Core Insights - The Mosaic Company (MOS) reported a loss of $1.64 per share for Q4 2025, a significant decline from earnings of 53 cents per share in the same quarter last year [1] - Adjusted earnings per share were 22 cents, down from 45 cents a year ago, and below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 48 cents [1] - Net sales increased nearly 6% year over year to $2,973.7 million, but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3,206.8 million [1] Segment Highlights - Potash segment net sales were $0.7 billion, up approximately 17% year over year, with sales volume flat at 2.2 million tons, missing the estimate of 2.6 million tons [2] - The gross margin for the Potash segment rose to $115 per ton from $55 per ton year over year, while the average MOP selling price increased to $264 per ton from $199 per ton [2] - Phosphate division net sales were $1 billion, down from $1.2 billion a year ago, with sales volume decreasing to 1.3 million tons from 1.6 million tons, also missing the estimate of 1.9 million tons [3] - The gross margin in the Phosphate segment fell to $17 per ton from $85 per ton, while the average DAP selling price rose to $686 per ton from $593 per ton [3] - Mosaic Fertilizantes segment net sales were $1.1 billion, flat year over year, with sales volume down to 2.1 million tons from 2.2 million tons, missing the estimate of 3.2 million tons [4] - The gross margin in the Fertilizantes segment decreased to $10 per ton from $46 per ton in the prior-year quarter [4] Financials - At the end of the quarter, Mosaic had cash and cash equivalents of $276.6 million, a 1.4% increase from the prior year [5] - Long-term debt rose to $4,250.9 million, up around 28% year over year [5] - Net cash used in operating activities was $56.1 million in the reported quarter [5] Outlook - For Q1 2026, Mosaic expects potash sales volumes between 2 million tons and 2.2 million tons, with realized mine gate MOP prices projected at $255-$275 per ton [6] - Phosphate sales volumes are forecasted to be 1.7-1.9 million tons, with DAP prices expected in the range of $640-$670 per ton [6] - Mosaic Fertilizantes sales volumes for Q1 2026 are projected to be below the prior-year quarter [6] - For the full year 2026, phosphate production volumes are expected to be at or above 7 million tons, while potash production is projected at roughly 9 million tons [7] Price Performance - Mosaic's shares have gained 10.2% over the past year, compared to a 19.7% rise in the Zacks Fertilizers industry [10]

Core Insights - Mosaic reported revenue of $2.97 billion for the quarter ended December 2025, reflecting a 5.6% increase year-over-year, but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.21 billion by 7.27% [1] - The company's EPS was $0.22, down from $0.45 in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of -53.98% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.48 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Mosaic's shares returned +1.4% over the past month, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite decreased by -1% [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market [3] Sales Volume and Pricing - Total finished product sales volume for Mosaic Fertilizantes was 2,075 KTon, below the average estimate of 2,587.03 KTon [4] - The average finished product selling price for potash was $275.00, exceeding the estimated $252.74 [4] - Phosphate sales volumes were reported at 1,330 KTon, lower than the estimated 1,583.51 KTon [4] - Potash sales volumes were 2,233 KTon, slightly below the average estimate of 2,348.16 KTon [4] - The average finished product selling price for phosphates was $656.00, lower than the estimated $711.44 [4] Net Sales Performance - Net sales for phosphates were $1.02 billion, significantly below the average estimate of $1.27 billion, representing a year-over-year decline of -12.9% [4] - Net sales for Mosaic Fertilizantes reached $1.15 billion, slightly below the average estimate of $1.21 billion, with a year-over-year increase of +5.3% [4] - Net sales for potash were reported at $686 million, closely matching the average estimate of $686.55 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +23.2% [4]

Forward Looking Statements Investor Presentation February 2026 Forward-looking statements Certain statements and other information included in this presentation, including under the "Market Outlook" section, constitute "forward-looking information" or "forward-looking statements" (collectively, "forward-looking statements") under applicable securities laws (such statements are often accompanied by words such as "anticipate", "forecast", "expect", "believe", "may", "will", "should", "estimate", "project", "i ...

Phosphate: The phosphate operating rate averaged 87% in the second half of 2025. Nutrien said it delivered within its guidance range despite lower North American demand in Q4.Nitrogen: Nitrogen sales volumes increased to 10.9 million tons, and ammonia operating rates improved by four percentage points, supported by reliability initiatives and debottlenecking projects. Management said strong performance from North American nitrogen plants offset the impact of a controlled shutdown of Trinidad operations in Q ...

The proven Zacks Rank system focuses on earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find winning stocks. Nevertheless, we know that our readers all have their own perspectives, so we are always looking at the latest trends in value, growth, and momentum to find strong picks.Looking at the history of these trends, perhaps none is more beloved than value investing. This strategy simply looks to identify companies that are being undervalued by the broader market. Value investors use fundamental analysis and t ...

