Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on "buying high and selling higher," contrasting with traditional strategies of "buying low and selling high" [1] Group 1: Momentum Investing Characteristics - Momentum investing can be risky as stocks may lose momentum when their valuations exceed future growth potential, leading to potential losses for investors [2] - A safer approach involves investing in bargain stocks that exhibit recent price momentum, utilizing tools like the Zacks Momentum Style Score to identify such opportunities [3] Group 2: Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) Analysis - Kaiser Aluminum (KALU) has shown a price increase of 22.6% over the past four weeks, indicating growing investor interest [4] - KALU has gained 51.2% over the past 12 weeks, demonstrating its ability to deliver positive returns over a longer timeframe [5] - The stock has a beta of 1.51, suggesting it moves 51% more than the market, indicating fast-paced momentum [5] - KALU holds a Momentum Score of B, suggesting it is an opportune time to invest in the stock [6] - The stock has a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) due to upward revisions in earnings estimates, which typically attract more investors [7] - KALU is trading at a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.59, indicating it is reasonably valued at 59 cents for each dollar of sales [7] Group 3: Additional Investment Opportunities - Besides KALU, there are other stocks that meet the criteria of the 'Fast-Paced Momentum at a Bargain' screen, presenting further investment opportunities [8] - Investors can explore over 45 Zacks Premium Screens tailored to different investing styles to identify potential winning stocks [9]

【SMM 铝合金现货日评】今日SMM A00铝价大幅抬升160元/吨至22030元/吨，ADC12价格快速上涨 150元/吨至21950元/吨。当前原料供应较为紧张，叠加再生铝企业进入备库阶段，废铝需求上升，导致 价格跟涨较快，推涨ADC12成本。此外，铜价再创新高至94690元/吨，带动生铝系废铝及高铜含量合金 锭价格明显抬涨。然而需求端边际转弱，市场整体成交表现清淡；供应方面则受环保管控或成本利润倒 挂等因素影响，仍面临缩减压力。综合来看，成本支撑与供应收紧共同夯实价格底部，但需求放缓与铝 价高位震荡抑制了下游采购意愿，预计ADC12价格短期内将维持高位震荡走势。进口方面，目前海外 ADC12报价持稳于2630–2650美元/吨，受国内价格上涨及人民币走强带动，进口即时盈亏已回升至荣枯 线上方，理论进口窗口随之打开。 新浪合作大平台期货开户 安全快捷有保障 【SMM 铝合金现货日评】今日SMM A00铝价大幅抬升160元/吨至22030元/吨，ADC12价格快速上涨 150元/吨至21950元/吨。当前原料供应较为紧张，叠加再生铝企业进入备库阶段，废铝需求上升，导致 价格跟涨较快，推涨ADC12成本。此外 ...

Group 1 - The loan of $800 million is raised by AV Minerals (Netherlands) NV, the holding company of Novelis, to support its elevated capital requirements due to a fire at the Oswego facility [1][7]. - The loan agreement is priced at 125 basis points above the three-month Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR), which is currently at 4.05%, leading to a final loan pricing of approximately 5.30% [4][5]. - The five-year term loan has an average maturity of four years, with repayments scheduled in the third, fourth, and fifth years, and is underwritten equally by three banks: MUFG, Standard Chartered, and HSBC [5][6]. Group 2 - The Oswego County plant in New York is crucial for Novelis, supplying 40% of the aluminum sheets used by U.S. automakers, with Ford being a significant client [6][7]. - There have been three reported fires at the Oswego facility, with the largest occurring in September and the most recent on November 21, impacting operations [7]. - The funds from the loan are intended to help Novelis restart full operations at the affected plant [7].

Flash | 18 Dec 2025 11:04:14 ET │ 17 pages China Materials 2025 On-ground Demand Monitor Series #181 – Aluminum Inventory and Consumption CITI'S TAKE In this series of notes, we aim to track and analyze high-frequency on- ground demand trends in China – market expectation on demand recovery has been largely cautious. In this note, we enclose weekly data from Mysteel, a consultant, on China aluminum ingot and billet production, inventory, and apparent consumption data during the week of 11th to 17th Dec 2025 ...

