Core Viewpoint - The price of DRAM products has been declining for six consecutive months, reaching the lowest level since December 2023, primarily due to weak demand from PCs and smartphones, as well as China's preference for domestic products [1][2]. Group 1: Price Trends - In February, the bulk trading price of benchmark DRAM products fell by 3% compared to the previous month, with the price of 8GB DDR4 around $1.70 and 4GB products at approximately $1.30 [1]. - The continuous price decline has been attributed to a decrease in demand for personal computers and smartphones, which account for about 50% and 35% of DRAM usage, respectively [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - China's subsidy policy favoring domestic products has accelerated the price drop, with local companies like CXMT focusing on producing DDR4 and developing next-generation DDR5 [2]. - Many industry experts believe that there is no alternative market to replace China, and the influence of low-priced Chinese products is contributing to the ongoing price decline [2]. - The consensus among interviewed companies suggests that DRAM prices may not recover until the second half of the year [2].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company is deeply engaged in the storage field, focusing on semiconductor memory research, design, packaging, testing, production, and sales, with a comprehensive product line including embedded storage, PC storage, automotive-grade storage, enterprise storage, and mobile storage [1][12] - The company has established an integrated R&D and packaging testing business model, enhancing its core competitiveness in the semiconductor storage industry [1][12] - The company is expected to see significant growth in revenue and profit due to the recovery of the storage industry and the expansion of domestic and international customer bases [7][30] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company was founded in September 2010 and successfully listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in December 2022, focusing on semiconductor memory products and advanced packaging testing services [12][13] - The company has developed a "5+2+X" strategic framework to drive stable growth, focusing on five major application markets and two key growth areas: chip design and advanced packaging [15][12] 2. Demand Side - Storage prices have stabilized and are beginning to rise, driven by increased demand for storage devices due to the rapid development of artificial intelligence technologies [2][3] - The market for embedded products is experiencing supply tightness due to the discontinuation of low-capacity NAND resources by original manufacturers [2] 3. Supply Side - The domestic chip replacement is accelerating, with Chinese companies like Yangtze Memory Technologies and Changxin Memory Technologies rapidly increasing their market share [3][6] - The report highlights that China's DRAM production capacity has surpassed 11% of global capacity, with expectations for further growth [3] 4. Financial Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 50.25 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 136.76%, driven by the recovery of the storage industry and significant growth in product sales [30][31] - The forecasted net profits for 2024-2026 are 176 million yuan, 598 million yuan, and 764 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.41 yuan, 1.39 yuan, and 1.77 yuan [7][30] 5. Competitive Advantages - The company possesses strong technical capabilities in embedded storage and has established a comprehensive product matrix covering various storage types, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [7][18] - The company is actively expanding its advanced packaging capabilities, which are expected to be operational by 2025, providing a full suite of storage and advanced packaging testing solutions [7][21]