Core Viewpoint - Analyzing the valuation of CF Industries using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) framework is challenging due to the dependency of cash flows on various factors [1] Group 1 - CF Industries' cash flow forecasts are essential for a DCF model, indicating the complexity in valuation analysis [1]

Core Viewpoint - CF Industries is perceived to have strong fundamentals and long-term growth potential despite a falling valuation, indicating a misunderstanding in the market regarding the company's true value [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - CF Industries has been upgraded to a Strong Buy due to its solid fundamentals and growth prospects [1]. - The company operates in the commodities sector, with a focus on fertilizers, which is critical for agricultural productivity [1]. Group 2: Analyst Background - The analyst has over a decade of experience researching various industries, including commodities and technology, which enhances the credibility of the analysis [1]. - The analyst has transitioned from writing a blog to creating a value investing-focused YouTube channel, indicating a commitment to providing in-depth research [1]. Group 3: Investment Focus - The analyst expresses a preference for covering metals and mining stocks but is also knowledgeable in other sectors such as consumer discretionary, REITs, and utilities [1].

Core Insights - CF Industries Holdings, Inc. reported quarterly earnings that exceeded expectations, with an EPS of $2.59, surpassing analysts' estimates of $2.53 by $0.06 [3][6] - The company achieved revenue of $1.87 billion, which is a 22.8% increase compared to the same quarter last year and above the expected $1.78 billion [3][6] - CIBC has set a new price target of $100 for CF Industries, indicating a potential upside of 3.87% from its current trading price of $96.27 [1][6] Stock Performance - Following the earnings announcement, CF's stock surged by 7.2%, reaching a high of $105.27 during mid-day trading [2][6] - The trading volume was 1.57 million shares, which represents a 31% decline from the average daily volume of 2.26 million shares [2] - The current stock price is $96.48, reflecting a decrease of 2.99% or $2.98 from previous trading [4] Financial Metrics - The company's return on equity is reported at 19.95%, with a net margin of 20.54%, indicating efficient management and profitability [4] - Over the past year, CF Industries' stock has fluctuated between a high of $104.45 and a low of $67.34, suggesting a promising outlook based on strong financial results [5]

DENVER--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Intrepid Potash, Inc. (NYSE: IPI) plans to release its fourth quarter and full year 2025 financial results on Wednesday, March 4, 2026, after the market closes. Intrepid will host a conference call on Thursday, March 5, 2026, at 12:00 p.m. Eastern Time to discuss the results and other operating and financial matters and answer investor questions. Management invites you to listen to the conference call by using the toll-free dial-in number 1 (800) 715-9871 or Internation. ...

Core Insights - The company reported a net sales of $131 million and a net loss of $10 million for Q4 2025, with an EBITDA of $20 million [1][6] - For the full year 2025, net sales reached $606 million, with an EBITDA of $211 million and a net income of $99 million, equating to $9.33 per common unit [6][4] - The board declared a distribution of $0.37 per common unit for Q4 2025, with full-year distributions totaling $10.54 per common unit [4][11] Financial Performance - Q4 2025 EBITDA decreased compared to Q4 2024 primarily due to lower production and sales volumes, alongside higher direct operating costs related to a planned turnaround at the Coffeyville facility [6][11] - Direct operating expenses for Q4 2025 were $81 million, including $14 million in turnaround expenses, with an increase of approximately $9 million from Q4 2024 [9][6] - Total ammonia production for Q4 was 140,000 gross tons, with 62,000 net tons available for sale, and UAN production was 169,000 tons [7] Market Conditions - Prices for UAN increased by approximately 55% and ammonia prices by about 32% compared to the prior-year period [8] - The company anticipates strong demand for nitrogen fertilizers in the spring planting season, with expectations of 95 million acres of corn to be planted in 2026 [12][27] - Global inventory levels for nitrogen fertilizers remain tight, influenced by geopolitical tensions and production capacity issues in key regions [13][14] Operational Updates - The ammonia plant utilization rate for 2025 was 88%, with Q4 utilization impacted by a turnaround and startup issues at the Coffeyville facility [4][5] - The company is focused on improving reliability and production rates through ongoing debottlenecking projects and capital expenditures [15][16] - Maintenance capital spending for 2025 was $57 million, with estimates for 2026 maintenance capital spending between $35 million and $45 million [9][10] Future Outlook - The company expects ammonia utilization rates to be between 95% and 100% in 2026, with direct operating expenses projected to be between $57 million and $62 million [11] - There is optimism regarding the spring planting season due to favorable weather conditions and early movement of ammonia [28][29] - The company is actively monitoring supply constraints and geopolitical risks that could impact nitrogen fertilizer markets [13][27]