J P M O R G A N Asia Pacific Equity Research 19 December 2025 This material is neither intended to be distributed to Mainland China investors nor to provide securities investment consultancy services within the territory of Mainland China. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. China Basic Materials Lithium news flow stealing the show; Copper remains our top pick followed by Aluminum The MSCI China Materials Index continued ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - For aluminum, the domestic operating capacity is at a high level approaching the ceiling, and the import window is closed. Although the construction demand is entering the off - season, new energy and automotive aluminum demand provide support. High industry profits and low inventory support prices, but high aluminum prices suppress downstream procurement, and concerns about macro - liquidity tightening lead to high - level fluctuations in the market [3]. - For alumina, the operating capacity is at a historical high with new capacity being gradually put into production. Downstream electrolytic aluminum is squeezed by high costs, leading to reduced demand and price decline. The market may enter a bottom - shock phase [4]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Aluminum Market Market Situation - The domestic aluminum market shows high - level fluctuations. High prices suppress downstream procurement, and there are concerns about macro - liquidity tightening [3][8]. Supply - Domestic operating capacity is at a high level close to the ceiling, and the import window is closed [3]. Demand - Construction demand is in the off - season, but new energy and automotive aluminum demand provide support [3]. Factors Affecting Price - **Lidofactors**: Clear domestic electrolytic aluminum capacity ceiling policy and insufficient global supply elasticity; low alumina prices maintain high corporate profitability [4]. - **Negative factors**: It is the traditional consumption off - season, high aluminum prices suppress downstream procurement, and there are concerns about Fed policy and macro - liquidity tightening [8]. Alumina Market Market Situation - The alumina market is weak with prices falling below the average cash cost and inventory accumulating [4]. Supply - Operating capacity is at a historical high, and new capacity is being gradually put into production [4]. Demand - Downstream electrolytic aluminum is squeezed by high costs, with some high - cost areas having production - cut expectations, leading to slower demand growth [4]. Factors Affecting Price - **Lidofactors**: Some regional alumina enterprises adjust production due to losses, and there is a short - term increase in domestic anti - cut - throat competition sentiment [5]. - **Negative factors**: New domestic alumina capacity will increase supply pressure, and the expected production cuts in downstream electrolytic aluminum will suppress demand [9]. Upstream Supply Bauxite - Domestic bauxite production and import volume show seasonal patterns, and port inventory also has seasonal changes [21][22]. Alumina - Alumina production, import volume, and inventory show seasonal characteristics. The national and provincial - level weekly operating rates also have corresponding trends [24][26][27]. Electrolytic Aluminum - The production, net import volume, and inventory of electrolytic aluminum show seasonal patterns [32][34][35]. Downstream Demand Product Output - The output of aluminum ingots, aluminum rods, and various aluminum products shows seasonal characteristics [37][40]. Operating Rate - The operating rates of various aluminum products' production show seasonal changes, including weekly and monthly operating rates [44][45][50]. Export - The export volume and profit of unforged aluminum and aluminum products show seasonal patterns [52][53]. End - user Demand - The demand in industries such as construction, automotive, power grid, and new energy shows seasonal characteristics, which affects the demand for aluminum [56][58][61]. Inventory - The inventories of bauxite, alumina, electrolytic aluminum, aluminum rods, and aluminum ingots + aluminum rods show seasonal changes [65][68][70]. Cost and Profit - The prices of raw materials such as bauxite, alumina, pre - baked anodes, and energy sources (coal, natural gas, electricity) show corresponding trends, which affect the cost and profit of electrolytic aluminum [73][74][75].

This Common, Overlooked Metal will Soar in 2026There is a metal boom coming and you won’t believe it. It’s not gold, silver, platinum or palladium. And when it goes up, it’s going to make a lot of our daily lives more expensive.In the 1800’s the “silver from clay” was more expensive than gold. The light, silvery metal was so rare that architects crowned the Washington Monument in D.C. with a six-pound pyramidal capstone.The metal, if you haven’t guessed yet, is aluminum. The reason it was so rare and expens ...

