All right, let's get on Mad Dash. Little synergy today. We've got Walmart ringing the opening bell and they're the subject of the Mad Dash.Yeah. And and John David Rainy came over. Now John David, I've known him for many many years.He's the CFO of the company. He's CFO and senior vice president. And I was concerned by the Walmart Walmart wanted to know the response about Amazon.Yeah. Because Amazon the journal caught them raising prices. Now I'm trying to find out whether that's broad panibly but he said Wa ...

Core Insights - The U.S. retail sector has shown resilience with a notable rebound in retail sales, indicating strong consumer spending despite price pressures and tariffs [1][4][6] Retail Sales Performance - Retail sales reached $720.1 billion in June, increasing by 0.6% month over month after a 0.9% decline in May, surpassing analysts' expectations of a 0.1% rise [4][9] - Year-over-year, retail sales rose by 3.9% in June, driven by increases in auto dealership sales (up 1.2%) and building material and garden equipment stores (up 0.9%) [4][6] - Online retail sales grew by 0.4%, while sales at sporting goods, hobby, and book stores increased by 0.2% [4] Economic Implications - The strong retail sales figures suggest that the economy remains robust, potentially influencing the Federal Reserve to delay interest rate cuts [2][6] - Tariff-driven price increases have contributed to the rise in retail sales, but market participants are optimistic about future trade deals mitigating negative impacts [7] Investment Opportunities - Five retail stocks have been identified as having growth potential due to positive earnings estimate revisions and strong Zacks Ranks: Amazon.com, Dollar Tree, Advance Auto Parts, Casey's General Stores, and Levi Strauss [2][3][9] - Amazon.com, Inc. has an expected earnings growth rate of 13.4% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank of 1 [10] - Dollar Tree, Inc. has an expected earnings growth rate of 7.8% and a Zacks Rank of 2 [12] - Advance Auto Parts, Inc. is projected to have an earnings growth rate of over 100%, also holding a Zacks Rank of 2 [14] - Casey's General Stores, Inc. has an expected earnings growth rate of 7.2% and a Zacks Rank of 2 [16] - Levi Strauss & Co. has an expected earnings growth rate of 4% and a Zacks Rank of 1 [18]

Technology Sector Overview - The technology sector advanced 614% over the last decade, significantly outperforming the broader S&P 500, which advanced 195% [1] - Innovations such as electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft (air taxis), autonomous robots, and robotaxis are expected to drive continued momentum in technology stocks over the next decade [1] Amazon's Developments - Amazon utilizes over 1 million robots in its logistics network to enhance order fulfillment efficiency [4] - The company is developing a generative AI model called DeepFleet to improve robot efficiency in warehouses [4] - Amazon plans to partner robots with human drivers in electric Rivian vans, with a long-term goal of automating the entire delivery process using robotaxis [5] - Amazon's autonomous driving subsidiary, Zoox, aims to launch a commercial ride-hailing service in Las Vegas by late 2025, with expansion to San Francisco in 2026 [7] - The ride-hailing market is projected to grow at 21% annually, reaching $918 billion by 2033, presenting a significant opportunity for Amazon [7] - Analyst Brian Nowak estimates that fulfillment, shipping, and last-mile logistics account for 36% of Amazon's retail revenue, indicating potential for improved profit margins through automation [8] - Wall Street estimates Amazon's earnings will grow at 18% annually over the next three to five years, making its current valuation of 37 times earnings appear reasonable [9] Archer and Joby Aviation - Joby and Archer are developing electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, which could transform urban mobility by providing faster air taxi services [10] - Joby aims for its first commercial launch in the UAE early next year, while Archer plans to start commercial flights in the UAE later this year [11] - Archer sources 80% of its major components from suppliers with FAA certification, potentially easing regulatory approval [12] - Joby is more vertically integrated, developing most components internally, which may increase costs and complicate FAA certification [13] - Neither company currently generates revenue, complicating stock valuation, but analysts favor Archer with a target price of $13 per share, while Joby's target price of $8 implies a 56% downside from its current price of $18.20 [13] - The urban air mobility market is expected to grow at 35% annually, potentially exceeding $29 billion by 2030 [14]

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Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Chinese consumer market** and its dynamics in Q2 2025, particularly regarding household income, spending, and consumer confidence. Key Points 1. Household Income and Spending - Household disposable income growth slowed to **5.1% year-over-year** in Q2 from **5.5%** in Q1, indicating a deceleration in income growth [4][5] - Nominal consumption growth remained flat at **5.2% year-over-year** in Q2, with per capita consumption growth decelerating to **4.3% quarter-over-quarter annualized** from **8.3%** in Q1 [4][5] - The decline in consumption growth was attributed to weaker spending in categories such as food, education, culture and entertainment, and transport and telecommunications [4] 2. Labor Market Conditions - Signs of softening in the labor market were observed, with the weighted average of employment sub-indexes under various PMI surveys declining in Q2 compared to Q1 [18][21] - Year-over-year growth in official wage income and migrant workers' average monthly income decreased to **4.7%** and **3.0%**, respectively, from **5.2%** and **3.3%** in Q1 [4][24] - Urban wage growth moderated to **3.9% year-over-year** in Q2 from **4.2%** in Q1 [27] 3. Household Savings and Deposits - The household savings rate fell below pre-COVID trend levels in Q2, with an estimated **RMB 55 trillion** in "excess deposits" compared to pre-COVID trends [37][40] - Household bank deposits continued to increase, indicating a shift towards saving rather than spending [37][40] 4. Consumer Confidence - The NBS consumer confidence index remained depressed in the first two months of Q2, with reports of nationwide childbirth subsidies being rolled out, though their impact is yet to be determined [4][46] - The number of marriage registrations has shown a structural downward trend for over a decade, complicating efforts to boost consumer confidence [47] 5. Retail Sales and Auto Sales - Retail sales growth accelerated in Q2, driven by stronger goods sales, although new property sales declined sequentially [8][13] - Auto sales volume was above last year's level in Q2, with a **16.2% year-over-year** increase in June [12] 6. Other Notable Trends - The labor cost sub-index in the CKGSB Business Condition Index survey showed slower growth in Q2, reflecting broader economic challenges [4][24] - The year-over-year increase in the migrant worker population has slowed in recent quarters, indicating potential labor market constraints [31][32] Conclusion - The Chinese consumer market is experiencing a slowdown in income growth and consumption, alongside signs of labor market softening. Despite some positive trends in retail and auto sales, overall consumer confidence remains low, influenced by structural demographic trends and economic uncertainties.

