进入2025年11月18日，炒黄金市场仍备受全球投资者青睐。现货黄金价格近期波动明显，一度逼近4200美元/盎司后，受美联储官员相对谨慎的表态影响， 回落至4010-4100美元附近。最新数据显示，美联储对进一步宽松持审慎态度，部分官员强调需"缓慢推进"政策调整，以平衡就业与通胀风险。这虽短期支 撑美元、压制金价，但从中长期看，地缘不确定性及央行持续购金需求，仍使2025黄金行情分析整体偏向震荡向上。部分专业人士指出，在美联储仍处于渐 进宽松周期的背景下，黄金作为避险资产有望维持较强韧性。 炒黄金价格预测：2025年底金价还能冲高吗？ 当下炒黄金投资者最关注的仍是价格动向。11月以来，美国经济数据相对稳定，削弱了市场对激进降息的预期，导致金价出现阶段性回调。然而，多机构分 析认为，若美联储12月会议保持渐进宽松路径，叠加全球央行购金支撑，2025年底金价或在4000-4500美元区间运行。如何在炒黄金中抓住时机？选对平台 至关重要，它能避免高波动期遭遇执行卡顿或资金隐患，确保交易顺畅。 炒黄金怎么选平台？先看这些核心痛点 针对这些常见需求，香港黄金交易所AA类会员（如金盛贵金属）提供可靠解决方案。例如，金盛贵 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - COMEX gold futures closed down on November 17, with December delivery gold futures reported at $4070.6 per ounce, a decrease of $23.6 [1] - Spot gold prices also experienced a slight decline during the early trading session in the U.S. [1] Group 2: Economic Data Release - The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics announced that the delayed September employment report will be released on November 20, and the inflation-adjusted wage data for September will be published on November 21, both at 7:30 AM Central Time [3] - These reports are expected to provide insights into the U.S. economic conditions, although they may be more lagging than usual [3] Group 3: Market Risks and Warnings - Bond investment giant Jeffrey Gundlach issued a stern warning about significant risks lurking in the stock and financial markets, citing rampant "junk bonds" and severe valuation distortions [3] - Gundlach, known as the "Bond King" of Wall Street, emphasized the need for investors to hold cash and avoid private credit, suggesting that 20% of investment funds should be allocated to cash to prepare for potential market crashes [3][4] - He expressed deep concerns about the $1.7 trillion private credit market, likening it to "junk loans" and warning it could trigger the next global market collapse [4] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Gold Futures - The next upward target for December gold futures is to break the key resistance level of $4398.00 per ounce, while the recent downward target is to push prices below the key support level of $4000.00 per ounce [4] - Initial resistance levels are identified at the overnight high of $4107.60 per ounce and then at $4150.00 per ounce; initial support levels are at the overnight low of $4051.10 per ounce and last Friday's low of $4032.60 per ounce [4]

尼泊尔政府出台新规，要求所有价值超过100万卢比的贵金属和珠宝交易必须通过银行渠道进行，以打 击洗钱行为。根据新规，商家必须使用对公银行账户收款，禁止使用个人账户。单笔交易超过100万卢 比时，买家也须通过本人或家人的银行账户付款。为落实新规，政府设立了分级处罚制度：初次违规将 收到警告，再次违规罚款100万卢比，屡次不改者可能被吊销营业执照。此举是尼泊尔为脱离国际反洗 钱组织（FATF）"灰名单"而采取的关键措施之一，旨在提升金融透明度。 ...

