证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑材料 建筑材料行业跟踪周报 家庭消费仍有潜力，期待服务消费刺激 2025 年 06 月 08 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 黄诗涛 执业证书：S0600521120004 huangshitao@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 房大磊 执业证书：S0600522100001 fangdl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 石峰源 执业证书：S0600521120001 shify@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -20% -16% -12% -8% -4% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 2024/6/11 2024/10/9 2025/2/6 2025/6/6 建筑材料 沪深300 相关研究 《建筑业 PMI 底部区间波动，推荐消 费建材》 2025-06-03 《继续推荐消费建材》 2025-05-25 东吴证券研究所 1 / 20 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周（2025.6.3–2025.6.6，下同）：本周建筑材料板块（SW）涨跌幅 0.63%， 同期沪深 300、万得全 A 指数 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a standard rating for the construction materials sector [2] Core Views - The real estate market is showing signs of recovery, particularly in high-energy cities, with improved sales of larger residential units. The demand for real estate and construction materials is expected to rise due to accelerated urban renewal initiatives [4][29] - The land market has seen a resurgence, with the top 100 companies acquiring land worth 405.19 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.8% [4][27] - The report suggests focusing on stable central state-owned enterprises and regional leaders in first and second-tier cities, such as Poly Developments, China Merchants Shekou, and others [4][29] Summary by Sections Real Estate Market Overview - In the first four months of the year, 20 out of 30 representative cities saw an increase in the proportion of residential units over 120 square meters sold, with cities like Nanjing and Qingdao showing increases exceeding 8% [4][27] - New home prices in first-tier cities rose by 0.90% month-on-month in May, while second-tier cities saw a slight increase of 0.06% [4][27] - The report indicates that the recovery in the real estate market will gradually expand from specific points to a broader area, potentially leading to a valuation recovery for the sector [29] Construction Materials Market Overview - National cement production from January to April 2025 was 495 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 2.8%, marking the lowest level for the same period since 2010 [5][47] - The report highlights that the cement industry is undergoing significant capacity reduction and is pushing for energy-saving and green transformation [6][49] - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from increased fiscal spending and the issuance of special bonds, which will support demand for construction materials [51] Key Data and Trends - The report notes that the total amount of special bonds planned for issuance in June across 25 regions is approximately 885.64 billion yuan, with new special bonds accounting for 469.49 billion yuan [51] - The construction materials sector has seen a slight increase in prices, with the average cement price at 339 yuan per ton, down 4 yuan from the previous week [36][41] - The report recommends focusing on leading companies in the cement industry, such as Conch Cement and Huaxin Cement, which are expected to benefit from industry consolidation and overseas expansion [6][50]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the building materials industry [1] Core Views - The construction materials sector is experiencing fluctuations at the bottom of the PMI range, with expectations for a gradual recovery in demand driven by government policies and market dynamics [4][16] - The report highlights the potential for recovery in the home decoration materials sector, particularly with the implementation of "old-for-new" subsidies and service consumption stimulus policies [4][16] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Overview - The building materials sector has shown a slight increase of 0.18% in the past week, outperforming the CSI 300 and the Wind All A indices, which decreased by -1.08% and -0.02% respectively, resulting in excess returns of 1.26% and 0.20% [4] - The construction industry PMI has shown signs of improvement, indicating a potential recovery in new orders due to eased tariffs [4][16] 2. Bulk Building Materials Fundamentals and High-Frequency Data 2.1 Cement - The national average price for high-standard cement is 367.8 RMB/ton, down by 3.0 RMB/ton from last week and 6.3 RMB/ton from the same period last year [20][21] - The average cement inventory among sample enterprises is 65.7%, with an average shipment rate of 47.8%, reflecting a slight increase in demand [25][19] - The report anticipates a stabilization or slight rebound in cement prices due to improved supply discipline among leading companies [12][19] 2.2 Glass Fiber - The report notes that the profitability of mid-range glass fiber remains resilient, with demand in domestic wind power and thermoplastics continuing to grow [13] - The industry is expected to see a gradual recovery in supply-demand balance, supported by the growth in high-end products [13] 2.3 Glass - The glass sector is facing weak terminal demand, with prices under pressure as the industry enters a seasonal downturn [14][15] - The report suggests monitoring production line adjustments to gauge future price recovery potential [14][15] 3. Industry Dynamics Tracking - The report emphasizes the importance of government policies aimed at stimulating domestic demand and stabilizing the real estate market, which are