Market Overview - On September 19, the home appliance parts sector fell by 4.45%, with Sanhua Intelligent Control leading the decline [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3820.09, down 0.3%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13070.86, down 0.04% [1] Stock Performance - Notable gainers in the home appliance parts sector included: - Haili Co., Ltd. (Code: 600619) with a closing price of 25.23, up 9.98% and a trading volume of 1.37 million shares, totaling 3.374 billion yuan [1] - Haidaer (Code: 669988) with a closing price of 66.76, up 8.61% and a trading volume of 28,300 shares, totaling 195 million yuan [1] - Libo Co., Ltd. (Code: 603519) with a closing price of 13.24, up 6.17% and a trading volume of 155,000 shares, totaling 205 million yuan [1] Capital Flow - The home appliance parts sector experienced a net outflow of 922 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 863 million yuan [2] - The overall capital flow indicates a mixed sentiment, with institutional investors withdrawing funds while retail investors increased their positions [2] Individual Stock Capital Flow - Haili Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 721 million yuan from institutional investors, representing 21.37% of its total trading volume [3] - Macro Technology (Code: 301008) saw a net inflow of 46.27 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 56.55 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Libo Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 15.32 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 16.08 million yuan [3]

| 投资者关系活动 | □特定对象调研 □ 分析师会议 | | --- | --- | | 类别 □ | 媒体采访 □业绩说明会 | | □ | 新闻发布会 路演活动 √ | | □ | 现场参观 其他 （请文字说明其他活动内容） □ | | 参与单位名称及 | 邰桂龙 西南证券 | | 人员姓名 | 张越 开源证券 | | | 安家正 中信证券 | | | 徐凡 财通证券 | | | 刘珺涵 交银施罗德 | | | 陈威 汇添富基金 | | | 张璐 永赢基金 | | | 闫思倩 鹏华基金 | | | 陈思宇 富国基金 | | 时间 | 2025 年 9 月 18 日 | | 地点 | 上海 | | 上市公司接待人 | 1、陆灿 | | 员姓名 | 2、副总经理、董事会秘书：佘砚 | | | 3、良质关节总经理：方涛 根据投资者的问题汇总后整理如下： | | | 1、家电零部件业务发展情况 家电零部件业务为公司主要业务，主要产品以电磁阀为技术 | | 投资者关系活动 | 核心向其他产品进行技术延伸，形成以电磁阀、微型电机、电子 | | 主要内容介绍 | 水泵为技术包向下游客户提供相适应的产品品类，核心产品为 ...

Group 1 - The company, Sanhua Intelligent Control, announced that its stock price has experienced an abnormal fluctuation, with a cumulative closing price deviation exceeding 20% over three consecutive trading days (September 16, 17, and 18, 2025) [2] - The company conducted a self-examination and found no need to correct or supplement any previously disclosed information [2] - There have been no recent public media reports that could have significantly impacted the company's stock price with undisclosed major information [2]

Group 1 - The home appliance parts sector increased by 4.17% on September 18, with Sanhua Intelligent Control leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3831.66, down 1.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13075.66, down 1.06% [1] - Key stocks in the home appliance parts sector showed significant price movements, with Sanhua Intelligent Control rising by 8.71% to a closing price of 45.55 [1] Group 2 - The home appliance parts sector experienced a net outflow of 1.012 billion yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net inflow of 1.298 billion yuan [2] - The trading volume and turnover for key stocks in the sector varied, with Sanhua Intelligent Control achieving a turnover of 21.611 billion yuan [1][2] - The stock performance of other companies in the sector also varied, with notable declines in some stocks such as United Precision, which fell by 4.44% [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company continues to experience growth in its performance for the first half of 2025, with a revenue of 162.63 billion yuan, representing an 18.91% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 21.10 billion yuan, which is a 39.31% increase compared to the previous year [8] - The company is actively expanding into liquid cooling and robotics, with a focus on mechatronic actuators for robotics, which is expected to open new growth avenues [2][8] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 319 billion yuan, 367 billion yuan, and 428 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 14%, 15%, and 17% respectively, while net profit is expected to reach 38.8 billion yuan, 45.6 billion yuan, and 52.3 billion yuan, with growth rates of 25%, 18%, and 15% respectively [3][4] Financial Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company's revenue from the refrigeration and air conditioning components business was 103.89 billion yuan, a 25.49% increase year-on-year, accounting for 63.88% of total revenue [8] - The automotive components business generated revenue of 58.74 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, reflecting an 8.83% year-on-year increase, with an optimized customer structure [8] - The company is focusing on the IDC liquid cooling market, which is becoming mainstream due to increasing power demands in data centers [8]

