Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the regulatory concerns surrounding the hype of stablecoins in the Hong Kong market, emphasizing the need for a more cautious approach to their development and issuance [2][4]. Group 1: Regulatory Concerns - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) has expressed worries about the excessive conceptualization and market exuberance surrounding stablecoins, indicating a bubble-like trend [4]. - HKMA's president, Yu Weiwen, highlighted that despite initial plans to issue only a few stablecoin licenses, numerous institutions have approached the HKMA for potential licensing [8][9]. - Yu noted that many institutions are still in the conceptual phase and lack practical application scenarios, which raises concerns about their ability to manage financial risks effectively [10]. Group 2: Market Reactions - Several listed companies in Hong Kong have seen significant stock price increases due to the stablecoin concept, with the Oriental Fortune Hong Kong Stablecoin Index rising by 2.49% on July 23 [2]. - Notable stock movements include Puxing Energy, which surged by 141.38% on July 10, and Delin Holdings, which experienced a price increase of over 70% on the same day due to announcements related to stablecoin projects [5][6]. - The article mentions that many A-share companies have issued clarifications stating they do not engage in stablecoin activities after being classified as stablecoin concept stocks [6]. Group 3: Future Developments - The HKMA plans to release a summary of the stablecoin issuer licensing system next week, with the licensing process set to begin on August 1 [10]. - The article indicates that only a few institutions have officially announced their intentions to apply for stablecoin licenses, including JD Coin Chain Technology and a consortium involving Standard Chartered Bank [10].

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) is expressing concerns over the excessive hype surrounding stablecoins, indicating a potential bubble in the market as companies claim intentions to explore stablecoin businesses, leading to significant stock price increases [1][2][7]. Group 1: Market Reactions - Several listed companies in Hong Kong have seen substantial stock price increases due to the stablecoin concept, with the Hong Kong stablecoin index rising by 2.49% on July 23 [1]. - Notable stock performances include Puxing Energy, which surged by 141.38% on July 10, and subsequently recorded a cumulative increase of 275.86% over five trading days [3]. - Delin Holdings also experienced a significant rise, with a 70% increase on July 10, closing up 18.40% after announcing progress in a tokenization project [3][4]. Group 2: Regulatory Insights - HKMA has clarified that only a limited number of stablecoin licenses will be issued initially, emphasizing the need for real application scenarios for stablecoin issuers [2][7]. - Despite the regulatory stance, dozens of institutions have approached HKMA, with some expressing clear intentions to apply for stablecoin licenses [5][6]. - HKMA's president highlighted that many institutions remain in the conceptual phase without practical application plans, while others lack the necessary risk management capabilities [8]. Group 3: Future Developments - The "Stablecoin Regulation" in Hong Kong is set to take effect on August 1, with the licensing process about to commence [8]. - HKMA plans to release a summary of the stablecoin issuer licensing system, addressing the application process and related rumors in the market [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an optimistic outlook on the Hong Kong stock market, particularly regarding new IPOs and sectors such as stablecoins, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals [3][10]. Core Insights - The report highlights new investment paths following the implementation of stablecoin legislation, emphasizing the positive sentiment towards Hong Kong and U.S. Chinese stocks, with a notable shift towards new concepts and small-cap stocks [3][10]. - There is a sustained bullish view on virtual assets, including stablecoins, with recommendations for traditional virtual asset companies and infrastructure assets related to blockchain technology [3][10]. - The report identifies potential risks associated with overseas Chinese assets, particularly concerning U.S.