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十大券商一周策略:A股将迎“春季躁动”胜率最高阶段,涨价仍是核心配置线索,重视关税税率下降后出口链修复机会
Jin Rong Jie· 2026-02-24 00:10
Group 1 - The core investment theme post-Spring Festival revolves around "price increases" and "revaluation of physical assets," particularly in resource, chemical, and midstream manufacturing sectors, leveraging China's pricing power amid global uncertainties [1][2] - The technology sector, particularly driven by AI, remains a key focus, with sub-sectors like computing power, applications, and robotics expected to remain active due to industrial catalysts [1][2] - The recovery of export chains, non-bank financials, and certain consumer and real estate chains are seen as important supplements to market trends under the backdrop of internal and external demand recovery [1] Group 2 - CITIC Securities emphasizes that price increases are a core configuration clue for Q1, with a focus on sectors like chemicals, non-ferrous metals, power equipment, and new energy, while also increasing exposure to undervalued insurance and brokerage stocks [2] - Historical data indicates that February and the period around the Spring Festival are strong for market movements, with small-cap stocks showing a 100% probability of rising from the Spring Festival to the Two Sessions [3] - Guojin Securities highlights the importance of balancing global physical assets against Chinese assets, recommending commodities like copper, aluminum, and oil, as well as sectors with global comparative advantages like equipment exports and domestic manufacturing [4] Group 3 - Industrial sectors experiencing structural price increases due to supply-demand gaps are primarily in midstream materials and manufacturing, with a focus on chemicals, steel, and high-end manufacturing [5] - The potential for recovery in the export chain is noted, particularly in industries with significant exposure to the U.S. market that will benefit from reduced tariffs [5] - The policy uncertainty surrounding tariffs and trade is expected to favor gold as a risk hedge, with market participants anticipating potential shifts in U.S. trade policy [6] Group 4 - Attention is drawn to the post-holiday inventory replenishment in commodities, with a continued positive outlook on technology applications, particularly in semiconductors and AI [7] - Quantum technology is highlighted as a sector receiving dual catalysts from policy and technological advancements, with significant developments in quantum key distribution networks [8] - The AI industry revolution is identified as a key investment theme, focusing on computing power, storage, and applications, with a strong emphasis on the performance of high-growth sectors [9] Group 5 - Localized opportunities are expected in AI applications linked to overseas trends and robotics associated with the Spring Festival, with a cautious approach to market movements anticipated [10] - The current bull market logic remains intact, with a recommendation for investors to maintain confidence despite short-term volatility, focusing on sectors with high securities ratios [11]
东吴证券晨会纪要2026年1月-20260224
Soochow Securities· 2026-02-23 23:30
证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2026-02-24 在全球科技创新浪潮与国家战略布局深度融合的今天,科技自立自强已 成为驱动长期经济增长、塑造国际竞争新优势的核心主线。根据我们于 2026 年 1 月 26 日发布的报告《"十五五"规划中的"债"机遇:详解政 策东风如何重塑产业债格局(主线篇)》显示,我国"十五五"规划进一 步凸显对科技创新与产业升级的战略定力,明确将科技作为未来发展的 关键引擎。在这一宏观背景下,健全的多元化融资体系对于支撑科技企 业,尤其是处于快速成长期和重大技术投入期的企业至关重要。当前,我 国债券市场在服务科技创新领域仍存在显著的结构性空间,尽管 2025 年 "债券科技板"的推出标志着市场建设迈出重要一步,但其发行主体仍高 度集中于中央及地方国有企业,众多具备核心技术能力与高成长潜力的 民营科技企业,尚未能充分借助债券市场这一公开、透明、可预期的直接 融资渠道,实现其长期资本需求与债务结构的优化。 鉴于此,本报告希 望通过复盘海外成熟市场中顶尖科技企业的债券融资轨迹,及其在成长 过程中对于债券融资的利用情况,以史为鉴,研判我国科技公司,特别是 民营高成长企业,在未 ...
EverQuote(EVER) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-23 22:32
EverQuote (NasdaqGM:EVER) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 23, 2026 04:30 PM ET Company ParticipantsBrinlea Johnson - Managing DirectorCory Carpenter - Executive Director of Internet Equity ResearchJayme Mendal - CEOJed Kelly - Managing Director of Equity ResearchJoseph Sanborn - CFO and Chief Administrative OfficerMitchell Rubin - Equity Research AssociateConference Call ParticipantsMaria Ripps - Managing Director and Senior Research AnalystMayank Tandon - Senior AnalystRalph Schackart - Research Analyst of ...
