India’s oil refiners, a vital source of demand for Russian crude, are seeking clarification from the government in New Dehli as to whether their purchases will be affected by Donald Trump’s latest social media post. https://t.co/SFUBeeb0S3 ...

Oil refiners in India, the biggest importer of Russian crude, may be looking at diversifying some buying away from Moscow after fresh European Union sanctions on the Kremlin amid the war in Ukraine https://t.co/02spfZlVsr ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent fluctuations in oil prices have been observed, with a significant increase in diesel profits since June, leading to the highest comprehensive profits for European and American refineries this year [1] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Global supply is increasing as OPEC enters a production increase phase and non-OPEC production gradually ramps up, leading to a stockpiling cycle [1] - The near-term European diesel market remains tight due to various factors, with refinery operating rates expected to be revised upwards for Q3 [1] - Diesel consumption in Europe has seen a decline of 80,000 barrels per day (1.7%) in April, while non-road diesel demand has increased by 160,000 barrels per day (15.7%) [10] Refinery Closures and Capacity - In 2023, European and American refineries are facing closures totaling 800,000 barrels per day, with several refineries already shut down or planned for closure [10] - A power outage in the Iberian Peninsula led to the forced shutdown of over 1.5 million barrels per day of refining capacity [10] Import Trends - As of the third week of July, European diesel imports remain 500,000 barrels per day lower than the same period last year, primarily due to low loading volumes from the Middle East [11] - The EU's new sanctions against Russia will impact approximately 300,000 barrels per day of diesel imports, tightening supply further [12] Market Outlook - The current low inventory levels and unreturned imports suggest a favorable medium-term outlook for European diesel, although short-term uncertainties remain [13] - The overall oil market is expected to remain in a fluctuating state, with refinery operating expectations revised upwards due to high diesel profits, despite an overall surplus in crude oil [14]

Market Overview - Pre-market futures are showing positive movement, albeit with some volatility, influenced by a new economic report and Q2 earnings releases [1] - Major indices are experiencing slight gains, with the Dow up 55 points, S&P 500 up 8 points, and Nasdaq up 6 points [2] - Over the past week, indices have seen increases ranging from 0.5% (Nasdaq) to 1% (S&P 500), with significant gains since April 9, including a 29% rise in the Nasdaq [2] Durable Goods Orders - Durable Goods Orders for June reported a decline of 9.3%, which was better than the expected 11.1% drop, following a revised increase of 16.5% in May [3] - Excluding transportation, Durable Goods Orders showed a slight increase of 0.2%, compared to a previous revision of 0.6% [3] - Non-Defense, ex-aircraft orders fell by 0.7%, down from a 2.0% increase in May, indicating potential impacts from changing tariff policies [4] Q2 Earnings Reports - Phillips 66 (PSX) reported Q2 earnings of $2.38 per share, exceeding estimates by 43.37%, with revenues of $33.52 billion, surpassing expectations by 9.75% [5] - AutoNation (AN) also exceeded earnings expectations with $5.46 per share, a 16.17% beat, and revenues of $6.97 billion, beating projections by 2.6% [6] - Centene (CNC) reported a significant earnings miss at -$0.16 per share, falling short of the anticipated $0.68, although revenues of $48.74 billion exceeded estimates by 11% [7] Upcoming Market Events - The upcoming week will see earnings reports from major companies, including Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon, as well as a Federal Reserve meeting [8] - Jobs Week will feature key reports such as JOLTS, ADP private-sector payrolls, and the BLS Employment Situation report, with revisions to prior months being crucial [9]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus of the conference call is on the diesel products market, particularly the refining margins for diesel in the US and Europe, which have shown significant increases despite fluctuations in crude prices and geopolitical risks [1][6][4]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Diesel Margin Trends**: Diesel margins increased in July, remaining above pre-pandemic averages due to a 10-15% year-over-year decline in global diesel stocks and a surge in financial demand for diesel [1][6]. 2. **Drivers of Diesel Margin Rally**: - **Refinery Outages**: Unexpected refinery outages in Europe and accelerated closures have pushed refinery utilization rates to high levels [1][9]. - **Production Declines in China**: A 0.3 million barrels per day (mb/d) year-over-year drop in diesel production in China has contributed to reduced global diesel stocks [12]. - **Export Constraints**: Sanctions on Venezuela, wildfires in Canada, and a shift in OPEC+ exports towards lighter barrels have skewed refinery intakes towards gasoline production rather than diesel [13][1]. 3. **Future Margin Projections**: Diesel refining margins are expected to remain $10 per barrel (bbl) above their 2013-2019 average in the second half of 2025 and into 2026, with specific forecasts for NY Harbor heating oil margins upgraded to $28/bbl and Europe gasoil margins to $23/bbl [1][21][22]. 4. **Seasonal Demand Impact**: Anticipated strong demand in Q4 for diesel, driven by harvesting and winter preparation, is expected to require higher refinery runs and faster restocking [22][26]. 5. **Risks to Margin Forecasts**: - **Upside Risks**: Faster refinery closures, delays in emerging market capacity additions, and a potential policy shift in China towards petrochemicals could further support margins [40][1]. - **Downside Risks**: A potential US recession poses a significant risk to demand, with a 30% probability estimated for such an event in the next 12 months [40][1]. Additional Important Insights - **Refinery Capacity Additions**: Global operational capacity additions are expected to slow from 1.2 mb/d in 2023-2024 to 0.5 mb/d in 2025-2026, which will keep product margins elevated [34][1]. - **Market Positioning**: Current positioning in the diesel market is long, indicating that while margins may moderate, they are likely to stabilize at higher levels than previously forecasted [1][3]. - **Hedging Recommendations**: Given the current market conditions, refiners are advised to hedge deferred product margins as they remain well above pre-pandemic averages [3][40]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call regarding the diesel products market, highlighting the factors influencing current trends and future expectations.

