Group 1: Monash IVF Incident - Monash IVF Group Ltd faced a significant setback due to a recent incident involving the incorrect implantation of an embryo, leading to the resignation of the CEO [3][6][8] - This incident follows a previous similar event in April, where a patient in Brisbane was mistakenly implanted with another patient's embryo, resulting in a non-biological child [4][6] - Following the latest incident, Monash IVF's stock price plummeted by 27%, reflecting investor concerns [6][8] Group 2: Almonty Industries - Almonty Industries Inc received formal recognition from the U.S. House of Representatives for its strategic importance in ensuring critical mineral supply chains amid geopolitical tensions [10] - The company's stock price surged from AUD 0.6 to approximately AUD 3.5 over the past year, marking a 376.71% increase [10] - Almonty is positioned to become the largest tungsten producer outside of China, with plans to establish operations in the U.S. [10] Group 3: Black Rock Mining - Black Rock Mining Ltd announced an increase in its loan facility to USD 204 million, aimed at supporting the development of its flagship Mahenge graphite project [15][16] - The Mahenge project is noted for having over 200 million tonnes of graphite resources, making it one of the largest graphite reserves globally [16][18] - The increase in debt financing is seen as a significant step towards the development of the Mahenge project [16] Group 4: Qantas Airways - Qantas announced the closure of its low-cost subsidiary Jetstar Asia, reallocating 13 aircraft to the Australian and New Zealand markets [20] - The closure will result in the termination of 16 routes and is expected to free up AUD 500 million for fleet upgrades [20] - Jetstar Asia has been facing financial difficulties, with projected losses of AUD 25 million for the first half of the year [21]

Core Insights - China has discovered the world's largest tungsten mine, significantly enhancing its sustainable development prospects and attracting global attention [1][13] - Tungsten is a critical industrial resource due to its unique properties, including high hardness and melting point, making it indispensable in various sectors such as aerospace and defense [1][3][5] Group 1: Resource Significance - Countries rich in tungsten resources hold substantial influence, especially in high-tech fields, due to tungsten's strategic importance in manufacturing key components like rocket engines and munitions [3][5] - The global scarcity of tungsten resources, with only 0.001% of the earth's crust containing tungsten, has led to intense competition among nations for this vital resource [7][9] Group 2: China's Position - China is the largest tungsten reserve holder, with its reserves accounting for 57% of the global total, far exceeding Russia, the second-largest holder [14] - The discovery of significant tungsten deposits in regions like Dahutang and Zhuxi has solidified China's leadership in the global tungsten industry, with estimated values exceeding 100 billion RMB [11][14] Group 3: Industry Challenges and Developments - Despite its abundant tungsten resources, China faces challenges in deep processing technologies, leading to a high export ratio of raw materials and limited profitability for domestic companies [16][17] - In response to resource pressures, China has implemented measures to regulate tungsten mining and exports, aiming for sustainable development and increasing the export of high-value products like tungsten alloys [17][19]

Group 1 - Xanadu Mines Ltd has terminated its exclusive negotiation agreement with Zijin Mining Group due to the inability to finalize a control transaction within the agreed timeframe [1][2] - The company will restart the shareholder voting process regarding the exercise of a 25% put option, with a special meeting scheduled for June 4, 2025 [2][3] - If the put option is exercised, Xanadu can sell 19.125% of its interest in the Kharmagtai project to Zijin for $25 million, funded by a low-interest loan from Zijin [3] Group 2 - Xanadu is exploring other financing options and potential partnerships for the Kharmagtai project, while also discussing joint venture or equity financing for the Red Mountain project [4] - The company has received approval to issue up to 15% of its shares for financing as a backup plan [4] Group 3 - Almonty Industries Inc has signed a binding off-take agreement with U.S. defense contractor Tungsten Parts Wyoming, Inc. for the supply of tungsten oxide [5][6] - The agreement stipulates a minimum monthly purchase of 40 tons of tungsten oxide, which will be used for U.S. defense projects [6][7] - Almonty reported a revenue of CAD 28.8 million for the fiscal year 2024, a 28% increase from the previous year, but also a net loss of CAD 16.3 million [9][10] Group 4 - The company plans to relocate its registered office from Canada to the U.S., which has been approved by shareholders [10] - Almonty's stock price has increased approximately 285% over the past year, reaching a 52-week high of AUD 2.85 [10]