个人信息5元500条 临近续保频遭推销车主隐私泄露屡禁不止为哪般
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 21:43
(来源:经济参考报) "一天最高接到5通电话""天天接到续保电话让人受不了""手机被迫改成白名单模式,见到陌生电话都害 怕"……在社交平台上,不少用户投诉称,车险临期,车主频频遭遇各类保险电话密集推销,不仅严重 影响用户体验,还引发消费者对车险客户信息泄露、行业数据安全及电话营销乱象的担忧。 记者调查发现,车主个人信息在购险、用车等多个环节均存在泄露风险。由于违规成本较低,电话营销 扰民乱象屡禁不止,车主的隐私权益难以得到切实保障。 营销话术围攻 车主苦不堪言 "我的车险今年1月才到期,可骚扰电话提前两个月就来了,最多一天能接5个车险推销电话。"广州车主 陈先生说,这些电话都来自自称中国人保财险公司的不同销售人员,包括直销人员和外包团队。他粗略 计算,半个月内已接到数十通推销电话,严重干扰了正常工作与生活。 车主黄先生也有类似遭遇。车险到期前,他频繁接到不同保险公司的各类续保电话,报价五花八门,还 附带"锁单优惠""礼品赠送"等承诺。然而,他联系保险公司官方客服后得知,准确报价需在车险到期前 一个月内才能生成,此前业务员所提的优惠多为吸引客户的营销话术。"提醒续保可以理解,但用不实 报价诱导,还天天打电话,实 ...
中国人民保险集团(01339.HK):2月23日南向资金增持1307.2万股
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 19:29
中国人民保险集团股份有限公司是一家主要提供保险产品的控股公司。该公司及其子公司主要从事财产 保险、健康保险、人寿保险、再保险、香港保险、养老保险及经营保险业务。财产保险业务主要包括为 公司及个人提供财产保险产品,包括机动车辆险、农业保险、财产保险和责任保险。健康保险业务主要 包括健康和医疗保险产品。人寿保险业务主要包括人寿保险产品,包括分红、两全、年金及万能人寿保 险产品等。香港保险业务包括在中国香港的财产保险业务。养老保险业务包括企业年金和职业年金等业 务。 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理,由AI算法生成(网信算备310104345710301240019号),不构成 投资建议。 证券之星消息,2月23日南向资金增持1307.2万股中国人民保险集团(01339.HK)。近5个交易日中,获 南向资金减持的有3天,累计净减持291.23万股。近20个交易日中,获南向资金减持的有16天,累计净 减持4541.18万股。截至目前,南向资金持有中国人民保险集团(01339.HK)25.12亿股,占公司已发行 普通股的28.77%。 ...
马年A股如何开局? | 每周研选
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 16:46
Core Viewpoint - The overseas markets showed a slight rebound during the Spring Festival holiday, with U.S. stocks recovering and commodities performing strongly, driven by geopolitical disturbances that significantly increased the prices of oil, gold, and copper. The performance of Chinese assets, particularly the FTSE China A50 index futures, also indicated a positive trend, suggesting a potentially favorable start for the A-share market in the Year of the Horse [2][4]. Group 1: Market Performance and Trends - The overseas non-U.S. assets maintained a strong performance during the holiday, indicating a high risk appetite among overseas investors, which is expected to benefit the A-share market post-holiday [5]. - The inflow of funds into the market remains unchanged, with a notable decrease in household deposits and an increase in non-bank financial institution deposits, suggesting a shift towards equity markets [6]. - Historical data shows that the A-share market typically performs well in the 20 trading days following the Spring Festival, with a 75% probability of the CSI All A Index rising during this period [9]. Group 2: Sector Focus and Investment Opportunities - The focus for investment should be on sectors benefiting from AI and resource commodities, with a particular emphasis on the robotics and AI technology applications showcased during the Spring Festival [13][14]. - The traditional sectors such as real estate and liquor are expected to see a recovery as their valuations are at historical lows, supported by improving fundamentals and policy catalysts [11]. - The "反内卷" (anti-involution) policy is anticipated to enhance the supply dynamics of resource commodities, making them attractive for investment [11]. Group 3: Strategic Recommendations - Investors are advised to focus on the technology sector, particularly in robotics and AI applications, as well as cyclical sectors like chemicals, construction materials, and machinery, which are expected to benefit from rising prices and improved demand [15]. - The market is entering a configuration phase where "technology + cyclical" remains the main theme, with technology sectors likely to respond first to market catalysts [15].
去年险资投资股票、基金余额增加约1.6万亿元
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2026-02-23 16:43
国家金融监督管理总局近日发布的2025年四季度保险公司资金运用情况显示,截至去年年底,保险公司 资金运用余额合计约38.5万亿元,较2024年同期增长15.7%。从大类资产配置来看,截至去年年底,保 险公司股票配置比例创2022年二季度监管披露以来的新高,也是近四年新高。 从保险公司大类资产配置来看,债券仍承担着"基本盘"的作用,但权益类资产(股票、证券投资基金和 长期股权投资)配置大幅增长引发业内关注。业内人士认为,基于对股市"慢牛"的预期较高,预计未来 保险行业整体权益类资产配置比例还会进一步上升。 权益类资产配置余额 和配置比例同比均提升 不同险企投资策略 或将分化 尽管保险公司股票投资余额和占比较以往皆大幅提升,但权益类资产配置比例距离监管上限还有较大空 间。 从行业层面看,截至去年底,保险公司的权益类资产占资金运用余额的22.19%。根据最新监管政策, 综合偿付能力充足率处于不同档位的险企权益类资产的账面余额占该公司上季末总资产的比例上限为 10%至50%。同时,根据险企的最新偿付能力报告,绝大部分险企的权益类资产配置上限可达30%。 周瑾表示,当前,险企的权益类资产配置比例较监管上限还有较大空间, ...