Core Viewpoint - AlphaGen Intelligence Corp. plans to conduct a non-brokered private placement offering of up to 7,137,000 common shares at a price of $0.12 per share, aiming for gross proceeds of up to $856,440 [1][2]. Group 1: Offering Details - The offering will be used for general working capital purposes [2]. - All securities issued will be subject to a statutory hold period of four months and one day [2]. - The closing of the offering is contingent upon receiving necessary regulatory approvals, with an anticipated closing date around August 11, 2025 [2][6]. Group 2: Company Overview - AlphaGen Intelligence Corp. is publicly traded and holds a portfolio in gaming, entertainment, eCommerce, and retail [4]. - The company operates units such as Shape Immersive, a metaverse studio, and MANA, a SaaS solution for community engagement [4]. - Notable clients and partners include RTFKT, Olympics, Red Bull, Intel, and TED [4].

Group 1: Target Corp (TGT) - Barclays downgraded Target Corp stock to "underweight" from "equal weight," indicating potential ongoing sales weakness unless a strategy revision occurs [1] - TGT shares are down 0.8% to $102.67, with a 24% year-to-date deficit and on track for its fourth loss in five sessions [2] - The stock has struggled to surpass $110 since March but has remained above $100 this month [2] Group 2: Costco Wholesale Corp (COST) - COST is down 0.1% to $949.69, with a support level forming around the $950 region [3] - The stock is experiencing its fourth loss in five sessions and has recorded a second consecutive weekly loss [3] - Year-over-year, COST shares are up 13.3% [3] Group 3: TJX Companies Inc (TJX) - TJX is outperforming its peers, up 2.3% to $125.01, marking its best single-day percentage gain since May [4] - The stock is bouncing off the $120 region, which has provided support during its June pullback [4] - Over the last 12 months, TJX shares have increased by more than 12% [4]

Economic Outlook - U.S. consumer sentiment reached a five-month high in July, with the Consumer Sentiment Index increasing to 61.8 from 60.7 in June, indicating growing optimism about the economy [3] - Rising consumer sentiment is expected to positively influence household spending, particularly benefiting the consumer discretionary sector [1][3] Inflation Expectations - A significant factor contributing to improved consumer sentiment is the decline in inflation expectations, with consumers now anticipating a 4.4% price increase over the next year, down from 5% in June, marking the lowest short-term inflation outlook since February [4] - Long-term inflation expectations also decreased to 3.6%, the lowest in five months [4] Consumer Caution - Despite the positive sentiment, consumers remain cautious regarding business conditions, labor markets, and personal income prospects compared to the previous year [5] - The recent increase in sentiment suggests that consumers believe the risk of worst-case scenarios has diminished [5] Investment Opportunities in ETFs - Investors can capitalize on the positive consumer sentiment trend through consumer discretionary ETFs, including: - **Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLY)**: Holds 51 securities with significant allocations in hotels, restaurants, leisure, and retail, boasting an AUM of $22.3 billion and an expense ratio of 0.08% [2][5] - **Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR)**: Comprises 296 stocks, primarily in broadline retail and automobiles, with an asset base of $6 billion and low fees of 9 bps [2][6] - **Invesco Dorsey Wright Consumer Cyclicals Momentum ETF (PEZ)**: Focuses on 37 stocks showing momentum, with an asset base of $30.6 million and annual fees of 60 bps [2][7] - **VanEck Vectors Retail ETF (RTH)**: Tracks the performance of 26 large retail firms, with an asset base of $244.1 million and annual fees of 35 bps [2][8]

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Core Viewpoint - Wall Street analysts predict Tractor Supply (TSCO) will report quarterly earnings of $0.80 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 1.3%, with revenues expected to reach $4.4 billion, a 3.6% increase compared to the same quarter last year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have collectively reevaluated their initial estimates during this period [2]. - Changes in earnings estimates are crucial for predicting potential investor reactions, as empirical research shows a strong correlation between earnings estimate revisions and short-term stock price performance [3]. Key Metrics Projections - Analysts project the 'Number of stores - Petsense' to reach 209, up from 205 in the same quarter last year [5]. - The total 'Number of stores' is expected to be 2,543, compared to 2,459 a year ago [5]. - The 'Number of stores - Tractor Supply' is forecasted to reach 2,334, an increase from 2,254 in the same quarter of the previous year [6]. - 'Total Selling Square Footage' is anticipated to reach 40 million square feet, up from 38 million square feet in the same quarter last year [6]. - Analysts estimate that 'New stores opened - Tractor Supply' will be 22, compared to 21 in the same quarter last year [7]. - For 'New stores opened - Petsense', the estimate remains at 3, consistent with the year-ago value [7]. Stock Performance - Shares of Tractor Supply have shown a return of +7.7% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.4% change [7].