2024年，中国钨市场经历了"两头低、中间高"的剧烈波动，全年均价同比上涨约15%，黑钨精矿 （65%）最高触及15.66万元/吨，仲钨酸铵（APT）价格一度突破23万元/吨，创下近十三年新高。进入 2025年，钨价延续高位震荡格局，2月黑钨精矿报价稳定在14.3万元/标吨，仲钨酸铵保持在21.25万元/ 吨。 由于供给偏紧引发的的矿端涨价，已逐级向产业链下游传导。此前，包括章源钨业（002378.SZ）、中 钨高新（000657.SZ）、厦门钨业（600549.SH）在内的多家龙头钨企先后发布调涨通知，且有公司正在 酝酿新一轮涨价。 行情大好的情况下，一家扎根于哈萨克斯坦的钨矿公司—佳鑫国际近日向港交所递交招股书，拟在香港 主板上市。 钨矿公司佳鑫国际冲刺港股IPO 据弗若斯特沙利文的资料，截至2024年12月31日，巴库塔钨矿是全球最大型三氧化钨(WO3)矿产资源量 露天钨矿，也是全球第四大WO3矿产资源量钨矿(包括露天钨矿及地下钨矿)，在单一钨矿中拥有世界上 最大的设计钨矿产能。 据招股书披露，佳鑫国际近年来一直在积极筹备巴库塔钨矿的商业生产。该项目已在2024年11月投入试 生产以测试并微调加工流程。 ...

Group 1 - The Ministry of Natural Resources issued a total control index for tungsten mining of 58,000 tons for the first batch in 2025, which is a decrease of 4,000 tons compared to the first batch in 2024, representing a year-on-year decline of 6.5% and an increase in the decline rate by 4.9 percentage points [1] - The tungsten industry is expected to have limited short-term growth due to constraints from mining quotas, environmental regulations, declining ore grades, and the difficulty of bringing new projects online in the short term [1] - Downstream demand is anticipated to grow rapidly due to equipment renewal policies and the demand for photovoltaic tungsten wire, which may support an upward trend in tungsten prices [1] Group 2 - The tungsten industry is likely to undergo transformation and upgrading under the backdrop of export control policies, further strengthening the strategic attributes of tungsten resources [1]

Group 1 - The central government has not reduced its holdings in ETFs since October 2023, with Central Huijin increasing its ETF holdings to stabilize market expectations and boost investor confidence [1] - As of April 2025, Central Huijin's ETF holdings have shown significant net inflows, contradicting rumors that it typically sells after market rallies [1] - The A-share market is considered a key element in boosting confidence amid the trade war, reflecting the government's commitment to maintaining market stability [1] Group 2 - In Q1 2023, local government bond issuance reached a record high of 2.84 trillion yuan, with 1.4 trillion yuan allocated for debt replacement [2] - The issuance of new general bonds and special bonds has accelerated, with expectations for further increases in Q2 due to the implementation of self-examination and self-issuance trials [2] - The current high yield spread of local government bonds makes them suitable for stable institutional investors [2] Group 3 - The Ministry of Natural Resources has set the tungsten mining quota for 2025 at 58,000 tons, a decrease of 4,000 tons or 6.5% from the previous year [3] - The tightening of mining quotas, along with environmental regulations and declining ore grades, is expected to limit short-term supply in the tungsten industry [3] - Increased demand from downstream sectors, particularly in photovoltaic tungsten wire, is anticipated to support an upward trend in tungsten prices [3] Group 4 - Core companies in the commercial aerospace sector reported strong Q1 results, with Chengchang Technology and Zhenlei Technology showing significant profit growth of 300.06% and 495.74% year-on-year, respectively [6] - The Shanghai government aims to grow the commercial aerospace industry to over 100 billion yuan by 2027, indicating strong policy support [6] - The satellite internet industry is entering a phase of growth, driven by core company performance and increasing orders [6]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the tungsten industry, predicting that the stock price will outperform the Shanghai Composite Index by 15% or more within the next six months [33]. Core Insights - The Bakuta tungsten mine is expected to begin commercial production in Q2 2025, contributing significantly to global tungsten supply [4][6]. - The mine has favorable geological conditions and is one of the largest tungsten resources globally, with an estimated resource of 109.5 million tons containing 0.211% WO3 [3][11]. - The global tungsten supply has been declining over the past six years, and the Bakuta mine's phase two production is expected to contribute 13% to global output by 2028 [6][28]. Summary by Sections Bakuta Tungsten Mine Overview - The Bakuta tungsten mine is located in Kazakhstan and is one of the largest open-pit tungsten mines globally, with a significant resource endowment [3][11]. - The mine's estimated resources include 10.95 million tons of ore, translating to approximately 231,500 tons of WO3 [3][11]. Production Timeline - Phase one of the Bakuta project is set to start commercial production in Q2 2025, with a target capacity of 3.3 million tons of tungsten ore per year [4][20]. - Phase two is planned for Q1 2027, which will increase production capacity to 4.95 million tons per year [4][20]. Cost Advantages - The Bakuta mine benefits from lower operational costs due to its open-pit nature and favorable local conditions for land use, water, electricity, and labor compared to other major tungsten-producing countries [23][24]. - The estimated operational cash cost for 2025 is projected to be approximately RMB 463.2 million, with a unit cost of RMB 156 per ton of ore [23][24]. Global Supply Dynamics - Global tungsten production is expected to remain stable, with a slight increase in 2024, but the Bakuta mine's contribution will be crucial as it ramps up production [6][28]. - The report highlights that China's tungsten production dominates the market, accounting for about 83% of global output [28]. Beneficiary Companies - Companies expected to benefit from the Bakuta tungsten mine's production include Zhangyuan Tungsten, Zhongtung High-tech, and Xiamen Tungsten, among others [7][30].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [7] Core Viewpoints - The Ministry of Natural Resources has issued a notice that the total control index for tungsten mining in the first batch of 2025 is set at 58,000 tons, a decrease of 4,000 tons or 6.5% compared to the same period last year [2][4] - The distribution of the 2025 mining indicators shows that Jiangxi, Hunan, and Henan provinces account for the highest proportions, with 37%, 27%, and 12% respectively, totaling 76% of the national indicators [10][12] - The supply of tungsten is expected to remain rigid due to policy constraints and resource limitations, with a significant focus on strategic resource allocation [10][12] Summary by Sections Mining Indicators - The 2025H1 tungsten mining indicator is 58,000 tons, down from 62,000 tons in 2024H1, with an annual quota of 114,000 tons [2][10] - No province has achieved a year-on-year increase in mining indicators except for Fujian, which saw a slight increase of 2 tons [10][12] - Jiangxi, Yunnan, Guangdong, and Guangxi have seen significant decreases in their mining indicators, with reductions of 2,370 tons, 400 tons, 266 tons, and 240 tons respectively [10][12] Policy and Supply Dynamics - The tightening of tungsten supply is a response to the current global strategic situation, with stricter controls on the supply of strategic resources like tungsten and rare earths [10][12] - Domestic mining operations are facing challenges due to long-term depletion and rising costs, with the average cost of domestic tungsten mining now at 80,000 to 90,000 yuan per ton [10][12] - New mining projects are expected to contribute limited output until after 2026 due to infrastructure and cost issues [10][12] Strategic Importance and Price Outlook - Tungsten is recognized as a strategic resource in China, with the country holding 53% of global tungsten reserves and producing 82% of the world's tungsten [10][12] - The report anticipates a long-term upward trend in tungsten prices due to resource depletion and increased costs, with historical price movements closely linked to global manufacturing activity [10][12] - The report suggests monitoring companies such as Zhongtung High-tech and Xiamen Tungsten for potential investment opportunities [10][12]