-China tariff issues, and suggests monitoring the progress of global tariff negotiations [3][10]. Industry Situation Tracking Education - The Chinese education index increased by 2.10% from July 14 to July 18, outperforming the CSI 300 and SSE 50 indices, while underperforming the Hang Seng Tech Index [11]. - Notable stock performances include a 25.09% increase for Fenbi and a 14.37% increase for Dongfang Zhenxuan, while New Oriental saw a decline of 3.39% [11][19]. Luxury Goods - The luxury goods sector faced slight pressure, with a 6% year-on-year decline in Burberry's sales revenue for Q1 of FY2026, although the decline was less severe than previous periods [25]. - The report notes that the jewelry segment remains a growth driver, with Richemont's jewelry sales increasing by 11% year-on-year [31]. Coffee and Tea Beverages - The coffee sector maintains high growth, while the tea beverage sector shows signs of recovery, benefiting from summer demand and delivery subsidies [5][28]. E-commerce - The e-commerce sector is experiencing slight pressure, with a slowdown in overall growth and intensified competition among platforms [5][34]. - The report highlights a 742.95 billion yuan online retail sales figure for the first half of 2025, reflecting an 8.5% year-on-year growth [37]. Streaming Platforms - The streaming media index rose by 7.8%, outperforming both the Hang Seng Index and the Hang Seng Tech Index [38]. - Notable stock performances include a 12.08% increase for NetEase Cloud Music and an 11.37% increase for Tencent Music [38]. Virtual Assets & Internet Brokers - The global cryptocurrency market capitalization reached $392.19 billion, with Bitcoin and Ethereum prices increasing by 0.4% and 19.9%, respectively [40][43]. - The report emphasizes the positive trend in virtual assets following the passage of the GENIUS Act in the U.S., which establishes a regulatory framework for stablecoins [49].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The global virtual asset licensing system has essentially taken shape, with a systematic regional regulatory framework established [3] - Different regions exhibit variations in virtual asset licensing, reflecting distinct regulatory logics and strategic focuses [3] - Three major collaborative trends are emerging: local currency anchoring, asset custody, and anti-money laundering compliance [3] - Licensed operators and service providers are expected to become mainstream, with regulated trading platforms and stablecoin assets presenting lower risks [3] - The licensing will serve as a significant valuation support factor, with leading companies holding core licenses enjoying first-mover advantages and competitive moats [3] Summary by Sections 01 Global Virtual Asset Licensing System - The licensing framework in Hong Kong includes a dual regulatory structure for stablecoin issuers and virtual asset service providers (VASP) [8][9] - Hong Kong's VASP license requires compliance with strict operational and auditing standards, enhancing market transparency and investor safety [10] - Singapore's regulatory approach emphasizes innovation while ensuring market safety through a clear regulatory framework [11][12] - The European MiCA framework provides comprehensive regulations for crypto assets, categorizing them into electronic money tokens, asset-referenced tokens, and utility tokens [13][14] - The U.S. regulatory landscape is characterized by a complex multi-layered system involving federal and state-level oversight [17][18] 02 Differences and Collaborations in Regional Licensing - Hong Kong's licensing system is more inclusive for retail investors compared to Singapore's cautious approach [26] - The regulatory frameworks in Hong Kong and Europe aim to provide clear guidelines to foster innovation while ensuring compliance [26] - The U.S. regulatory environment is fragmented, requiring compliance with both federal and state regulations [26] 03 Investment Recommendations - Beneficial targets include licensed firms such as Zhongyou Capital, Bank of China Hong Kong, and Coinbase Global [4] - The report highlights the importance of holding licenses as a key factor for valuation and competitive advantage in the virtual asset industry [3][4]

Group 1 - The semiconductor and domestic computing power sectors are benefiting from favorable conditions for IM and IC contracts, indicating a strong short-term trading opportunity [1][4] - The stock index has shown strong performance, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a high of 3555.22 points, supported by multiple factors, including the recent approval of the "Stablecoin Regulation" in Hong Kong [1][2] - The "anti-involution" sector is becoming active, with the central government's emphasis on promoting product quality and orderly competition, positively impacting various industries [2] Group 2 - The approval of the H20 chip sales to China by the U.S. is expected to alleviate previous supply restrictions, potentially leading to a recovery in the AI sector as demand increases [4] - The long-term outlook for the stock index remains optimistic, despite uncertainties surrounding U.S.-China tariffs, with expectations of improved market sentiment and potential fiscal policy support in the fall [3][4] - The stablecoin market is anticipated to grow, with the U.S. pushing for legislation that could enhance the dominance of the U.S. dollar, while the development of the RMB stablecoin is seen as inevitable, starting with trials in Hong Kong [2]