Core Viewpoint - Guolian Minsheng initiates coverage on Innovation Industry (02788) with a "recommend" rating, highlighting the company's integrated layout in energy, alumina, and electrolytic aluminum, which positions it favorably in terms of energy costs and potential for cost reduction with green electricity integration [1] Group 1: Business Overview - The company focuses on integrated smelting of alumina and electrolytic aluminum, aiming to achieve 788,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum and 3.2 million tons of alumina capacity by mid-December 2025, with an alumina self-sufficiency rate exceeding 100% [2] - The electrolytic aluminum production is located in Hohhot, Inner Mongolia, benefiting from advantageous energy costs due to abundant coal resources, while the alumina production is primarily in Binzhou, Shandong [3] Group 2: Performance and Growth - The company has a robust production capacity, with electrolytic aluminum production running at near full capacity, yielding 744,000 tons in 2022 and projected increases in subsequent years, leading to a revenue growth forecast of 9.8% year-on-year in 2024 and 22.6% in early 2025 [4] - The company plans to invest in a comprehensive aluminum industry project in Saudi Arabia, with an initial capacity of 500,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum and aluminum alloy, expected to significantly enhance performance upon completion in 2027 [5]

12月17日（周三），分析人士表示，莫桑比克Mozal冶炼厂停产将削弱明年全球铝供应，令该冶炼厂的 核心欧盟客户寻找替代品。 ING此前曾预计全球铝市料出现200,000吨的供需缺口。 数据显示，在2025年前10个月，该冶炼厂向欧盟发运铝430,000吨，这也令莫桑比克成为欧盟的主要金 属供应来源地，占欧盟地区铝进口总量的五分之一。 LME基准三个月期铝价格周三大约报每吨2,880美元，距离11月3日和12月5日触及的2,920美元的三年多 高点不远。 ING分析师Ewa Manthey在一份报告中称，"我们预计明年铝市的供需缺口料约为600,000吨。" 欧洲完税铝升水在12月初触及每吨340美元的10个月高点，周三大约报每吨326美元。 "欧洲可能主要通过增加自加拿大和中东地区的铝进口来填补莫扎尔铝冶炼厂关闭造成的供应缺口。" 行业组织欧洲铝业（European Aluminium）估计，欧洲原铝的需求约为900万吨/年。 South32周二证实，在与公用事业公司和莫桑比克政府的谈判未能达成新的电力协议后，年产能为 560,000吨的Mozal冶炼厂将从3月中旬开始进行维护和保养。 欧盟新的碳边境调整机 ...

Core Viewpoint - Guolian Minsheng has initiated coverage on Chuangxin Industry (02788) with a "Buy" rating, highlighting the company's integrated layout in energy, alumina, and electrolytic aluminum, which positions it favorably in terms of energy costs in Inner Mongolia. The company is expected to benefit from the integration of green electricity, leading to further reductions in electrolytic aluminum costs. The aluminum industry is currently experiencing a tight supply-demand balance, with prices expected to trend upwards [1]. Group 1: Integrated Layout and Expansion - The company focuses on the integrated smelting of alumina and electrolytic aluminum, aiming to achieve a domestic capacity of 788,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum and 3.2 million tons of alumina by mid-December 2025, with an alumina self-sufficiency rate exceeding 100% [1]. - The company plans to expand overseas by investing in a 500,000-ton aluminum industry chain project in Saudi Arabia, which is expected to become a new growth driver. Funds raised from the IPO will primarily support this Saudi project and domestic green electricity initiatives [1]. Group 2: Cost Advantages and Production Capacity - The electrolytic aluminum production is located in Hohlin Gol, Inner Mongolia, where energy costs are advantageous due to abundant coal resources. The company is also constructing a wind power-based power station in Inner Mongolia to support its green transition, with green electricity costs ranging from 0.1 to 0.18 yuan per kilowatt-hour, which is lower than coal power costs [2]. - The company relies on overseas purchases for bauxite, with projected alumina production from 2022 to May 2025 being 710,000 tons, 1.55 million tons, 1.54 million tons, and 660,000 tons, primarily for internal use. The electrolytic aluminum production lines are expected to operate at full capacity, with production figures of 744,000 tons, 758,000 tons, 755,000 tons, and 311,000 tons during the same period [3]. Group 3: Growth Opportunities in Saudi Arabia - In March 2025, the company, in collaboration with Innovation Group and Innovation New Materials, plans to invest in a comprehensive aluminum industry chain project in the Red Sea region of Saudi Arabia, holding a 33.6% stake in the project. The first phase of the project aims for a capacity of 500,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum and aluminum alloys, targeting both the local Saudi market and Europe and the U.S. [4]. - The project is expected to take 18 to 24 months for construction, with production anticipated to commence in 2027. The abundant natural gas resources and low electricity costs in Saudi Arabia are expected to significantly enhance the company's performance post-launch [4].