不足50万到超500万 险企董监高收入差距超10倍
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2026-02-23 16:20
回溯更早时期,"千万年薪"曾是行业热议话题。2022年,合众人寿一名董事税前薪酬高达953.85万元, 直逼千万门槛。北京商报记者在统计过程中发现,董监高薪酬与公司的盈亏情况并不明显挂钩,一方 面,多数保险公司没有与盈利挂钩的奖励计划支付;另一方面,很多为董监高提供了高薪水的保险公 司,其本身盈利规模和保费规模并不靠前。 那么,险企董监高薪酬具体受哪些因素影响?业内人士告诉北京商报记者,保险公司在确定董监高薪酬 时,需要考虑管理人员在职责范围内的表现、对公司的贡献以及个人能力的提升等方面。部分公司的薪 酬体系可能受到历史因素的影响,存在一定的惯性,即使公司业绩发生变化,薪酬体系也可能难以迅速 调整。 从政策背景看,2022年财政部发布《关于进一步加强国有金融企业财务管理的通知》,提出金融企业应 当合理控制岗位分配级差,充分调动一线员工、基层员工的积极性,有效平衡好领导班子、中层干部和 基层员工的收入分配关系,加强了对金融行业董监高薪酬的管控。 虽然非上市险企董监高薪酬与险企本身的盈利规模、保费规模等相关性并不强,但是也有一定规律。 "千万年薪"的传说渐远,分化悬殊的现实凸显。据北京商报记者不完全统计,截至2月 ...
日元贬值的真相:不是日本没钱,是美日利差太大
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 13:32
如果我们把日本,当成一个资产负债表。会看到什么? 一、日本的负债端:260%意味着什么? 很多人听到"债务率260%",第一反应是——要爆雷了?但问题是,债务率高,并不自动等于危机。 关键看三个问题: 如果一个国家的政府债务,已经达到GDP的260%,它现在最应该做什么?紧缩财政?削减军费?降低 福利?还是继续发债、减税、扩大军费?日本,正在做后者。 第一,债务是本币还是外币? 第二,债务由谁持有? 第三,融资成本是多少? 日本的政府债务,绝大部分是日元计价。而且超过80%,由国内机构持有——包括日本央行、银行、保 险公司、养老金机构。这和很多新兴市场国家完全不同。 新兴市场如果债务率高,问题在于:它们借的是美元,受制于外部利率。资本一旦外流,货币立刻贬 值,债务立刻失控。但日本不是。 日本借的是自己的货币。而日本央行,长期执行收益率曲线控制政策。也就是说——它可以影响长期国 债利率。过去十多年,日本长期利率几乎维持在极低水平。 所以,如果一个国家,债务率高达260%,但融资成本极低,而且债务基本在国内循环——它真的会像 市场想象的那样立刻爆炸吗?未必。 二、日本的资产端:它不是穷国。 我们再看资产端。日本拥 ...
从超过500万到低于50万,险企董监高收入差距咋那么大
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-02-23 12:52
"千万年薪"的传说渐远,分化悬殊的现实凸显。据北京商报记者不完全统计,截至2月23日,共有113家险企在披露的2025年四季度偿付能力报告 中公示了董监高薪酬,但在业绩整体向好的态势下,险企董监高薪酬并没有想象般"水涨船高"。 统计数据显示,董监高年薪超过500万元的公司由2024年的5家降至2025年的4家,且不同险企董监高薪酬差距明显,最高年薪突破500万元,最低 者不足50万元,差距达10倍以上,而曾经被热议的"千万年薪"已难觅踪迹。 险企董监高带头降薪 金融监管总局节前公布的数据显示,2025年全年,保险公司原保险保费收入6.1万亿元,同比增长7.4%;新增保单件数1168亿件,同比增长 12.6%。此外,2025年,受益于"报行合一"、资本市场向好等因素,行业经营情况可圈可点,已经公布数据的非上市险企中,约九成机构实现盈 利。 不过,在业绩整体向好的态势下,险企董监高薪酬延续了近两年的下降趋势。据北京商报记者统计,2023年同期,有10家保险公司董监高最高年 薪超500万元,到2024年只剩5家,2025年再次减少至4家,包括中美联泰大都会人寿、中宏人寿、美亚保险等。其他险企董监高最高薪酬多数位 于 ...