expected to positively impact the building materials sector [16] - The anticipated recovery in consumer confidence and the ongoing implementation of national subsidies are expected to drive demand for home decoration materials [16] 4. Weekly Market Review - The report provides a detailed analysis of price changes and inventory levels across various regions, indicating a mixed performance in the cement market with some areas experiencing price increases while others see declines [19][20][21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the construction materials sector [1] Core Viewpoints - The construction materials sector is experiencing fluctuations at the bottom of the PMI index, with expectations for a gradual recovery in demand driven by government policies and market dynamics [4][16] - The report emphasizes the potential for recovery in the home decoration materials segment, particularly with the implementation of "old-for-new" subsidies and service consumption stimulus policies [4][16] Summary by Sections 1. Sector Overview - The construction materials sector has shown a slight increase of 0.18% in the past week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and the Wind All A Index, which decreased by -1.08% and -0.02% respectively [4] - The report highlights that the cement market price is currently at 367.8 RMB/ton, down by 3.0 RMB/ton from the previous week and down by 6.3 RMB/ton compared to the same period last year [20][21] 2. Cement Market - The average cement inventory ratio is reported at 65.7%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous week, but down by 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [25] - The average daily cement shipment rate is 47.8%, up by 1.4 percentage points from the previous week but down by 5.3 percentage points compared to last year [25] - The report notes that the cement price is expected to stabilize or slightly rebound in the coming months due to supply-side adjustments and demand recovery [12][19] 3. Glass Fiber Market - The report indicates that the profitability of the glass fiber sector remains low, with many second and third-tier companies operating at breakeven or loss [13] - The demand for high-end products in wind power and thermoplastics is expected to continue growing, which may support profitability for leading companies [13] - The report recommends companies like China Jushi and suggests monitoring others such as Zhongcai Technology and Shandong Fiberglass [13] 4. Glass Market - The glass sector is facing weak terminal demand, with inventory levels remaining high and price pressures expected to increase as the market enters a seasonal downturn [14][15] - The report recommends Qibin Group as a leading player in the glass market, with a focus on its cost advantages and growth potential in photovoltaic glass [14] 5. Home Decoration Materials - The report highlights the positive impact of government policies aimed at boosting domestic demand and stabilizing the real estate market, which is expected to enhance the demand for home decoration materials [16] - Companies such as Beixin Building Materials and Arrow Home are recommended for their strong growth potential and market positioning [16]

Group 1 - The core stock price of Fashilong (605318) closed at 26.99 yuan, down 4.46% from last week's 28.25 yuan, with a market cap of 3.393 billion yuan [1] - The highest intraday price for Fashilong on May 26 was 28.65 yuan, while the lowest on May 30 was 26.88 yuan [1] - Fashilong ranks 22nd out of 35 in the home improvement and building materials sector and 3871st out of 5146 in the A-share market [1] Group 2 - Fashilong announced a cash dividend of 0.3 yuan per share (before tax), with a record date of June 3, 2025 [2] - The total cash dividend distribution amounts to approximately 37.72 million yuan, based on a total share capital of 125,729,028 shares [2] - The dividend will be distributed by China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited, Shanghai Branch, with specific tax implications based on the holding period of the shares [2]

Group 1 - Guangdian Electric's wholly-owned subsidiary plans to sell 5.91% stake in Shanghai Winshun Electric Technology Co., Ltd. to Yapp Automotive Parts Co., Ltd. for 62.63 million yuan, aiming to optimize asset structure [1] - Anhui Natural Gas received approval for the registration of 500 million yuan short-term financing bonds and 600 million yuan medium-term notes, valid for two years [1] - Kirin Security received government subsidies totaling 6.48 million yuan, which are related to revenue [2] Group 2 - Junshi Biosciences received approval for two new indications for its self-developed drug, Oncorhynchus monoclonal antibody injection, targeting adult patients with heterozygous familial hypercholesterolemia and non-familial hypercholesterolemia [3] - China Resources Double Crane's subsidiary passed GMP compliance inspection for small and large volume injection production lines [4] - Nanjing Public Utilities' board approved the absorption and merger of its wholly-owned subsidiary, Nanjing Jinguang Industry Co., Ltd. [7] Group 3 - Boya Bio received drug registration certificate for human immunoglobulin (pH4) in the Dominican Republic, valid until August 12, 2029 [8] - Jizhi Co. announced that its controlling shareholder and actual controller committed not to reduce their shareholdings until December 31, 2025 [9] - Yuhua Tian won a bid for the integrated urban management