Summary of Conference Call Industry or Company Involved - The discussion primarily revolves around the blockchain industry, specifically focusing on Ant Group and its ecosystem, as well as the broader virtual asset landscape. Core Points and Arguments 1. **Ant Group's Blockchain Position**: Ant Group is highlighted as a leading player in the blockchain space, with significant market potential and development trends. The focus is on its capabilities in transaction management and material management within the blockchain ecosystem [1][2][4]. 2. **Ecosystem Strength**: The strength of Ant Group's ecosystem is emphasized, particularly its international collaborations and partnerships, which enhance its blockchain capabilities [2][5]. 3. **Traditional Internet Companies**: There is a mention of traditional internet giants in China that are quietly entering the virtual asset space, leveraging their cross-border payment capabilities and consumer-facing scenarios [6][7]. 4. **Regulatory Environment**: The evolving regulatory landscape in Hong Kong is noted, with potential for traditional cryptocurrency firms to re-enter the financial sector and possibly undergo IPOs [8][9][11]. 5. **Focus on Brokerages**: Companies like Futu and Tiger Brokers are identified as key players in the market, with their ability to obtain licenses globally being a significant advantage [12][15]. 6. **Web 3.0 Integration**: The discussion touches on the integration of blockchain technology within the Web 3.0 framework, highlighting the competitive edge of internet brokerages over traditional firms [13][14]. 7. **Market Dynamics**: The call suggests that the current market dynamics favor internet brokerages due to their established user base and trading capabilities, which are crucial in the evolving landscape of virtual assets [15][16]. Other Important but Possibly Overlooked Content 1. **Material Management Importance**: The significance of material management in Ant Group's overseas operations is underscored, indicating its critical role in the blockchain ecosystem [4][5]. 2. **Potential Collaborations**: There is an expectation of new collaborations emerging within the traditional internet sector and the cryptocurrency space, which could lead to innovative developments [6][11]. 3. **Licensing Developments**: The upcoming changes in licensing regulations are anticipated to create opportunities for various companies to enhance their operational capabilities in the blockchain sector [16][17].

Group 1: Virtual Assets in Hong Kong - Hong Kong is expected to become a global virtual asset center following the implementation of the Stablecoin Regulation, which will enhance the development of stablecoin issuance, trading, and cross-border payments [1] - Domestic securities firms' subsidiaries in Hong Kong are likely to expand their business through license upgrades, leading to new performance growth points [1] Group 2: Insurance Sector Outlook - The insurance sector is anticipated to experience a "Davis Double" effect, with performance growth and valuation recovery due to stabilized long-term interest rates alleviating pressure on insurance companies' asset allocation [2] - Current valuation levels are seen as overly reflecting the suppression of future investment returns by low interest rates, indicating potential for further valuation recovery [2] Group 3: Robotics and AI Investment Opportunities - The domestic robotics industry is undergoing positive changes, with leading manufacturers accelerating their capitalization processes, which is expected to increase overall industry capital expenditure and create a demonstration effect for future listings [3] - The recent procurement of a 124 million yuan humanoid biped robot contract signifies a significant step in the commercialization of humanoid robots, indicating that exploration in commercial scenarios is progressing [3] - Investment opportunities in "AI + Robotics" should not be limited to humanoid robots; sectors such as sensors, dexterous hands, robotic dogs, exoskeletons, and vertical applications are highlighted as having favorable competitive landscapes and continuous data validation [3]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry or specific companies Core Insights - The Hong Kong Stablecoin Ordinance will take effect on August 1, 2024, with initial licenses expected to be limited to a single-digit number, focusing on applicants' reserve management, compliance, and technical security [1][34] - The regulatory framework for virtual assets in Hong Kong includes various license types, such as VATP licenses for trading platforms and specific licenses for stablecoin issuers, with stringent requirements [2][35] - The stablecoin supply chain is categorized into upstream (infrastructure), midstream (issuers and distributors), and downstream (application scenarios), highlighting the ecosystem's complexity and interdependencies [3][12][13] Summary