Indian private refiner Reliance Industries purchased a shipment of Abu Dhabi’s flagship Murban crude in recent days on an Intercontinental Exchange Inc. platform https://t.co/qW6l14MKwi ...

Market Overview - The market opened mixed, with the Dow dropping -316 points (-0.70%) after a +500-point gain the previous day, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq saw modest increases of +0.07% and +0.18% respectively [1] - The small-cap Russell 2000 index fell -1.3% [1] Services & Manufacturing PMI - The S&P Services PMI for July was reported at 55.2, exceeding expectations of 53.2 and the previous month's 52.9, marking the highest level in 2025 [2] - In contrast, the S&P Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.5, below the anticipated 52.7 and the previous month's 52.9, indicating a decline in new orders for the first time this year [3] Earnings Results - Intel reported Q2 earnings with a loss of -$0.10 per share, missing the expected +$0.01, while revenues were $12.9 billion, surpassing the consensus of $11.87 billion [4] - Intel's guidance for Q3 includes revenue expectations of $12.6-13.6 billion but forecasts earnings of $0.00 per share, down from the expected 2 cents, and announced a further -15% workforce reduction [5] - Deckers Outdoor exceeded earnings expectations with 93 cents per share against estimates of 68 cents, and revenues of $965 million, a +17% increase year-over-year [6] - Despite a +20% surge in shares post-announcement, Deckers' stock is still down approximately -40% year-to-date [7] Upcoming Economic Indicators - Durable Goods Orders for June are anticipated to show a negative swing, with estimates at -11%, following erratic behavior influenced by tariff policies [8] - Q2 earnings reports are expected from Phillips 66 and AutoNation, with major companies like Microsoft, Apple, and Amazon set to report next week [9][10]

European Union measures to restrict imports of Russian fuel and surging supplies of lighter crude are driving diesel up prices across the world, the boss of Europe’s largest oil refiner said https://t.co/o7oaj37MDB ...

Core Insights - Sky Quarry Inc. is launching a crowdfunding offering through its subsidiary, Foreland Refining Corporation, to support its sustainable resource recovery initiatives [1][5] - The company aims to address the fuel supply gap in Nevada, which currently imports about 86% of its refined fuel, by enhancing local production capabilities [2][8] - Sky Quarry is exploring digital asset strategies to improve transparency and efficiency in capital raising, viewing its revenue-linked crowdfunding as a potential model for future blockchain applications [3][4] Company Overview - Sky Quarry Inc. focuses on oil production, refining, and environmental remediation, particularly in recycling waste asphalt shingles [7] - Foreland Refining Corporation operates the Eagle Springs refinery in Nevada, producing essential petroleum products and serving various sectors across the Western U.S. [8] Crowdfunding Details - The proceeds from the crowdfunding will be used for refinery upgrades, operational efficiency improvements, and integration of recycled heavy oil from asphalt shingle recycling [5] - The crowdfunding offering is conducted under Regulation Crowdfunding through PicMii Crowdfunding [6]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts forecast that Phillips 66 (PSX) will report quarterly earnings of $1.63 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 29.4%, with anticipated revenues of $30.54 billion, a decrease of 21.5% compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Projections - Over the last 30 days, there has been an upward revision of 0.8% in the consensus EPS estimate for the quarter, indicating a collective reconsideration by covering analysts [2]. - Changes in earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor reactions, as empirical studies show a strong correlation between earnings estimate trends and short-term stock price movements [3]. Revenue and Key Metrics Estimates - Analysts estimate 'Sales and other operating revenues' to reach $30.66 billion, indicating a year-over-year change of -19.6% [5]. - The estimate for 'Equity in earnings of affiliates' is projected at $316.23 million, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 35.1% [5]. - 'Revenues and Other Income - Other income' is expected to be $41.52 million, showing a change of -28.4% from the prior-year quarter [5]. Refining Operations - 'Revenues - Total Refining' is expected to be $15.63 billion, indicating a significant increase of 69.9% from the prior-year quarter [6]. - 'Refining operations - Gulf Coast - Crude oil processed' is projected to reach 495.27 thousand barrels per day, down from 507.00 thousand barrels per day in the same quarter last year [6]. - 'Refining operations - Atlantic Basin/Europe - Crude oil capacity' is expected to remain stable at 537.00 thousand barrels per day, consistent with the previous year's figure [7]. Global Refining Metrics - Worldwide crude oil processed is estimated at 1,751.92 thousand barrels per day, down from 1,802.00 thousand barrels per day year-over-year [8]. - 'Refining operations - Atlantic Basin/Europe - Capacity utilization' is forecasted to be 94.6%, down from 98.0% in the previous year [8]. - 'Refining operations - Atlantic Basin/Europe - Crude oil processed' is estimated at 508.20 thousand barrels per day, compared to 527.00 thousand barrels per day in the same quarter last year [9]. West Coast Operations - 'Refining operations - West Coast - Crude oil processed' is projected at 228.29 thousand barrels per day, slightly up from 227.00 thousand barrels per day in the previous year [10]. - 'Refining operations - West Coast - Capacity' is expected to remain at 244.00 thousand barrels per day, unchanged from the prior year [10]. - 'Refining operations - West Coast - Capacity utilization' is forecasted to be 93.6%, compared to 93.0% in the same quarter last year [11]. Stock Performance - Shares of Phillips 66 have increased by 4.2% over the past month, compared to a 5.9% increase in the Zacks S&P 500 composite [12].