Core Insights - The report highlights the significant rise in long-term interest rates in developed countries since August, particularly in France and the UK, reaching levels not seen since 2011 and 1998 respectively, raising concerns about potential liquidity pressures in risk assets [2][8] - The increase in long-term rates is primarily driven by inflationary pressures, which have weakened the likelihood of interest rate cuts, with the UK facing greater challenges than the Eurozone [2][3] - The report identifies four key events over the past three years that have caused volatility in equity and currency markets due to rising interest rates, including the UK pension crisis in 2022 and the US debt supply shock in 2023 [3][8] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3862 points, with a slight increase of 0.04% over one day, and a 4.47% increase over five days [1] - The Shenzhen Composite Index showed a stronger performance, closing at 2490 points with a 0.74% increase over one day and an 8.22% increase over five days [1] - Among industry sectors, home appliance components saw the highest growth, with a 6.28% increase yesterday and a 25.04% increase over the past six months [1] Interest Rate Trends - The report notes that the rise in long-term interest rates is expected to continue in the short term, with specific indicators to monitor for potential liquidity shocks in equity markets [3][4] - The report emphasizes that when the historical volatility of US Treasury rates exceeds 10%, it is crucial to be aware of potential liquidity risks [3][4] - Long-term interest rates reflect both economic investment returns and social financing costs, with rising rates potentially leading to systemic risks if they constrain government actions [4][9] Economic Indicators - The report suggests that the current credit spread indicators for corporate bonds in the US, Europe, and Japan are below the 5% threshold of the past five years, indicating manageable credit risk [4][9] - It highlights the importance of monitoring fiscal expansion events that could lead to debt pressure, particularly in the context of high valuation levels in global equity markets [3][9] Conclusion - The report concludes that while the short-term outlook for long-term interest rates remains upward, the potential for systemic risks increases if rates rise to levels that constrain government fiscal policies [4][9] - Investors are advised to keep an eye on key economic indicators and market conditions that could signal shifts in liquidity and risk profiles [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - Sanhua Intelligent Control experienced a trading limit increase on September 16, with a transaction volume of 8.96 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 6.46% [1] Group 1: Trading Activity - The stock saw a net purchase of 425 million yuan from the Shenzhen Stock Connect dedicated seat, while 379 million yuan was sold [1] - Two institutional dedicated seats recorded a net sell of 91.10 million yuan [1]

Group 1 - The home appliance parts sector increased by 6.42% on September 16, with Hongchang Technology leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3861.87, up 0.04%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13063.97, up 0.45% [1] Group 2 - The net inflow of main funds in the home appliance parts sector was 1.666 billion yuan, while retail funds experienced a net outflow of 923 million yuan [2] - The table shows various companies' fund flows, with Sanhua Intelligent Control seeing a net inflow of 1.078 billion yuan, while Han Yu Group had a net outflow of 54.796 million yuan [2] - Other notable companies include Shunwei Co., with a net inflow of 97.97 million yuan, and Dongbei Group, with a net inflow of 68.3032 million yuan [2]

Group 1 - The stock price of Sanhua Intelligent Control (SZ:002050) reached its daily limit, closing at 39.23 yuan, with an increase of 10.01% [1] - The total market capitalization of Sanhua Intelligent Control is 165.116 billion yuan [1]

Core Insights - The home appliance components sector saw a rise of 1.84% on September 15, with Kangsheng Co. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3860.5, down 0.26%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13005.77, up 0.63% [1] Sector Performance - Kangsheng Co. (002418) closed at 4.72, up 10.02% with a trading volume of 1.9028 million shares [1] - Hesheng New Materials (002290) also rose by 10.00% to close at 38.72, with a trading volume of 68,100 shares [1] - Other notable gainers included Ruide Intelligent (301135) up 6.11% and Tongxing Technology (301252) up 3.96% [1] Capital Flow - The home appliance components sector experienced a net inflow of 435 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 272 million yuan [2] - The main stocks with significant capital inflow included Kangsheng Co. with a net inflow of 316 million yuan, accounting for 36.36% of the total [3] - Other stocks like Sanhua Intelligent Control (002050) and Hesheng New Materials (002290) also saw varying degrees of net inflow and outflow from different investor categories [3]