project in Lanzhou City, with a total service subsidy of 353 million yuan [10] Group 4 - Anke Rui obtained five invention patent certificates related to various energy management and control technologies [11] - Kebo Da's wholly-owned subsidiary plans to acquire 100% of Czech IMI Company for approximately 9.43 million euros to enhance global production layout [13] - Yantian Port announced a cash dividend of 1.30 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 676 million yuan [14] Group 5 - Huawang Technology plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.45 yuan per share and a capital reserve increase of 0.20 shares per share [15] - Kabe Yi established a wholly-owned subsidiary in Japan to enhance its business layout [16] - Dongcheng Pharmaceutical's subsidiary received approval for the marketing of sodium fluoride injection, a PET radiopharmaceutical [18] Group 6 - Huaxin New Materials' subsidiary received two utility model patent certificates for innovative devices [19] - Lingang Steel's new 2290 cubic meter blast furnace has been successfully put into operation [21] - Xinlitai received drug registration certificate for Sacubitril/Valsartan tablets, the first of its kind in China [23] Group 7 - Aike Co.'s subsidiary received project designation notices from multiple clients for electric drive platform components [25] - Tonghe Pharmaceutical received drug registration certificate for Apixaban in South Korea [26] - Junting Hotel signed a cooperation agreement with Choice Hotels for exclusive brand usage in mainland China [28] Group 8 - Guangdong Hongtu plans to establish a wholly-owned subsidiary in Zhengzhou to enhance market layout [30] - Yuheng Pharmaceutical signed a joint promotion agreement for Pemafibrate tablets with Xinghe Pharmaceutical [31] - Chongqing Steel terminated the absorption and merger of its wholly-owned subsidiary, citing strategic advantages of independent operation [33] Group 9 - Jihong Co. announced the listing of its H-shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [34] - Deshi Co. announced plans for shareholders to reduce their holdings by up to 0.3% [36] - Xinhai Medical's subsidiary received medical device registration for a dialysis fluid filter [42]

Core Viewpoint - The company, Zhonggang Luonai Technology Co., Ltd., is experiencing a slight decline in stock price and has announced an upcoming earnings presentation while also receiving a government subsidy that is expected to positively impact profits [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - As of May 23, 2025, Zhonggang Luonai's stock closed at 3.78 yuan, down 0.26% from the previous week [1]. - The stock reached a high of 3.91 yuan and a low of 3.78 yuan during the week [1]. - The company's current market capitalization is 4.252 billion yuan, ranking 15th out of 35 in the building materials sector and 3278th out of 5148 in the A-share market [1]. Group 2: Company Announcements - Zhonggang Luonai will hold a performance briefing for the fiscal year 2024 and the first quarter of 2025 on May 28, 2025, from 9:00 to 10:00 AM at the Shanghai Stock Exchange Roadshow Center [1][4]. - The meeting will be interactive, allowing investors to submit questions from May 21 to May 27, 2025 [1]. - Key attendees will include the chairman, general manager, independent directors, and the financial officer [1]. Group 3: Shareholder Commitments - The controlling shareholder, Zhonggang Technology Development Co., Ltd., and its concerted party, China Metallurgical Technology Achievement Transformation Co., Ltd., have committed not to reduce their holdings in Zhonggang Luonai for 12 months starting from June 6, 2025 [2]. - Zhonggang Technology holds 424.35 million shares (37.72% of total shares), while Metallurgical Technology holds 40.77 million shares (3.62%), totaling 465.12 million shares (41.34% of total shares) [2]. Group 4: Government Subsidy - Zhonggang Luonai's wholly-owned subsidiary has received a government subsidy notification for 15.2405 million yuan, which is expected to positively affect the company's profits [2]. - As of the announcement date, the company has already received 7.4064 million yuan of this subsidy since January 2025 [2].

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - The company 中旗新材 (stock code: 001212) has experienced a decline in stock price, with a current market capitalization of 85.71 billion yuan, ranking 6th in the renovation and building materials sector and 1792nd in the A-share market. Company Announcements - The convertible bonds of 中旗新材 will be suspended from conversion starting May 21, 2025, until the equity registration date for the annual profit distribution, after which conversion will resume [1][5]. - The annual profit distribution plan includes a cash dividend of 1.0 yuan per 10 shares (tax included) and a capital reserve increase of 4 shares for every 10 shares held, with a total cash dividend distribution of approximately 12.70 million yuan (tax included) and a total increase of approximately 50.81 million shares [2][3]. - The adjusted conversion price for the convertible bonds will be 14.76 yuan per share, effective from May 29, 2025 [3][5]. - Following the equity distribution, the maximum repurchase price for shares has been adjusted to 51.382 yuan per share, effective from May 29, 2025, with a repurchase range of approximately 1,946,207 to 2,919,310 shares, representing 1.09% to 1.63% of the total post-increase share capital [3][5].