by Sections 1. Hong Kong Virtual Asset Regulatory Framework - Different types of licenses are required for various players in the virtual asset space, including VATP licenses for trading platforms and upgraded licenses for existing SFC licensees [2][11] - The entry threshold for stablecoin issuers includes a paid-up capital of at least HK$25 million and compliance with quarterly audits and reserve asset regulations [10][28] 2. Stablecoin Supply Chain - The stablecoin supply chain is divided into three segments: upstream (infrastructure), midstream (issuers and distributors), and downstream (application scenarios) [3][12] - Key players in the midstream include issuers like Circle and Tether, and distributors such as licensed trading platforms and brokers [12][13] 3. Stablecoin Issuance Process - The stablecoin issuance process involves several steps, including user exchange initiation, fund custody, reserve management, and issuance of stablecoins [4][20] - Issuers maintain a 1:1 reserve mechanism to ensure stablecoin value is pegged to fiat currencies, with reserves diversified into cash and low-risk assets [19][20] 4. Profitability Models - Stablecoin issuers generate revenue primarily from interest on reserve assets, while distributors earn from transaction fees and other services [5][23] - The report highlights the clear profitability paths for stablecoin issuers and distributors, emphasizing their potential for resource integration across the supply chain [5][23] 5. Comparison with Mainland China - The report outlines the stablecoin landscape in Hong Kong and mainland China, identifying key participants and their roles within the ecosystem [14][15] - Notable players include custodians, issuers, and distributors, with a focus on the regulatory sandbox initiatives in Hong Kong [16][30] 6. Impact on Traditional Payment Systems - The emergence of stablecoins is expected to disrupt traditional payment models, offering new opportunities for payment service providers to expand their services [31] - Stablecoins may enable payment processors to access diverse payment scenarios and enhance their offerings through technology integration [31]

【主编观市】 尽管有不少不利因素，但A股创出了年度新高，恒指也被拉起重回24000点。 美国总统特朗普12日宣布，将自8月1日起对从欧盟、墨西哥进口的商品分别征收30%关税。欧洲多方对 美国威胁加征关税表示强烈不满，表示欧洲不应被美威胁吓到，应减少对美依赖；墨方表示将通过外交 方式解决分歧，不会在国家主权问题上作出任何让步。暂时来看关税问题对市场影响有限，因为随时会 变动。 但地缘政治重新变得紧张，据央视新闻，当地时间7月10日，美国总统特朗普透露，将于下周一（当地 时间7月14日）就俄罗斯问题发表"重大声明"。市场对此比较担心， 7月11日收盘，伦敦银现货价格上涨3.77%，每盎司价格站上38美元；COMEX白银期货价格上涨 4.74%，每盎司价格突破39美元。白银现货及期货价格双双创出近14年来新高，刺激黄金、铂金的上 涨。 另外，从7月10日开始，美国空军将举行为期两周的"部队重返太平洋"演习。预计将有近300架战机和数 千名人员参与跨战区部署。海事局：南海部分海域进行实弹射击。如果形势紧张，军工、黄金会进一步 刺激。 当前稳住市场的主要靠大金融，不过银行开始出现松动，证券类和保险类均有利好，如券商可拿 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an optimistic outlook on the Hong Kong stock market, particularly regarding new IPOs and sectors such as new consumption and innovative pharmaceuticals [3][10]. Core Insights - The asset trading platform remains a clear direction for investment, with a focus on the expansion of various asset transactions and liquidity [3][10]. - The report highlights the positive trend in virtual assets, including stablecoins, with traditional financial institutions increasingly entering this space [3][10]. - Recent upgrades in subsidies for e-commerce and food delivery platforms are expected to benefit sectors like coffee and tea drinks, as well as advertising channels [3][10]. Industry Situation Tracking 1. Education - The Chinese education index increased by 2.47% from July 7 to July 11, outperforming major indices [11][20]. - Notable stock performances include New High Education Group rising by 24.18% and Fenbi increasing by 13.44% [11][20]. 2. Luxury Goods - The luxury goods sector faced slight pressure due to macroeconomic impacts, with notable stock movements including Samsonite up by 3.76% and Prada down by 0.99% [22][24]. 3. Coffee and Tea Drinks - The coffee sector remains highly prosperous, with significant benefits from platform subsidies, while tea drinks also see substantial gains [26][27]. - Luckin Coffee opened 373 new stores, with a focus on both first and second-tier markets [32]. 4. E-commerce and Internet - The Hang Seng Internet Technology Index saw a slight increase of 0.18%, with stocks like Beike and Dingdong rising by 6.34% and 3.85% respectively [31][36]. - The competition in the e-commerce sector remains fierce, with significant subsidy initiatives impacting profitability [31][38]. 5. Streaming Platforms - The Hang Seng Media Index rose by 2.2%, with stocks like NetEase Cloud Music and iQIYI showing positive performance [37][42]. 6. Virtual Assets & Internet Brokers - The global cryptocurrency market capitalization reached $374.04 billion, with Bitcoin and Ethereum prices increasing by 8.8% and 17.9% respectively [41][43]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing development of regulatory frameworks for virtual assets in both the US and Hong Kong [48].