2024年国内钨矿产量约8.85万吨，同比-7.77%，约占全球的83%，国内钨矿资源相对集中，矿山企业的 议价能力较强，在矿石品位逐渐下降，环保趋严的背景下，矿山产出预计将受限，目前国内钨矿新建项 目也很难在短期内释放产能，海外矿山成本较高，进口方面也难有大的增量，对钨矿价格形成有力支 撑。 战略资源储备需要、叠加制造业回暖提振需求 钨因其高硬度、高强度和良好的耐磨性等特点在军事，航空航天，电子工业等制造领域有着广泛的应 用，随着全球地缘政治不确定性加大，钨的战略资源地位将日益凸显。同时在国内政策刺激下、制造业 或逐步回暖，3月份国内制造业PMI指数环比+0.3pct至50.5%，需求不断改善下，板块相关标的或受益。 25年第一批钨矿开采指标收紧，继续向大中型钨资源量矿山倾斜 2024年起国家对于共伴生钨资源量为小型的矿山，不再下达开采总量控制指标、但矿企应报备钨矿产 量;2025年度钨矿开采总量控制指标(第一批)为5.8万吨(含65%WO3)，比24年的第一批指标下降4000吨、 约6.45%。以往量小的省份-黑龙江、浙江、安徽、湖北没有获得指标(24年第一批四省共计约720吨)。 对于大中型的共伴生钨矿 ...

Core Viewpoint - Jiaxin International Resources Investment Co., Ltd. has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking its third attempt after previous failures [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Jiaxin International is a tungsten mining company based in Kazakhstan, focusing on the development of the Bakuta tungsten mine [2] - The Bakuta tungsten mine is recognized as the world's fourth-largest tungsten mine by resource volume, with a total mineral resource of 230,000 tons and the largest designed tungsten production capacity [2][3] Group 2: Financial Performance - Jiaxin International reported annual losses of HKD 94.45 million, HKD 80.129 million, and HKD 177 million from 2022 to 2024, accumulating over HKD 300 million in losses over three years [2] - Administrative expenses have shown a compound annual growth rate of 35.99%, with respective expenses of approximately HKD 40 million, HKD 70 million, and HKD 80 million during the same period [2] Group 3: Project Development - The Bakuta tungsten mine project has been in the exploration and development stage, with no confirmed revenue to date [2] - The project is expected to enter commercial production in the second quarter of 2025, with a targeted mining and mineral processing capacity of 3.3 million tons of tungsten ore for that year [3] Group 4: Shareholding Structure - The pre-listing shareholding structure of Jiaxin International includes significant stakeholders such as Jiangxi Copper (41.65%), Hengzhao International controlled by Liu Zijia (43.35%), and China Railway Construction (10%) [4]