has introduced new GPU solutions optimized for AI and HPC workloads, enhancing competition in the market [9] Product Development - Dell's PowerEdge servers support NVIDIA's Blackwell Ultra platform, including upcoming models designed for AI model training and complex simulations [5] - The new PowerEdge XE8712 server features the GB200 NVL4 platform and supports up to 144 NVIDIA B200 GPUs per rack [5] Valuation Metrics - Dell's shares have underperformed, losing 4.9% year to date compared to the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector's return of 1.2% [10] - The forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio for Dell is 0.72X, significantly lower than the sector average of 6.33X, indicating a potentially undervalued stock [14]

Group 1: AI Market Growth - The emergence of domestic large models like DeepSeek is accelerating the transition of AI from technology to commercial application, driving growth in the computing infrastructure market [1] - According to IDC, global AI IT investment is projected to reach $315.8 billion in 2024 and grow to $815.9 billion by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 32.9% [2] - China is expected to lead the Asia-Pacific AI market, accounting for over 50% of the region's total AI spending, with investments projected to exceed $100 billion by 2028 and a CAGR of 35.2% [3] Group 2: AI Infrastructure and Demand - The rapid performance improvement and significant cost reduction in AI models are creating new market opportunities and lowering barriers for users [5] - The demand for AI computing power is expected to continue rising, with China's intelligent computing scale projected to reach 1,037.3 EFLOPS by 2025 and 2,781.9 EFLOPS by 2028 [5] - The liquid cooling server market in China is anticipated to grow significantly, reaching $2.37 billion in 2024, a 67% increase from 2023, with a CAGR of 46.8% from 2024 to 2029 [6] Group 3: Lenovo's Positioning - Lenovo Group is strategically positioned in the computing infrastructure sector, leveraging its "computing gene" to capitalize on the AI wave [6][9] - The company's server business has seen robust growth, with ISG revenue increasing by 63% and achieving profitability for two consecutive quarters [9] - Lenovo's focus on green computing solutions not only reduces operational costs for clients but also supports AI training and data processing effectively [9]

全球关税战方兴未艾，对生成式AI投资回报过慢的质疑，以及美国持续扩大对中国大陆AI运算力的技 术、产品封锁，皆未影响主要业者继续大举投入建置AI资料中心，大型语言模型(LLM)效能与应用持续 发展，仍吸引业者不断投资并采购AI服务器。DIGITIMES预估，2025年全球AI服务器出货将达181万 台，而搭载高频宽存储器(High Bandwidth Memory；HBM)的高阶AI服务器出货则将突破百万台大关， 较2024年成长4成。 由于GB200/GB300机种出货占比将从2024年接近0%，大幅成长至近4成，与GB200主板、整机、机柜相 关的台系代工厂皆将显著受惠，其中，鸿海（2317）2025年在主机板(L6)产量的排名将由2024年的第四 上升至第一。在整机系统生产(L10)方面，长期与Google合作的Celestica占比仍将维持第一，但广达 （2382）、鸿海、纬创（3231）的占比亦将大幅提升。 DIGITIMES指出，2025年高阶AI服务器采购量成长最快的预估为甲骨文(Oracle)，主因甲骨文为OpenAI 的星际之门计划(Stargate Project)合作业者中最积极者之一； ...