Core Points - A criminal gang, including Chinese nationals, was arrested for selling 37 kilograms of gold bars using forged documents, defrauding two domestic precious metal companies in Japan for approximately 600 million yen [2][4] - The gang is suspected of obtaining gold bars through smuggling and telecom fraud, marking a new method of disguising illegal gold as legitimate transactions to exploit consumption tax differences and launder criminal proceeds [2][4] - The total sales amount is estimated to reach 9.5 billion yen, with the gang using real dealer names and fictitious serial numbers on the gold bars to gain buyer trust [4][5] Group 1 - The gang was arrested on charges of fraud, forgery, and using stamped private documents, with investigations revealing they processed gold bars to enhance their legitimacy [4] - The gang's operations included smuggling gold from tax-free countries and selling it in Japan with a 10% consumption tax markup, profiting from the price difference [4][7] - The Japanese police have noted a significant increase in gold smuggling cases, with 493 cases reported in 2024, more than double the previous year, and confiscated amounts reaching approximately 1,200 kilograms [7] Group 2 - The gang managed multiple companies, with proceeds from gold sales deposited into company accounts and then converted into cryptocurrency, indicating a sophisticated money laundering operation [7] - There have been at least 20 reported cases of impersonating police officers to coerce individuals into purchasing gold bars under the guise of investigations, complicating the tracking of the stolen gold [5] - The risk of money laundering in the precious metals sector is high, prompting Japan's Criminal Proceeds Transfer Prevention Law to require businesses in this field to report suspicious activities [7]

基本面： 周一（11月17日）亚市早盘，白银价格震荡微涨，周一开盘后白银随着黄金震荡。市场关注美联储官员讲话，达拉斯联储主席洛根的立场同样强硬，她在同 一场合重申，通胀水平不仅过高，还呈现上升趋势，距离2%的目标还有漫长的路要走。除非本周涌现出"令人信服"的证据显示通胀降速超预期，或劳动力 市场降温加速，否则她难以支持进一步降息。洛根虽无投票权，但她的声音在政策辩论中影响力巨大，她认为当前就业市场的渐进式冷却正是美联储希望看 到的"合适"节奏，无需额外"先发制人"的保险措施来搅局。这些鹰派信号如雪上加霜，让市场对12月降息的预期从周初的60%以上直线滑落至不足46%， 这种不确定性对黄金的影响是毁灭性的。非孳息资产如黄金，本就依赖低利率环境来绽放光芒，一旦美联储的"暂停键"按下，机会成本陡增，资金便会从金 市外流。，正是这种预期转变，削弱了黄金和白银的涨势，导致周五盘中金价一度下探3%以上。，这波抛售如"势不可挡的潮水"，席卷了金属、股市，凸 显了短期情绪对央行信号的极度敏感。尽管如此，Welsh也提醒，黄金过去一年的累计涨幅已逾30%，其结构性支撑——宏观风险、地缘动荡、中央银行囤 积需求——仍牢不可破，短 ...

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market has experienced a rebound followed by a decline, with gold and silver prices showing fluctuations while palladium and platinum have decreased in value [1][2]. Precious Metals Market Summary - Gold prices in London rose by 1.49% to $4,071.10 per ounce, while the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) gold increased by 3.39% to ¥953.20 per gram, with SHFE gold holdings up by 0.39% to 347,600 contracts [1][2]. - Silver prices in London increased by 6.23% to $52.01 per ounce, and SHFE silver rose by 7.95% to ¥12,351 per kilogram, with SHFE silver holdings up by 9.89% to 763,000 contracts [1][2]. - Palladium prices in London fell by 5.46% to $1,385 per ounce, and platinum prices decreased by 3.59% to $1,532 per ounce [1][2]. Economic Factors Influencing Precious Metals - The end of the longest government shutdown in U.S. history has led to the anticipation of key economic data releases, including GDP revisions and employment reports, which may impact market sentiment [3]. - Hawkish statements from several Federal Reserve officials have dampened expectations for interest rate cuts in December, suggesting a cautious approach to monetary policy amid persistent inflation concerns [4]. - The Trump administration's plans to expand food tariff exemptions and reach trade agreements with countries like Switzerland may influence economic conditions and commodity prices [4]. Long-term Outlook for Gold - The "Trump 2.0" agenda, focusing on tariffs and tax cuts, is expected to stabilize, while the potential for interest rate cuts may provide strong support for gold prices in the latter half of the year [5]. - Key upcoming events include the release of the non-farm payroll report and GDP revisions, which are critical for assessing economic health and potential impacts on gold prices [5]. - Central bank gold purchases are projected to drive global gold demand to a record high of 4,974 tons in 2024, up 1.5% from 2023, providing a solid foundation for gold prices [5][6]. - China's central bank has consistently increased its gold reserves, with a reported 7,409 million ounces (approximately 2,304.457 tons) as of the end of October, reflecting ongoing demand for gold [6].