Core Viewpoint - The supply side of non-financial enterprises in the A-share market is still in a bottoming phase, with both inventory and capacity remaining weak, but there are signs of marginal recovery on the demand side [1][3][6]. Supply Side Analysis - The supply side is characterized by weak replenishment and expansion intentions, with inventory growth for Q1 2025 at -1.63% year-on-year and stock growth at -4.46%, both showing declines compared to 2024 [1][3]. - The capacity utilization rate for Q1 2025 is at 2.32, down 0.04 from 2024, marking 12 consecutive quarters of decline since mid-2022 [3]. - Expansionary capital expenditure for Q1 2025 has a year-on-year decline of 20.69%, the first negative value since 2018, indicating weak investment intentions among listed companies [3]. Industry Focus - Key industries to focus on include those with relatively tight supply and good profitability, those that have shown signs of recovery from the bottom, and those still on the left side of the turning point but entering the later stages of clearing [1][10]. - Specific industries identified for potential support to performance include metal products, broiler farming, entertainment products, and gaming, with only the entertainment products sector showing high levels of expansionary capital expenditure [1][70]. Detailed Industry Breakdown Cyclical Sector - Industries with tight supply include those with high capacity utilization and low inventory, indicating potential for profitability improvement [12]. - Industries at the bottom include construction materials, chemicals, and photovoltaic power, which are experiencing supply structure optimization [12][25]. Manufacturing Sector - Tight supply industries include cable components, photovoltaic auxiliary materials, and metal products, with low expansionary capital expenditure [26][40]. - Bottomed industries include the new energy chain and military electronics, which are likely to face hard constraints on future production capacity [26][37]. Consumer Sector - Tight supply industries include broiler farming and entertainment products, with the latter showing high expansionary capital expenditure [41][54]. - Bottomed industries include pharmaceuticals and food processing, with signs of marginal improvement in capacity utilization and profitability [41][49]. TMT Sector - Tight supply industries include gaming, with low expansionary capital expenditure, indicating hard constraints on future supply [55][69]. - Industries at the bottom include electronic components and security equipment, with potential for recovery in capacity utilization and profitability [55][63].

Industry Overview - The construction materials sector is expected to benefit from domestic demand policies aimed at stabilizing the economy, with a focus on post-completion projects and renovation of second-hand homes [1] - As of April 30, the overall PB (Price to Book) for the construction materials sector is at 1.0x, indicating a historical low valuation, while the PE (Price to Earnings) for various segments shows significant differences [1] - In Q1 2025, the transaction volume of second-hand homes in 20 major cities reached 521,300 units, a year-on-year increase of 26.88%, indicating a resilient real estate market [1] Cement Sector - The cement market is experiencing a weak recovery in demand, with a projected year-on-year decline of 1.4% in Q1 2025 production, but municipal infrastructure is providing some support [2] - Central government policies promoting production optimization and price maintenance have improved the profitability of cement companies, with gross and net profit margins expected to rise in 2024 [2] - The overall average price of cement is anticipated to continue its upward trend in 2025, leading to a potential recovery in industry profits [2] Glass Sector - Demand for glass remains resilient, primarily driven by the progress in housing completion projects, although prices are under pressure due to overall weak demand [3] - Seasonal demand is expected to strengthen in the second half of the year, with fewer production lines expected to resume operations, leading to a more stable industry environment [3] - The recommendation for investment focuses on companies like Qibin Group, which are expected to see a reversal in profitability and valuation [3] Consumer Building Materials - Retail business is becoming a key growth driver, with leading companies accelerating their retail development in response to the renovation cycle of second-hand and existing homes [4] - The competitive landscape is shifting, with leading companies increasing their market share, particularly in the waterproofing materials sector [4] - The consumer building materials sector is currently undervalued, with a low allocation in public fund holdings, suggesting potential for growth [4] Glass Fiber Sector - The glass fiber industry is seeing a recovery in prices due to improved demand from wind energy and consumer electronics, with the average price reaching 3,812.5 yuan/ton as of April 18, 2025 [5] - Inventory levels have decreased, indicating a tightening supply-demand balance, which is favorable for long-term industry growth [5] - Leading companies in the glass fiber sector are expected to benefit from valuation and profit recovery opportunities [5]