本文由 AI 算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 【11月14日现货金银价格下跌】11月14日，现货黄金日内大跌2%，现报4088.02美元/盎司。 同时，现 货白银短线下挫0.6美元，报51.37美元/盎司。 ...

美国史上最长的43天政府停摆虽已结束，但白宫警告"10月CPI和就业数据可能永远不会发布"。市场像失去罗 盘的航船——美联储12月降息概率在51% 到不足50% 之间剧烈摇摆，明尼阿波利斯联储主席卡什卡里直言"尚 未决定12月是否降息"。 隐秘多头力量浮出水面 在全球交易员紧盯美联储时，真正的巨鲸正在沉默吸筹： 1.世界黄金协会数据显示，2025年三季度全球央行净购金220吨，较二季度猛增28%； 2.波兰央行全年狂扫67吨黄金，成为最活跃的官方买家； 3.这已是央行购金量连续11个季度超过200吨，"去美元化"从口号变成行动。 巨象观察：在数据迷雾中点亮灯塔 政府停摆结束后，财政部一般账户（TGA）可能释放数千亿美元流动性； 白银库存降至历史低位，沪银价格创上市新高。 2.交易工具生死时速 巨象的云端架构实现毫秒级订单执行，规避滑点损失； 3.GoldGPT问答系统24小时秒速回复咨询，千万级大数据后台精准计算。 现在加入巨象，更有新客50000美元赠金+88元开户红包可领取，立即参与立即到账，不要错过这波黄金大行情 前奏！ 0 巨象金业 ** 新喜狂欢礼 交易3重复 ', HP's T TIE sell ...

Core Insights - The gold investment market is increasingly popular among working individuals due to its liquidity and hedging properties, making it suitable for after-work trading [1] Pre-Opening Steps - Selecting the right platform is crucial; legitimate platforms have regulatory licenses, similar to a driver's license [2] - Understanding costs is essential to avoid being misled by promotional offers; for instance, a platform may offer a spread of up to $26 per lot [2] - Beginners should practice on a demo account before investing real money to familiarize themselves with trading operations [2] Account Opening Process - The account opening process involves four simple steps: preparing necessary documents, filling out the application, downloading trading software, and funding the account [4] - Required documents include a clear photo of the ID, bank account number, phone number, and email, which must match the ID for approval [4] - After approval, users should download the trading software from the official site to avoid malware [4] Pitfalls to Avoid - Users should read the account agreement thoroughly to avoid hidden clauses that could lead to issues later [5] - Promises of guaranteed high returns are often scams; trading involves risks and potential losses [5] - Account security is vital; users should not share passwords and should regularly change them [6] Common Questions from Beginners - Opening an account is typically free; any platform requesting fees should be avoided [9] - If the application is not approved, it is usually due to unclear documentation, which can be rectified by resubmitting [10] - Minimum deposit requirements vary by platform, with some starting as low as $50 [11] - Beginners can access tutorials on platforms to learn how to analyze market trends and should avoid impulsive trading [12]

Core Viewpoint - Precious metal prices surged significantly on November 12, with silver rising over 4% and nearing historical highs, driven by easing concerns over U.S. dollar liquidity, declining U.S. Treasury yields, and speculation regarding Federal Reserve personnel changes [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The most actively traded December 2025 gold futures price increased by $68.2, closing at $4,201.4 per ounce, marking a 1.65% rise [1]. - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell to its lowest level since November 5, further supporting the upward trend in precious metals on November 12 [1]. - The announcement by Atlanta Fed President Bostic regarding his retirement in February 2026 heightened market speculation about a dovish shift in Federal Reserve policy [1]. Group 2: Demand and Future Outlook - Despite a more than 4% drop in international oil prices due to OPEC's changing stance, the upward momentum in precious metals remained unaffected [2]. - Analysts believe that as the Federal Reserve's accommodative monetary policy is expected to continue, the physical demand for precious metals remains stable, indicating strong fundamentals for gold and silver [2]. - Solomon Global market analysts suggest that unless significant changes occur, both gold and silver are likely to trend higher in the coming weeks [2].